July 11 / 17.50 Newbury

17.50

Soft

IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Qual) (GBB/IRE Incentive)

  • Prize money: £6480
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 12 runners
SKY
View Course
IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Qual) (GBB/IRE Incentive)

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

9/4 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 4

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Entered in Redcar's Two-Year-Old Trophy; slowly away at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) but made up some good late headway to be beaten under 3l; should improve on that.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

12

(1)

4th Oct 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

13:15 Ascot

Ellaria Sand

9st 0lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Ollie Sangster

Landed a 7f Listed event in the mud on her final 2yo start; best effort of the current campaign when third of 11 in 7f Sandown handicap (soft) five weeks ago; tongue-tied first time; place shout if the ground becomes testing.

16/1

3rd

4

(10)

30th Aug 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

13:50 Sandown

Ellaria Sand

9st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Ollie Sangster

Not particularly solid on 2025 form but this is a drop back in class on handicap debut; interesting at this level if the ground is slow, having gained her 2yo wins (including Listed) on softer than good.

12/1

9th

6

(12)

12th Apr 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

14:00 Newbury

Ellaria Sand

9st 2lb

J: Jamie Spencer

T: Ollie Sangster

Below par in AW race on reappearance; bagged Listed honours over C&D in last turf outing but faces a stiffer task at this level and, having raced eight times, may not have much more progress left in the locker.

33/1

9/4

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 36

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Placed at Bath (5.5f) and ran quite well on the promotion to Listed level at Newmarket 12 days ago (6f, good to firm), finishing midfield from a wide position; needs a second look at this lower level.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(4)

30th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:37 Salisbury

Queue Dos

8st 11lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: J S Moore

Campaigned mostly in lower grades and has done her winning on Wolverhampton AW; doesn't look the answer in this scenario.

16/1

8th

1

(1)

6th Jun 2026

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

20:10 Lingfield

Queue Dos

9st 9lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: J S Moore

Four AW wins; 0-12 on turf but has largely consistent form in this sphere, creditable third at Bath (5.7f, good to firm) most recently; each-way possibilities.

5/1

3rd

2

(5)

22nd May 2026

Good

0m 5f 160y

Class 4

15:53 Bath

Queue Dos

9st 7lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: J S Moore

All four wins have been on AW and she's 0-11 on turf; finished placed a few times on good or quicker ground last summer but she's been quiet in both runs this season and others are more persuasive.

14/1

3rd
11 (14)
Fleetwater

25/1

  • Place: £10.60

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
3,500gns yearling; 13th foal; half-sister to winners New Bidder (6f; RPR 99), Captain Noble (5f-7f; 75), Thrinax (Italian 7.5f/1m) and Miss Medici (Spanish 5f); dam 6f-1m winner (68); one of two newcomers from this yard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(1)

30th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

15:37 Salisbury

Fleetwater

9st 2lb

J: David Egan

T: J S Moore

Has performed creditably a few times this term but her form surprisingly dipped at Windsor last time, has gained both wins at that venue; others preferred.

10/1

9th

9

(1)

15th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 12y

Class 3

19:00 Windsor

Fleetwater

9st 1lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: J S Moore

Well suited by this track, recording both her wins here and in the frame on her other three visits; ran on well to take third at Goodwood eight days ago; one to take seriously.

12/1

3rd

9

(9)

7th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

13:50 Goodwood

Fleetwater

9st 1lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: J S Moore

Both wins at Windsor but she is effective elsewhere; runner-up in two of her three starts this year but she's back from nine weeks off and could prove vulnerable.

9/1

Form: 4

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fared best of the newcomers when fourth of 12 over C&D (good to firm) two weeks ago and she would have been closer with a clear run; that's something to build on.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

1

(5)

17th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

21:00 Hamilton

Geo

10st 0lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

Won at Ayr (1m, good to firm) in May and she's twice gone close here since, over C&D and at 1m3f; features prominently in calculations.

11/4

2nd

1

(1)

25th Jun 2026

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 5

20:30 Hamilton

Geo

10st 0lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

Won at Ayr (1m, good to firm) last month before respectable sixth at Thirsk (1m, good) and close second here (8.3f, good); comfortably held in fourth over 1m at Carlisle yesterday; takes a sizeable step up in trip but her trainer's horses are frequently versatile in terms of distance; might be a player if she stays.

7/2

4th

10

(8)

24th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 173y

Class 4

15:30 Carlisle

Geo

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Jim Goldie

Returned to form when 12-1 and prevailing by a nose at Ayr (1m, good to firm) last month; beaten just a neck off this mark at Hamilton last Wednesday and she's likely to play a part again with Tom Marquand taking the reins; due to go up 2lb.

13/2

7/1

Form: 5

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
11,000gns yearling; also hooded at Lingfield (7f, good to firm; 8-1) where she was slowly away and ran green before making some late headway; could take a marked step forward here, though she is dropping back to 6f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(4)

25th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

15:56 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lillys Bet

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: William Knight

prominent on inner, lost position over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

8/1

14th

19

(12)

5th Oct 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

14:05 Newmarket

Lillys Bet

8st 2lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: William Knight

Has shown a consistent level of form in defeat over 6f/7f on turf/AW, but looks up against it in this company back on grass; hood removed.

66/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Seventh foal; half-sister to bumper winner Mr Sundancer; dam 1m winner (RPR 91), half-sister to winners Vinca Major (8.5f/1m2f Flat; 2m6f chase) and Traveller's Joy (2m4f hurdle); wouldn't be the obvious answer first time out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(7)

11th Jul 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:50 Newbury

Lenten Lily

9st 2lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Jonathan Portman

led

20/1

25/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth foal; dam 7f 2yo winner (RPR 72), half-sister to 5f winner Gossip and 6f-8.5f winner Valley Belle; newcomer from a yard also represented by Queue Dos and Fleetwater.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

4

(8)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

20:20 Windsor

Thiscouldbefun

9st 7lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: J S Moore

Won 1m handicaps at Bath (good to firm) and Lingfield (AW) last year; well treated on that form but she's been generally disappointing since her last success and was beaten 4l when third at Bath last time; needs to raise her game and she's untried at this trip.

10/1

3rd

4

(4)

1st Jul 2026

Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

20:18 Bath

Thiscouldbefun

9st 5lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: J S Moore

Scored readily off this mark/under Ashley Lewis last October (1m, AW); turf win came over C&D but looks best watched here having ran so poorly in refitted cheekpieces at Salisbury 17 days ago (finished three places behind Sant Alessio).

20/1

10th

7

(1)

14th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:57 Salisbury

Thiscouldbefun

9st 5lb

J: Millie Wonnacott

T: J S Moore

Placed three consecutive times on turf (1m, good to form-heavy) in refitted cheekpieces in September and won on Polytrack (1m) the following month; made satisfactory reappearance ten days ago (no headgear) and is of interest with cheekpices back on again here.

12/1

OUR TIP

Form:

Last run: 83 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Badly needed the experience when beaten a long way on her 5f debut at Bath in April; best watched for now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(7)

17th Jul 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

16:05 Leicester

Dynamite Diva

8st 2lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: Michael Appleby

Signed off for Rod Millman with a poor effort and it's been a similar story in two runs for this yard, beaten 27l at Leicester (7f) in May then last of eight at Catterick (6f) in June; cheekpieces worn on both occasions now swapped for a hood so that and/or this big step up in trip need to spark a magical turnaround.

66/1

8th

6

(3)

10th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

0m 5f 212y

Class 6

18:40 Catterick

Dynamite Diva

9st 1lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Six-race maiden; weakened in first-time cheekpieces (retained) when debuting for this trainer - formerly with Rod Millman - at Leicester (7f, good to soft, 13th of 15, beaten 27l) a fortnight ago; tough to consider on that evidence.

14/1

13th

3

(5)

27th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

15:30 Leicester

Dynamite Diva

9st 8lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Failed to make the frame in five runs as a juvenile, coming in tenth of 12 in 1m Bath nursery on her final run for Rod Millman; needs this yard switch to spark improvement; cheekpieces added.

25/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Late-foaled 11,000gns yearling; 50-1 chance when withdrawn from intended Goodwood debut after getting upset in the stalls.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(8)

13th May 2025

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

16:12 Beverley

West Kirby

8st 9lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

outpaced in rear

25/1

9th

6

(8)

13th May 2025

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

16:12 Beverley

West Kirby

8st 9lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

outpaced in rear, always behind, tailed off

25/1

12th

3

(14)

27th Apr 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Wetherby

West Kirby

9st 8lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Big prices and well held in four starts over 6f-1m on turf/AW for Jonathan Portman last year; market should indicate what is expected on stable debut after 224 days off.

20/1

20/1

Form:

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Big price for a newcomer from this yard at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) and was always out the back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(7)

23rd Jun 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 6

17:35 Wolverhampton (AW)

Perfect Ruby

9st 3lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Richard Hannon

Awarded a race on Lingfield AW (1m) in March; she hasn't gone on, including in a turf classified last time out, but there's some hope on dam's side of pedigree that she can stay this far.

14/1

12

(7)

11th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

17:15 Yarmouth

Perfect Ruby

8st 12lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Richard Hannon

Took a while to find her feet but she was awarded the race at Lingfield (first-time blinkers) in January and didn't run badly at Kempton (also 1m, AW) one month later; not seen since and needs to prove she can do it on turf but still respected on this classified debut.

6/1

4th

6

(3)

12th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Perfect Ruby

9st 3lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Richard Hannon

Little of note in early handicaps but she did well at Lingfield (1m; first-time blinkers) last month, considering she made ground wide on the home bend, to make a fight of it with the demoted Manton Road (now 2lb worse off); should be very competitive.

5/2

11th
10 (4)
Zizi

9/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
£36,000 yearling; seventh foal; half-sister to winners Acolyte (6f; RPR 102), Amplify (5f/6f; 95), Moonshiner (5f; 62) and Arcara (5f; 57); dam unraced sister to 1m2f/1m4f Flat and 2m1f hurdle winner Night Orbit; makes sense to check expectations in the betting for a yard that won this with a newcomer two years ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(1)

11th Jun 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 5

20:10 Kempton (AW)

Zizi

9st 7lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Richard Hughes

Won at Wolverhampton (8.5f, AW) last September; finished last of 11 over 7f on handicap debut/reappearance but the last two efforts have been respectable (9.5f/1m2f); returns to AW and steps up in distance, which could suit as several of dam's siblings stayed at least this far.

7/2

4th

2

(2)

23rd May 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

17:17 Haydock

Zizi

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Richard Hughes

Won Wolverhampton maiden (8.6f, AW) last September on third and final 2yo start; ran okay when sixth of eight there (9.4f) last month on her second outing of the season, but needs another step forward today.

9/1

Form: 7

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Never really involved after starting slowly at Chepstow (5f, good to firm) when a 33-1 chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(8)

2nd Jul 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 16y

Class 6

20:10 Chepstow

Glamorous Jewel

9st 4lb

J: Gina Mangan

T: Christopher Mason

Has an official mark of 26 so she seemed to run above herself when fifth of eight in a handicap over C&D (good) in May, especially as the first and fourth went in next time; whether she can reproduce it at this level remains to be seen.

66/1

Non-runners

Castro Aurum, Kaleidoscope Eyes

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £17.60
Straight Forecast £14.70
Trifecta £524.90

Selections

Daily Mail:

Ellaria Sand

The Times:

Lenten Lily

SPOTLIGHT:

Geo

RP RATINGS:

Queue Dos

POSTDATA:

Zizi

NEWMARKET:

Lilly's Bet

D Express:

Lenten Lily

The Guardian:

Geo

Telegraph:

Queue Dos

Daily Mirror:

Ellaria Sand

The Sun:

Ellaria Sand

The Star:

Ellaria Sand

Daily Record:

Ellaria Sand