November 04 / 16.30 Chelmsford (AW)

16.30

Standard

Little Leighs Handicap

  • Prize money: £13500
  • 1m 0f 0y
  • Class 2
  • 9 runners
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Little Leighs Handicap

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

8/1 (Won)

  • Win: £6.90
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 1-0869 D

Last run: 63 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 96

Form & Verdict
Had just one run on Polytrack, routing his rivals in a 1m handicap at Kempton last September off 2lb lower; well beaten in two runs in Dubai (one on dirt) early in the year and two turf runs this summer saw him unplaced too; returns to Polytrack on a reduced mark as a result and there are grounds for expecting much better.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

3

(1)

6th Dec 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 1

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Positive Impact

9st 6lb

J: Ross Coakley

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Has a record of 2-3 on the AW after dominating from the front in a 1m handicap at Chelmsford a month ago; likely to attempt something similar here and he's earned a crack at this level.

7/2

1st

3

(6)

4th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

16:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Positive Impact

9st 5lb

J: Ross Coakley

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

Had just one run on Polytrack, routing his rivals in a 1m handicap at Kempton last September off 2lb lower; well beaten in two runs in Dubai (one on dirt) early in the year and two turf runs this summer saw him unplaced too; returns to Polytrack on a reduced mark as a result and there are grounds for expecting much better.

8/1

9th

2

(3)

2nd Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 7f 127y

Class 2

13:35 Chester

Positive Impact

9st 10lb

J: William Buick

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

prominent

11/2

11/2

  • Place: £1.50

Form: 940633

Last run: 10 days

W: 8st 7lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Has done most of his racing over shorter but his 1m form stacks up well, placed in the Britannia at Royal Ascot and in Polytrack handicaps the last twice; he will need a bit more to come out on top today but the addition of cheekpieces offers hope.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(5)

8th Oct 2025

Soft

1m 0f 75y

Class 4

15:58 Nottingham

Urban Sprawl

9st 10lb

J: Archie Young

T: Charlie Johnston

Already a three-time scorer (around 1m) in 2025 and he comes here on the back of a very good second of 13 in 1m Newcastle handicap; must enter calculations off an unchanged mark.

9/2

2nd

5

(12)

28th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Urban Sprawl

9st 12lb

J: Archie Young

T: Charlie Johnston

Career win number eight when prevailing narrowly in a Class 4 at Beverley (extended 1m) and tends to find Class 2s too tough these days, so excused his Doncaster run; only 1-17 on the AW but could be a factor.

14/1

10th

12

(1)

13th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

13:15 Doncaster

Urban Sprawl

8st 9lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Charlie Johnston

Tough sort but has done his winning this year in Class 4, including at Beverley (8.5f, good to firm) last time when taking record to 8-55; faces a tougher task back up two grades.

14/1

8/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 2-6697 CD

Last run: 44 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 99

Form & Verdict
Ended 2022 in good form , including a C&D win off 2lb lower last December; has not got going in three runs back from a break and may need a bit more weight off his back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

4

(4)

23rd Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

19:40 Kempton (AW)

Excel Power

9st 8lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Archie Watson

prominent

14/1

8th

2

(7)

20th Jul 2024

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

16:30 Ripon

Excel Power

9st 10lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Archie Watson

Not won on turf since Windsor success in May 2022 (1m, good to firm); has won on AW since; back on a good mark, fair fourth at Windsor last time (1m, good to firm) so could go well.

10/1

14/1

Form: 1-5570

Last run: 135 days

W: 8st 11lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Sprang a 40-1 surprise in a Doncaster novice last summer (7f, good to firm); unplaced in four runs this year but in warm events; absent since Royal Ascot (gelded since) but not out of the question he can bounce back in slightly calmer waters.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(3)

17th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Lingfield (AW)

Forca Timao

9st 12lb

J: Alfie Redman

T: Mark Pattinson

His last win was in April 2025 but that was off 8lb higher at Southwell (1m3f, AW); hit the frame in two starts over C&D this spring and he ran another solid race when fifth of 14 at Kempton (1m) in May; seems tactically versatile and he should be in the mix again after a short break.

11/2

5th

13

(1)

27th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

17:25 Kempton (AW)

Forca Timao

9st 4lb

J: Matthew Lloyd Slater

T: Mark Pattinson

Outsider of four when belatedly doubling his tally at Southwell last April (1m3f); hit the frame last two starts (1m2f) but not sure dropping back to 1m will see him play a bigger role this evening; Penfolds Grange looks connections' best hope.

20/1

4th

10

(9)

20th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

17:25 Lingfield (AW)

Forca Timao

8st 9lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: Mark Pattinson

On a losing run and he's yet to hit top form this season, going keenly when a fading fourth of 11 over C&D in February; needs to take a step forward.

20/1

Form: -51647 D

Last run: 77 days

W: 9st 12lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 105

Form & Verdict
Impressive on his sole 2yo start (1m, Polytrack); down the field in the Craven on his reappearance but he thrashed three useful rivals in a 1m novice at York's Dante meeting in May; highly tried since and he's come up short, including when tried in blinkers in a Newbury Group 2 in August; gelded afterwards; still has time to fulfil his early promise and he's pitched into calmer waters today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

9

(15)

21st Sep 2024

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:35 Ayr

Mostabshir

9st 5lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: John & Thady Gosden

Perhaps hasn't hit the heights his novice form threatened but he's still a smart performer and he acquitted himself with great credit in the Stewards' Cup seven weeks ago on his first crack at sprinting; travelled strongly on that occasion but just lacked a change of gear at a crucial stage and this track may prove a better fit; contender.

11/1

4th

9

(24)

3rd Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:35 Goodwood

Mostabshir

9st 8lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: John & Thady Gosden

Looked hot property when running away with a York novice last May (1m, good to firm) and pitched into the St James's Palace Stakes on the back of it (creditable sixth); has some solid 7f handicap form this season, including a fourth at Royal Ascot (still second with 100 yards to go); suffered a blip in the Bunbury Cup last time and now drops to 6f; not the most solid of options.

16/1

18th

2

(11)

13th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

16:00 Newmarket (July)

Mostabshir

9st 12lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: John & Thady Gosden

Raced mainly on good/firmer; respectable fourth in the 7f handicap at Royal Ascot most recently, albeit having a better trip than some of his rivals; has not won for 14 months.

11/1

4/1

Form: 1-100 CD BF

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 96

Form & Verdict
Got up late to win a 7f maiden at Newmarket on his sole 2yo start last October; easily defied a penalty over C&D on his return to action in May and two subsequent defeats easy enough to excuse (Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot and then heavy ground at Haydock five weeks ago); not without risk now but this should be more suitable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(2)

1st Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

14:25 Goodwood

Enfjaar

9st 3lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Roger Varian

He's run well on both visits to Goodwood, latest a close third in 1m2f Listed race here (good) in May after an absence, and the late headway he made when eighth in the Listed Wolferton at Royal Ascot (1m2f, good to firm) suggests this step up in trip could be a good move; each-way chance.

12/1

8th

5

(7)

16th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 212y

Class 1

17:35 Ascot

Enfjaar

9st 5lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Roger Varian

Best effort in a truncated 2025 campaign when fourth to Haatem in this race (good to firm); showed enough to think he retains all his ability when third in 1m2f Goodwood Listed race (good) on reappearance 25 days ago; could reach the frame in this again.

11/1

3rd

5

(7)

22nd May 2026

Soft

1m 1f 197y

Class 1

16:17 Goodwood

Enfjaar

9st 3lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Roger Varian

Unlucky second at Glorious Goodwood in 2024 when bidding for a notable 1m2f handicap double; best effort in a truncated 2025 campaign when fourth to Haatem in Listed grade at Royal Ascot; should be thereabouts, provided he's in top form after ten-month layoff.

5/1

16/1

Form: 14-310

Last run: 21 days

W: 8st 10lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
2-5, including AW, when trained in France; 33-1 and finished well beaten on his stable debut at York (1m2f, soft) three weeks ago; need to see more before getting involved.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(4)

4th Sep 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

16:15 Ascot

Aalto

9st 9lb

J: James Doyle

T: Ian Williams

His last two wins have come in the 2024 and 2026 runnings of the Bunbury Cup at Newmarket but he proved his effectiveness at Ascot when third of 16 in the International Handicap over C&D (good to firm) in July; strong claims.

7/2

9/1

Form: 536319 D

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 4lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Prominent racer who made all in a 7f handicap at Sandown in September; well beaten in a Listed race at Redcar four weeks ago and yet to shine in three AW starts.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

4

(3)

4th Nov 2023

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

16:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Azano

9st 4lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: David O’Meara

Prominent racer who made all in a 7f handicap at Sandown in September; well beaten in a Listed race at Redcar four weeks ago and yet to shine in three AW starts.

9/1

9th

2

(1)

7th Oct 2023

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

15:55 Redcar

Azano

9st 2lb

J: David Nolan

T: David O’Meara

Front-runner who got loose on the lead and just managed to hold on in a 7f handicap at Sandown (good) three weeks ago; likely to try something similar here and he did win this race two years ago (unplaced last year).

10/1

1st

4

(6)

15th Sep 2023

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

16:25 Sandown

Azano

9st 4lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Front-runner who is 3lb below the mark he last defied in July of last year; not looking the horse he was, but this year has hardly been a washout and he could win again sooner or later.

4/1

Form: 41-374

Last run: 18 days

W: 8st 11lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Promising at two, notably when winning a 7f maiden at Doncaster just over one year ago; shaped encouragingly at Kempton on his reappearance but he's been well beaten twice since (on ground that shouldn't have posed a problem); jury out for now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

2

(4)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

19:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Legend Of Leros

9st 7lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: David Evans

His only win came in a 7f Doncaster maiden as a 2yo; struggled for David Evans thus far but he's dropped 22lb since August and many of those runs have come over an inadequate 6f; the booking of Rossa Ryan and the addition of a visor point to a better showing this evening; confidence would increase if backed.

8/1

Non-runners

Empirestateofmind

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £38.70
Straight Forecast £32.68
Tricast £367.94
Trifecta £238.10

Selections

TOPSPEED:

Urban Sprawl

RP RATINGS:

Enfjaar

Telegraph:

Mostabshir

SPOTLIGHT:

Positive Impact

The Star:

Mostabshir

Daily Record:

Mostabshir

The Times:

Enfjaar

Daily Mail:

Enfjaar

D Express:

Enfjaar

POSTDATA:

Urban Sprawl

The Guardian:

Urban Sprawl

Daily Mirror:

Urban Sprawl

The Sun:

Urban Sprawl