July 10 / 16.05 Ayr

16.05

Good To Soft

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  • Prize money: £10308
  • 1m 5f 26y
  • Class 3
  • 6 runners
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Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £3.25
  • Place: £1.70

Form: 3-4136 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 8st 11lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Often slow starter, as when never dangerous at Pontefract (1m4f) two weeks ago, but has the form to feature and won't mind good to soft ground providing he breaks on terms.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13

(15)

23rd Aug 2024

Soft

1m 4f 15y

Class 2

19:05 Hamilton

Geremia

8st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Two wins last year (good to soft/soft; including here) and he took a six-runner C&D handicap (good) in May; however, slow starts can be an issue and he was well beaten at Thirsk last time; the cheekpieces had no positive impact on sole previous use in 2021; others are more compelling.

33/1

15th

2

(14)

16th Jun 2024

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:15 Thirsk

Geremia

9st 8lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Three-time winner at up to 1m5f, on good or slower; latest success came at Hamilton (1m4f, good), on his penultimate start; finished over 3l ahead of Hope You Can Run when sixth back at Hamilton latest; more needed.

9/1

6th

8

(4)

2nd Jun 2024

Good To Soft

1m 5f 16y

Class 3

16:40 Hamilton

Geremia

9st 1lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Left Jim Goldie before penultimate start; two wins from four races at Hamilton, including when he mowed down Capital Theory from the back in six-runner race (1m4f) 16 days ago; back up 4lb (peak mark was 2lb higher still) and stays further than this; another telling late challenge could be on its way.

8/1

4/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 0-2452 CD

Last run: 12 days

W: 8st 11lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Has drawn a blank since winning his first two handicaps in July 2021 but he went mighty close to putting that right at Carlisle (1m3f, soft; first-time tongue-tie) 12 days ago; this looks a better race but should be competitive if taking to the new visor.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

1

(7)

19th Sep 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

16:10 Newcastle (AW)

Ravenscraig Castle

9st 9lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Without a win on the Flat since 2021, but he's on a reduced mark and did best of the rest behind an emphatic winner over C&D two weeks ago; was strong in the market for that race and has each-way claims again.

4/1

2nd

2

(5)

2nd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

13:45 Newcastle (AW)

Ravenscraig Castle

9st 9lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Without a win on the Flat since 2021 and he came in only ninth of 12 in 1m2f Ayr handicap 23 days ago; others appeal more.

9/1

9th

7

(5)

10th Aug 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

16:15 Ayr

Ravenscraig Castle

9st 8lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Largely consistent hurdler who returned to the Flat with respectable fourth (just behind Penelope's Sister) over C&D (good to firm) a fortnight ago; 1lb lower today and might be better suited by the slightly slower ground; each-way claims at least.

6/1

Form: -75590 CD

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
Won three times in small fields last summer (1m4f-1m6f, good/good to firm; including this race); ran okay in Dubai early this year and it was always going to be tough in the Copper Horse at Royal Ascot (tongue-tie tried there now left off); ground on the soft side of good is worrying.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(2)

13th Oct 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Charging Thunder

9st 9lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: James Owen

Won over hurdles in the summer and has slipped to an attractive Flat mark but looked out of sorts when tailed off on last two appearances; leap of faith required to support him.

16/1

4th

2

(3)

17th Sep 2026

Standard

2m 0f 102y

Class 4

17:25 Southwell (AW)

Charging Thunder

9st 13lb

J: Luke Morris

T: James Owen

C&D winner off 1lb higher in March 2025; landed a minor handicap hurdle at Stratford in July but he has since finished tailed off in a Class 2 handicap at Glorious Goodwood (extended 2m4f); others look safer.

12/1

14th

10

(10)

31st Jul 2026

Good To Firm

2m 4f 137y

Class 2

13:50 Goodwood

Charging Thunder

8st 9lb

J: David Probert

T: James Owen

Below form on the Flat this year, for instance 11th to Believitanducan in the Northumberland Vase last month; not proven beyond 2m in this sphere but he switched back to hurdles for a 2m6f win at Stratford 12 days ago, which might give some renewed hope.

18/1

Form: 039822 BF

Last run: 23 days

W: 8st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Races prominently and comes here in good form after beating all bar an unexposed 4yo at Sandown (1m6f, good to firm); can handle good to soft but both wins on good to firm.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(3)

29th Oct 2025

Soft

1m 2f 50y

Class 6

16:22 Nottingham

Alpine Stroll

11st 13lb

J: Mr Henry Callan

T: Lemos De Souza

Dual Nottingham winner; acts on soft, unraced on heavy; shot back to some form when storming home in an amateur riders' race at Bath (11.5f, good to soft) last month; well below form next time (1m6f, which he stays) but Henry Callan galvanised him to a 1m4f win at Newbury (soft) on Saturday; sole attempt at 1m2f was in 2021 but he had to hold on at Newbury after going clear and his appearance over this trip with 4lb penalty no longer looks ridiculous.

2/1

1st

1

(3)

29th Oct 2025

Soft

1m 2f 50y

Class 6

16:22 Nottingham

Alpine Stroll

11st 13lb

J: Mr Henry Callan

T: Lemos De Souza

Dual Nottingham winner; acts on soft, unraced on heavy; shot back to some form when storming home in an amateur riders' race at Bath (11.5f, good to soft) last month; well below form next time (1m6f, which he stays) but Henry Callan galvanised him to a 1m4f win at Newbury (soft) on Saturday; sole attempt at 1m2f was in 2021 but he had to hold on at Newbury after going clear and his appearance over this trip with 4lb penalty no longer looks ridiculous.

2/1

12

(7)

25th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 5

12:50 Newbury

Alpine Stroll

10st 11lb

J: Mr Henry Callan

T: Lemos De Souza

Acts on soft, unraced on heavy; shot back to some form when storming home in an amateur riders' race at Bath (11.5f, good to soft) last month; well below form off this 7lb higher mark at Haydock (1m6f, which he stays) 13 days later, however.

12/1

Form: -64123 D BF

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
Now 6lb higher than for his Hamilton win in June (1m5f, good to firm; fine on good to soft) but has continued to run well and no reason why he won't be bang there.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

(5)

22nd Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 4f 15y

Class 2

18:35 Hamilton

La Pulga

9st 8lb

J: Archie Young

T: Charlie Johnston

Front-runner who has been keeping busy, winning at Newcastle (1m4f, AW) last month and going close on two of his three starts since, most recently beaten half a length at Ascot (1m4f, good to firm); has won here and is capable of another bold bid.

7/1

3

(6)

9th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 2

14:45 Ascot

La Pulga

9st 13lb

J: Hugh Bowman

T: Charlie Johnston

Usually front-runs; never better than with his first and second at the end of last month, which were on AW however and his top four RPRs have now been registered in that sphere; something to find on turf, including as he was third here (1m6f, good to firm) earlier in July but is now 7lb higher and he dropped out at Chepstow on Thursday.

5/1

OUR TIP

10/1

Form: 10-246

Last run: 19 days

W: 8st 8lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Three wins last year (1m4f/1m6f, soft/good to soft) and started the season well with close-up finishes on soft (1m4f) and good to soft (1m5f); moderate run at Ripon on latest but perhaps unsuited by front-running and the drier ground; chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(5)

14th Oct 2026

Good To Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:39 Nottingham

Zimmerman

9st 1lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

Hat-trick of wins over 1m6f/2m on good to soft, soft and heavy in September; hasn't done quite as well on last two outings, but conditions suit and he could get a place.

12/1

3rd

4

(4)

26th Sep 2026

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

17:45 Ripon

Zimmerman

9st 7lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

Back to winning ways over C&D this month and he completed a quick hat-trick in 1m5f Catterick handicap; posted another good effort off a 6lb higher mark when fourth of ten in 1m6f handicap at Chester one week ago; a player off the same mark.

7/4

4th

5

(4)

19th Sep 2026

Soft

1m 6f 87y

Class 5

17:25 Chester

Zimmerman

9st 12lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Tim Easterby

Back from a three-month layoff in fine form and he readily completed a quick hat-trick in 1m6f handicap at Catterick 11 days ago; up another 6lb but he's not taken lightly.

11/4

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £8.30
Straight Forecast £7.73
Trifecta £38.90

Selections

POSTDATA:

Ravenscraig Castle

RP RATINGS:

Geremia

TOPSPEED:

Alpine Stroll

SPOTLIGHT:

Zimmerman

The Times:

Geremia

D Express:

Geremia

The Star:

Geremia

The Guardian:

Alpine Stroll

Daily Mirror:

Alpine Stroll

Telegraph:

Ravenscraig Castle

Daily Mail:

Ravenscraig Castle

Daily Record:

Ravenscraig Castle