December 30 / 15.10 Haydock

15.10

Heavy

Betfred ‘Hot Shots’ Handicap Chase

  • Prize money: £7921.5
  • 2m 3f 203y
  • Class 3
  • 7 runners
RTV
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Betfred ‘Hot Shots’ Handicap Chase

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Rain

OUR TIP

15/8 (Won)

  • Win: £4.50
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 133-31 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 11st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 123

Form & Verdict
Has run well on both starts over fences, last time getting off the mark in four-finisher event at Leicester (2m4f, heavy; first two clear); up 3lb; chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

6th Apr 2024

Heavy

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:20 Uttoxeter

Happy And Fine

11st 10lb

J: Bryan Carver

T: Alex Hales

chased clear leader

5/2

3rd

1

6th Apr 2024

Heavy

2m 4f 0y

Class 3

15:20 Uttoxeter

Happy And Fine

11st 10lb

J: Bryan Carver

T: Alex Hales

chased clear leader

5/2

1

17th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 3f 98y

Class 3

15:35 Chepstow

Happy And Fine

11st 10lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Alex Hales

Looked a chaser on the up when bagging a pair of 2m4f handicaps at Leicester and Haydock either side of Christmas; pulled up in a highly competitive Cheltenham handicap chase in January but he remains one to be interested in after a break off a 2lb lower mark.

4/1

4/1

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 16-P3 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 11st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 123

Form & Verdict
Point/hurdle winner on soft/heavy; creditable third in a Leicester handicap on chase debut this month (2m4f, heavy); chance off this 1lb lower mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

3

16th Mar 2024

Heavy

3m 0f 0y

Class 2

15:35 Uttoxeter

Regal Blue

11st 8lb

J: Nick Scholfield

T: Jonjo O’Neill

Has produced shockers in two of his last three starts but he won the race in between over 2m4f on heavy at Haydock when coming clear at the finish; this far shouldn't be an issue provided his jumping stands the test.

10/1

1

7th Mar 2024

Heavy

3m 1f 30y

Class 3

14:25 Wincanton

Regal Blue

12st 1lb

J: Nick Scholfield

T: Jonjo O’Neill

Has somewhat mixed record this season but came good over fences with clearcut success at Haydock (2m4f, heavy) last month and could have untapped potential over today's longer trip if in the right mood again.

3/1

1st

3

17th Feb 2024

Heavy

2m 3f 203y

Class 3

13:37 Haydock

Regal Blue

11st 6lb

J: Nick Scholfield

T: Jonjo O’Neill

Disappointing at Lingfield (3m5f, soft) four weeks ago, when beaten before stamina may have been an issue; however, prior to that he stayed on strongly for a good second over this C&D (heavy) on his second chase start and he's a player if tapping back into that promise.

3/1

Form: 12-52U D

Last run: 19 days

W: 11st 4lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Dual winner over fences at Kelso last season (2m7f, soft/good); good second over 2m5f on same course two runs back (good to soft); could go well again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

30th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 3f 210y

Class 3

15:40 Carlisle

Ned Tanner

11st 8lb

J: Sean Quinlan

T: N W Alexander

in touch with leaders

5/2

3rd

6

10th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 1f 170y

Class 3

15:20 Kelso

Ned Tanner

11st 4lb

J: Sean Quinlan

T: N W Alexander

Two-time chasing winner here last term and running another good race at this track when fell two out in 2m5f handicap chase last month; he can't be ruled out reverted to hurdles.

6/1

5

16th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 5f 133y

Class 2

15:25 Kelso

Ned Tanner

10st 2lb

J: Sean Quinlan

T: N W Alexander

held up in last, steady headway but not fluent 4 out, went third after 3 out, disputing second when fell heavily 2 out

7/2

Form: 416-3F C

Last run: 35 days

W: 11st 13lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 129

Form & Verdict
Mudlark who has won five times over hurdles, including over 2m3f on heavy ground here; has shown some fair form in four runs over fences, but hasn't run in a chase since February 2020; others stronger.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

16th Mar 2024

Heavy

2m 0f 190y

Class 3

14:37 Newcastle

Alberts Back

11st 3lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Michael & David Easterby

held up in last, lost touch from 3 out, never on terms

9/1

2

3rd Feb 2024

Soft

2m 3f 85y

Class 3

13:32 Wetherby

Alberts Back

12st 0lb

J: Jamie Hamilton

T: Michael & David Easterby

Mudlark who has won five times over hurdles, four of them here; 0-5 over fences and was under pressure some way out when only fourth of five finishers at Haydock in December; dropped 4lb as a result but needs to raise his game.

14/1

4th

1

30th Dec 2023

Heavy

2m 3f 203y

Class 3

15:10 Haydock

Alberts Back

11st 13lb

J: Brian Hughes

T: Michael & David Easterby

Mudlark who has won five times over hurdles, including over 2m3f on heavy ground here; has shown some fair form in four runs over fences, but hasn't run in a chase since February 2020; others stronger.

12/1

Form: 12-513 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 11st 2lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 118

Form & Verdict
Has won six races over fences, the latest at Wetherby in November (1m7f, soft); has won at 2m4f but a bit to find with Happy And Fine on their form over this trip at Wetherby earlier in November.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

8

25th Jan 2024

Soft

2m 3f 85y

Class 3

14:25 Wetherby

Gallic Geordie

10st 11lb

J: Ned Fox

T: Samuel Drinkwater

11yo who was well beaten at Haydock on December 30 but that may have come too soon, ten days after a fair third at Newbury; has a good record here, with wins over C&D (soft) last March and over 1m7f here (soft) in November, and he's one to be interested in now back here.

15/2

5th

7

30th Dec 2023

Heavy

2m 3f 203y

Class 3

15:10 Haydock

Gallic Geordie

11st 2lb

J: Ned Fox

T: Samuel Drinkwater

Has won six races over fences, the latest at Wetherby in November (1m7f, soft); has won at 2m4f but a bit to find with Happy And Fine on their form over this trip at Wetherby earlier in November.

7/1

3rd

4

20th Dec 2023

Soft

2m 0f 92y

Class 3

15:10 Newbury

Gallic Geordie

11st 8lb

J: Ben Bromley

T: Samuel Drinkwater

Looked as good as ever when keeping on stoutly to score at Wetherby (1m7f, soft) three weeks ago and is now 6-19 over fences; also suited by this C&D; likely to make his presence felt.

6/1

Form: 20-313 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 11st 3lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 119

Form & Verdict
Three good runs over fences, winning at Doncaster on second occasion (1m7f, soft); stays 2m4f, has won on testing ground and worth considering.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

20th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 4f 72y

Class 4

14:50 Bangor-on-Dee

Cerendipity

11st 11lb

J: Nick Scholfield

T: Sue Smith

travelled strongly, in touch with leaders, led on outer 2 out, going best when left clear last, ridden out run-in

6/1

1st

5

20th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 4f 72y

Class 4

14:50 Bangor-on-Dee

Cerendipity

11st 11lb

J: Nick Scholfield

T: Sue Smith

travelled strongly, in touch with leaders, led on outer 2 out, going best when left clear last, ridden out run-in

6/1

5th

5

19th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 0f 45y

Class 3

15:45 Wetherby

Cerendipity

10st 7lb

J: Daryl Jacob

T: Sue Smith

in touch with leaders, headway and challenging 4 out, not fluent 3 out, bad mistake 2 out, soon weakened

4/1

Form: 233300 D

Last run: 41 days

W: 11st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 118

Form & Verdict
Bought for £7,500 out of Gordon Elliott's yard in November; wasn't in the best of form when last seen out but was second in a decent Cartmel handicap chase off this mark in July (2m5f, good to soft); chance on stable debut on that form although testing ground a concern.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

10th Mar 2024

Soft

2m 1f 14y

Class 4

14:45 Kelso

Arctic Ambition

11st 13lb

J: Bruce Lynn

T: Paul Robson

A multiple winner in Ireland for Gordon Elliott but he ended his time there out of form and has been below his best both starts for his current yard, a never-dangerous fourth over 2m5f here on the latter occasion; more is required despite a falling mark.

8/1

4th

2

14th Jan 2024

Soft

2m 5f 133y

Class 4

13:50 Kelso

Arctic Ambition

11st 12lb

J: Henry Brooke

T: Paul Robson

Three-time chase winner but struggled in the autumn on final two runs for Gordon Elliott and same story on recent stable debut at Haydock.

40/1

0

6

30th Dec 2023

Heavy

2m 3f 203y

Class 3

15:10 Haydock

Arctic Ambition

11st 2lb

J: Craig Nichol

T: Paul Robson

in touch with leaders

20/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £15.60
Straight Forecast £18.78
Trifecta £63.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Happy And Fine

The Times:

Cerendipity

RP RATINGS:

Ned Tanner

TOPSPEED:

Arctic Ambition

Daily Record:

Gallic Geordie

Telegraph:

Regal Blue

D Express:

Cerendipity

The Star:

Cerendipity

The Guardian:

Happy And Fine

Daily Mail:

Happy And Fine

Daily Mirror:

Happy And Fine

The Sun:

Happy And Fine

POSTDATA:

Ned Tanner