June 30 / 17.30 Newcastle (AW)

17.30

Standard To Slow

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

  • Prize money: £4501.24
  • 0m 5f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 14 runners
SKY
View Course
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Runners: 14 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

7/1 (Won)

  • Win: £6.50
  • Place: £2.20

Form: 4-4683 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 10st 2lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Having dropped down the weights he returned to form when third at Catterick (5f, good to firm) last time; another 2lb lower here and this two-time Tapeta winner should be suited by today's stiffer test; possible contender.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(7)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 6

16:27 Southwell (AW)

Nelson Gay

9st 9lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: Michael Dods

Multiple winner on the AW and consistent in the main; in front 2f out but didn't quite get home when third here last month; respected off same mark.

7/1

3rd

5

(7)

27th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Nelson Gay

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Michael Dods

Won twice over C&D early this year and he's now 2lb lower than for the second of them; showed signs of a return to form when fourth of nine at Lingfield three weeks ago; solid candidate.

9/2

1

(3)

8th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 6

14:52 Lingfield (AW)

Nelson Gay

9st 9lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: Michael Dods

Three wins this year include two on the Southwell AW; hasn't been flying of late but he's the type to bounce back and this mark is fine.

11/2

11/2

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 223425 CD

Last run: 15 days

W: 10st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Won over C&D last October and twice went close over C&D in March; continued in good form subsequently and was unfavourably drawn when fifth at Haydock a fortnight ago; firmly in calculations now back here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

2

(3)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

15:10 Carlisle

Dandy Dinmont

9st 8lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

He's inconsistent but he was back on song when winning at Beverley (5f, good to firm) this month; he's just 2lb higher today and is a leading player if backing up that latest performance.

11/4

1st

8

(4)

12th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Beverley

Dandy Dinmont

9st 1lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

Modest strike-rate since 2022 and his form thus far this term hasn't continued the broad consistency he showed in 2025; no certainty to take advantage of a reduced mark.

14/1

7th

7

(3)

25th Apr 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

16:55 Haydock

Dandy Dinmont

9st 2lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Nigel Tinkler

Conditions shouldn't be an excuse and he didn't run badly at Bath (5f, good) three weeks ago after a short break; Tom Marquand a notable booking; each-way shout.

9/2

14/1

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 607219 D

Last run: 6 days

W: 9st 11lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Disappointing at Ayr (6f, good) last Saturday but was in good form previously, with a near-miss (6f, good to firm) followed by a win (5f, good to firm); has won on the Wolverhampton Tapeta and is not ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

9

(1)

22nd May 2026

Good

0m 5f 160y

Class 6

17:40 Bath

Newyorkstateofmind

9st 1lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Ruth Carr

Nine-time winner who has not scored since September 2024 but he finished well to go close at Catterick (5f, good) last week; looks interesting off same mark and this step back up in trip is a positive.

4/1

2nd

7

(4)

11th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

16:00 Catterick

Newyorkstateofmind

9st 1lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Three-time turf winner who went close at Newcastle (5f, AW) last September and races off 7lb lower today; however, last season ended tamely and this 9yo finished down the field on last month's reappearance.

7/1

12th

9

(10)

24th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 3y

Class 6

13:40 Doncaster

Newyorkstateofmind

9st 4lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Veteran with a better record on AW than turf; 5f on fast ground no problem for him and he has run well after an absence in the past (although not last year); good run wouldn't be a surprise but others appeal more for win purposes.

14/1

20/1

Form: 08-737 C

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict
Course winner who continues to drop down the weights and was a fair third of seven at Pontefract last month on his second start for this yard; however, soundly beaten at Ripon since and others provide more solid options.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

11

(9)

10th Nov 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:20 Newcastle (AW)

Ben Macdui

9st 3lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

Form dipped sharply the last twice, so needs to bounce back in a major way; however, looks difficult to dismiss, having scored over C&D (off 3lb lower) on last AW appearance.

12/1

9th

5

(15)

20th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

15:20 Redcar

Ben Macdui

9st 7lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

Smart earlier in career, when acting on soft; revived since wind surgery, winning on AW then a luckless third at Beverley (5f, good); however, he finished nearer last than first at Ayr since and left on the same mark.

12/1

15th

10

(16)

21st Sep 2023

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

14:25 Ayr

Ben Macdui

9st 8lb

J: Graham Lee

T: Paul Midgley

In great form since having wind surgery, winning at Newcastle (AW) then unlucky third at Beverley (good; would likely have won with clearer run); raised only 1lb for latest effort and commands respect.

7/1

Form: 8-5014 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Has a patchy profile and was a soundly beaten fourth of eight at Chelmsford (5f, AW) last time, but before that he won over C&D on his AW debut and that form has worked out well; may have more to offer now back here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(12)

30th Jun 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Prodigious Blue

9st 13lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

midfield

11/2

4th

2

(5)

25th May 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

18:22 Chelmsford (AW)

Prodigious Blue

9st 6lb

J: Andrea Atzeni

T: Nigel Tinkler

sweating

9/2

1st

4

(1)

9th May 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Prodigious Blue

9st 9lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

in rear on far side of group, headway halfway, ridden over 1f out, ran on to lead towards finish

16/1

OUR TIP

5/1

Form: 3-1214 D BF

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 2lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Improved form with two wins this spring (5f/6f, soft/good) and good fourth of 16 at Doncaster (6f, good) last time; unproven on AW but she's a likely player if the surface isn't an issue.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(8)

7th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 2y

Class 6

16:35 Doncaster

Little Muddy

9st 1lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Well treated on her old form but last win was over two years ago and she has form figures of 77870096 in the last 13 months; handles most ground but she has plenty to prove and needs a big turnaround.

10/1

4

(4)

21st Apr 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

13:55 Redcar

Little Muddy

9st 7lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Major player on her 2023 form but she went the wrong way last year; there was more encouragement in her midfield finish in a 0-72 handicap at Doncaster three weeks ago (5f, good), however, and she's considered back in these calmer waters.

6/1

6th

4

(4)

21st Apr 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

13:55 Redcar

Little Muddy

9st 7lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Major player on her 2023 form but she went the wrong way last year; there was more encouragement in her midfield finish in a 0-72 handicap at Doncaster three weeks ago (5f, good), however, and she's considered back in these calmer waters.

6/1

7th
13 (14)
Belsito

14/1

Form: 01-430 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced 3yo who has shown promise and is in a good sprinting yard; things may click again at some point but his claims aren't compelling on the back of his disappointing run at Thirsk three weeks ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(7)

4th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 6y

Class 5

14:51 Hamilton

Belsito

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Kevin Ryan

Won two in a row over C&D last September (good to soft/soft) and returned to form with very close fourth at Southwell (6f, AW) in April on his second start of the season; slow ground would be a major boost to his claims.

5/1

4th

3

(4)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 5

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Belsito

9st 6lb

J: Jack Callan

T: Kevin Ryan

Back-to-back wins at Hamilton last September (6f); regular cheekpieces were left off for return and he shaped as if needing the run; can build on that in refitted headgear here; last AW run (over C&D) was his best effort on an artificial surface.

7/1

11th

7

(5)

10th Apr 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:10 Thirsk

Belsito

9st 10lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: Kevin Ryan

Scored twice on a soft surface over 6f at Hamilton last September, but was weak in the market when failing in his hat-trick bid at Pontefract (6f, soft) the following month; may need this first start in six months and wouldn't want the ground to dry out too much.

10/1

Form: 33-009 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Not at his best this year but his mid-division finish at Beverley last time was much more encouraging, having been slow to break, and he's 6lb lower than when winning over C&D last August; interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(5)

20th Feb 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Show Me Show Me

9st 5lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Reliable sort who broke losing run over C&D last month; didn't improve for the return to 6f last time but he'll be happier back at this trip and he's not without a chance.

11/2

3rd

5

(2)

8th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Show Me Show Me

9st 8lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Hasn't raced over 6f since the 2023 Ayr Bronze Cup; some solid 5f form this winter and, while the trip is a slight query (0-16), he was placed in a 0-85 in July 2022; today's rider knows him and is good value for his claim, especially in an apprentice race; could go well.

12/1

3rd

5

(2)

8th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Show Me Show Me

9st 8lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

Hasn't raced over 6f since the 2023 Ayr Bronze Cup; some solid 5f form this winter and, while the trip is a slight query (0-16), he was placed in a 0-85 in July 2022; today's rider knows him and is good value for his claim, especially in an apprentice race; could go well.

12/1

20/1

Form: 00-548 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Has been unable to recapture his best Irish form and has to produce more than he's managed on turf the last twice; however, he ran a big race from the front over C&D on last month's reappearance and is now 4lb lower; represents last year's winning yard and no surprise to see a bold show now back here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

11

(5)

30th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

14:40 Catterick

Jarvis

8st 7lb

J: Andrew Breslin

T: Ann Duffield

Winless since last spring and he arrives below par too, tried in blinkers when seventh at Newcastle (5f) 15 days ago; he's hard to make a case for.

33/1

7th

3

(7)

15th Aug 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

21:00 Newcastle (AW)

Jarvis

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Ann Duffield

Ex-Ger Lyons; winner of a four-runner maiden on Dundalk AW in 2021; rather disappointing for present stable recently but is now well handicapped; blinkers replace cheekpieces; needs to bounce back.

16/1

6th

3

(1)

11th Jul 2023

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

15:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Jarvis

10st 0lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Ann Duffield

took keen hold, disputed lead, pushed along 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

12/1

Form: 1-7527 CD

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Mixed form on turf this summer for new yard but he's 0-19 on grass as opposed to 6-21 on AW (including three C&D wins); can't be ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(2)

4th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Blazing Hot

9st 9lb

J: Ben Sanderson

T: Michael Herrington

took keen hold, prominent

9/1

2nd

3

(2)

4th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Blazing Hot

9st 9lb

J: Ben Sanderson

T: Michael Herrington

took keen hold, prominent

9/1

8th

2

(5)

22nd Mar 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

19:45 Newcastle (AW)

Blazing Hot

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

Multiple AW winner over this trip but hasn't been at best since last win in January; back on same mark as that success but something to find with Latin Five on latest C&D form.

8/1

11th
12 (11)
Elzaal

8/1

Form: 131110 CD

Last run: 52 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Disappointing over C&D on May 9; however, he's had a break since and was prolific over C&D previously; if he's back on song he can play a leading role.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(7)

1st Jan 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:10 Newcastle (AW)

Elzaal

8st 9lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Paul Midgley

Five-time C&D winner but the last was in March 2023; mark has bottomed out but he will need to better his two C&D runs this autumn to win.

7/1

8th

9

(7)

1st Jan 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:10 Newcastle (AW)

Elzaal

8st 9lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Paul Midgley

Five-time C&D winner but the last was in March 2023; mark has bottomed out but he will need to better his two C&D runs this autumn to win.

7/1

7

(9)

8th Nov 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Elzaal

9st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Multiple C&D winner but the last of them was back in March 2023; sent off favourite for a 0-55 here on his return from a break last month and ran creditably; dangerous off a lowly mark.

7/1

12th
4 (10)
Murbih

14/1

Form: 120200 D

Last run: 19 days

W: 10st 1lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Unable to beat a rival on turf the last twice but the AW is his game and he's 1lb lower than when going very close over C&D in March; could bounce back with a big performance now back on Tapeta.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

11

(10)

26th Sep 2024

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 6

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Murbih

8st 10lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Antony Brittain

midfield

20/1

6th

7

(1)

13th Jun 2024

Good

0m 5f 8y

Class 6

16:55 Nottingham

Murbih

9st 2lb

J: David Nolan

T: Antony Brittain

Still seeking a first turf win after 17 attempts and he's struggled on the grass so far this year; others are more convincing.

25/1

9th

8

(11)

29th May 2024

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

17:15 Beverley

Murbih

9st 3lb

J: William Pyle

T: Antony Brittain

awkward start, prominent

10/1

25/1

Form: 49-767

Last run: 55 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Well handicapped on last year's best 6f form but she hasn't been at the same level on her three runs this year and drops back in trip today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(12)

3rd Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 18y

Class 6

17:18 Nottingham

Run This Way

9st 7lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Had blinkers on for the first time when winning at Redcar (6f, good; has won on soft) last month and followed up at Thirsk (6f, good) 18 days ago, beating 16 rivals; back up another 7lb but can't be dismissed in her bid for the hat-trick.

15/8

1st

14

(12)

16th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:57 Thirsk

Run This Way

9st 0lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Paul Midgley

C&D winner; off the mark for the year with a comfortable success at Redcar nine days ago (6f, good; first win on ground without soft in the description); that win came in new blinkers which aren't guaranteed to have the same effect a second time; only 3lb higher today, though, so she has obvious claims if in the same form.

5/1

1st

7

(11)

7th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 217y

Class 6

17:50 Redcar

Run This Way

9st 2lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Won three times on good to soft/soft in 2024, the first of them coming over C&D; not at her best for a while now though and she wouldn't want the ground to dry out too much; first-time blinkers replace cheekpieces.

7/1

7/1

Form: 0-972U

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Bumped into a thriving winner when going close at Lingfield (5f, Polytrack) two starts ago and stumbled/unseated rider leaving the stalls at Chelmsford last Thursday; has won on the Southwell Tapeta and could be in the mix.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

7

(7)

30th Jun 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Libertus

9st 13lb

J: Tommie Jakes

T: James Fanshawe

upset in stalls, dwelt start, in rear

7/1

1

(9)

22nd Jun 2023

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

14:05 Chelmsford (AW)

Libertus

9st 11lb

J: Tommie Jakes

T: James Fanshawe

stumbled badly and unseated rider start

11/2

2nd

2

(1)

6th Jun 2023

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 5

19:35 Lingfield (AW)

Libertus

9st 8lb

J: Tommie Jakes

T: James Fanshawe

slowly into stride, in rear, raced wide home turn, ridden and rapid headway from over 1f out, keeping on when switched right inside final 110yds, just failed

4/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £26.00
Straight Forecast £20.19
Tricast £122.32
Trifecta £202.70

Selections

Telegraph:

Nelson Gay

POSTDATA:

Dandy Dinmont

NEWMARKET:

Libertus

SPOTLIGHT:

Prodigious Blue

RP RATINGS:

Show Me Show Me

The Times:

Dandy Dinmont

Daily Mirror:

Dandy Dinmont

The Star:

Libertus

Daily Record:

Prodigious Blue

The Guardian:

Nelson Gay

Daily Mail:

Nelson Gay

The Sun:

Nelson Gay

D Express:

Show Me Show Me