October 02 / 17.45 Kempton (AW)

17.45

Standard To Slow

ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £12885
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 2
  • 8 runners
RTV
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ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £5.00
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 1-1005

Last run: 39 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Burst onto the scene with wide-margin 7f wins at Southwell in December and March; pulled hard and tailed off in the 2000 Guineas and he's come up short in the Jersey Stakes and a 6f Listed event (first run after wind surgery) since; the return to AW piques interest but there are risks attached.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

16th

7

(1)

13th Sep 2026

Yielding

0m 5f 0y

15:25 Curragh

Night Raider

9st 6lb

J: James Doyle

T: K R Burke

Gelding operation in the close season has done the trick; followed a Group 3 win with a Group 2 at Haydock (5f, good to soft), overcoming a slow start to win in some style; lesser efforts at Royal Ascot and Goodwood since; sixth in the Nunthorpe marked a return to near his best.

10/1

6th

5

(2)

21st Aug 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:35 York

Night Raider

10st 1lb

J: James Doyle

T: K R Burke

Has taken time to get to grips with turf and was easily seen off when fourth in this last year; however, a gelding operation in the close season has worked wonders and he followed a Group 3 win with one in a Group 2 at Haydock (5f, good to soft), overcoming a slow start to win in some style; his star has dimmed somewhat at Royal Ascot and Goodwood since, but the return to a flat track offers hope that he can be on song again.

14/1

10th

1

(13)

31st Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:35 Goodwood

Night Raider

9st 7lb

J: James Doyle

T: K R Burke

Returned this year having been gelded and he's been an improved model, winning the Group 3 Palace House at Newmarket (5f, good to firm) and the Group 2 Temple Stakes at Haydock (5f, good to soft) before leading home those who raced in the centre group when tenth of 26 overall at Royal Ascot (5f, good to firm); usually front-runs and this speedy track should suit him better than Ascot (ran well in this last year); strong claims despite 3lb penalty.

3/1

11/2

  • Place: £5.20

Form: 5-0530 D

Last run: 64 days

W: 9st 5lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 103

Form & Verdict
Talented on his day but he's into the veteran stage now and he's only run to form once this year; stays 6f but best over shorter; others appeal more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

5

(10)

22nd Feb 2025

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 1

14:40 Southwell (AW)

Equilateral

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: Charles Hills

taken down early, in rear, brief headway over 1f out, no impression

10/1

5th

1

(2)

25th Jan 2025

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 2

17:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Equilateral

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Charles Hills

took keen hold, in touch with leaders

100/30

5th

1

(2)

25th Jan 2025

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 2

17:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Equilateral

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Charles Hills

took keen hold, in touch with leaders, headway on outer over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

100/30

20/1

  • Place: £2.20

Form: 103461 C

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
Prominent racer; his last four wins have come at this track over 7f, the latest a game effort six weeks ago; may well have more to offer but he's up against higher-rated opposition this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

11

(6)

6th May 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

20:00 Kempton (AW)

Zero Carbon

9st 1lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Mark Loughnane

Four wins from ten starts over C&D but looked on the downgrade during a limited campaign last year and turned in an ordinary comeback here two months ago; some way down the pecking order.

25/1

7th

1

(2)

2nd Mar 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

16:07 Kempton (AW)

Zero Carbon

9st 9lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Mark Loughnane

His last four wins have been over C&D but latest was in August 2024; well handicapped on old form but he's been out of sorts in three runs for his current yard and was beaten 12l here (6f) in December; returns after a break and needs a major revival back up in trip; cheekpieces reapplied.

13/2

4

(2)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Zero Carbon

9st 11lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Mark Loughnane

Below par on turf last time (stable debut, back from break); has a better strike-rate on AW but seems ideally suited by Kempton; gained last four wins there.

20/1

Form: -33129 CD

Last run: 12 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 89

Form & Verdict
Produced her best effort to date in a C&D handicap in July; that was only a Class 4 contest though and she's been beaten twice since, albeit she's run creditably on both occasions; no surprise to see her outrun her weights chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(4)

24th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

19:15 Dundalk (AW)

Gutsy Girl

9st 11lb

J: Declan McDonogh

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

One of three for stable; yet to win for this yard but has run well in defeat; best effort a head second in a 7f Listed at Cork in August (7f, good); not as good dropped to 6f last twice and now drops in trip again; has won on AW but McMonagle prefers stablemate.

16/1

7th

2

(11)

4th Oct 2025

Soft

0m 6f 0y

14:17 Curragh

Gutsy Girl

9st 3lb

J: Declan McDonogh

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Handicap winner over 6f for Charlie Fellowes last year; decent form for Joseph O'Brien without winning; third in a 5f Listed race at Naas in May; career-best when second in a 7f Listed contest at Cork in August; another solid display in a Group 3 at Naas; 2l to find with Carla Ridge.

7/2

3

(1)

24th Aug 2025

Good

0m 5f 205y

15:25 Naas

Gutsy Girl

9st 7lb

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Handicap winner over 6f for Charlie Fellowes last year; decent form for Joseph O'Brien without winning; third in a 5f Listed race at this venue in May and a career-best when second in a 7f Listed contest at Cork ten days ago, with favourite Dance Night Andday close-up in fifth; drop in trip may suit.

12/1

Form: 289760 CD

Last run: 102 days

W: 9st 5lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 98

Form & Verdict
Progressed last year and his Southwell second in February (5f, Listed) was right up there with the best of his form; not so good, albeit in the face of some stiff assignments, in May and June; needs to bounce back to his best to win this after an absence.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

10

(2)

26th Sep 2026

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 4

17:20 Southwell (AW)

Juan Les Pins

9st 3lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Michael Appleby

Not as good or consistent as he was and is always capable of fluffing the start; has been running over 6f on turf in recent times and will need things to fall just so back to 5f.

8/1

6th

10

(13)

22nd Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

14:09 Newmarket (July)

Juan Les Pins

9st 6lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: Michael Appleby

Had been running well but has performed miserably in his last two races when awkward at the start both times.

20/1

16th

4

(3)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:30 York

Juan Les Pins

9st 8lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Michael Appleby

Good run of form ground to a halt at Thirsk ten days ago when he wasn't on his best behaviour in the stalls; has the ability to feature off this mark but is not without risk.

14/1

OUR TIP

Form: 036-60 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Three-time Group winner; raced in the US last season with limited success; well held in two Group races for current stable this year; enough to prove now switched to the AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(8)

2nd Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

17:45 Kempton (AW)

Go Bears Go

9st 5lb

J: David Egan

T: David Loughnane

in touch with leaders but pushed along, weakened from over 1f out

6/1

18th

5

(11)

15th Sep 2024

Good

0m 5f 0y

15:35 Curragh

Go Bears Go

9st 6lb

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle

T: David Loughnane

midfield towards near side

25/1

1st

5

(9)

6th Aug 2022

Good

0m 6f 0y

15:15 Curragh

Go Bears Go

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: David Loughnane

made all, ridden and faced challenge over 1f out, kept on strongly inside final furlong, won going away

7/2

Form: 1-3931 CD

Last run: 62 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 108

Form & Verdict
Smart and progressive sprinter on AW, winning a Listed race at Lingfield last November and better form this year, third to Montassib at Newcastle in June and then producing a fine effort to defy a BHA mark of 106 at Wolverhampton nine weeks ago (all 6f); has to concede weight all round but he might prove up to the task.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

6

(2)

27th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 3

19:28 Windsor

Willem Twee

9st 9lb

J: George Bass

T: Denis Coakley

Very useful 6f AW scorer at his best; not so good nowadays but signed off for James Fanshawe with a fair third of six in 7f Wolverhampton handicap in April; more is required for new stable on a rare turf start.

16/1

3rd

1

(4)

6th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 3

15:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Willem Twee

9st 11lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: James Fanshawe

Won the Listed Golden Rose at Lingfield in November 2023 and landed a valuable 6f Class 2 handicap here (off 106) the following summer; has finally slipped back down the weights, giving notice of a return to form (third) in an added visor at Lingfield (7f) 51 days ago; respected.

13/2

12/1

Form: 012-64 CD

Last run: 215 days

W: 9st 0lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 99

Form & Verdict
Ended 2023 in top form, winning a Newmarket fillies' handicap (6f, good to firm; RPR 107) before chasing home Willem Twee in a Listed race at Lingfield; absent since a fair fourth in a Lingfield handicap in March; C&D winner as a 2yo and not ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(4)

2nd Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

17:45 Kempton (AW)

Kinta

9st 0lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Boughey

in touch with leaders, weakened from over 1f out

12/1

4th

6

(8)

1st Mar 2024

Standard

0m 6f 1y

Class 2

15:12 Lingfield (AW)

Kinta

9st 5lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: George Boughey

The addition of a hood saw her win a good fillies' handicap at Newmarket last September and she followed that with a Listed second over C&D in November; perhaps unsuited by the drop to 5f here three weeks ago when the hood was absent; headgear returns today, along with a new tongue-tie, and she's one to consider.

8/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £83.30
Straight Forecast £104.71
Trifecta £681.40

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Willem Twee

D Express:

Night Raider

The Star:

Gutsy Girl

The Times:

Kinta

The Sun:

Night Raider

RP RATINGS:

Willem Twee

TOPSPEED:

Willem Twee

POSTDATA:

Willem Twee

NEWMARKET:

Willem Twee

Telegraph:

Willem Twee

The Guardian:

Willem Twee

Daily Mail:

Willem Twee

Daily Mirror:

Willem Twee

Daily Record:

Willem Twee