February 11 / 14.44 Southwell (AW)

14.44

Standard

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  • Prize money: £4710.6
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 6
  • 11 runners
SKY
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Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £8.00
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 04-371 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Overcame traffic issues to get up close home over 1m at Newcastle last time (fourth start for new yard); back up 3lb but is much less exposed at this trip than her usual distance of 7f; shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

(4)

17th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Dream Illusion

9st 11lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Three wins this year during a busy schedule and was runner-up at Wolverhampton before getting stuck in the mud at Haydock; very effective here.

10/1

9th

5

(8)

4th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 6f 212y

Class 5

16:20 Haydock

Dream Illusion

9st 10lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Tough filly whose 14 runs for Karl Burke last year included a win at Wolverhampton (7f, AW) and an unlucky runner-up spot in this race (good); kept busy for this yard too, adding another three AW wins to her record; not far off her best when second last time and she could have a say if soft ground doesn't dent her prospects.

8/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 2-3124 CD BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 59

Form & Verdict
Below-par favourite and unable to take advantage of good opportunity over C&D last time when ahead of the assessor; consistent otherwise for current yard but her new mark has kicked in.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

7

(13)

26th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Imola

9st 12lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Joey Ramsden

C&D winner at turn of the year, plus plenty of minor honours at this track; two wins at Wolverhampton this year, latest in June but she was well below form there on latest outing nearly ten weeks ago; player if back to best.

16/1

11th

9

(6)

21st Jul 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Imola

9st 4lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: Joey Ramsden

Now 2-3 over C&D having blown the start and hit a bit of traffic a fortnight ago; also had excuses here previously and she'd been consistent prior to that, but she has to prove this mark is within range.

20/1

7/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 327-53 CD

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Gained last success off 2lb higher over C&D in August 2024; subsequent form includes several placed efforts, close third to Dream Illusion at Newcastle most recently; fighting chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

12

(11)

24th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

16:22 Southwell (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 3lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

Winless since his C&D success from 10lb higher in August 2024; runner-up at Newcastle (1m) in July, but took a step backwards over that C&D three weeks ago.

10/1

5th

2

(3)

2nd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:15 Newcastle (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 8lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Jessica Macey

Winless since August 2024 but he comes here on the back of a good second of 12 over C&D in July; this C&D scorer must enter calculations nudged up 1lb.

4/1

11/1

Form: 423-85

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Form has dipped in two start this year, taking record to 0-18; has frame possibilities on his consistent efforts in November/December but whether he can shed the maiden tag is another matter.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(7)

4th Jul 2026

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

20:39 Carlisle

Sherlock

10st 2lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: Kevin Ryan

Won a 5f AW event off 6lb lower in February and there was no disgrace in chasing home a Hamilton legend at that track (6f, good to firm) in returning blinkers (retained) nine days ago; he is another that cannot be discounted.

13/2

2nd

3

(1)

25th Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 6y

Class 6

21:00 Hamilton

Sherlock

9st 13lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

Belatedly opened account at Newcastle (5f, AW) in February and has largely remained in good form since, albeit he was a shade disappointing when only sixth of ten at Ripon (6f, good; favourite) three weeks ago; can make his presence felt.

7/2

6th

3

(8)

5th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:30 Thirsk

Sherlock

9st 8lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

Made the breakthrough at Newcastle (5f) in February and fairly consistent since; couldn't master Yes I'm Mali over C&D (runner-up; 18-1) on penultimate start and boxed on from further back (fourth) at Beverley subsequently; a possible.

7/2

9/1

Form: 485-35

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(1)

27th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

13:42 Lingfield (AW)

Springbok

9st 2lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Richard Fahey

15-race maiden who has been performing respectably in 1m handicaps this winter without strongly suggesting his turn is near; today's longer trip needs to help him pull out a bit more.

12/1

5th

8

(10)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Springbok

9st 6lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).

9/1

5th

5

(12)

31st Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

18:25 Newcastle (AW)

Springbok

9st 7lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

0-13 but he's on a reduced mark and was an eyecatching third behind Trais Fluors over C&D four weeks ago; that was only his fourth run on AW and has possibilities if he can back that up.

15/2

Form: 94-825 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 10lb

8 yo Filly

OR: 47

Form & Verdict
Campaigned at classified level this year, best effort when second over C&D on penultimate start; well treated on best handicap form but needs to prove she can still reproduce it; no win since 2024.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

(2)

31st Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

14:10 Newcastle (AW)

Balqaa

9st 9lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Three of her four wins have come here, including one over this trip; landed a similar event at Wolverhampton (9.5f, Tapeta) in March and not hard to forgive her performance at Pontefract (1m4f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; high on list back in distance.

13/2

4th

1

(7)

17th Jul 2026

Good

1m 4f 5y

Class 6

18:00 Pontefract

Balqaa

9st 9lb

J: Matthew Lloyd Slater

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Resumed winning ways in classified event at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in March; winless on turf though and only eighth of 13 in 1m Ripon handicap last time; others appeal more.

12/1

8th

7

(2)

17th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

16:50 Ripon

Balqaa

9st 7lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

All five wins have came on AW; usually ridden with hold-up tactics and will need plenty of luck in running to get her head in front here.

10/1

Form: /054-7

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Seven-race maiden who isn't entirely solid on her handicap form, notwithstanding a respectable effort (7f) on penultimate start; however, gives the impression this new trip may suit.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

(4)

2nd Sep 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Amelias Joy

9st 10lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Won twice at Wolverhampton earlier this year and she also scored on turf at Leicester (6f, good to firm) in July; has claims on that form, but she's taken two backward steps since and others are more persuasive.

7/1

7th

3

(4)

17th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

17:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Amelias Joy

9st 11lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Won twice over C&D earlier this year; scored on turf last month (when hood discarded) and may still be on the upgrade; should run well.

7/1

13/2

Form: 0211-2 D

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(4)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 6lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Brian Toomey

Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).

13/2

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

9th
7 (1)
Calaxy

10/1

Form: 9084-6 C

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(9)

21st Sep 2026

Heavy

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:52 Ffos Las

Calaxy

9st 7lb

J: Hope Regan

T: Mark Loughnane

Yet to add to her 2yo AW win; unlucky to come to grief on last month's stable debut but was soundly beaten at Kempton (1m, AW) last week and also struggled the only previous time she raced on slow ground; cheekpieces refitted.

25/1

9th

2

(1)

14th Sep 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Calaxy

9st 9lb

J: Hope Regan

T: Mark Loughnane

Won a Southwell maiden (7f, AW) in September 2024 but has form figures of 0908469U in handicaps since; had an excuse on recent stable debut at Thirsk (slipped and unseated rider) but was a big price for that race and she's now 1-11; others preferred.

25/1

6

(4)

28th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 218y

Class 6

14:13 Thirsk

Calaxy

10st 12lb

J: Mr Jack Loughnane

T: Mark Loughnane

Record of 1-10 for Tom Dascombe, the success in AW maiden; inconsistent in handicaps and has enough to prove back on turf on debut for new stable; absent since February.

25/1

Form: 1506-3 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Suited by the conditions, as his form over C&D features a quickfire double in October and creditable effort (in reapplied cheekpieces) last time; may remain competitive off unaltered mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(10)

27th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 10lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Three of his four wins have come over 1m here, the latest 11 days ago; 4lb penalty still leaves him 1lb below his previous winning mark, but his record over this trip around here isn't quite as compelling (770408) and that would be a concern.

9/4

1st

9

(6)

16th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:00 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 5lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

First 27 starts came on the AW with three wins, including two over C&D last October; rather patchy this year but he was third of 13 when making his turf debut at Doncaster (7f) in May and probably not discredited in a two-runner turf race in June when last seen; in the mix.

9/1

2nd

6

(5)

11th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 3y

Class 6

14:10 Yarmouth

Heretic

9st 1lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Michael Herrington

First 27 starts came on the AW (three wins) and was making his turf debut when third of 13 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) last month (fourth has won twice since); 5lb below last winning mark and much respected for stable that won this in 2024.

2/1

Form: 38270- C

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Defied a higher mark at Southwell in 2024 but is far from sure to be in the same form; rank outsider when never dangerous at Lingfield on stable debut last time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(10)

15th Oct 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

16:30 Southwell (AW)

Liberty Bird

9st 3lb

J: Alfie Redman

T: James Evans

Just four starts here but she won and was placed twice for previous yards; has regressed in recent times but may have needed her latest run, when back from wind surgery; it's been a year since she showed anything but maybe the return to this venue can perk her up.

20/1

7th

6

(4)

29th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Liberty Bird

9st 5lb

J: Sean Levey

T: James Evans

On a long losing sequence and she has yet to fire for her new yard this season, tried in cheekpieces when ninth of 11 at Windsor (1m) in June; needs subsequent wind surgery to spark major progress.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £25.10
Straight Forecast £22.02
Tricast £96.28
Trifecta £104.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Calaxy

The Times:

Dream Illusion

Telegraph:

Arthur Rose

The Guardian:

Mercurius Power

Daily Mail:

Imola

The Star:

Balqaa

POSTDATA:

Heretic

Daily Record:

Dream Illusion

RP RATINGS:

Calaxy

D Express:

Calaxy

The Sun:

Arthur Rose

Daily Mirror:

Mercurius Power