October 17 / 18.00 Newcastle (AW)

18.00

Standard

Happy Birthday Stuart From Probio-Energy Nursery Handicap

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 8 runners
SKY
View Course
Happy Birthday Stuart From Probio-Energy Nursery Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Mostly cloudy

Form: 13076

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 10lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Tried in Listed/Group races (no avail) after making a winning debut at Wolverhampton (5f) in April; fair sixth on first start for Charlie Clover in a competitive 6.5f nursery (12-1) at Doncaster's St. Leger Festival; mildly interesting to see what she makes of returning to AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(1)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Love Olivia

9st 10lb

J: David Egan

T: Charlie Clover

Tried in Listed/Group races (no avail) after making a winning debut at Wolverhampton (5f) in April; fair sixth on first start for Charlie Clover in a competitive 6.5f nursery (12-1) at Doncaster's St. Leger Festival; mildly interesting to see what she makes of returning to AW.

8/1

6th

5

(7)

11th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 111y

Class 2

13:15 Doncaster

Love Olivia

9st 7lb

J: David Egan

T: Charlie Clover

Campaigned over 5f for Karl Burke; drops back in class but doesn't seem to be crying out for this longer trip on debut for new yard; remains with same owner.

14/1

7th

6

(4)

4th Jul 2025

Good

0m 5f 10y

Class 1

15:00 Sandown

Love Olivia

8st 13lb

J: David Egan

T: K R Burke

Long odds-on when breezing clear on Wolverhampton debut in May; creditable front-running third in Listed event at York (5f, good to firm) next time but she was well below that form in the Queen Mary (Group 2) at Royal Ascot; still early days and now drops back in class but she's not the only pacesetter in this line-up and others are more persuasive.

12/1

Form: 647214 D BF

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 8lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Application of headgear yielded an upturn in fortunes but she was still springing a surprise when winning the 20-runner £100,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction at Newmarket (6f; 33-1) in August; failed to stay 7f in Sweden (fourth) latest; current mark looks perfectly fair if taking to AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(7)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Sioux Perfect

9st 8lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Application of headgear yielded an upturn in fortunes but she was still springing a surprise when winning the 20-runner £100,000 Tattersalls Somerville Auction at Newmarket (6f; 33-1) in August; failed to stay 7f in Sweden (fourth) latest; current mark looks perfectly fair if taking to AW.

4/1

13

(10)

23rd Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:10 Newmarket (July)

Sioux Perfect

8st 10lb

J: William Cox

T: Archie Watson

0-5; ran well to be second in a Ripon nursery (6f; first-time cheekpieces) but that would suggest her current mark is about right and therefore has something to find with the pick of these; now blinkered.

20/1

3

(7)

29th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:30 Ripon

Sioux Perfect

9st 6lb

J: William Cox

T: Archie Watson

Didn't look to see out a stiff 7f from the front on her nursery debut 12 days ago; has the rail draw if she gets away again in first-time cheekpieces but is starting to look exposed now.

10/1

OUR TIP

Form: 731 D

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Signs of ability first two starts but appeared to take a step forward for being gelded, clinging on by a fast-diminishing margin at Lingfield (6f maiden; 11-8 favourite) latest; that form has received a boost but this opening mark isn't a gimme and this stiff track also provides a sterner test.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(1)

5th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Romeo Montague

9st 1lb

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

Won a Lingfield maiden (6f, Polytrack) on his third start but was unable to get involved on his handicap debut at Newcastle (6f, Tapeta) since; drops 1lb but on that evidence is not on an obviously lenient mark.

4/1

3

(8)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Romeo Montague

9st 7lb

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

Signs of ability first two starts but appeared to take a step forward for being gelded, clinging on by a fast-diminishing margin at Lingfield (6f maiden; 11-8 favourite) latest; that form has received a boost but this opening mark isn't a gimme and this stiff track also provides a sterner test.

7/2

Form: 813 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 6lb

2 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Kept on well to score on AW at Wolverhampton (6f novice; 11-1); fared respectably (third) over an extra furlong on soft ground at Catterick subsequently but dropping back to 6f looks more suitable for this handicap debut; not discounted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(10)

2nd May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:10 Newmarket

Ten Carat Harry

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Developed into a useful performer on AW this winter, reeling off a five-timer (6f) prior to a good third in Listed company (7f); solid efforts in defeat on his last two starts and too soon to pigeonhole him as an AW specialist given his two turf runs were on soft ground and early in his career; likely vulnerable off topweight all the same.

20/1

4th

5

(3)

10th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 2

16:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Ten Carat Harry

9st 5lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Five-race winning spree came to an end when third in Lingfield Listed race (7f, Polytrack) in February and again filled that position in valuable event at Newcastle (6f, Tapeta) one week ago; that run can be upgraded (had no cover from a fairly strong wind) and he must be considered with fitness assured.

5/1

Form: 761165 D BF

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 3lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Won back-to-back 6f Class 6 nurseries at Ffos Las and Doncaster (good/good to firm); clobbered by the handicapper after the latter and twice found wanting against better opposition, albeit with heavy ground a factor at Salisbury latest (7f; 11-8 favourite); AW switch is worth exploring.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

29th May 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

19:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Dublin Bay

9st 9lb

T: Ollie Sangster

Improved for the switch to nurseries last summer, winning easily at Ffos Las and Doncaster (both 6f) before finishing off strongly for sixth in a much stronger race at York's Ebor meeting; better than ever when winning a C&D handicap in April and his subsequent fifth of 19 at Ascot was in a Class 4; could still rate higher; key player despite a wider draw than ideal.

9/2

5th

12

(9)

8th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

16:00 Ascot

Dublin Bay

9st 4lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Ollie Sangster

More exposed than most but he won third handicap when making all at Wolverhampton (7f, AW; just held on) four weeks ago; also won twice at 6f on sound turf so these conditions should be no problem, but a 4lb rise might be.

14/1

1st

6

(2)

10th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Dublin Bay

9st 5lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Ollie Sangster

Dual turf winner (6f) last summer and he's run respectably from the front at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) in his last two starts; should benefit from his reappearance run last month and he's still unexposed at this trip; dangerous with cheekpieces reapplied.

7/1

Form: 2817

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Nice attitude when making all in a Musselburgh seller (5f, good; 8-13 favourite) in June; given a three-month break thereafter but failed to shine (bumped at the start) on nursery debut at Pontefract (6f; 8-1); now 3lb lower, with a 5lb claimer booked; AW debut; still early days.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(8)

29th Oct 2025

Soft

0m 5f 8y

Class 5

13:17 Nottingham

Alaskan Light

9st 8lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: K R Burke

Made all in a valuable Musselburgh seller (5f, good) in June but has beaten a total of one rival in two 6f nurseries (good to soft/AW); down another 2lb and return to 5f may help, but enough to prove.

7/1

2

(8)

29th Oct 2025

Soft

0m 5f 8y

Class 5

13:17 Nottingham

Alaskan Light

9st 8lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: K R Burke

Made all in a valuable Musselburgh seller (5f, good) in June but has beaten a total of one rival in two 6f nurseries (good to soft/AW); down another 2lb and return to 5f may help, but enough to prove.

7/1

6

(4)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Alaskan Light

9st 0lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: K R Burke

Nice attitude when making all in a Musselburgh seller (5f, good; 8-13 favourite) in June; given a three-month break thereafter but failed to shine (bumped at the start) on nursery debut at Pontefract (6f; 8-1); now 3lb lower, with a 5lb claimer booked; AW debut; still early days.

16/1

Form: 611482 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Immediate progress for the switch to nurseries (after being gelded) when winning at Leicester (5f) and Southwell (6f); the handicapper has attempted to thwart that momentum but he still ran solidly behind a well-handicapped rival at Chelmsford (7f; 11-2) latest; 2lb higher again and back in trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(6)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Dandys Rocket

9st 0lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Immediate progress for the switch to nurseries (after being gelded) when winning at Leicester (5f) and Southwell (6f); the handicapper has attempted to thwart that momentum but he still ran solidly behind a well-handicapped rival at Chelmsford (7f; 11-2) latest; 2lb higher again and back in trip.

13/2

2nd

3

(5)

2nd Oct 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:40 Chelmsford (AW)

Dandys Rocket

9st 8lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Won his first two nurseries (5f/6f, good/AW) but he's taken backward steps in last two starts and was beaten around 8l at Redcar (6f, good to soft) last week; the slow ground may have been an issue but he needs to resume his progress at this new trip.

12/1

4

(8)

24th Sep 2025

Soft

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

14:15 Redcar

Dandys Rocket

9st 8lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Won first two nursery starts (5f/6f, good/AW) and didn't run badly when fourth of seven at Chelmsford (5f, AW) last time; needs something extra today but that can't be ruled out; unproven on slow ground.

7/1

Form: 75431 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Took time to get to grips with racing but she's now on an upward trajectory, seemingly relishing the stiff 6f at Leicester (6f, good to soft); a 6lb rise means further improvement will need to be forthcoming but she handles Tapeta (Wolverhampton third) and could prove capable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

6

(6)

11th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 212y

Class 5

17:00 Catterick

Pull The Rug

9st 1lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Edward Bethell

Improved form when returned to 6f at Leicester (good to soft) in September, but, up 6lb, was soon pulling hard on Newcastle AW next time and paid the price; might be aiming for more cover this time and too soon to write off now back on turf.

7/1

8

(2)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Pull The Rug

9st 0lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Edward Bethell

Took time to get to grips with racing but she's now on an upward trajectory, seemingly relishing the stiff 6f at Leicester (6f, good to soft); a 6lb rise means further improvement will need to be forthcoming but she handles Tapeta (Wolverhampton third) and could prove capable.

3/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £46.90
Straight Forecast £42.65
Tricast £321.13
Trifecta £186.40

Selections

NEWMARKET:

Romeo Montague

SPOTLIGHT:

Pull The Rug

POSTDATA:

Dandy's Rocket

LAMBOURN:

Ten Carat Harry

RP RATINGS:

Sioux Perfect

D Express:

Ten Carat Harry

The Star:

Pull The Rug

Daily Record:

Pull The Rug

The Guardian:

Dandy's Rocket

Daily Mirror:

Dandy's Rocket

The Sun:

Sioux Perfect

The Times:

Romeo Montague

Telegraph:

Romeo Montague

Daily Mail:

Romeo Montague