August 31 / 15.30 Lingfield (AW)

15.30

Standard

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

  • Prize money: £4536
  • 1m 0f 1y
  • Class 5
  • 12 runners
SKY
View Course
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.20
  • Place: £1.70

Form: 2-3355 D

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Dual Tapeta winner last autumn who ran well last time without seeing out 1m2f (second run after a break) and is back down 2lb; no obvious reason why he won't go well.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

27th May 2026

Good To Yielding

2m 1f 0y

16:42 Wexford

Plastic Paddy

11st 4lb

J: Dylan Robinson

T: Tom McGuinness

Seven-time AW winner in Britain for Michael Appleby; no success since 2024, and Flat mark has dropped to a lowly 42; jumped badly and pulled up on his hurdling debut at Punchestown two weeks ago.

100/1

5

13th May 2026

Good

3m 0f 0y

18:50 Punchestown

Plastic Paddy

11st 12lb

J: Cian Cullinan

T: Tom McGuinness

Seven-time AW winner in Britain for Michael Appleby; no wins since 2024 and Flat mark has dropped to a basement level; slim hopes rest on hurdles rejuvenating him.

40/1

13th

11

(5)

10th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

18:30 Dundalk (AW)

Plastic Paddy

9st 8lb

J: Jack Cleary

T: Tom McGuinness

Seven AW wins in the UK; however, has been poor on turf for this yard and needs a major revival.

33/1

5/1

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 2-5403

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Probably unwise to take latest small-field effort here entirely at face value, with them finishing in a heap, but that was more like it having been gelded and had wind surgery; the return to further should suit too.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

8

(7)

14th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 201y

Class 6

17:00 Salisbury

Jade Country

9st 1lb

J: Sean Levey

T: John & Rhys Flint

slowly into stride, took keen hold, towards rear

33/1

5th

11

(7)

26th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

20:55 Chepstow

Jade Country

9st 3lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Winless since 2022 and he came in last of 15 in 7f handicap here two weeks ago; he needs this longer trip to spark a resurgence.

16/1

15th

10

(1)

12th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 16y

Class 6

19:35 Chepstow

Jade Country

9st 3lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: John & Rhys Flint

Tumbled down the weights last year and there have been no signs of an imminent revival in three runs back; can't be recommended.

50/1

OUR TIP

20/1

  • Place: £5.20

Form: 48-668 C

Last run: 42 days

W: 10st 1lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Comfortably held in three runs back for his current yard this summer and is still to prove his stamina over this far; this is a touch easier down 3lb and first-time cheekpieces may help but a leap of faith is needed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

(3)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Vitalline

9st 9lb

J: Josephine Gordon

T: Keiran Burke

Serial slow-starter who has won seven times over 6f/7f on the AW; held in handicaps lately, but the return to this level offers hope and he's capable of playing a part if things pan out his way.

10/1

8th

9

(10)

27th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

16:15 Lingfield (AW)

Vitalline

8st 8lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Keiran Burke

Serial slow starter who switches back from blinkers to the visor sported for last month's 0-50 Kempton win; will be happier back up from 6f but is yet another who'll need some luck from a wide stall.

10/1

6th

11

(11)

8th Apr 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:00 Kempton (AW)

Vitalline

8st 10lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Keiran Burke

Frequent slow-starter who is a four-time winner here, the latest in a 0-50 classified event over 7f last month; twice held since, though, and doesn't have a great draw.

25/1

4th
3 (4)
La Rav

4/1

Form: 078563 D

Last run: 28 days

W: 10st 1lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Tended to be hot and cold for Mick Easterby; has to enter calculations after a back-to-form effort off today's career-low mark last time (second run for this yard).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

4

(7)

21st May 2024

Good

0m 7f 216y

Class 6

16:55 Brighton

La Rav

9st 5lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Lee Carter

His mark continues to fall but this 10yo has struggled to get competitive on his last few starts and needs to turn things around.

16/1

11th

4

(7)

21st May 2024

Good

0m 7f 216y

Class 6

16:55 Brighton

La Rav

9st 5lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Lee Carter

His mark continues to fall but this 10yo has struggled to get competitive on his last few starts and needs to turn things around.

16/1

10th

12

(2)

22nd Mar 2024

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

15:12 Lingfield (AW)

La Rav

8st 5lb

J: George Rooke

T: Lee Carter

Never in the hunt over 7f on his reappearance 16 days ago; first attempt at this trip and others look stronger.

33/1

Form: 110511 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 11lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Progressive this summer, winning four times (7.2f-1m2f) and climbing more than a stone up the weights; a further 6lb rise will test him but he has a fair chance of the hat-trick despite landing another wide stall.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

(9)

9th Oct 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

18:45 Kempton (AW)

One Step Beyond

9st 11lb

J: Tom Queally

T: Gary & Josh Moore

midfield, towards rear 5f out

14/1

10th

11

(10)

6th Sep 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:50 Ascot

One Step Beyond

10st 0lb

J: Miss Ella Smart

T: Gary & Josh Moore

led, headed 4f out

12/1

10/1

Form: 233265 CD

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 10lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
Five-time course winner who offered more last time in a race not run to suit over 7f; back around his last successful mark and one to consider under Tom Marquand.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

(6)

20th Sep 2022

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 5

13:35 Lingfield (AW)

Prince Rock

9st 3lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: Jim Boyle

towards rear, some headway and waiting for room over 2f out, pushed along and headway over 1f out, ridden and kept on inside final furlong, no match for winner

16/1

6th

7

(8)

31st Aug 2022

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 5

15:30 Lingfield (AW)

Prince Rock

9st 10lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Jim Boyle

raced in second, ridden over 2f out, lost two places and beaten 1f out, soon weakened

10/1

12/1

Form: 6-6347

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 1lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Used to plying his trade in better company but has regressed in the past year or so and his last two efforts have been ordinary at best; some way down the pecking order.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

8

(7)

5th Dec 2023

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

12:00 Lingfield (AW)

Eton College

9st 10lb

J: Ethan Jones

T: Lee Carter

Two 1m turf wins for previous trainer in the summer but no strong signs since, for that yard or current one, that he was about to break his AW duck; ran respectably in blinkers in 2021, first-time cheekpieces today.

25/1

5th

5

(4)

21st Nov 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

20:00 Chelmsford (AW)

Eton College

9st 12lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Lee Carter

midfield

10/1

3rd

1

(5)

1st Nov 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

12:30 Lingfield (AW)

Eton College

9st 12lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Lee Carter

Two 1m wins on soft this summer; not discredited in midfield at Chelmsford (didn't get a clear run) this month and contested a voided race 13 days ago; changed hands for 6,000gns at the sales last week; considered but he's made far less of an impact on AW than turf.

13/2

6/1

Form: 385932 CD

Last run: 62 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 64

Form & Verdict
Multiple course winner but mainly over 1m2f and he doesn't often run over this trip now; bounced back to form on turf two months ago but was allowed his own way over further and he's not as consistent now, unsurprisingly given his age.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

10

(3)

31st Aug 2022

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 5

15:30 Lingfield (AW)

Noble Peace

9st 9lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Simon Pearce

never better than mid-division

6/1

Form: 45-498

Last run: 65 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Has gone backwards from a fair comeback effort for his new yard in the spring, including in second-time cheekpieces latest, and is now tried in a visor; yet to prove his effectiveness over this far.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

4

(4)

8th Oct 2024

Good To Soft

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

16:10 Brighton

Bhubezi

9st 9lb

J: Liam Keniry

T: Patrick Chamings

All wins at up to 1m, the most recent in June; couple of poor efforts since, including over C&D; still has something to prove at 1m2f.

25/1

6th

4

(8)

5th Aug 2024

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

14:45 Lingfield (AW)

Bhubezi

9st 7lb

J: Liam Keniry

T: Patrick Chamings

Ended a long losing run when scoring at Chepstow (1m, good to firm) in June but he was beaten a long way in his follow-up bid at Brighton (1m2f); now drops back at this trip but he's not easy to predict and has always been more potent on turf (0-9 on AW); down the list.

12/1

8th

3

(6)

2nd Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

15:55 Brighton

Bhubezi

9st 5lb

J: Liam Keniry

T: Patrick Chamings

Has hit form lately, going down by a neck here (1m, good) in May and going one better at Chepstow (1m, good to firm) last month; well held in one previous attempt over this far, but recent efforts suggest he is worth another go; respected from 4lb higher.

9/2

Form: 0-0780

Last run: 100 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 64

Form & Verdict
Irish win last summer came over 1m3f and he's struggled under both codes since; this trip can only look a bare minimum round here and he's hard to make a case for.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

10th Feb 2023

Good

2m 5f 0y

Class 4

15:35 Kempton

Optimistic Belief

10st 8lb

J: Niall Houlihan

T: Pat Phelan

Was in no form on the Flat before finishing second in a big-field handicap hurdle at Chepstow in October; disappointing that he failed to build on that at Fontwell and he's becoming hard to predict.

10/1

6th

5

26th Dec 2022

Good To Soft

2m 3f 49y

Class 5

15:27 Fontwell

Optimistic Belief

11st 5lb

J: Niall Houlihan

T: Pat Phelan

Badly out of form on the Flat this year but different story when second of 17 on handicap hurdle debut at Chepstow in October; up 2lb but repeat of that puts him right in the shake-up.

11/2

2nd

16

25th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 3f 100y

Class 5

16:20 Chepstow

Optimistic Belief

10st 10lb

J: Niall Houlihan

T: Pat Phelan

held up in rear, good headway before 3 out, pushed along before 2 out, ridden and kept on approaching last, no impression run-in

40/1

16/1

Form: 20712- C

Last run: 387 days

W: 9st 8lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict
No worries about his ability to go well fresh but he's been off for more than a year; in good form for David Evans when last seen but in claiming company and there's not much room for manoeuvre off this mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

3

(1)

21st Jan 2023

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

13:02 Lingfield (AW)

Bombastic

9st 2lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Robyn Brisland

led

14/1

8th

9

(1)

19th Nov 2022

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

11:05 Lingfield (AW)

Bombastic

8st 12lb

J: David Egan

T: Robyn Brisland

He has never been prolific and he hasn't found his best form since joining this yard and returning from a year off; down in the weights as a result and worth a precautionary market check.

16/1

Form: 8-706

Last run: 88 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
Achieved little for Andrew Balding (7f-1m2f) prior to being picked up for 9,000gns last month; down 2lb and the drop in trip may help but others hold more obvious claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

12

(9)

28th Oct 2022

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 6

20:15 Southwell (AW)

Emulation

9st 1lb

J: William Carson

T: Michael Attwater

ducked right start, took keen hold, led, headed but pressed leader from over 8f out, pushed along and lost ground quickly on inner from over 4f out, soon dropped to rear and eased

50/1

12th

10

(4)

14th Sep 2022

Good To Soft

1m 1f 209y

Class 5

17:10 Sandown

Emulation

9st 1lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Michael Attwater

always towards rear

40/1

12th

12

(2)

31st Aug 2022

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 5

15:30 Lingfield (AW)

Emulation

9st 4lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Michael Attwater

midfield, pushed along over 4f out, ridden and lost position over 3f out, weakened and dropped to last final furlong

20/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £34.30
Straight Forecast £33.96
Tricast £568.30
Trifecta £397.60

Selections

The Times:

Jade Country

RP Ratings:

Noble Peace

POSTDATA:

One Step Beyond

SPOTLIGHT:

La Rav

The Guardian:

Jade Country

Daily Express:

Jade Country

The Star:

Jade Country

Telegraph:

One Step Beyond

Daily Mirror:

One Step Beyond

The Sun:

La Rav

NEWMARKET:

Noble Peace

Daily Mail:

Noble Peace

Daily Record:

Noble Peace