October 23 / 15.30 Ffos Las

15.30 Ffos Las

Good To Soft

Feature Handicap Hurdle

  • Prize money: £7787.78
  • 2m 4f 0y
  • Class 3
  • 12 runners
SKY
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Feature Handicap Hurdle

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Rain

6/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 77551-

Last run: 211 days

W: 10st 5lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 102

Form & Verdict
Beaten at least 20l in three novice hurdles and on handicap debut, but then won a handicap at Stratford (2m6f, good) in March in clearcut fashion despite a blunder at the final flight; raised 7lb but looks the type to make further progress.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

20th Nov 2022

Soft

2m 7f 70y

Class 3

14:33 Uttoxeter

The Changing Man

10st 8lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Joe Tizzard

Won on second handicap start at Stratford (2m6f, good) in March when back on better ground and followed up on his reappearance at Ffos Las (2m4f, good to soft) last month; has something to prove on the forecast soft going but it's too soon in his career to make bullish ground assumptions and this progressive 5yo could still be ahead of the handicapper.

9/4

1st

12

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

The Changing Man

10st 5lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Joe Tizzard

prominent, pressed leader before 3 out, shaken up when disputed lead before 2 out, pushed along and led clearly before last, good jump last, ridden out, comfortably

6/1

5/1

  • Place: £2.00

Form: 35-601 D

Last run: 26 days

W: 11st 6lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
Fair while since he raced on worse than good to soft; had fallen well down the weights before winning a nine-runner race in good style at Southwell (2m4f, good to firm) late last month; back up 9lb but that's still 15lb off his peak handicap mark (over fences in 2020) so no great shock if he completes a double.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Breaking Waves

11st 6lb

J: Daryl Jacob

T: Harry Whittington

disputed lead, pressed leader with one circuit to go, not fluent 5th, going okay when disputed lead before 2 out, pushed along when lost position before last, hung left and no extra run-in

5/1

1st

6

27th Sep 2022

Good

2m 4f 88y

Class 4

15:36 Southwell

Breaking Waves

11st 7lb

J: Daryl Jacob

T: Harry Whittington

prominent, disputed lead 7th, pressed leader after 3 out, disputed lead 2 out, led approaching last, went clear run-in, comfortably

12/1

13/2

  • Place: £3.10

Form: 34310- C

Last run: 225 days

W: 12st 2lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 127

Form & Verdict
Can make the running and stays 2m5f; highly tried after winning her first two races over hurdles (last autumn) but won back in a novice hurdle at Chepstow (2m, soft) in February, before a heavy defeat in the Imperial Cup on handicap debut; improvement is possible in this second season hurdling.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

10

26th Nov 2022

Good

2m 4f 118y

Class 2

13:55 Newbury

Current Mood

11st 3lb

J: Isabel Williams

T: Evan Williams

led, joined 3rd, chased leader 4th, weakened 3 out

8/1

12

13th Nov 2022

Good

2m 0f 87y

Class 1

14:55 Cheltenham

Current Mood

10st 13lb

J: Adam Wedge

T: Evan Williams

Makes her third handicap start and improvement is required; however, she caught the eye when keeping on for third of 12 at Ffos Las (2m4f, good to soft) on her reappearance three weeks ago and could build on that performance here; has won twice on good ground.

12/1

3rd

1

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Current Mood

12st 2lb

J: Isabel Williams

T: Evan Williams

in touch with leaders, headway after 7th, pressed leader 3 out, not fluent 2 out, soon shaken up and lost ground, kept on run-in, eyecatcher (jockey said mare hung right-handed rounding the bend)

13/2

Form: 73/24-

Last run: 331 days

W: 11st 5lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 116

Form & Verdict
Bumper winner on soft; 0-5 over hurdles and not seen since below form in first-time cheekpieces last November; had wind surgery soon afterwards and now has his tongue tied; probably stays 2m3f but best efforts in 2021 were at 2m/2m1f; needs improvement but is lightly raced and just a 6yo.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

24th Nov 2022

Good

2m 7f 198y

Class 4

13:45 Taunton

Bumpy Johnson

12st 0lb

J: Tom Scudamore

T: David Pipe

prominent, ridden after 3 out, soon held, weakened before 2 out

11/2

4th

9

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Bumpy Johnson

11st 5lb

J: Tom Scudamore

T: David Pipe

in rear, not fluent 5th, not fluent 7th, headway and prominent 3 out, switched left before 2 out, soon pushed along and outpaced, no extra run-in

8/1

Form: 1210-6

Last run: 15 days

W: 11st 10lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 123

Form & Verdict
Pulled hard when disappointing in the 4yo handicap at Cheltenham Festival in March (in first-time tongue-tie, kept since) and had a wind operation in the summer, before never getting in a blow when co-second favourite for handicap at Chepstow (2m, good) 15 days ago; could be all the better since that run (needs to be) and the new trip is interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

18th Nov 2022

Good

2m 0f 11y

Class 4

14:55 Chepstow

Saint Segal

11st 11lb

J: David Noonan

T: Jane Williams

in touch with leaders, lost ground after 1st

7/1

5th

4

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Saint Segal

11st 10lb

J: Tom O’Brien

T: Mrs Jane Williams

took keen hold, towards rear, headway and in touch with leaders when hit 3rd, prominent 3 out, pushed along before 2 out, lost ground approaching last, weakened run-in

9/2

6th

2

8th Oct 2022

Good

2m 0f 11y

Class 2

16:37 Chepstow

Saint Segal

11st 8lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Mrs Jane Williams

unruly beforehand, held up in rear, headway 3 out, soon ridden, kept on but not pace to challenge

4/1

Form: 24732/

Last run: 615 days

W: 11st 7lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 118

Form & Verdict
Sole win (19 races) in 2018; last seen two winters back with two good places over 3m2f in the mud at Warwick when back hurdling, but he needs to be in peak form to win this first run in 615 days, over just 2m4f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

20th Nov 2022

Soft

2m 2f 111y

Class 3

15:35 Exeter

Ballymagroarty Boy

11st 6lb

J: Tom Buckley

T: Nigel Hawke

Sole win (20 races) in 2018; ran okay at Ffos Las given how long he'd been absent but he's opposable in a handicap of this strength.

50/1

6th

7

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Ballymagroarty Boy

11st 7lb

J: David Noonan

T: Nigel Hawke

in rear, shaken up on outer after 7th, pushed along when not fluent 3 out, held before 2 out

20/1

Form: 3UP6P/ C

Last run: 576 days

W: 11st 10lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 121

Form & Verdict
Goes well on soft/heavy; chasing career two seasons back never really took off, given wind surgery before penultimate start, and he's been unraced since March 2021; tongue tied last three starts but not today; plenty to prove after the layoff and the market may well guide.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

21st Nov 2022

Good To Soft

3m 0f 110y

Class 4

13:50 Kempton

Limited Reserve

11st 7lb

J: Jack Tudor

T: Christian Williams

Has lost his way since Grade 3 win at Sandown in 2020; well beaten in two starts this term; best watched unless the market suggests a revival is expected.

33/1

8th

8

9th Nov 2022

Soft

2m 3f 123y

Class 2

16:05 Bangor-on-Dee

Limited Reserve

10st 6lb

J: Jack Tudor

T: Christian Williams

Well handicapped on his early-2020 form and last month's run at Ffos Las, which was his first outing since March 2021, wasn't without promise; watch the betting, but it's questionable how much ability he retains.

33/1

7th

3

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Limited Reserve

11st 10lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Christian Williams

midfield, towards rear from 2nd, headway after 7th, prominent 3 out, soon pushed along and no extra, got behind from 2 out

12/1

Form: /423P-

Last run: 301 days

W: 11st 8lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 119

Form & Verdict
Had wind surgery in summer 2021; runner-up over 2m3f on good to soft at Wetherby last October was his best show last term, despite racing freely; hooded for both starts afterwards and ran as if something was amiss on the second occasion (2m5f, soft); something to prove on worse than good to soft in Britain; interesting to see how the market speaks of him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Our Surprise

11st 8lb

J: Ben Bromley

T: Harry Fry

took keen hold, towards rear, headway and prominent when not fluent 3rd, going okay when led before 3 out, pushed along and headed before 2 out, mistake 2 out, weakened approaching last

7/1

Form: 2325-0 D

Last run: 163 days

W: 11st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Acts on heavy; no win last term but he was placed three times in a row before two backward steps in the spring; 4lb lower than this time last year and probably vulnerable to an improver.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

7th Nov 2022

Good

2m 4f 110y

Class 4

14:25 Kempton

Stormy Flight

11st 11lb

J: Lorcan Williams

T: Jeremy Scott

Finished tailed off in a Chepstow handicap chase (2m) on his reappearance last season when trying fences once before; good and bad over hurdles in the meantime and cheekpieces are now turned to.

5/1

9th

5

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Stormy Flight

11st 9lb

J: Rex Dingle

T: Jeremy Scott

prominent, pushed along and lost position before 3 out, got behind before 2 out, soon struggling

10/1

33/1

Form: /640/6

Last run: 24 days

W: 10st 12lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 109

Form & Verdict
Pretty useful in his time but heavy defeats in 2019 and same story last month when he returned from a 1007-day absence; blinkers (absent last time) return but it's hard to be confident that they will work the oracle.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

1st Dec 2022

Good To Soft

2m 7f 191y

Class 5

14:40 Market Rasen

Souriyan

12st 0lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Peter Bowen

Useful hurdler/chaser up to summer 2018 but he struggled on his three starts in 2019 and, after a very long absence, it's been the same story on both outings this autumn; this 11yo has plenty to prove.

25/1

10th

11

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Souriyan

10st 12lb

J: James Bowen

T: Peter Bowen

disputed lead, pressed leader with one circuit to go, shaken up after 6th, lost ground quickly after 7th, soon dropped to rear and got behind

33/1

OUR TIP

Form: 15/17- C

Last run: 365 days

W: 11st 11lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 122

Form & Verdict
Acts on soft; wore cheekpieces last four starts, including wins over about 3m in February and May 2021 (one here); tongue tied on last two starts, not seen since tailed off at Cheltenham last October; sent chasing two years ago and this is his first run over hurdles since; questions to answer.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14

9th Nov 2022

Soft

3m 0f 5y

Class 2

15:00 Bangor-on-Dee

Minella Bobo

10st 6lb

J: James Bowen

T: Rebecca Curtis

Lightly raced and inconsistent 9yo; won twice in cheekpieces in first half of 2021 (3m1f, soft/3m, good to soft) but returned from one-year absence with 75l defeat over hurdles last month and needs to have taken significant benefit from that outing; cheekpieces/tongue-tie back on.

14/1

11th

2

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Minella Bobo

11st 11lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Rebecca Curtis

disputed lead, led narrowly with one circuit to go, pushed along and headed before 3 out, soon lost position, in rear and struggling before 2 out

14/1

Form: 6/515-

Last run: 248 days

W: 10st 13lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
Won novice hurdle at Bangor (2m, soft) last December; not disgraced facing a much stiffer task over 2m3f in February on his only start since; very early days, as this is his third run over hurdles and his handicap debut, for a stable among the winners.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

23rd Nov 2022

Good To Soft

2m 3f 147y

Class 5

13:20 Hereford

Chris Cool

12st 1lb

J: Fergus Gregory

T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Bettered his bumper form to win Bangor maiden (2m, soft) on hurdling debut last December but his next run was disappointing and he struggled on last month's seasonal/handicap debut (2m4f, good to soft); remains unexposed but comes here with a point to prove.

25/1

12th

10

23rd Oct 2022

Good To Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Ffos Las

Chris Cool

10st 13lb

J: Henry Brooke

T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

midfield, shaken up and lost position after 6th, in rear 7th, got behind and struggling before 3 out

10/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £31.80
Straight Forecast £25.22
Tricast £164.54
Trifecta £245.80

Selections

RP Ratings:

Breaking Waves

WEST COUNTRY:

Saint Segal

SPOTLIGHT:

The Changing Man

Daily Mail:

Current Mood

The Sun:

Bumpy Johnson

TOPSPEED:

Stormy Flight

The Star:

Minella Bobo

The Times:

Saint Segal

Daily Record:

The Changing Man

D Express:

Current Mood

POSTDATA:

Breaking Waves

Telegraph:

Breaking Waves

Daily Mirror:

Breaking Waves