February 11 / 14.44 Southwell (AW)

14.44

Standard

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

  • Prize money: £4710.6
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 6
  • 11 runners
SKY
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Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £8.00
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 04-371 D

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Overcame traffic issues to get up close home over 1m at Newcastle last time (fourth start for new yard); back up 3lb but is much less exposed at this trip than her usual distance of 7f; shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

(9)

17th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

17:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Dream Illusion

9st 10lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Michael Herrington

All four wins have been on AW, including one over C&D; no obvious excuses for latest 8l defeat at Southwell (1m, AW) though.

8/1

8th

1

(8)

6th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

18:06 Southwell (AW)

Dream Illusion

9st 13lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

All four wins have been on AW and last two were over C&D in the spring; remains feasibly treated off only 1lb higher than for her last success and she's run well on turf in last two starts including a near-miss at Wetherby (7f, good to firm); usually comes from off the pace and she's strongly respected back up in trip.

11/2

3/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 2-3124 CD BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 59

Form & Verdict
Below-par favourite and unable to take advantage of good opportunity over C&D last time when ahead of the assessor; consistent otherwise for current yard but her new mark has kicked in.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

9

(6)

21st Jul 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Imola

9st 4lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: Joey Ramsden

Now 2-3 over C&D having blown the start and hit a bit of traffic a fortnight ago; also had excuses here previously and she'd been consistent prior to that, but she has to prove this mark is within range.

20/1

6th

10

(4)

6th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

21:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Imola

9st 7lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: Joey Ramsden

Has scored twice over C&D this year; was denied her hat-trick (8.5f) last month after being hampered at the start and denied a clear run when looking to challenge; may be worth another chance.

9/2

7/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 327-53 CD

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Gained last success off 2lb higher over C&D in August 2024; subsequent form includes several placed efforts, close third to Dream Illusion at Newcastle most recently; fighting chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(3)

2nd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

17:15 Newcastle (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 8lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Jessica Macey

Winless since August 2024 but he comes here on the back of a good second of 12 over C&D in July; this C&D scorer must enter calculations nudged up 1lb.

4/1

2nd

6

(12)

25th Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

16:35 Newcastle (AW)

Mercurius Power

9st 6lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: Jessica Macey

Getting on for two years since his last win but this C&D winner has dropped to a tempting mark and he didn't run badly in a stronger race at Doncaster (1m, good to soft) six weeks ago; apprentice takes off a handy 5lb too; high on the list.

6/1

11/1

Form: 423-85

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Form has dipped in two start this year, taking record to 0-18; has frame possibilities on his consistent efforts in November/December but whether he can shed the maiden tag is another matter.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(7)

4th Jul 2026

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

20:39 Carlisle

Sherlock

10st 2lb

J: Taryn Langley

T: Kevin Ryan

Won a 5f AW event off 6lb lower in February and there was no disgrace in chasing home a Hamilton legend at that track (6f, good to firm) in returning blinkers (retained) nine days ago; he is another that cannot be discounted.

13/2

2nd

3

(1)

25th Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 6y

Class 6

21:00 Hamilton

Sherlock

9st 13lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

Belatedly opened account at Newcastle (5f, AW) in February and has largely remained in good form since, albeit he was a shade disappointing when only sixth of ten at Ripon (6f, good; favourite) three weeks ago; can make his presence felt.

7/2

6th

3

(8)

5th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:30 Thirsk

Sherlock

9st 8lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Kevin Ryan

Made the breakthrough at Newcastle (5f) in February and fairly consistent since; couldn't master Yes I'm Mali over C&D (runner-up; 18-1) on penultimate start and boxed on from further back (fourth) at Beverley subsequently; a possible.

7/2

9/1

Form: 485-35

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(1)

27th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

13:42 Lingfield (AW)

Springbok

9st 2lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Richard Fahey

15-race maiden who has been performing respectably in 1m handicaps this winter without strongly suggesting his turn is near; today's longer trip needs to help him pull out a bit more.

12/1

5th

8

(10)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Springbok

9st 6lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

Finished behind a couple of today's rivals at Newcastle last time, but shaped as if he's still in reasonably good form; however, still needs to show he has what it takes to win (record is 0-14).

9/1

5th

5

(12)

31st Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

18:25 Newcastle (AW)

Springbok

9st 7lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Richard Fahey

0-13 but he's on a reduced mark and was an eyecatching third behind Trais Fluors over C&D four weeks ago; that was only his fourth run on AW and has possibilities if he can back that up.

15/2

Form: 94-825 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 10lb

8 yo Filly

OR: 47

Form & Verdict
Campaigned at classified level this year, best effort when second over C&D on penultimate start; well treated on best handicap form but needs to prove she can still reproduce it; no win since 2024.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

(2)

31st Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

14:10 Newcastle (AW)

Balqaa

9st 9lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Three of her four wins have come here, including one over this trip; landed a similar event at Wolverhampton (9.5f, Tapeta) in March and not hard to forgive her performance at Pontefract (1m4f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; high on list back in distance.

13/2

4th

1

(7)

17th Jul 2026

Good

1m 4f 5y

Class 6

18:00 Pontefract

Balqaa

9st 9lb

J: Matthew Lloyd Slater

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

Resumed winning ways in classified event at Wolverhampton (9.5f) in March; winless on turf though and only eighth of 13 in 1m Ripon handicap last time; others appeal more.

12/1

8th

7

(2)

17th May 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

16:50 Ripon

Balqaa

9st 7lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay

All five wins have came on AW; usually ridden with hold-up tactics and will need plenty of luck in running to get her head in front here.

10/1

Form: /054-7

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Seven-race maiden who isn't entirely solid on her handicap form, notwithstanding a respectable effort (7f) on penultimate start; however, gives the impression this new trip may suit.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

4

(4)

2nd Sep 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Amelias Joy

9st 10lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Won twice at Wolverhampton earlier this year and she also scored on turf at Leicester (6f, good to firm) in July; has claims on that form, but she's taken two backward steps since and others are more persuasive.

7/1

7th

3

(4)

17th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

17:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Amelias Joy

9st 11lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Won twice over C&D earlier this year; scored on turf last month (when hood discarded) and may still be on the upgrade; should run well.

7/1

3rd

6

(6)

22nd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

20:20 Leicester

Amelias Joy

9st 4lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

4yo who gained her third success when winning over this C&D on good to firm 18 days ago, beating ten rivals; steps up in grade off a 5lb higher mark but there could be more to come on turf.

8/1

13/2

Form: 0211-2 D

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(4)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 6lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Brian Toomey

Maiden prior to racking up solid results (2112) over 1m on Polytrack for new stable, running well at Chelmsford most recently; possibly hasn't reached her ceiling yet; major player provided she's as effective back on Tapeta (second attempt).

13/2

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

1st

7

(3)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:10 Lingfield (AW)

Arthur Rose

9st 2lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Brian Toomey

Placed for the first time when second of eight at Chelmsford on last month's stable debut (1m); 1lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

3/1

9th
7 (1)
Calaxy

10/1

Form: 9084-6 C

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(4)

28th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 218y

Class 6

14:13 Thirsk

Calaxy

10st 12lb

J: Mr Jack Loughnane

T: Mark Loughnane

Record of 1-10 for Tom Dascombe, the success in AW maiden; inconsistent in handicaps and has enough to prove back on turf on debut for new stable; absent since February.

25/1

9th

7

(1)

11th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:44 Southwell (AW)

Calaxy

9st 6lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Tom Dascombe

Gained her maiden win at Southwell; has inconsistent handicap form but ran encouragingly at Kempton on penultimate start and returns to this venue off an attractive mark; added hood may help her to settle better than last time; interesting.

10/1

6th

7

(2)

14th Jan 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Calaxy

9st 1lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Tom Dascombe

Slow start to her handicap career but there has been more encouragement on her last two runs, fourth over C&D four weeks ago when wearing cheekpieces for the first time; one for the shortlist.

6/1

Form: 1506-3 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Suited by the conditions, as his form over C&D features a quickfire double in October and creditable effort (in reapplied cheekpieces) last time; may remain competitive off unaltered mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(10)

27th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 10lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

Three of his four wins have come over 1m here, the latest 11 days ago; 4lb penalty still leaves him 1lb below his previous winning mark, but his record over this trip around here isn't quite as compelling (770408) and that would be a concern.

9/4

1st

9

(6)

16th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:00 Southwell (AW)

Heretic

9st 5lb

J: David Probert

T: Michael Herrington

First 27 starts came on the AW with three wins, including two over C&D last October; rather patchy this year but he was third of 13 when making his turf debut at Doncaster (7f) in May and probably not discredited in a two-runner turf race in June when last seen; in the mix.

9/1

2nd

6

(5)

11th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 3y

Class 6

14:10 Yarmouth

Heretic

9st 1lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Michael Herrington

First 27 starts came on the AW (three wins) and was making his turf debut when third of 13 at Doncaster (7f, good to soft) last month (fourth has won twice since); 5lb below last winning mark and much respected for stable that won this in 2024.

2/1

Form: 38270- C

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Defied a higher mark at Southwell in 2024 but is far from sure to be in the same form; rank outsider when never dangerous at Lingfield on stable debut last time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

9

(2)

29th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 31y

Class 6

20:30 Windsor

Liberty Bird

9st 6lb

J: Sean Levey

T: James Evans

Both wins came in 2024 when trained by Charlie Johnston; has lost her form and is now with her third trainer since; pulled up here (bled from the nose) on penultimate start; first headgear today.

20/1

7th

1

(9)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 14y

Class 6

19:25 Chepstow

Liberty Bird

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: James Evans

Both wins came in 2024 when trained by Charlie Johnston; has lost her form and now with her third trainer since; pulled up at Windsor last time (bled from the nose).

10/1

6

(4)

23rd May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Windsor

Liberty Bird

9st 9lb

J: Jack Gilligan

T: James Evans

Nicely treated on some of last year's form for Charlie Johnston (consistency was an issue) but didn't shine in subsequent short spells with Alice Haynes and Lemos De Souza; never figured when ninth at Lingfield (1m, AW; stays further) on her debut for this yard last month.

40/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £25.10
Straight Forecast £22.02
Tricast £96.28
Trifecta £104.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Calaxy

The Times:

Dream Illusion

Telegraph:

Arthur Rose

The Guardian:

Mercurius Power

Daily Mail:

Imola

The Star:

Balqaa

POSTDATA:

Heretic

Daily Record:

Dream Illusion

RP RATINGS:

Calaxy

D Express:

Calaxy

The Sun:

Arthur Rose

Daily Mirror:

Mercurius Power