February 11 / 14.44 Southwell (AW)

14.44

Standard

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

  • Prize money: £4710.6
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 6
  • 11 runners
SKY
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Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £8.00
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 04-371 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Overcame traffic issues to get up close home over 1m at Newcastle last time (fourth start for new yard); back up 3lb but is much less exposed at this trip than her usual distance of 7f; shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

(2)

4th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

15:42 Wetherby

Dream Illusion

9st 9lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

Gained all four wins on Tapeta, the last three over 1m this year; well down the field when back on turf last month, though, and this drop back to 7f may not be ideal.

20/1

12th

2

(10)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

15:42 Newmarket

Dream Illusion

10st 2lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Best form on AW and she's 0-7 on turf; exposed filly but she landed her fourth AW handicap when scoring at Southwell (1m) in March and was back in that career-best form when second over that C&D a fortnight ago; chance if she can transfer those efforts to grass.

6/1

2nd

6

(3)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Dream Illusion

9st 6lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Three wins this year (two over C&D) and bounced back from disappointing Newcastle run with close sixth of eight over C&D this month, when the slow pace was against her; possible player.

9/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 2-3124 CD BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 59

Form & Verdict
Below-par favourite and unable to take advantage of good opportunity over C&D last time when ahead of the assessor; consistent otherwise for current yard but her new mark has kicked in.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

(7)

1st Jun 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Imola

9st 9lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: Joey Ramsden

Strike-rate of 2-22 on the AW but both wins have been this year, the latest off 3lb lower over C&D in February when a well-backed favourite; has been off since so may be better for the run.

12/1

1st

1

(1)

17th Feb 2026

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Imola

9st 9lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Joey Ramsden

Easy win at Southwell (1m; well backed) last month and she has run well in defeat since; stamina has to be taken on trust.

5/2

2nd

4

(11)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Imola

9st 8lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Joey Ramsden

Below-par favourite and unable to take advantage of good opportunity over C&D last time when ahead of the assessor; consistent otherwise for current yard but her new mark has kicked in.

3/1

7/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 327-53 CD

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Gained last success off 2lb higher over C&D in August 2024; subsequent form includes several placed efforts, close third to Dream Illusion at Newcastle most recently; fighting chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(9)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

20:45 Newcastle (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 9lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

Difficult to win with in recent years, now 7lb lower than when last successful at Southwell (1m) in August 2024; met trouble when sixth (beaten over 4l) here on penultimate start, but latest Leicester effort was less encouraging.

12/1

7th

9

(7)

9th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 53y

Class 6

20:25 Leicester

Mercurius Power

9st 1lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Jessica Macey

It's now 17 outings since his last success but he arrives on the back of a respectable sixth of 11 in 1m Newcastle handicap last month; easing in the weights and no forlorn hope.

14/1

6th

4

(9)

13th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 8lb

J: George Wood

T: Jessica Macey

Regular 1m placings here and at Southwell since September; form dipped on latest outing, however, and there's been no win since August 2024.

8/1

11/1

Form: 423-85

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Form has dipped in two start this year, taking record to 0-18; has frame possibilities on his consistent efforts in November/December but whether he can shed the maiden tag is another matter.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(6)

12th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Beverley

Sherlock

9st 2lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Kevin Ryan

Ran well, half-length second in big field, at Thirsk (6f, good) returned to turf last time; registered sole success (on AW in February) in his only 5f attempt; no mystery if his tally is doubled.

11/2

2nd

17

(3)

18th Apr 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

14:47 Thirsk

Sherlock

8st 9lb

J: Jack Callan

T: Kevin Ryan

Just one win from 22 starts but he is unexposed as a sprinter; apprentice takes off a handy 3lb and he holds each-way claims.

10/1

9/1

Form: 485-35

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(1)

27th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

13:42 Lingfield (AW)

Springbok

9st 2lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Richard Fahey

15-race maiden who has been performing respectably in 1m handicaps this winter without strongly suggesting his turn is near; today's longer trip needs to help him pull out a bit more.

12/1

5th

8

(10)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Springbok

9st 6lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).

9/1

5th

5

(12)

31st Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

18:25 Newcastle (AW)

Springbok

9st 7lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

0-13 but he's on a reduced mark and was an eyecatching third behind Trais Fluors over C&D four weeks ago; that was only his fourth run on AW and has possibilities if he can back that up.

15/2

Form: 94-825 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 10lb

8 yo Filly

OR: 47

Form & Verdict
Campaigned at classified level this year, best effort when second over C&D on penultimate start; well treated on best handicap form but needs to prove she can still reproduce it; no win since 2024.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(2)

17th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

16:50 Ripon

Balqaa

9st 7lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

All five wins have came on AW; usually ridden with hold-up tactics and will need plenty of luck in running to get her head in front here.

10/1

5th

5

(4)

17th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

17:35 Wolverhampton (AW)

Balqaa

9st 6lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

It was a classified race she won over C&D last month but this mark isn't beyond her and a slow start was no help at Southwell.

10/1

5th

4

(9)

28th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Balqaa

9st 6lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Regained the winning thread in Wolverhampton classified race (9.5f) last week and may remain competitive despite a 6lb rise in her mark; well treated on best handicap form at up to 1m2f.

9/2

Form: /054-7

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Seven-race maiden who isn't entirely solid on her handicap form, notwithstanding a respectable effort (7f) on penultimate start; however, gives the impression this new trip may suit.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(1)

21st May 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

17:27 Catterick

Amelias Joy

9st 9lb

J: George Wood

T: Michael Herrington

Made it two wins in her last three starts in 7f Wolverhampton handicap last month; up 5lb and needs to reproduce it on her first turf run since her debut.

3/1

1st

8

(1)

10th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Amelias Joy

9st 2lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Michael Herrington

Off the mark at the tenth attempt with a narrow win over C&D last month; only 2lb higher here but she was disappointing when favourite at Southwell last time and needs to step up again after that.

9/1

7th

7

(5)

28th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:30 Southwell (AW)

Amelias Joy

9st 7lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Got it together lately, having looked regressive, and is only 2lb higher than when off the mark at Wolverhampton recently (first-time cheekpieces added to the usual hood); tonight's more demanding 7f should work in her favour; player.

5/1

13/2

Form: 0211-2 D

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(4)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 6lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Brian Toomey

Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).

13/2

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

9th
7 (1)
Calaxy

10/1

Form: 9084-6 C

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(1)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Calaxy

9st 6lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Tom Dascombe

Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.

10/1

6th

7

(2)

14th Jan 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Calaxy

9st 1lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Tom Dascombe

Slow start to her handicap career but there has been more encouragement on her last two runs, fourth over C&D four weeks ago when wearing cheekpieces for the first time; one for the shortlist.

6/1

8th

9

(2)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:30 Southwell (AW)

Calaxy

9st 5lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Tom Dascombe

Won her maiden here last season over 7f but has finished right out the back in three handicaps this year.

14/1

Form: 1506-3 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Suited by the conditions, as his form over C&D features a quickfire double in October and creditable effort (in reapplied cheekpieces) last time; may remain competitive off unaltered mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(13)

16th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

20:15 Doncaster

Heretic

9st 6lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Michael Herrington

All 27 runs have been on AW; back-to-back wins at Southwell (1m) last October but he's been up and down since and was beaten 12l at Southwell two weeks ago; now makes his belated turf debut and comes with risks attached.

16/1

7th

3

(2)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 7lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Back-to-back C&D wins last October (off 3lb lower than today, then 3lb higher than today); should appreciate returning to 1m having produced a lesser effort over 7f here last time; can be involved.

11/2

8th

1

(7)

11th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:15 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 9lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Scored twice over 1m here in 2025 and back to form of late, posting a good third of 11 in 1m handicap here three weeks ago; he's well in the mix eased 1lb.

5/1

Form: 38270- C

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Defied a higher mark at Southwell in 2024 but is far from sure to be in the same form; rank outsider when never dangerous at Lingfield on stable debut last time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(4)

23rd May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Windsor

Liberty Bird

9st 9lb

J: Jack Gilligan

T: James Evans

Nicely treated on some of last year's form for Charlie Johnston (consistency was an issue) but didn't shine in subsequent short spells with Alice Haynes and Lemos De Souza; never figured when ninth at Lingfield (1m, AW; stays further) on her debut for this yard last month.

40/1

9th

11

(10)

30th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

17:07 Lingfield (AW)

Liberty Bird

9st 2lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: James Evans

Well handicapped on some of last year's form for Charlie Johnston but finished down the field on last three outings, once for Alice Haynes and twice for Lemos De Souza; now with another new stable; too risky.

20/1

11th

2

(7)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Liberty Bird

9st 9lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Lemos De Souza

Defied a higher mark at Southwell in 2024 but is far from sure to be in the same form; rank outsider when never dangerous at Lingfield on stable debut last time.

9/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £25.10
Straight Forecast £22.02
Tricast £96.28
Trifecta £104.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Calaxy

The Times:

Dream Illusion

Telegraph:

Arthur Rose

The Guardian:

Mercurius Power

Daily Mail:

Imola

The Star:

Balqaa

POSTDATA:

Heretic

Daily Record:

Dream Illusion

RP RATINGS:

Calaxy

D Express:

Calaxy

The Sun:

Arthur Rose

Daily Mirror:

Mercurius Power