July 11 / 17.50 Newbury

17.50

Soft

IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Qual) (GBB/IRE Incentive)

  • Prize money: £6480
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 12 runners
SKY
View Course
IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (Qual) (GBB/IRE Incentive)

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

9/4 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 4

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Entered in Redcar's Two-Year-Old Trophy; slowly away at Yarmouth (6f, good to firm) but made up some good late headway to be beaten under 3l; should improve on that.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

12

(1)

4th Oct 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

13:15 Ascot

Ellaria Sand

9st 0lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Ollie Sangster

Landed a 7f Listed event in the mud on her final 2yo start; best effort of the current campaign when third of 11 in 7f Sandown handicap (soft) five weeks ago; tongue-tied first time; place shout if the ground becomes testing.

16/1

3rd

4

(10)

30th Aug 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

13:50 Sandown

Ellaria Sand

9st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Ollie Sangster

Not particularly solid on 2025 form but this is a drop back in class on handicap debut; interesting at this level if the ground is slow, having gained her 2yo wins (including Listed) on softer than good.

12/1

9th

6

(12)

12th Apr 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 1

14:00 Newbury

Ellaria Sand

9st 2lb

J: Jamie Spencer

T: Ollie Sangster

Below par in AW race on reappearance; bagged Listed honours over C&D in last turf outing but faces a stiffer task at this level and, having raced eight times, may not have much more progress left in the locker.

33/1

9/4

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 36

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Placed at Bath (5.5f) and ran quite well on the promotion to Listed level at Newmarket 12 days ago (6f, good to firm), finishing midfield from a wide position; needs a second look at this lower level.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(5)

22nd May 2026

Good

0m 5f 160y

Class 4

15:53 Bath

Queue Dos

9st 7lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: J S Moore

All four wins have been on AW and she's 0-11 on turf; finished placed a few times on good or quicker ground last summer but she's been quiet in both runs this season and others are more persuasive.

14/1

7th

3

(7)

12th May 2026

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 4

19:50 Lingfield (AW)

Queue Dos

9st 9lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: J S Moore

All four wins at Wolverhampton, including one over this trip, but has run well on Polytrack; should be all the better for last month's return when fourth of six over 6f back at Wolverhampton (first and third have won since); a player.

11/1

3rd
11 (14)
Fleetwater

25/1

  • Place: £10.60

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
3,500gns yearling; 13th foal; half-sister to winners New Bidder (6f; RPR 99), Captain Noble (5f-7f; 75), Thrinax (Italian 7.5f/1m) and Miss Medici (Spanish 5f); dam 6f-1m winner (68); one of two newcomers from this yard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(1)

6th Apr 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

16:05 Kempton (AW)

Fleetwater

9st 6lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: J S Moore

Ran well when second of seven on her Southwell reappearance (6f, Tapeta) last month and wasn't disgraced when sixth of 11 in a 0-95 contest over C&D nine days ago; considered down in grade back against her own sex.

10/1

6th

9

(1)

28th Mar 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

17:03 Kempton (AW)

Fleetwater

8st 10lb

J: David Egan

T: J S Moore

Both her wins have come at Windsor in midsummer; she made an encouraging seasonal return when second of seven in a fillies' handicap at Southwell two weeks ago but another step forward will be required to trouble the principals today.

20/1

2nd

2

(4)

13th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

18:20 Southwell (AW)

Fleetwater

9st 6lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: J S Moore

Not seen in 140 days and although she has gone well fresh in the past, remains 9lb above her last winning mark; others more convincing.

14/1

Form: 4

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fared best of the newcomers when fourth of 12 over C&D (good to firm) two weeks ago and she would have been closer with a clear run; that's something to build on.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

11

(5)

31st May 2026

Good

0m 7f 218y

Class 4

18:45 Thirsk

Geo

8st 12lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

Exploited a reduced mark when returning to form with a narrow win at Ayr (1m, good to firm) 11 days ago; this is more competitive but she's gone back up just 2lb and is not discounted.

14/1

1st

12

(9)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:42 Ayr

Geo

8st 8lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

With a new yard this year; her mark continues to slide and Jim Goldie should find the key at some stage, but she needs to produce more than she's managed on her first three starts for the stable.

20/1

9th

11

(7)

26th Apr 2026

Good

0m 7f 15y

Class 4

17:45 Musselburgh

Geo

8st 5lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

Her mark continues to slide and she ran fairly well at Thirsk (7f, good) last week on her second start for Jim Goldie, who should get a win out of her at some point; however, she needs another step in the right direction today.

16/1

7/1

Form: 5

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
11,000gns yearling; also hooded at Lingfield (7f, good to firm; 8-1) where she was slowly away and ran green before making some late headway; could take a marked step forward here, though she is dropping back to 6f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(4)

25th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

15:56 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lillys Bet

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: William Knight

prominent on inner, lost position over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

8/1

14th

19

(12)

5th Oct 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

14:05 Newmarket

Lillys Bet

8st 2lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: William Knight

Has shown a consistent level of form in defeat over 6f/7f on turf/AW, but looks up against it in this company back on grass; hood removed.

66/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Seventh foal; half-sister to bumper winner Mr Sundancer; dam 1m winner (RPR 91), half-sister to winners Vinca Major (8.5f/1m2f Flat; 2m6f chase) and Traveller's Joy (2m4f hurdle); wouldn't be the obvious answer first time out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(7)

11th Jul 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:50 Newbury

Lenten Lily

9st 2lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Jonathan Portman

led

20/1

25/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth foal; dam 7f 2yo winner (RPR 72), half-sister to 5f winner Gossip and 6f-8.5f winner Valley Belle; newcomer from a yard also represented by Queue Dos and Fleetwater.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(3)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:40 Lingfield (AW)

Thiscouldbefun

9st 8lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: J S Moore

Bath win in April (1m, good to firm) came off a 1lb higher mark; placed three times last month but she ran poorly in a 7f handicap at Leicester three weeks ago; others are more appealing.

14/1

1st

2

(3)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:40 Lingfield (AW)

Thiscouldbefun

9st 8lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: J S Moore

Bath win in April (1m, good to firm) came off a 1lb higher mark; placed three times last month but she ran poorly in a 7f handicap at Leicester three weeks ago; others are more appealing.

14/1

OUR TIP

Form:

Last run: 83 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Badly needed the experience when beaten a long way on her 5f debut at Bath in April; best watched for now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(7)

17th Jul 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

16:05 Leicester

Dynamite Diva

8st 2lb

J: Tyler Heard

T: Michael Appleby

Signed off for Rod Millman with a poor effort and it's been a similar story in two runs for this yard, beaten 27l at Leicester (7f) in May then last of eight at Catterick (6f) in June; cheekpieces worn on both occasions now swapped for a hood so that and/or this big step up in trip need to spark a magical turnaround.

66/1

8th

6

(3)

10th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

0m 5f 212y

Class 6

18:40 Catterick

Dynamite Diva

9st 1lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Six-race maiden; weakened in first-time cheekpieces (retained) when debuting for this trainer - formerly with Rod Millman - at Leicester (7f, good to soft, 13th of 15, beaten 27l) a fortnight ago; tough to consider on that evidence.

14/1

13th

3

(5)

27th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

15:30 Leicester

Dynamite Diva

9st 8lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Failed to make the frame in five runs as a juvenile, coming in tenth of 12 in 1m Bath nursery on her final run for Rod Millman; needs this yard switch to spark improvement; cheekpieces added.

25/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 0lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Late-foaled 11,000gns yearling; 50-1 chance when withdrawn from intended Goodwood debut after getting upset in the stalls.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(8)

13th May 2025

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

16:12 Beverley

West Kirby

8st 9lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

outpaced in rear

25/1

9th

6

(8)

13th May 2025

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

16:12 Beverley

West Kirby

8st 9lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

outpaced in rear, always behind, tailed off

25/1

12th

3

(14)

27th Apr 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Wetherby

West Kirby

9st 8lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Big prices and well held in four starts over 6f-1m on turf/AW for Jonathan Portman last year; market should indicate what is expected on stable debut after 224 days off.

20/1

20/1

Form:

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Big price for a newcomer from this yard at Salisbury (6f, good to firm) and was always out the back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(7)

23rd Jun 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 6

17:35 Wolverhampton (AW)

Perfect Ruby

9st 3lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Richard Hannon

Awarded a race on Lingfield AW (1m) in March; she hasn't gone on, including in a turf classified last time out, but there's some hope on dam's side of pedigree that she can stay this far.

14/1

12

(7)

11th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

17:15 Yarmouth

Perfect Ruby

8st 12lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Richard Hannon

Took a while to find her feet but she was awarded the race at Lingfield (first-time blinkers) in January and didn't run badly at Kempton (also 1m, AW) one month later; not seen since and needs to prove she can do it on turf but still respected on this classified debut.

6/1

4th

6

(3)

12th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Perfect Ruby

9st 3lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Richard Hannon

Little of note in early handicaps but she did well at Lingfield (1m; first-time blinkers) last month, considering she made ground wide on the home bend, to make a fight of it with the demoted Manton Road (now 2lb worse off); should be very competitive.

5/2

11th
10 (4)
Zizi

9/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
£36,000 yearling; seventh foal; half-sister to winners Acolyte (6f; RPR 102), Amplify (5f/6f; 95), Moonshiner (5f; 62) and Arcara (5f; 57); dam unraced sister to 1m2f/1m4f Flat and 2m1f hurdle winner Night Orbit; makes sense to check expectations in the betting for a yard that won this with a newcomer two years ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(1)

11th Jun 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 5

20:10 Kempton (AW)

Zizi

9st 7lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Richard Hughes

Won at Wolverhampton (8.5f, AW) last September; finished last of 11 over 7f on handicap debut/reappearance but the last two efforts have been respectable (9.5f/1m2f); returns to AW and steps up in distance, which could suit as several of dam's siblings stayed at least this far.

7/2

4th

2

(2)

23rd May 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

17:17 Haydock

Zizi

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Richard Hughes

Won Wolverhampton maiden (8.6f, AW) last September on third and final 2yo start; ran okay when sixth of eight there (9.4f) last month on her second outing of the season, but needs another step forward today.

9/1

Form: 7

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Never really involved after starting slowly at Chepstow (5f, good to firm) when a 33-1 chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(8)

2nd Jul 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 16y

Class 6

20:10 Chepstow

Glamorous Jewel

9st 4lb

J: Gina Mangan

T: Christopher Mason

Has an official mark of 26 so she seemed to run above herself when fifth of eight in a handicap over C&D (good) in May, especially as the first and fourth went in next time; whether she can reproduce it at this level remains to be seen.

66/1

Non-runners

Castro Aurum, Kaleidoscope Eyes

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £17.60
Straight Forecast £14.70
Trifecta £524.90

Selections

Daily Mail:

Ellaria Sand

The Times:

Lenten Lily

SPOTLIGHT:

Geo

RP RATINGS:

Queue Dos

POSTDATA:

Zizi

NEWMARKET:

Lilly's Bet

D Express:

Lenten Lily

The Guardian:

Geo

Telegraph:

Queue Dos

Daily Mirror:

Ellaria Sand

The Sun:

Ellaria Sand

The Star:

Ellaria Sand

Daily Record:

Ellaria Sand