October 14 / 15.10 Chepstow

15.10

Good To Soft

Happy Birthday Sue Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (For The Robert Mottram Memorial Trophy) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £22780
  • 2m 3f 98y
  • Class 1
  • 4 runners
SKY
View Course
Happy Birthday Sue Novices’ Chase (Listed Race) (For The Robert Mottram Memorial Trophy) (GBB Race)

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly sunny

5/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.00

Form: 32353- D

Last run: 175 days

W: 11st 5lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 142

Form & Verdict
0-6 over fences last season but showed some very useful form in defeat, most recently when third in Grade 2 contest at Ayr (2m4f, good) in April; has no problems with soft ground; likely to make his presence felt.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

27th Jan 2024

Good To Soft

2m 4f 127y

Class 2

12:40 Cheltenham

Unexpected Party

11st 8lb

J: Fergus Gillard

T: Dan Skelton

Has been chasing since November 2022, sole win coming in 2m3f Listed race (soft) in October this term; often highly tried but he never seriously threatened when third off much the same mark in this race last year, his only previous handicap chase, and he wasn't in peak form last two outings.

14/1

1

27th Dec 2023

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 1

13:55 Kempton

Unexpected Party

11st 9lb

T: Dan Skelton

Form: 14231- C

Last run: 168 days

W: 11st 5lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 153

Form & Verdict
Smart hurdler who won the Silver Trophy on this card a year ago (2m3f, good) and two Grade 2 events (1m7f/2m5f) subsequently last season; won't mind if the ground ends up soft and will be hard to beat if he jumps adequately on this chasing debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

11th Nov 2023

Soft

2m 4f 35y

Class 1

13:50 Wincanton

Knappers Hill

11st 4lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

jumped well, prominent, disputed lead 7th, good jump and led clearly 5 out, pushed along before 2 out, went clear approaching last, easily

4/6

2nd

3

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 3f 98y

Class 1

15:10 Chepstow

Knappers Hill

11st 5lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

prominent, outpaced after 5 out, soon hung left, went second after 4 out, kept on run-in, not pace to challenge

4/5

1st

2

29th Apr 2023

Good

2m 5f 110y

Class 1

16:00 Sandown

Knappers Hill

11st 10lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Listed bumper winner on soft ground in 2020; landed the valuable novices' handicap on this card a year ago and resumed with another two wins in the autumn, the latter in a Wincanton Grade 2 (1m7f, good to firm); his improvement seems to have levelled off since the turn of the year but he didn't run badly when third at Fontwell (2m3f, good) in February and should be fine over today's trip.

11/4

Form: 600112

Last run: 16 days

W: 10st 12lb

6 yo Mare

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Jumped well when winning Ballinrobe beginners' chase (2m7f yielding) in August and subsequently finished alone in a match race; found one too good on slow ground at Clonmel last month and is not favoured by the weights here but her trainer has a very good strike-rate in Britain.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

3

4th Mar 2024

Heavy

2m 4f 0y

15:30 Leopardstown

Bella Bliss

11st 11lb

J: Brian Hayes

T: John C McConnell

Productive mare with three hurdle wins and two over fences at up to 3m, albeit on much better ground; reportedly lost shoe when below-par over fences at Cheltenham latest; first run over hurdles since Galway Festival and opposable on this ground.

16/1

12th

9

27th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

3m 1f 0y

Class 3

16:30 Cheltenham

Bella Bliss

11st 9lb

J: Mr O McGill

T: John C McConnell

Won a Ballinrobe beginners' chase (2m7f yielding) in August before finishing alone in a match; twice beaten in the meantime, though ran as well as she was entitled in the face of a stiff task in a Listed novice chase at Chepstow two weeks ago, especially as it was over 2m3f (soft); her half-sister won over this far; interesting.

12/1

3rd

5

14th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

2m 3f 98y

Class 1

15:10 Chepstow

Bella Bliss

10st 12lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: John C McConnell

raced in second, led before 6th, headed after 5 out, weakened after 3 out

14/1

OUR TIP

Form: 15123- C BF

Last run: 210 days

W: 11st 5lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 132

Form & Verdict
Developed into useful novice hurdler last season, losing out only narrowly in Haydock Grade 2 (3m, good to soft) in February before creditable third on handicap debut at Uttoxeter (2m7f, soft) the following month; may not be ideally suited by today's drop back in trip but looks a very good chasing prospect.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

24th Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 7f 131y

Class 2

15:08 Chepstow

Collectors Item

11st 5lb

J: Jonjo O’Neill Jr

T: Jonjo O’Neill

Won a novice here; sent chasing this term, staying on well when good fourth at Sandown (3m, soft) on third attempt but a flop when favourite over 3m4f on heavy at Haydock latest; wore cheekpieces for those last two starts; back hurdling in need of a career best.

11/1

0

3

30th Dec 2023

Heavy

3m 4f 97y

Class 2

13:25 Haydock

Collectors Item

11st 5lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Jonjo O’Neill

Went very close in Grade 2 novice hurdle here (3m, good to soft) in February; has matched that useful hurdle form in 3m handicap chases on his last two outings, staying on well in the closing stages after getting outpaced when fourth over 3m at Sandown (soft) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) 22 days ago; the extra 4f now should be very much in his favour.

7/4

4th

1

8th Dec 2023

Soft

3m 0f 37y

Class 3

15:00 Sandown

Collectors Item

12st 0lb

J: Jonjo O’Neill Jr

T: Jonjo O’Neill

Went very close in Grade 2 novice hurdle at Haydock in February (3m, good to soft; has won on soft) and he left his chase/seasonal debut miles behind when keeping on for fifth at Exeter (3m, good to soft) latest; could be sharper now in first-time cheekpieces and he's a possible player.

13/2

Non-runners

Bourbali

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £5.30
Straight Forecast £4.75
Trifecta £16.50

Selections

WEST COUNTRY:

Knappers Hill

SPOTLIGHT:

Unexpected Party

The Times:

Knappers Hill

Telegraph:

Knappers Hill

The Guardian:

Knappers Hill

Daily Mail:

Knappers Hill

D Express:

Knappers Hill

Daily Mirror:

Knappers Hill

Daily Record:

Knappers Hill

RP RATINGS:

Unexpected Party

TOPSPEED:

Unexpected Party

POSTDATA:

Unexpected Party

The Sun:

Unexpected Party

The Star:

Unexpected Party