March 16 / 15.47 Newcastle

15.47

Heavy

Guinness Surge Handicap Chase

  • Prize money: £3247.81
  • 2m 7f 91y
  • Class 5
  • 5 runners
SKY
View Course
Guinness Surge Handicap Chase

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

4/5 (Won)

  • Win: £2.00
  • Place: £1.20

Form: 8P0521 D

Last run: 2 days

W: 11st 8lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
2m6f hurdle winner (soft) last season, when 3lb higher; showed little on his first three starts over fences but has shown improvement the last twice and looks well treated under a penalty for his wide-margin success at Hexham (3m, heavy) on Thursday; respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

28th Oct 2024

Good

3m 0f 20y

Class 4

12:47 Ayr

Heritier De Sivola

11st 2lb

J: Joe Williamson

T: Philip Kirby

Revitalised by the cheekpieces last season, completing a quickfire heavy-ground hat-trick in March (getting the better on Camp Belan in the last of those), all at around 3m, but signed off the campaign on a low note; only 4lb higher than his most recent win but needs to have been freshened up from the break and the cheekpieces are missing here.

14/1

6

28th Oct 2024

Good

3m 0f 20y

Class 4

12:47 Ayr

Heritier De Sivola

11st 2lb

J: Joe Williamson

T: Philip Kirby

Revitalised by the cheekpieces last season, completing a quickfire heavy-ground hat-trick in March (getting the better on Camp Belan in the last of those), all at around 3m, but signed off the campaign on a low note; only 4lb higher than his most recent win but needs to have been freshened up from the break and the cheekpieces are missing here.

14/1

10

26th Apr 2024

Soft

2m 7f 180y

Class 3

15:15 Perth

Heritier De Sivola

10st 5lb

J: Joe Williamson

T: Philip Kirby

Form figures of 2111 after the cheekpieces went on, showing a liking for 3m on soft or heavy ground; might be on a tough mark now (not even taking into account being 3lb out of the weights) and he ran no race last time at Carlisle.

10/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.50

Form: 3-0P32

Last run: 11 days

W: 11st 5lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
0-8 but she's shown some ability at times, not least with her latest effort when a staying-on second here (2m4f, heavy) recently; both that run and her pedigree suggest that she could appreciate this step up in trip and find some improvement; player.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

6th Mar 2026

Soft

3m 0f 20y

Class 5

16:53 Ayr

Torosay

11st 10lb

J: Gregor Walkingshaw

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Low-mileage mare who got right back on track (under today's rider Gregor Walkingshaw) when a clear second of 11 over C&D 24 days ago; up 2lb but she holds leading claims for yard back among the winners.

7/4

2nd

6

10th Feb 2026

Good To Soft

3m 0f 20y

Class 5

16:05 Ayr

Torosay

11st 4lb

J: Gregor Walkingshaw

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Heavy-ground chase winner at 3m; close up over C&D in November (soft) but not quite at that level since and bit to find with Jirko on a recent clash here.

8/1

4

1st Nov 2025

Soft

3m 0f 20y

Class 5

13:23 Ayr

Torosay

11st 6lb

J: Derek Fox

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Best effort when running away from 12 rivals at Hexham (3m, heavy) in April 2024; hasn't always had suitable conditions since, and she lost a shoe when bidding for a win in the same race 201 days ago; may still have some potential and she's now only 2lb higher than for the win.

5/1

12/1

Form: 66-P66 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 11st 11lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 94

Form & Verdict
Twice a chase winner over 2m4f, including on heavy; a shadow of his former self these days and plummeting in the handicap; however, would be interesting if the market speaks in his favour.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

29th May 2024

Good

3m 1f 107y

Class 5

20:50 Cartmel

Canelo

12st 0lb

J: Miss Natasha Cookson

T: T W Fife

Very useful in his prime but last season's low-grade handicap form for Ben Haslam was uninspiring; made good start for new connections this month, winning Hexham conditions point (soft) by 9l, but this race is much tougher.

12/1

3rd

3

16th Mar 2024

Heavy

2m 7f 91y

Class 5

15:47 Newcastle

Canelo

11st 11lb

J: Kevin Brogan

T: Ben Haslam

Twice a chase winner over 2m4f, including on heavy; a shadow of his former self these days and plummeting in the handicap; however, would be interesting if the market speaks in his favour.

12/1

6th

3

18th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 7f 138y

Class 5

14:15 Musselburgh

Canelo

11st 12lb

J: Richie McLernon

T: Ben Haslam

Very useful in his prime but has badly lost his way; long absence before his two runs (25-1) this winter; way down the weights and cheekpieces (last worn in March 2022) return, which may well be a positive; worth a check for strength in the betting.

6/1

Form: P-43P5

Last run: 27 days

W: 11st 13lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 96

Form & Verdict
Irish point winner who is 0-8 under rules; on a competitive mark; would be a player if in the same form as when third at Musselburgh in December (2m7f, good to soft) but needs to better his other three efforts this season; tongue-tie and cheekpieces go on.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

15th Jan 2026

Good To Soft

2m 7f 91y

Class 4

14:00 Newcastle

Shadows In The Sky

11st 12lb

J: Alex Chadwick

T: James Owen

10yo whose form has been mixed this season but he's edged back down the weights and his Newmarket yard is 3-6 here; capable of a big run.

10/1

1

17th Oct 2025

Good

2m 5f 44y

Class 4

16:25 Fakenham

Shadows In The Sky

11st 8lb

J: Alex Chadwick

T: James Owen

Most consistent win or lose over either obstacle for this stable until finding a brush hurdle series final at Worcester all too much last time (2m4f, good); swimming in calmer waters again on this return to fences, albeit still above any class he's ever won in.

3/1

12

26th Sep 2025

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 2

14:42 Worcester

Shadows In The Sky

11st 2lb

J: Nathan Howie

T: James Owen

Consistent over fences and hurdles for new stable this season, winning once under each discipline; suited by this C&D but may find less exposed rivals better handicapped today; swaps cheekpieces for refitted visor.

20/1

OUR TIP

Form: P22477 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 12st 0lb

9 yo Mare

OR: 97

Form & Verdict
3m chase winner on good last spring; last two efforts have been well below par but she is now well treated on form earlier in the season; bit to prove but no surprise if she bounces back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

16th Mar 2024

Heavy

2m 7f 91y

Class 5

15:47 Newcastle

Without Conviction

12st 0lb

J: Patrick Wadge

T: Lucinda Russell

3m chase winner on good last spring; last two efforts have been well below par but she is now well treated on form earlier in the season; bit to prove but no surprise if she bounces back.

10/1

7th

1

18th Feb 2024

Soft

2m 7f 138y

Class 5

14:15 Musselburgh

Without Conviction

12st 0lb

J: Patrick Wadge

T: Lucinda Russell

3m Ayr winner last March and runner-up twice over about 2m5f/2m4f in the autumn; needs to bounce back from a heavy defeat at Kelso on latest outing and now has cheekpieces first time; more appeal than most.

9/2

7th

9

14th Jan 2024

Soft

2m 5f 133y

Class 4

13:50 Kelso

Without Conviction

11st 2lb

J: Patrick Wadge

T: Lucinda Russell

Runner-up twice in a row in the autumn (C&D/2m4f, good/soft) before fair fourth of five here (3m2f, soft), when not quite seeing out the trip; every chance she'll be in the mix now back down in distance.

15/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £4.00
Straight Forecast £4.47
Trifecta £12.90

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Torosay

POSTDATA:

Heritier De Sivola

Telegraph:

Canelo

RP RATINGS:

Torosay

D Express:

Torosay

Daily Mirror:

Torosay

The Sun:

Torosay

The Star:

Torosay

Daily Record:

Torosay

The Times:

Heritier De Sivola

The Guardian:

Heritier De Sivola

Daily Mail:

Heritier De Sivola