March 02 / 16.10 Ludlow

16.10

Good

Flowfit Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £4901.4
  • 1m 7f 169y
  • Class 4
  • 12 runners
RTV
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Flowfit Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race)

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

20/1 (Won)

  • Win: £51.00
  • Place: £6.30

Form:

Last run: 16 days

W: 10st 4lb

4 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Very consistent at a fair level on the Flat since the autumn, and collected a 1m4f AW handicap in November (RPR 72), but dropped out rather tamely on recent hurdling debut at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) and needs help from the first-time tongue-tie here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

23rd Mar 2023

Good To Soft

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

14:25 Ludlow

Jacks Profit

11st 2lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: David Evans

Tailed off on hurdling debut but different story over C&D this month (in tongue-strap for first time) when beating several of these; 50-1 but no fluke about the win and followed up in Wolverhampton AW contest last Saturday; penalty for the course success but still strongly considered.

15/8

1st

6

(2)

18th Mar 2023

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Jacks Profit

9st 7lb

J: Jordan Williams

T: David Evans

led narrowly

6/4

1st

9

2nd Mar 2023

Good

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

16:10 Ludlow

Jacks Profit

10st 4lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: David Evans

Very consistent at a fair level on the Flat since the autumn, and collected a 1m4f AW handicap in November (RPR 72), but dropped out rather tamely on recent hurdling debut at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) and needs help from the first-time tongue-tie here.

20/1

13/8

  • Place: £1.10

Form: 6-521 CD

Last run: 8 days

W: 11st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Creditable second of 14 on hurdling debut at Huntingdon (2m, good to soft) in January and probably didn't need to match that form to go one better over C&D (good) eight days ago; leading contender under penalty.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

10

18th Apr 2026

Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 1

14:20 Ayr

Welsh Charger

10st 6lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Alastair Ralph

Beaten only 2l when fifth in this last year and runs off just 1lb higher today (from 8lb out of the handicap); however, he hasn't been at his best this season and would be a surprise winner.

33/1

6th

3

12th Feb 2026

Heavy

2m 0f 104y

Class 3

15:25 Taunton

Welsh Charger

11st 3lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Alastair Ralph

Yet to run here but has a good record on other sharp, right-handed tracks, including a win in the quite valuable Scottish County at Musselburgh last February; looked to have been primed for another bold bid in this year's renewal of that race (7-2 favourite) only to unseat at the start 12 days ago; has won on soft but yet to encounter heavy.

5/1

4

31st Jan 2026

Good To Soft

1m 7f 124y

Class 2

13:43 Musselburgh

Welsh Charger

10st 10lb

J: Ciaran Gethings

T: Alastair Ralph

Didn't run badly at Cheltenham/Ascot on his two starts towards the end of last year, with mistakes not helping last time; 2-2 here (soft/good to soft) and has to be of interest now back at Musselburgh off a mark just 1lb higher than when winning this last year.

9/2

7/2

  • Place: £1.60

Form: 11-6 D

Last run: 127 days

W: 11st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Dual bumper winner last season (good/good to soft) but refused to settle and also compromised his chance by persistently hanging when well-held sixth on hurdling debut at Fakenham (2m, good) in October; might be more relaxed with a hood fitted here and almost certainly has the raw ability to feature, but comes with obvious risk.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

4th Feb 2025

Soft

2m 3f 1y

Class 5

16:05 Taunton

Gallopade

11st 3lb

J: Paul O’Brien

T: Warren Greatrex

led, mistake 3 out, headed before 2 out, weakened after 2 out

11/2

8th

7

4th Feb 2025

Soft

2m 3f 1y

Class 5

16:05 Taunton

Gallopade

11st 3lb

J: Paul O’Brien

T: Warren Greatrex

led, not fluent 2 out, mistake 3 out, headed before 2 out, weakened after 2 out

11/2

4

5th Apr 2023

Good To Soft

1m 7f 50y

Class 4

16:00 Wincanton

Gallopade

11st 6lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Warren Greatrex

led, raced in second when not fluent and headed 2nd, pulled up before 2 out, lost action

4/5

OUR TIP

Form: 2-978

Last run: 92 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Close second in good-ground Thurles bumper last March but all three British bumper runs in the autumn were disappointing; significant improvement needed on today's hurdle debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

21st Apr 2026

Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

19:42 Ffos Las

Cumhacht

11st 5lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Rebecca Curtis

Yet to score but he comes here on the back of a good second of six in 2m handicap here in February; the winner and third there have both gone in since, so he's a player off an unchanged mark.

11/4

2nd

4

20th Feb 2026

Soft

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

15:52 Ffos Las

Cumhacht

11st 4lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Rebecca Curtis

0-16, but C&D second on October's return from two years out took course record to 322; longer trip excuses flop next time, but Windsor disappointment latest is trickier to forgive, unless he simply doesn't act on that day's good ground any longer; as likely to revive here as anywhere.

5/1

10

28th Oct 2025

Soft

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

14:28 Ffos Las

Cumhacht

11st 3lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Rebecca Curtis

Absent since September 2023 and untested on ground slower than good to soft but has a largely consistent record (albeit 0-9) over hurdles; returns on a good mark and with Sean Bowen booked; market reference recommended.

7/1

9/1

Form: 48

Last run: 16 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fairly useful on the Flat at best; safely held after racing too freely on both hurdling starts but ran well for a long way at Lingfield (2m, good to soft) last month and today's faster ground ought to suit; can do better.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

27th May 2026

Good

2m 6f 31y

Class 4

19:08 Cartmel

Dickens

11st 5lb

J: Luke Scott

T: Jennie Candlish

In a consistent run of form when last seen in November, mostly hooded but also in just a tongue-tie last time; this mark is very manageable but he does lack a recent run.

13/2

1

30th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

2m 2f 148y

Class 5

12:47 Stratford

Dickens

11st 12lb

J: Luke Scott

T: Jennie Candlish

Has been in fine fettle since joining current yard in the summer with four wins in handicaps; incurs 12lb penalty here partially offset by Luke Scott's 3lb claim; should be hard to beat at this level.

Evs

1

30th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

2m 2f 148y

Class 5

12:47 Stratford

Dickens

11st 12lb

J: Luke Scott

T: Jennie Candlish

Has been in fine fettle since joining current yard in the summer with four wins in handicaps; incurs 12lb penalty here partially offset by Luke Scott's 3lb claim; should be hard to beat at this level.

Evs

12/1

Form: 5P3

Last run: 15 days

W: 10st 2lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Lowly rated maiden on the Flat; well beaten on first two hurdling starts but belied triple-digit odds when keeping-on third in fillies' race at Hereford (2m, good) two weeks ago and has realistic each-way claims here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

(2)

28th Jun 2023

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

19:40 Bath

By Pass

9st 12lb

J: Jordan Williams

T: Bill Turner

took keen hold, prominent, outpaced and lost position over 2f out, soon dropped to rear and no impression

20/1

6th

1

(9)

9th Jun 2023

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

15:30 Brighton

By Pass

9st 2lb

J: Aidan Keeley

T: Bill Turner

led, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, edged left 1f out, soon weakened

20/1

7th

7

24th May 2023

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

19:50 Southwell

By Pass

10st 10lb

J: Harry Kimber

T: Bill Turner

took keen hold, led, headed but prominent after 1st, ridden and weakened before 3 out

12/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 4lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Three-time Flat winner, most recently on last month's stable debut at Kempton (2m, AW; RPR 70); evidently in very good nick, and has a fighting chance here if he takes well to hurdling.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(8)

26th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 2f 150y

16:30 Dundalk (AW)

Overstate

9st 8lb

J: Seamie Heffernan

T: Denis Gerard Hogan

Dual AW winner, latest success over 2m in February 2023; poor form over hurdles subsequently last year and showed very little when returned to the Flat at Kempton 121 days ago.

40/1

10th

2

(10)

27th Sep 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Overstate

10st 0lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Mike Murphy & Michael Keady

First two wins over 1m4f (turf) and 1m2f (Polytrack) but found stamina reserves when upped to 2m over C&D on latest Flat start for previous trainer in February; poor hurdles form since but may have more to come at this trip back with former yard if jumping experience hasn't soured him.

9/2

Form:

Last run:

W: 10st 4lb

4 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Useful 2yo in Ireland but never added to his debut win, and his second on the Flat in January came in a low-grade handicap (1m; RPR 65); joined good stable for hurdling career but his stamina is not assured and others have more pressing claims; blinkers removed from headgear combination.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

11th Sep 2023

Good

2m 0f 47y

Class 4

16:15 Perth

John The Baptist

10st 2lb

J: Liam Harrison

T: Fergal O’Brien

jumped right throughout, always behind, tailed off

7/1

Form: 4436

Last run: 48 days

W: 10st 7lb

5 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Made the frame in all three bumpers last year but suffered 52l defeat on hurdling debut at Huntingdon (2m4f, good to soft) in January and is difficult to enthuse over after that; drops back in trip here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

15th May 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 4

17:10 Aintree

Masked Dance

12st 0lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Mel Rowley

Won this two years ago and was only a short-head away last year; higher in the weights now but had been in career best form until last run which was in a strong handicap; has to be feared.

7/1

6th

8

15th Apr 2026

Good

2m 5f 50y

Class 2

15:15 Haydock

Masked Dance

10st 11lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Mel Rowley

Better than ever in her last three starts over 2m5f and 3m; highly likely to run another solid race but this is stronger than she's accustomed to.

12/1

2nd

1

26th Feb 2026

Soft

2m 7f 174y

Class 3

14:42 Ludlow

Masked Dance

11st 13lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Mel Rowley

In career-best form this season, winning from the front here (2m5f, good to soft) in December before clear second to Magical Maggie over that trip here (soft) three weeks ago; will be on the premises again if suited by today's extra distance.

4/1

Form: 70U80

Last run: 8 days

W: 10st 7lb

7 yo Mare

OR:

Form & Verdict
Unseated rider at first flight on hurdling debut in January and well beaten at big odds on both outings last month, latterly in C&D race won by Welsh Charger.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

16th Mar 2025

Good To Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 4

14:32 Chepstow

Minneigh Mozze

10st 13lb

J: Harry Kimber

T: Hannah James

Ten-race maiden with a basement handicap mark and she's outclassed back in a maiden.

100/1

7th

8

8th Mar 2025

Good

2m 0f 53y

Class 5

16:20 Hereford

Minneigh Mozze

10st 2lb

J: Harry Kimber

T: Hannah James

Nine-race maiden who was pulled up when upped to 3m2f and fitted with cheekpieces (now removed) for latest run a fortnight ago; drops back to 2m here; can't be recommended.

33/1

11

21st Feb 2025

Soft

3m 2f 0y

Class 5

13:40 Warwick

Minneigh Mozze

10st 2lb

J: Oscar Palmer

T: Hannah James

always behind, hit 3rd, tailed off when pulled up after 8th

40/1

Form: 7

Last run: 230 days

W: 11st 0lb

5 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Made fairly encouraging hurdle debut when seventh of 14 at Kilbeggan (2m3f, good) last summer but today's stable debut comes after a 230-day absence and he's probably best watched.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14

25th Apr 2024

Good

3m 0f 0y

Class 5

14:35 Warwick

Happy Sanchez

10st 3lb

J: David Noonan

T: Max Young

Unplaced all six hurdling starts, most recently when pulled up at Hereford (2m3f, good to soft) last month; upped in trip and fitted with cheekpieces for chasing debut; may benefit from the return to good ground.

50/1

14

25th Apr 2024

Good

3m 0f 0y

Class 5

14:35 Warwick

Happy Sanchez

10st 3lb

J: David Noonan

T: Max Young

Unplaced all six hurdling starts, most recently when pulled up at Hereford (2m3f, good to soft) last month; upped in trip and fitted with cheekpieces for chasing debut; may benefit from the return to good ground.

50/1

10

9th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 3f 147y

Class 5

16:02 Hereford

Happy Sanchez

10st 10lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Max Young

Well beaten when 100-1 for handicap debut at end of last season (2m2f) and also when reappearing in Ludlow novice last month (2m); very difficult to enthuse over.

66/1

200/1

Form: 140/P0 D

Last run: 8 days

W: 11st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fair on the Flat but was pulled up on hurdling debut for Ann Duffield in the autumn and also struggled on first hurdle start for current stable, over C&D behind Welsh Charger eight days ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(6)

19th Apr 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Hackberry

9st 7lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Nikki Evans

in touch with leaders

16/1

12th

5

2nd Mar 2023

Good

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

16:10 Ludlow

Hackberry

11st 0lb

J: Shane Quinlan

T: Nikki Evans

Fair on the Flat but was pulled up on hurdling debut for Ann Duffield in the autumn and also struggled on first hurdle start for current stable, over C&D behind Welsh Charger eight days ago.

200/1

15th

3

22nd Feb 2023

Good

1m 7f 169y

Class 4

14:35 Ludlow

Hackberry

11st 7lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Nikki Evans

Fair bumper/Flat scorer for Brian Ellison but he was pulled up on his hurdling debut for Ann Duffield at Kelso in October and also came in well held back on the level in 2m Wolverhampton handicap last month for his new stable; others appeal more.

50/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £116.40
Straight Forecast £88.66
Trifecta £514.20

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Welsh Charger

The Guardian:

By Pass

Daily Mirror:

Overstate

LAMBOURN:

Gallopade

WEST COUNTRY:

John The Baptist

RP Ratings:

Welsh Charger

TOPSPEED:

Welsh Charger

POSTDATA:

Welsh Charger

The Times:

Welsh Charger

Telegraph:

Welsh Charger

Daily Mail:

Welsh Charger

D Express:

Welsh Charger

The Star:

Welsh Charger

Daily Record:

Welsh Charger

The Sun:

By Pass