June 30 / 17.30 Newcastle (AW)

17.30

Standard To Slow

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

  • Prize money: £4501.24
  • 0m 5f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 14 runners
SKY
View Course
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Runners: 14 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

7/1 (Won)

  • Win: £6.50
  • Place: £2.20

Form: 4-4683 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 10st 2lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Having dropped down the weights he returned to form when third at Catterick (5f, good to firm) last time; another 2lb lower here and this two-time Tapeta winner should be suited by today's stiffer test; possible contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(7)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 6

16:27 Southwell (AW)

Nelson Gay

9st 9lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: Michael Dods

Multiple winner on the AW and consistent in the main; in front 2f out but didn't quite get home when third here last month; respected off same mark.

7/1

3rd

5

(7)

27th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Nelson Gay

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Michael Dods

Won twice over C&D early this year and he's now 2lb lower than for the second of them; showed signs of a return to form when fourth of nine at Lingfield three weeks ago; solid candidate.

9/2

1

(3)

8th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 6

14:52 Lingfield (AW)

Nelson Gay

9st 9lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: Michael Dods

Three wins this year include two on the Southwell AW; hasn't been flying of late but he's the type to bounce back and this mark is fine.

11/2

11/2

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 223425 CD

Last run: 15 days

W: 10st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Won over C&D last October and twice went close over C&D in March; continued in good form subsequently and was unfavourably drawn when fifth at Haydock a fortnight ago; firmly in calculations now back here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

9

(10)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Beverley

Dandy Dinmont

9st 5lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Nigel Tinkler

Far from consistent this season but got up in the final strides over C&D (good to firm; off 1lb higher) in May; possibilities provided he's back in similar form and the race again pans out favourably.

12/1

5th

6

(8)

7th Jul 2026

Good

0m 5f 3y

Class 5

16:48 Pontefract

Dandy Dinmont

9st 7lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Nigel Tinkler

Back off the same mark as when winning narrowly at Beverley (5f, good) in May, but he hasn't proved very consistent so far this year so not quite sure what to expect.

16/1

9th

2

(3)

16th Jun 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:20 Thirsk

Dandy Dinmont

9st 8lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Resumed winning ways at Beverley (5f) in May but failed to beat a rival in ten-runner handicap at Carlisle (5f) 18 days ago; this course scorer has a bit to prove now.

11/1

14/1

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 607219 D

Last run: 6 days

W: 9st 11lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Disappointing at Ayr (6f, good) last Saturday but was in good form previously, with a near-miss (6f, good to firm) followed by a win (5f, good to firm); has won on the Wolverhampton Tapeta and is not ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

11

(9)

6th Jul 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Ayr

Newyorkstateofmind

8st 12lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Has a better strike-rate on the AW and he's won just once on turf in the last three years; however, he only just lost out over 5f at Catterick (good) in May and has a decent run in him if on song.

20/1

4th

10

(12)

26th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:38 Newcastle (AW)

Newyorkstateofmind

9st 1lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Ruth Carr

Course winner who was fourth of 13 in this last year and was a close second at Catterick last month; however, this inconsistent 9yo has been soundly beaten on his last two starts and has to leave those runs behind.

16/1

8th

5

(2)

15th Jun 2026

Good

0m 5f 110y

Class 6

15:40 Wetherby

Newyorkstateofmind

9st 1lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Has won over this intermediate distance; good second at Catterick on second start (5f, good) this season but below his best either side of that.

12/1

20/1

Form: 08-737 C

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict
Course winner who continues to drop down the weights and was a fair third of seven at Pontefract last month on his second start for this yard; however, soundly beaten at Ripon since and others provide more solid options.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

11

(9)

10th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:20 Newcastle (AW)

Ben Macdui

9st 3lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

Form dipped sharply the last twice, so needs to bounce back in a major way; however, looks difficult to dismiss, having scored over C&D (off 3lb lower) on last AW appearance.

12/1

9th

5

(15)

20th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

15:20 Redcar

Ben Macdui

9st 7lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

Smart earlier in career, when acting on soft; revived since wind surgery, winning on AW then a luckless third at Beverley (5f, good); however, he finished nearer last than first at Ayr since and left on the same mark.

12/1

15th

10

(16)

21st Sep 2023

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

14:25 Ayr

Ben Macdui

9st 8lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

In great form since having wind surgery, winning at Newcastle (AW) then unlucky third at Beverley (good; would likely have won with clearer run); raised only 1lb for latest effort and commands respect.

7/1

Form: 8-5014 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Has a patchy profile and was a soundly beaten fourth of eight at Chelmsford (5f, AW) last time, but before that he won over C&D on his AW debut and that form has worked out well; may have more to offer now back here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(12)

30th Jun 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Prodigious Blue

9st 13lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

midfield

11/2

4th

2

(5)

25th May 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

18:22 Chelmsford (AW)

Prodigious Blue

9st 6lb

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Nigel Tinkler

sweating

9/2

1st

4

(1)

9th May 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Prodigious Blue

9st 9lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

in rear on far side of group, headway halfway, ridden over 1f out, ran on to lead towards finish

16/1

OUR TIP

5/1

Form: 3-1214 D BF

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 2lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Improved form with two wins this spring (5f/6f, soft/good) and good fourth of 16 at Doncaster (6f, good) last time; unproven on AW but she's a likely player if the surface isn't an issue.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(8)

7th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 2y

Class 6

16:35 Doncaster

Little Muddy

9st 1lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Well treated on her old form but last win was over two years ago and she has form figures of 77870096 in the last 13 months; handles most ground but she has plenty to prove and needs a big turnaround.

10/1

4

(4)

21st Apr 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

13:55 Redcar

Little Muddy

9st 7lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Major player on her 2023 form but she went the wrong way last year; there was more encouragement in her midfield finish in a 0-72 handicap at Doncaster three weeks ago (5f, good), however, and she's considered back in these calmer waters.

6/1

6th

4

(4)

21st Apr 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

13:55 Redcar

Little Muddy

9st 7lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Major player on her 2023 form but she went the wrong way last year; there was more encouragement in her midfield finish in a 0-72 handicap at Doncaster three weeks ago (5f, good), however, and she's considered back in these calmer waters.

6/1

7th
13 (14)
Belsito

14/1

Form: 01-430 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced 3yo who has shown promise and is in a good sprinting yard; things may click again at some point but his claims aren't compelling on the back of his disappointing run at Thirsk three weeks ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(7)

4th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 6y

Class 5

14:51 Hamilton

Belsito

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Kevin Ryan

Won two in a row over C&D last September (good to soft/soft) and returned to form with very close fourth at Southwell (6f, AW) in April on his second start of the season; slow ground would be a major boost to his claims.

5/1

4th

3

(4)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Belsito

9st 6lb

J: Jack Callan

T: Kevin Ryan

Back-to-back wins at Hamilton last September (6f); regular cheekpieces were left off for return and he shaped as if needing the run; can build on that in refitted headgear here; last AW run (over C&D) was his best effort on an artificial surface.

7/1

11th

7

(5)

10th Apr 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:10 Thirsk

Belsito

9st 10lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: Kevin Ryan

Scored twice on a soft surface over 6f at Hamilton last September, but was weak in the market when failing in his hat-trick bid at Pontefract (6f, soft) the following month; may need this first start in six months and wouldn't want the ground to dry out too much.

10/1

Form: 33-009 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Not at his best this year but his mid-division finish at Beverley last time was much more encouraging, having been slow to break, and he's 6lb lower than when winning over C&D last August; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(5)

20th Feb 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Show Me Show Me

9st 5lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Reliable sort who broke losing run over C&D last month; didn't improve for the return to 6f last time but he'll be happier back at this trip and he's not without a chance.

11/2

3rd

5

(2)

8th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Show Me Show Me

9st 8lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Hasn't raced over 6f since the 2023 Ayr Bronze Cup; some solid 5f form this winter and, while the trip is a slight query (0-16), he was placed in a 0-85 in July 2022; today's rider knows him and is good value for his claim, especially in an apprentice race; could go well.

12/1

3rd

5

(2)

8th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Show Me Show Me

9st 8lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Hasn't raced over 6f since the 2023 Ayr Bronze Cup; some solid 5f form this winter and, while the trip is a slight query (0-16), he was placed in a 0-85 in July 2022; today's rider knows him and is good value for his claim, especially in an apprentice race; could go well.

12/1

20/1

Form: 00-548 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Has been unable to recapture his best Irish form and has to produce more than he's managed on turf the last twice; however, he ran a big race from the front over C&D on last month's reappearance and is now 4lb lower; represents last year's winning yard and no surprise to see a bold show now back here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

11

(5)

30th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

14:40 Catterick

Jarvis

8st 7lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: Ann Duffield

Winless since last spring and he arrives below par too, tried in blinkers when seventh at Newcastle (5f) 15 days ago; he's hard to make a case for.

33/1

7th

3

(7)

15th Aug 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

21:00 Newcastle (AW)

Jarvis

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Ann Duffield

Ex-Ger Lyons; winner of a four-runner maiden on Dundalk AW in 2021; rather disappointing for present stable recently but is now well handicapped; blinkers replace cheekpieces; needs to bounce back.

16/1

6th

3

(1)

11th Jul 2023

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

15:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Jarvis

10st 0lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Ann Duffield

took keen hold, disputed lead, pushed along 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

12/1

Form: 1-7527 CD

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Mixed form on turf this summer for new yard but he's 0-19 on grass as opposed to 6-21 on AW (including three C&D wins); can't be ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(2)

4th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Blazing Hot

9st 9lb

J: Ben Sanderson

T: Michael Herrington

took keen hold, prominent

9/1

2nd

3

(2)

4th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Blazing Hot

9st 9lb

J: Ben Sanderson

T: Michael Herrington

took keen hold, prominent

9/1

8th

2

(5)

22nd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Blazing Hot

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

Multiple AW winner over this trip but hasn't been at best since last win in January; back on same mark as that success but something to find with Latin Five on latest C&D form.

8/1

11th
12 (11)
Elzaal

8/1

Form: 131110 CD

Last run: 52 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Disappointing over C&D on May 9; however, he's had a break since and was prolific over C&D previously; if he's back on song he can play a leading role.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(7)

1st Jan 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:10 Newcastle (AW)

Elzaal

8st 9lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Paul Midgley

Five-time C&D winner but the last was in March 2023; mark has bottomed out but he will need to better his two C&D runs this autumn to win.

7/1

8th

9

(7)

1st Jan 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:10 Newcastle (AW)

Elzaal

8st 9lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Paul Midgley

Five-time C&D winner but the last was in March 2023; mark has bottomed out but he will need to better his two C&D runs this autumn to win.

7/1

7

(9)

8th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Elzaal

9st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Multiple C&D winner but the last of them was back in March 2023; sent off favourite for a 0-55 here on his return from a break last month and ran creditably; dangerous off a lowly mark.

7/1

12th
4 (10)
Murbih

14/1

Form: 120200 D

Last run: 19 days

W: 10st 1lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Unable to beat a rival on turf the last twice but the AW is his game and he's 1lb lower than when going very close over C&D in March; could bounce back with a big performance now back on Tapeta.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

11

(10)

26th Sep 2024

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 6

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Murbih

8st 10lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Antony Brittain

midfield

20/1

6th

7

(1)

13th Jun 2024

Good

0m 5f 8y

Class 6

16:55 Nottingham

Murbih

9st 2lb

J: David Nolan

T: Antony Brittain

Still seeking a first turf win after 17 attempts and he's struggled on the grass so far this year; others are more convincing.

25/1

9th

8

(11)

29th May 2024

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:15 Beverley

Murbih

9st 3lb

J: William Pyle

T: Antony Brittain

awkward start, prominent

10/1

25/1

Form: 49-767

Last run: 55 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Well handicapped on last year's best 6f form but she hasn't been at the same level on her three runs this year and drops back in trip today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(7)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 2y

Class 6

13:20 Doncaster

Run This Way

9st 8lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

All eight wins have been on good or slower and last six have been over 6f; made it 2-2 in blinkers when beating 16 rivals at Thirsk last month and she ran well again when fourth in hat-trick bid at Nottingham (6f, good) on Wednesday; should be in the thick of things again and it would be a positive if rain arrives.

7/2

4th

5

(12)

3rd Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 18y

Class 6

17:18 Nottingham

Run This Way

9st 7lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Had blinkers on for the first time when winning at Redcar (6f, good; has won on soft) last month and followed up at Thirsk (6f, good) 18 days ago, beating 16 rivals; back up another 7lb but can't be dismissed in her bid for the hat-trick.

15/8

1st

14

(12)

16th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:57 Thirsk

Run This Way

9st 0lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Paul Midgley

C&D winner; off the mark for the year with a comfortable success at Redcar nine days ago (6f, good; first win on ground without soft in the description); that win came in new blinkers which aren't guaranteed to have the same effect a second time; only 3lb higher today, though, so she has obvious claims if in the same form.

5/1

7/1

Form: 0-972U

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Bumped into a thriving winner when going close at Lingfield (5f, Polytrack) two starts ago and stumbled/unseated rider leaving the stalls at Chelmsford last Thursday; has won on the Southwell Tapeta and could be in the mix.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

7

(7)

30th Jun 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Libertus

9st 13lb

J: Tommie Jakes

T: James Fanshawe

upset in stalls, dwelt start, in rear

7/1

1

(9)

22nd Jun 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

14:05 Chelmsford (AW)

Libertus

9st 11lb

J: Tommie Jakes

T: James Fanshawe

stumbled badly and unseated rider start

11/2

2nd

2

(1)

6th Jun 2023

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 5

19:35 Lingfield (AW)

Libertus

9st 8lb

J: Tommie Jakes

T: James Fanshawe

slowly into stride, in rear, raced wide home turn, ridden and rapid headway from over 1f out, keeping on when switched right inside final 110yds, just failed

4/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £26.00
Straight Forecast £20.19
Tricast £122.32
Trifecta £202.70

Selections

Telegraph:

Nelson Gay

POSTDATA:

Dandy Dinmont

NEWMARKET:

Libertus

SPOTLIGHT:

Prodigious Blue

RP RATINGS:

Show Me Show Me

The Times:

Dandy Dinmont

Daily Mirror:

Dandy Dinmont

The Star:

Libertus

Daily Record:

Prodigious Blue

The Guardian:

Nelson Gay

Daily Mail:

Nelson Gay

The Sun:

Nelson Gay

D Express:

Show Me Show Me