October 17 / 19.00 Newcastle (AW)

19.00

Standard

Happy Birthday Fiona From Probio-Energy Handicap

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 1m 0f 5y
  • Class 4
  • 8 runners
SKY
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Happy Birthday Fiona From Probio-Energy Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Mostly cloudy

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.80
  • Place: £1.40

Form: 502554 D

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
0-21 in handicaps and 1-26 overall, but has finished runner-up three times in five visits here this year and is 2lb lower than for the most recent; each-way claims again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

13

(11)

5th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 213y

Class 4

19:30 Doncaster

Mr Mistoffelees

8st 12lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Sam England

On dangerous mark but he's finished down the field in three runs this term and is now 0-12 in Flat turf events; others preferred.

25/1

5th

7

(2)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:42 Ayr

Mr Mistoffelees

9st 5lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Sam England

Often ran well last year, including on turf, and won at Newcastle (1m, AW) in October; however, he's finished down the field on both outings this season; he may be of greater interest when the blinkers return.

25/1

7th

9

(8)

7th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 219y

Class 3

19:20 Redcar

Mr Mistoffelees

8st 11lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: Sam England

In good form in blinkers towards the end of last year, winning at Newcastle (1m, AW) in October; however, he has a poor strike-rate and wasn't at his best in cheekpieces at Newcastle (1m, AW) six weeks ago following a break; cheekpieces remain on today.

14/1

6/1

Form: 111234 CD

Last run: 202 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Eight wins on the AW of which five have come here; record on Tapeta since late last year reads 144423111234 and although he looks handicapped to his best and may prefer a stiffer test now, his record at the track still puts him on the shortlist.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

1

(1)

6th Jul 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:09 Ripon

Urban Road

9st 9lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Alan Brown

Posted duck eggs at York the last twice but this is a drop back in class and he's on last winning mark; however, still has a much better strike-rate on AW than on turf and his losing run is mounting up.

12/1

11th

9

(9)

27th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 4

16:50 York

Urban Road

10st 8lb

J: Mr David Dunsdon

T: Alan Brown

He's 8-50 on the AW and only 1-13 on turf; he was bang there over this far and off this mark at Redcar in April but he's another in here on a recovery mission after two lesser efforts.

40/1

15th

13

(1)

12th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 4

17:18 York

Urban Road

9st 2lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Alan Brown

Eight of his nine wins have been on the AW, including a hat-trick in February last year; pulled too hard when well beaten last time but had run two sound races ar Redcar prior to that (1m2f, good to firm); worth considering from his inside draw.

25/1

Form: 156172 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Southwell winner (1m, Tapeta) late last year and has twice won on turf (1m, good to firm) since returning from six months off in June; ran well to finish second of 13 back at Southwell (1m) a fortnight ago and much respected despite a 2lb rise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

6

(7)

10th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:00 Ascot

Paladin

9st 9lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Caused a 33-1 surprise when winning on his stable debut in January (8.5f, AW) but after a four-month break he couldn't repeat that level returned to turf when 18th of 22 at York (7f, good) seven weeks ago; tough to predict what can be expected this time.

12/1

18th

3

(5)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Paladin

9st 8lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Free-going sort who was 4-18 for Charlie Johnston, including two 1m wins last summer, and made a winning start for new connections when 33-1 for a nine-runner race at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January; absent since and has more to prove back at 7f for the first time since 2024.

20/1

1st

6

(3)

16th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 4

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paladin

9st 4lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Record of 4-18 for Charlie Johnston and was second at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) on his penultimate run for that yard; returns after three months off but he's still lightly raced on AW and needs watching in market on stable debut.

12/1

Form: 853309 D

Last run: 23 days

W: 9st 10lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Won six times at around 1m last year including four on the AW; twice placed off higher marks on Polytrack/soft ground in the summer, but modest efforts the last twice (albeit in warmer company) leave him with something to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

12

26th May 2026

Good

2m 0f 13y

19:30 Ballinrobe

Atlantic Gamble

10st 13lb

J: Jack G Gilligan

T: Paul John Gilligan

Flat winner is 0-5 over hurdles and was well beaten in sole previous handicap off 3lb higher at Limerick on penultimate; best form has come on heavy ground; others preferred.

25/1

6th

1

12th May 2026

Good

2m 1f 166y

17:27 Sligo

Atlantic Gamble

11st 12lb

J: Jack G Gilligan

T: Paul John Gilligan

Six-time Flat winner in Britain; not shown much yet hurdling and has to concede weight.

12/1

OUR TIP

Form: -63048

Last run: 85 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
0-6 and a bit of a mixed bag so far with his two best efforts coming at Yarmouth (1m, good/good to firm); returns from 85 days off having been gelded and needs to improve.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

5

(1)

2nd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 5

16:15 Yarmouth

Man Of Desert

9st 2lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Chris Dwyer

11-race maiden but his best two efforts have been over this C&D; probably didn't stay 1m2f here 35 days ago and has since been dropped a further 3lb; tongue-tie now goes on and he has possibilities back at 1m.

6/1

4th

4

(3)

28th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 23y

Class 5

15:53 Yarmouth

Man Of Desert

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Chris Dwyer

Ten-race maiden who has form figures of 0487057 in handicaps; had some traffic issues when prominent in the market at Kempton last week but this is competitive back on turf and he still has stamina to prove at this trip; others preferred.

11/2

7th

11

(3)

20th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Man Of Desert

9st 4lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Chris Dwyer

Nine-race maiden who has form figures of 048705 in handicaps and he finished behind two of today's rivals over C&D two weeks ago; continues to drop down the weights but he needs to raise his game.

9/1

Form: 591433 C

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 11lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Shock 200-1 winner of the Fillies And Mares Championship here (7f) in April; has run well to be placed twice over 6f here since returning from a break last month, but she still has a bit to prove over this far.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

10

(4)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:12 York

Heavenly Heather

8st 10lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Tracy Waggott

Began her career in handicaps with a BHA mark of 60 and has improved in leaps and bounds since; seemed to excel herself when never-nearer sixth of 26 in Group 1 at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm; 40-1) last month; had run creditably over C&D the time before; big chance if repeating Ascot form.

6/1

6th

17

(22)

16th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:40 Ascot

Heavenly Heather

9st 4lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Tracy Waggott

Useful handicapper whose three wins have all come on the AW, most recently over 5f in January; faces a daunting task this time.

100/1

Form: 434626 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Placed a few times since his successful handicap debut at Ripon (1m, good) in April (with and without headgear); ran well in his first two starts on Tapeta, but doesn't appear to have anything in hand of his mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

17th

16

(10)

12th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

13:50 York

Criminal Shore

9st 4lb

J: Harry Vigors

T: David O’Meara

No great strike-rate but a switch to hold-up tactics worked a treat when landing a second career win at Newcastle (1m, AW) ten days ago, doing well to get up having not got in the clear until inside the final furlong; a shorter trip and different track mean similar tactics may not be as easy to pull off this time.

12/1

1st

7

(6)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

Criminal Shore

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: David O’Meara

Sole win from 19 came at Ripon (1m, good) last April; mostly consistent this year, a close fourth to Flying Fletcher over C&D in January, and occupied that same position behind Barry's Boy here in March; easing mark, with Paul Mulrennan booked for the first time.

10/1

Form: 645875

Last run: 27 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Unplaced in seven starts in handicap company since winning an Ayr novice (7f, good) just over a year ago, but far from disgraced on a few occasions; half-brother to a three-time Tapeta winner including twice here; worth a second look.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

4

(6)

6th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

15:30 Ayr

Eves Boy

9st 9lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: Michael Dods

Down the weights since some ordinary 7f runs in the middle months of 2025 and looked as if he might take advantage shortly when a close second at Thirsk (1m, good) in April following a break; however, he hasn't run to the same level since and needs a revival returned to 7f.

9/1

6th

2

(2)

27th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

17:05 Hamilton

Eves Boy

9st 7lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

Good second at Thirsk on his seasonal return last month; sent off favourite at Ayr on the strength of it but could only manage sixth of the seven runners behind Starliner (Donna Nook second); cheekpieces return.

4/1

6th

4

(1)

5th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Ayr

Eves Boy

9st 5lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

Strike-rate is only 1-16 but he gained the win at Ayr and returns here off an attractive mark (peak one was 15lb higher); ran encouragingly at Thirsk (1m, good; 1l second) most recently, proving suited by the switch back to turf from AW.

7/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £43.70
Straight Forecast £45.35
Tricast £355.42
Trifecta £211.80

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Paladin

NEWMARKET:

Man Of Desert

RP RATINGS:

Eve's Boy

POSTDATA:

Mr Mistoffelees

The Times:

Criminal Shore

Telegraph:

Heavenly Heather

Daily Mail:

Urban Road

D Express:

Man Of Desert

The Star:

Eve's Boy

The Guardian:

Paladin

Daily Mirror:

Paladin

Daily Record:

Paladin

The Sun:

Mr Mistoffelees