February 11 / 14.44 Southwell (AW)

14.44

Standard

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  • Prize money: £4710.6
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 6
  • 11 runners
SKY
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Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £8.00
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 04-371 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Overcame traffic issues to get up close home over 1m at Newcastle last time (fourth start for new yard); back up 3lb but is much less exposed at this trip than her usual distance of 7f; shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(8)

8th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 3y

Class 5

14:15 Yarmouth

Dream Illusion

10st 0lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Four-time Tapeta winner, including three times this year, all off lower marks; turned in a career best on turf five weeks ago (7f, good to firm) and holds claims on that for a yard among the winners.

7/2

2nd

4

(2)

4th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

15:42 Wetherby

Dream Illusion

9st 9lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

Gained all four wins on Tapeta, the last three over 1m this year; well down the field when back on turf last month, though, and this drop back to 7f may not be ideal.

20/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 2-3124 CD BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 59

Form & Verdict
Below-par favourite and unable to take advantage of good opportunity over C&D last time when ahead of the assessor; consistent otherwise for current yard but her new mark has kicked in.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

10

(4)

6th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

21:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Imola

9st 7lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: Joey Ramsden

Has scored twice over C&D this year; was denied her hat-trick (8.5f) last month after being hampered at the start and denied a clear run when looking to challenge; may be worth another chance.

9/2

7/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 327-53 CD

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Gained last success off 2lb higher over C&D in August 2024; subsequent form includes several placed efforts, close third to Dream Illusion at Newcastle most recently; fighting chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

13

(11)

14th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 213y

Class 6

17:15 Doncaster

Mercurius Power

9st 2lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

Usually races on AW these days and he never figured in most recent turf attempt; losing run is mounting up.

20/1

8th

3

(9)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

20:45 Newcastle (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 9lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

Difficult to win with in recent years, now 7lb lower than when last successful at Southwell (1m) in August 2024; met trouble when sixth (beaten over 4l) here on penultimate start, but latest Leicester effort was less encouraging.

12/1

7th

9

(7)

9th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 53y

Class 6

20:25 Leicester

Mercurius Power

9st 1lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Jessica Macey

It's now 17 outings since his last success but he arrives on the back of a respectable sixth of 11 in 1m Newcastle handicap last month; easing in the weights and no forlorn hope.

14/1

11/1

Form: 423-85

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Form has dipped in two start this year, taking record to 0-18; has frame possibilities on his consistent efforts in November/December but whether he can shed the maiden tag is another matter.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(7)

4th Jul 2026

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

20:39 Carlisle

Sherlock

10st 2lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: Kevin Ryan

Won a 5f AW event off 6lb lower in February and there was no disgrace in chasing home a Hamilton legend at that track (6f, good to firm) in returning blinkers (retained) nine days ago; he is another that cannot be discounted.

13/2

2nd

3

(1)

25th Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 6y

Class 6

21:00 Hamilton

Sherlock

9st 13lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

Belatedly opened account at Newcastle (5f, AW) in February and has largely remained in good form since, albeit he was a shade disappointing when only sixth of ten at Ripon (6f, good; favourite) three weeks ago; can make his presence felt.

7/2

6th

3

(8)

5th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:30 Thirsk

Sherlock

9st 8lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

Made the breakthrough at Newcastle (5f) in February and fairly consistent since; couldn't master Yes I'm Mali over C&D (runner-up; 18-1) on penultimate start and boxed on from further back (fourth) at Beverley subsequently; a possible.

7/2

9/1

Form: 485-35

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(1)

27th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

13:42 Lingfield (AW)

Springbok

9st 2lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Richard Fahey

15-race maiden who has been performing respectably in 1m handicaps this winter without strongly suggesting his turn is near; today's longer trip needs to help him pull out a bit more.

12/1

5th

8

(10)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Springbok

9st 6lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).

9/1

5th

5

(12)

31st Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

18:25 Newcastle (AW)

Springbok

9st 7lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

0-13 but he's on a reduced mark and was an eyecatching third behind Trais Fluors over C&D four weeks ago; that was only his fourth run on AW and has possibilities if he can back that up.

15/2

Form: 94-825 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 10lb

8 yo Filly

OR: 47

Form & Verdict
Campaigned at classified level this year, best effort when second over C&D on penultimate start; well treated on best handicap form but needs to prove she can still reproduce it; no win since 2024.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(7)

17th Jul 2026

Good

1m 4f 5y

Class 6

18:00 Pontefract

Balqaa

9st 9lb

J: Matthew Lloyd Slater

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Resumed winning ways in classified event at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in March; winless on turf though and only eighth of 13 in 1m Ripon handicap last time; others appeal more.

12/1

8th

7

(2)

17th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

16:50 Ripon

Balqaa

9st 7lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

All five wins have came on AW; usually ridden with hold-up tactics and will need plenty of luck in running to get her head in front here.

10/1

5th

5

(4)

17th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

17:35 Wolverhampton (AW)

Balqaa

9st 6lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

It was a classified race she won over C&D last month but this mark isn't beyond her and a slow start was no help at Southwell.

10/1

Form: /054-7

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Seven-race maiden who isn't entirely solid on her handicap form, notwithstanding a respectable effort (7f) on penultimate start; however, gives the impression this new trip may suit.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

7

(11)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:56 Leicester

Amelias Joy

9st 9lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Two AW wins (7f) this year and she ran as well as she ever has when second of ten in a handicap at Carlisle (7f, good) 19 days ago; having a rare 6f run but she isn't short of speed and her usual hood is now discarded; one to take seriously.

6/1

2nd

4

(5)

15th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 195y

Class 5

16:23 Carlisle

Amelias Joy

9st 10lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Herrington

Dual 7f AW winner since fitted with today's headgear combination in March and both recent turf runs were perfectly respectable; probably won't be far away.

8/1

5th

5

(10)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

17:00 Doncaster

Amelias Joy

9st 8lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Michael Herrington

Dual winner over 7f at Wolverhampton this year and did enough to think she's as effective on turf when fourth of eight over 7f at Catterick 16 days ago.

10/1

13/2

Form: 0211-2 D

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(4)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 6lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Brian Toomey

Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).

13/2

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

9th
7 (1)
Calaxy

10/1

Form: 9084-6 C

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(1)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Calaxy

9st 6lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Tom Dascombe

Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.

10/1

6th

7

(2)

14th Jan 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Calaxy

9st 1lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Tom Dascombe

Slow start to her handicap career but there has been more encouragement on her last two runs, fourth over C&D four weeks ago when wearing cheekpieces for the first time; one for the shortlist.

6/1

8th

9

(2)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:30 Southwell (AW)

Calaxy

9st 5lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Tom Dascombe

Won her maiden here last season over 7f but has finished right out the back in three handicaps this year.

14/1

Form: 1506-3 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Suited by the conditions, as his form over C&D features a quickfire double in October and creditable effort (in reapplied cheekpieces) last time; may remain competitive off unaltered mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

6

(5)

11th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 3y

Class 6

14:10 Yarmouth

Heretic

9st 1lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Michael Herrington

First 27 starts came on the AW (three wins) and was making his turf debut when third of 13 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) last month (fourth has won twice since); 5lb below last winning mark and much respected for stable that won this in 2024.

2/1

3rd

7

(13)

16th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

20:15 Doncaster

Heretic

9st 6lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Michael Herrington

All 27 runs have been on AW; back-to-back wins at Southwell (1m) last October but he's been up and down since and was beaten 12l at Southwell two weeks ago; now makes his belated turf debut and comes with risks attached.

16/1

7th

3

(2)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

17:15 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 7lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

Back-to-back C&D wins last October (off 3lb lower than today, then 3lb higher than today); should appreciate returning to 1m having produced a lesser effort over 7f here last time; can be involved.

11/2

Form: 38270- C

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Defied a higher mark at Southwell in 2024 but is far from sure to be in the same form; rank outsider when never dangerous at Lingfield on stable debut last time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

9

(2)

29th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 31y

Class 6

20:30 Windsor

Liberty Bird

9st 6lb

J: Sean Levey

T: James Evans

Both wins came in 2024 when trained by Charlie Johnston; has lost her form and is now with her third trainer since; pulled up here (bled from the nose) on penultimate start; first headgear today.

20/1

7th

1

(9)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 14y

Class 6

19:25 Chepstow

Liberty Bird

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: James Evans

Both wins came in 2024 when trained by Charlie Johnston; has lost her form and now with her third trainer since; pulled up at Windsor last time (bled from the nose).

10/1

6

(4)

23rd May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Windsor

Liberty Bird

9st 9lb

J: Jack Gilligan

T: James Evans

Nicely treated on some of last year's form for Charlie Johnston (consistency was an issue) but didn't shine in subsequent short spells with Alice Haynes and Lemos De Souza; never figured when ninth at Lingfield (1m, AW; stays further) on her debut for this yard last month.

40/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £25.10
Straight Forecast £22.02
Tricast £96.28
Trifecta £104.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Calaxy

The Times:

Dream Illusion

Telegraph:

Arthur Rose

The Guardian:

Mercurius Power

Daily Mail:

Imola

The Star:

Balqaa

POSTDATA:

Heretic

Daily Record:

Dream Illusion

RP RATINGS:

Calaxy

D Express:

Calaxy

The Sun:

Arthur Rose

Daily Mirror:

Mercurius Power