April 16 / 18.00 Newcastle (AW)

18.00

Standard

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  • Prize money: £4972.3
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 4
  • 14 runners
SKY
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Runners: 14 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

10/1 (Won)

  • Win: £24.00
  • Place: £5.80

Form: 27866- C

Last run: 166 days

W: 8st 13lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Sole AW win came over 6f here, but he stays this far and is back off his last winning mark; may need this after 166 days off, though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(10)

24th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

16:12 Newcastle (AW)

Outrun The Storm

9st 8lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Richard Fahey

No win since June 2024; now two grades and 14lb lower; placed at Redcar (7f, good) in October but disappointing since, including in cheekpieces at Southwell (7f) five weeks ago; headgear is tweaked again (visor) seeking the solution.

12/1

12th

3

(7)

20th Jan 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Outrun The Storm

10st 13lb

J: Mr Eireann Cagney

T: Richard Fahey

Record of 5-37 on turf and 2-15 on AW; folded tamely returned to this sphere last time but has a good chance off current mark provided he rebounds in first-time headgear.

11/1

1

(2)

17th Oct 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

16:00 Redcar

Outrun The Storm

10st 0lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: Richard Fahey

It's now 12 runs since his last victory and he came in just ninth in 7f Leicester handicap ten days ago; others appeal more.

12/1

20/1

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 01846- D

Last run: 171 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Three-time winner on dirt in Sweden in 2021 and dual winner on turf last year; not clear run when fourth here (1m) last September and will need a solid pace over 7f which isn't certain; off six months.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(10)

25th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 217y

Class 4

16:43 Redcar

Archduke Ferdinand

9st 3lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Won the corresponding event 12 months ago off a 6lb higher mark; not come close to matching that form in seven runs since but this spring's two efforts have come over 5f and this will be more suitable; 2-2 at Redcar and a full revival could be imminent.

9/1

8th

4

(9)

26th Apr 2026

Good

0m 5f 1y

Class 4

18:45 Musselburgh

Archduke Ferdinand

9st 6lb

J: Dale Swift

T: Seb Spencer

Course winner who has dropped to a mark 3lb lower than when winning at Redcar (6f, good to firm) last May; he could improve for this month's reappearance run over C&D but he failed to threaten, which was also the case on his final few outings last season; needs to get back on track.

14/1

9th

14

(12)

4th Apr 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 1y

Class 2

15:42 Musselburgh

Archduke Ferdinand

8st 5lb

J: Shay Farmer

T: Seb Spencer

Below par in 2025 after winning at Redcar (6f, good to firm) in May; now 1lb lower but this is a warm race for his reappearance and he'll have to be right at the top of his game.

22/1

12/1

  • Place: £3.10

Form: 721297 CD

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Two wins over C&D in a busy schedule since November, but not at his best the last twice and needs to get back on track; needs a good pace to aim at.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(5)

11th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Star Zinc

9st 4lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Rebecca Menzies

Has often started slowly but he's taken things to the next level the past twice, refusing to jump away either time; is quite capable off this mark if in the mood but comes with obvious risks attached.

33/1

7

(5)

11th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Star Zinc

9st 4lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Rebecca Menzies

refused to race

33/1

3

(8)

3rd Oct 2024

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

16:30 Newcastle (AW)

Star Zinc

9st 13lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Rebecca Menzies

Comes with major risks attached as he was badly out of form on turf last month and refused to race at Redcar last week, while he's untested beyond about 1m; however, his last two wins have come here and he's dropped to a dangerous mark; not ruled out now back on this track.

14/1

33/1

Form: 71900-

Last run: 153 days

W: 9st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Two wins on turf (6f) last year and placed in three of five C&D starts but ended last season quietly and lacks a recent run.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(9)

3rd Oct 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:10 Newcastle (AW)

As If By Chance

9st 3lb

J: Alex Jary

T: Nigel Tinkler

Inconsistent and regressive this year but down the weights and he was third of 13 off this mark over C&D last month; would have been closer granted a clear run and can be involved if he's on another going day.

8/1

3rd

12

(6)

10th Sep 2024

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

As If By Chance

9st 6lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

5lb lower than for his turf win last August; mixed bag this year but he's fully effective under these conditions; others still appeal more.

16/1

11th

10

(11)

19th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 4

18:55 Windsor

As If By Chance

9st 5lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

slowly away

10/1

10/1

Form: 162623 CD

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 0lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Veteran who enjoyed a purple patch at the start of the year with his four straight wins including two over C&D; has continued to run well over this trip since and another big effort would come as no surprise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

9

(9)

20th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 1lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ruth Carr

11-time course winner who defied this mark over C&D in December; some creditable efforts since but he has been a bit up and down and was only sixth behind Anthropologist here last time; others preferred.

16/1

6th

5

(9)

27th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 7lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

11-time course winner, the latest over C&D in December, and he twice finished placed over C&D last month; certainly of interest on that form but this 12yo has gone off the boil on his last two starts.

14/1

11th

1

(7)

14th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Failed to fire at Newcastle last week but this veteran had run two fine races in defeat beforehand; fully effective at this track too so no great surprise were he to rebound quickly.

12/1

Form: 6305-5 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Losing run up to 13, but having been off for six months he ran better than it looked when fifth of nine (met plenty of trouble) on stable/AW debut over C&D last month (Abruzzo Mia second); worth a second look for yard also represented by Vixey.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

21th

14

(10)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Feel The Need

9st 3lb

J: Shane Gray

T: Michael Herrington

Most of his 14 races at York have been over 7f, including wins in this race in 2024 and another last June; absent since second on AW in January and that's the longest break he's had for two years, which asks a question, but he has to be considered off his last winning mark.

16/1

2nd

7

(3)

23rd Jan 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Feel The Need

9st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Michael Herrington

Easy to make a case on last year's peak form but signed off with two quiet runs and now back from three months off; not without hope if the break has done him good; has form here.

14/1

11th

7

(7)

25th Oct 2025

Heavy

0m 7f 6y

Class 4

17:00 Doncaster

Feel The Need

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

Enters the equation on best 7f form this year but his latest run at York, where he often goes well, was a letdown; seems to handle heavy ground, having finished close up in his sole attempt on it, but it's not necessarily a plus and he has a shade to prove now.

14/1

OUR TIP

Form: 1802-0 CD

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Two starts over C&D have yielded a win and a second behind a highly progressive sort; well beaten on last month's Southwell return (7f, Tapeta), but can't be dismissed back under these conditions.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(2)

16th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Engelbert

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: James Ferguson

Two starts over C&D have yielded a win and a second behind a highly progressive sort; well beaten on last month's Southwell return (7f, Tapeta), but can't be dismissed back under these conditions.

12/1

7th

3

(2)

16th Apr 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Engelbert

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: James Ferguson

Two starts over C&D have yielded a win and a second behind a highly progressive sort; well beaten on last month's Southwell return (7f, Tapeta), but can't be dismissed back under these conditions.

12/1

11th

10

(11)

10th Mar 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

16:50 Southwell (AW)

Engelbert

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: James Ferguson

Not yet fully exposed after only nine runs and won over 7f on this surface at Newcastle a year ago; ran well in defeat behind much-improved rival over that C&D in October and has good claims if in similar form after break.

6/1

Form: 0283-2 D

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Was back off his last winning mark and returning from seven months off when beaten a short head in a bunch finish over C&D last month; may need to improve on that in order to go one better, but remains unexposed on the AW after just two attempts.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(7)

24th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Prairie Falcon

9st 4lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Michael Dods

Better effort when a front-running fourth at Newcastle last week (1m); returning to 7f no problem but others appeal more for win purposes.

10/1

4th

3

(6)

15th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Prairie Falcon

9st 9lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Michael Dods

Winless since his 2yo days; went close off 4lb higher here in March (7f) but he hasn't matched it in six runs since; stamina not proven.

12/1

Form: 3274-3

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
0-13 on turf, but 1-3 on the AW and he ran well on his return from seven months off when third of eight at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) three weeks ago; shortlisted from the same mark in the returning cheekpieces.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(5)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Waiting All Night

10st 1lb

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

Returned to form to win over here over 7f a week ago, beating six rivals; a 5lb penalty still leaves him on a handy mark based on last year's form and he's relatively unexposed on the AW; contender with the step back up to 1m no concern.

3/1

6

(5)

16th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Waiting All Night

9st 5lb

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

On a reduced mark but he's been well held in his last five runs and is now 0-17 since his last win in August 2024; withdrawn after refusing to enter the stalls at Kempton last week, but he was 7-2 at the time.

11/2

5

(3)

10th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

18:45 Kempton (AW)

Waiting All Night

9st 6lb

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

On a reduced mark but he's not been on top form in 2025; drops back down in grade today but others are more appealing for win purposes.

8/1

4/1

Form: 5-5912 CD

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 7lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Last eight starts have been here, including two wins over this trip; only beaten a neck over C&D last time by a rival who was completing a four-timer, while a couple of those in behind have won since; player for stable also represented by Prairie Falcon.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(6)

13th Mar 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Abruzzo Mia

9st 5lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Michael Dods

held up in rear

14/1

10th

11

(1)

22nd Feb 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

16:25 Southwell (AW)

Abruzzo Mia

9st 4lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Michael Dods

Two 7f wins on the Tapeta track at Newcastle; solid third off 1lb higher here three weeks ago; capable of another prominent showing.

12/1

3rd

8

(3)

31st Jan 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Abruzzo Mia

9st 0lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: Michael Dods

held up in rear, headway over 1f out, went third inside final furlong, stayed on

16/1

Form: /9-054 C

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Four AW wins for James Tate including here (5f) and ran best race for this yard when fourth at Southwell (6f, Tapeta) last time; 8lb below last winning mark, but well beaten in his only previous 7f attempt.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

9

(7)

24th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 5

18:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

High Velocity

9st 6lb

J: Brandon Wilkie

T: David Loughnane

All four wins on the AW (rated 4lb higher than on turf) including one over C&D; went close at Redcar (5f, good to firm) on his penultimate start, but is without a success since August 2022; others make greater appeal.

10/1

7

(4)

30th Sep 2024

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

High Velocity

9st 6lb

J: Laura Pearson

T: David Loughnane

Did well to go close at Redcar (5f) two weeks ago considering he probably didn't have the ideal track position; now 0-9 for current yard and 7lb higher back on AW but still looks well treated on historical data.

7/1

2nd

7

(9)

17th Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

15:43 Redcar

High Velocity

9st 8lb

J: Brandon Wilkie

T: David Loughnane

Four AW wins for previous yard; 0-8 for current stable and has the same record on turf but he ran encouragingly on his most recent start in this sphere; attractively weighted.

7/1

12th
5 (8)
Bicep

6/1

Form: 0150-2 CD

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
C&D winner last October and ran his best race since when beaten half a length on his Southwell return (6f, Tapeta) last month (sixth horse has won since); return to this trip should suit and high on the list.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(1)

17th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Bicep

9st 10lb

J: Harrison Shaw

T: Grant Tuer

prominent

7/1

5th

2

(5)

4th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

19:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bicep

9st 10lb

J: Harrison Shaw

T: Grant Tuer

pressed leader

3/1

10

29th Sep 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

13:55 Southwell (AW)

Bicep

9st 10lb

J: Harrison Shaw

T: Grant Tuer

50/1

Form: 2212-7 D

Last run: 39 days

W: 8st 12lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Twice runner-up over 6f here for Chris Fairhurst as a 2yo, but last summer's Redcar maiden win came over this trip; may come on for last month's return/stable debut at this track (6f), but will need to.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(1)

1st Nov 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:00 Newmarket

Vixey

9st 12lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Simon West

Four wins in a productive 2025, the latest over 7f (good) in September; good third of 21 at York (7f, good) three weeks ago; likely to go well again.

11/4

2

(1)

1st Nov 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:00 Newmarket

Vixey

9st 12lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Simon West

Four wins in a productive 2025, the latest over 7f (good) in September; good third of 21 at York (7f, good) three weeks ago; likely to go well again.

11/4

3rd

6

(3)

10th Oct 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Vixey

9st 9lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Simon West

Won at Southwell (7f, AW) and Beverley (7.4f, good to firm) in the spring and has added two wins at Chester (7.5f/7f, good); she needs to transfer her recent improvement at unique Chester back to a regulation track but she's clearly thriving and her latest win has received a strong boost.

9/1

50/1

Form: 079-30 D

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 3lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Six wins on turf including two over this trip for Ed Dunlop last summer, but last of ten on debut for this yard here (1m) last month; hard to recommend after that.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

9

(8)

17th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

15:42 Doncaster

Matty Too

9st 1lb

J: Harry Burns

T: Ian McInnes

Has won six races over 6f/7f on good/good to firm; well below form on his four starts for current yard.

40/1

8th

1

(2)

30th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 96y

Class 5

17:00 Beverley

Matty Too

10st 2lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ian McInnes

Arrives out of sorts, beating only one in handicap over C&D 35 days ago; others are much preferred.

33/1

9th

3

(11)

25th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

0m 7f 96y

Class 5

14:47 Beverley

Matty Too

10st 1lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ian McInnes

Has tended to come to the boil around this time in previous years but was in no form for his new yard on the AW when last seen; has landed the outside stall (is a free-goer who tends to race on the pace) back from ten weeks off.

50/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £264.60
Straight Forecast £175.68
Tricast £1737.08
Trifecta £2941.60

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Prairie Falcon

POSTDATA:

Waiting All Night

SPOTLIGHT:

Bicep

The Times:

Vixey

TOPSPEED:

Star Zinc

Daily Mail:

Abruzzo Mia

Daily Mirror:

Outrun The Storm

NEWMARKET:

Waiting All Night

D Express:

Waiting All Night

Telegraph:

Prairie Falcon

The Sun:

Prairie Falcon

The Star:

Prairie Falcon

Daily Record:

Prairie Falcon

The Guardian:

Bicep