October 09 / 15.10 Ffos Las

15.10

Good

DragonBet Welsh Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £26015
  • 1m 7f 182y
  • Class 2
  • 7 runners
SKY
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DragonBet Welsh Champion Hurdle (A Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

OUR TIP

6/1 (Won)

  • Win: £5.50
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 243172 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 10st 6lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 128

Form & Verdict
More exposed than her rivals (4-20 over hurdles and 7-69 in career) but excelled herself when second in a Tipperary Grade 3 a week ago, splitting much higher-rated rivals, in this combination of aids for the first time; taken at face value, that makes her hard to beat, even from out of the handicap; likely to have her own way out in front, as well.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

5

4th Apr 2025

Good To Yielding

2m 3f 100y

18:30 Wexford

Effernock Fizz

11st 0lb

J: Tiernan Power Roche

T: Cian Collins

Admirable mare will be having her 108th start under rules; 1-21 over fences but has run well at this venue on multiple occasions; lost form since shock win in a 2m listed handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse in March 2024; hard to fancy on recent showings but can't fully dismiss.

10/1

6th

5

4th Apr 2025

Good To Yielding

2m 3f 100y

18:30 Wexford

Effernock Fizz

11st 0lb

J: Tiernan Power Roche

T: Cian Collins

Admirable mare will be having her 108th start under rules; 1-21 over fences but has run well at this venue on multiple occasions; lost form since shock win in a 2m listed handicap hurdle at Fairyhouse in March 2024; hard to fancy on recent showings but can't fully dismiss.

10/1

5

15th Feb 2025

Soft

2m 0f 0y

13:55 Gowran Park

Effernock Fizz

10st 8lb

J: E Walsh

T: Cian Collins

Admirable front-runner but recent form far from encouraging, 3m beyond her last time; return to 2m to suit but hard to see her lasting it out.

25/1

11/2

  • Place: £1.70

Form: /245-F CD

Last run: 155 days

W: 11st 7lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 148

Form & Verdict
Only seen twice in the last year; failed to repeat his 2021 Scottish Champion Hurdle success in April and fell at Haydock the following month; on a retrieval mission, therefore, but not ruled out on favoured good ground; usually held up.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

2

27th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 3f 200y

Class 3

17:05 Cheltenham

Milkwood

11st 10lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Neil Mulholland

2021 was his year, following his third in the County with victory in the Scottish Champion Hurdle and then finishing second in the Galway Hurdle; dangerously treated on all that but last season fizzled out and he wants good ground ideally.

14/1

6th

6

22nd Apr 2023

Good To Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 1

14:25 Ayr

Milkwood

11st 0lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Neil Mulholland

On fire in 2021, following his third in the County with victory in this and then finishing second in the Galway Hurdle; dangerously treated on all that and forget his Cheltenham flop last month as soft ground was the last thing he needed (hood tried there also dispensed with); could be a player if there's not too much rain.

14/1

13

17th Mar 2023

Soft

2m 0f 179y

Class 1

14:10 Cheltenham

Milkwood

11st 0lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Neil Mulholland

Fine third in this race in 2021 (good to soft) before winning the Scottish Champion Hurdle (2m, good) and finishing second in the Galway Hurdle (2m, good); on those runs he's on a handy mark and he's better than he's shown on his last two starts; his each-way claims are likely to hinge on the ground, as a soft surface would be a probable negative; wears a first-time hood.

33/1

Form: 4242-2 BF

Last run: 155 days

W: 10st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 129

Form & Verdict
Only hurdle win came in a maiden event nearly two years ago but has run some fine races in defeat; runner-up in two very competitive handicaps in the spring (after wind surgery) and those efforts give him claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

10

13th Nov 2022

Good

2m 0f 87y

Class 1

14:55 Cheltenham

Severance

11st 1lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Ben Pauling

always towards rear, bad mistake and almost fell 1st, not recover (jockey said gelding made a bad mistake at first hurdle)

10/1

3rd

5

9th Oct 2022

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 2

15:10 Ffos Las

Severance

10st 6lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Ben Pauling

raced in second, hit 2 out, soon ridden, 1 length down last, lost second final 110yds, kept on

9/2

Form: 42154- CD

Last run: 185 days

W: 11st 12lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 153

Form & Verdict
Comfortable winner of this last year; now 19lb higher but that's the result of some excellent efforts, including victory in the Betfair Hurdle in February and a highly creditable fifth in the Champion Hurdle the following month; capable of a bold bid, with good ground suiting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

18th Jun 2025

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

16:30 Worcester

Glory And Fortune

11st 9lb

J: Stan Sheppard

T: Tom Lacey

Smart in his prime but needed considerable help from the handicapper before driven-out win at Chepstow (2m, good) in April; subsequent defeat in valuable Haydock race is not viewed harshly but he's not yet proven over this far and others in the field have more appealing profiles; cheekpices removed after one use.

11/2

11th

5

10th May 2025

Good

1m 7f 144y

Class 1

13:35 Haydock

Glory And Fortune

11st 9lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Tom Lacey

Winning for the first time since the 2022 Betfair Hurdle when digging deep to edge out Helnwein at Chepstow two weeks ago (2m, good); will do well to defy a 4lb rise in this deeper race but he'll give it his best shot; cheekpieces added.

14/1

11th

5

10th May 2025

Good

1m 7f 144y

Class 1

13:35 Haydock

Glory And Fortune

11st 9lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Tom Lacey

Winning for the first time since the 2022 Betfair Hurdle when digging deep to edge out Helnwein at Chepstow two weeks ago (2m, good); will do well to defy a 4lb rise in this deeper race but he'll give it his best shot; cheekpieces added.

14/1

Form: U1222- D BF

Last run: 187 days

W: 10st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 130

Form & Verdict
Not everything went to plan over fences last season but still managed two wins and runner-up on final three starts; reverts to hurdling for seasonal debut with more to prove than most of his rivals.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

4th Apr 2026

Good

2m 4f 216y

Class 3

15:49 Newton Abbot

Hardy Du Seuil

11st 10lb

J: Isabelle Ryder

T: Jamie Snowden

Won over hurdles in November and has done well on his belated return to fences, following a near-miss at Carlisle with a creditable third at Newbury (2m, good to soft) in February; still looks feasibly treated and he was a dual chase winner (2m/2m4f) in his youth; dangerous back up in trip.

15/2

3rd

2

27th Feb 2026

Good To Soft

2m 0f 92y

Class 3

16:08 Newbury

Hardy Du Seuil

11st 11lb

J: Isabelle Ryder

T: Jamie Snowden

Won over hurdles in November and has done well on his belated return to fences, following his fourth at Haydock with a near miss at Carlisle (2m, good to soft); Isabelle Ryder again claims her 5lb and this 9yo is up 3lb in future.

9/2

2nd

4

16th Feb 2026

Good To Soft

1m 7f 207y

Class 3

13:40 Carlisle

Hardy Du Seuil

11st 11lb

J: Isabelle Ryder

T: Jamie Snowden

Won over hurdles at Windsor (2m, good to soft) in November and respectable fourth at Haydock (2m, good to soft) last month on first chase start since March 2024; has run well on both visits here; might not be far away.

7/2

Form: 22/1-2 BF

Last run: 164 days

W: 10st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 131

Form & Verdict
Just four career starts; easily won a Fontwell maiden hurdle on stable debut in March (after a long absence) before finishing second (of 25) at Punchestown the following month; open to further progress and this mark certainly doesn't look beyond him; respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

11th May 2026

Good To Yielding

2m 7f 0y

19:37 Killarney

Gin Coco

11st 7lb

J: Mr T O’Connor

T: Turlough O’Connor

Good hurdle form not all that long ago and has run well in both his points behind the classy Wonderwall (ahead of Lifetime Ambition on one of those occasions); this is his debut over regulation fences but could have a part to play.

8/1

17th

10

4th Apr 2025

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:20 Aintree

Gin Coco

11st 2lb

J: Bryan Carver

T: Harry Fry

Fairly useful at about 2m and gained sole handicap success off this mark; however, along with several other runners he goes into unknown territory over 2m4f.

33/1

17th

10

4th Apr 2025

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:20 Aintree

Gin Coco

11st 2lb

J: Bryan Carver

T: Harry Fry

Fairly useful at about 2m and gained sole handicap success off this mark; however, along with several other runners he goes into unknown territory over 2m4f.

33/1

Form: 5230F- D

Last run: 174 days

W: 10st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 127

Form & Verdict
Yet to win in Britain but has suffered some bad luck in chases and twice finished second in Sandown handicap hurdles last season; can run well after a break but may prefer softer ground; 6lb out of the weights.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

3rd Jun 2026

Good

2m 0f 167y

Class 5

17:00 Newton Abbot

Zambezi Fix

12st 0lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Bernard Llewellyn

Has been struggling for form since reappearing in October and offered little encouragement on April's return from just over two months off; has come a long way down in the weights and drops into a Class 5, but that's for good reason and he needs to turn things around.

12/1

6th

9

11th Apr 2026

Good To Soft

2m 0f 16y

Class 3

14:15 Chepstow

Zambezi Fix

10st 7lb

J: Harry Atkins

T: Bernard Llewellyn

All three hurdle wins have come over C&D but he failed to beat a rival here in December and was tailed off again at Ffos Las in January; overall record is now 4-48 and others are preferred.

16/1

6th

4

30th Jan 2026

Heavy

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

16:00 Ffos Las

Zambezi Fix

11st 11lb

J: Sean Houlihan

T: Bernard Llewellyn

Veteran who is normally suited by Chepstow but failed to beat a rival back there last time; not particularly solid on his form this season.

20/1

Non-runners

Gin Coco, Zambezi Fix

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £14.30
Straight Forecast £17.61
Trifecta £50.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Gin Coco

RP Ratings:

Glory And Fortune

LAMBOURN:

Hardy Du Seuil

TOPSPEED:

Severance

Daily Express:

Effernock Fizz

The Times:

Gin Coco

The Guardian:

Gin Coco

Daily Mirror:

Gin Coco

The Sun:

Gin Coco

The Star:

Gin Coco

Daily Record:

Gin Coco

Telegraph:

Hardy Du Seuil

WEST COUNTRY:

Severance

POSTDATA:

Glory And Fortune

Daily Mail:

Glory And Fortune