August 15 / 18.10 Chelmsford (AW)

18.10

Standard

IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 11 runners
RTV
View Course
IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

6/1 (Won)

  • Win: £8.00
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 4

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
100,000gns yearling; showed plenty of speed prior to weakening late at Redcar (6f; 5-1) a fortnight ago; not without a chance if able to harness that enthusiasm and race more economically; still early days; AW debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

30

(28)

20th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

17:00 Ascot

Gold Star Hero

9st 0lb

J: Ben Coen

T: Michael Bell

Reserve; front-runs; superb 4-5 strike-rate on AW but his turf form isn't up to the same level, albeit soft ground wouldn't have been ideal when fifth of 15 behind Sondad at Epsom recently; up against it.

50/1

5th

7

(3)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 3y

Class 2

17:55 Epsom

Gold Star Hero

9st 5lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Michael Bell

Record of 4-5 on AW features a hat-trick since being gelded; chance depends on whether he can transfer the form back to turf; only 1-11 in this sphere and he is 16lb higher than last attempt.

7/1

1st

1

(3)

17th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 4

15:53 Wolverhampton (AW)

Gold Star Hero

9st 12lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: Michael Bell

Record on the AW reads 1211 and he was impressive when making virtually all over 6f here eight days ago; 5lb penalty and return to 5f shouldn't preclude another big performance.

11/10

5/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: 72

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Proved no match for the winner but was still more streetwise than on debut when runner-up at Southwell (6f; 28-1) 17 days ago; no obvious reason why there shouldn't be further improvement forthcoming; a possible.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(3)

21st Jan 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

18:30 Kempton (AW)

Gilet

9st 10lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Warren Greatrex

Yet to win a handicap but not for a lack of effort and he ran well for second over C&D last month; perhaps stretched by 1m2f at Lingfield last month and he is one to take seriously back down in trip.

3/1

11th

8

(4)

20th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

17:00 Newbury

Gilet

9st 6lb

J: Charles Bishop

T: Warren Greatrex

Sole win came in a Lingfield maiden (6f, AW) a year ago, but is back off the same mark as when beaten half a length over C&D (good to firm) in May; soft ground not a problem and each-way claims if reproducing that form.

12/1

3

(4)

5th Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:17 Kempton (AW)

Gilet

9st 8lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Warren Greatrex

6f AW maiden winner who seems to stay this trip; not at best on last three starts (hung left returned to AW last time) and will have to fare better if he's to win this.

9/1

5/4

  • Place: £1.10

Form: 5

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Second foal of 6f juvenile winner Firelight (including AW; RPR 100); raced freely but held his own when fifth of seven on Ascot debut (6f, good to firm; 12-1); this race is a fair bit less competitive, so must figure prominently on AW debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

(2)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Fire Flame

9st 3lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Roger Varian

Responded well to the fitting of a hood when off the mark at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; best effort since when fourth of ten at Chelmsford (7f, Polytrack) 11 days ago; still 4lb higher than for his win so needs a bit more.

17/2

9

(2)

27th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

18:15 Newcastle (AW)

Fire Flame

9st 3lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Roger Varian

Responded well to the fitting of a hood when off the mark at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; best effort since when fourth of ten at Chelmsford (7f, Polytrack) 11 days ago; still 4lb higher than for his win so needs a bit more.

17/2

4th

8

(9)

16th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Fire Flame

9st 1lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Roger Varian

Off the mark at sixth attempt when scoring with hood added at Thirsk (7f, good to firm) in August; finished a 5l sixth in both runs since but he had some traffic issues on both occasions and still looks feasibly treated on his peak form; could be a big factor if he gets the breaks this time.

7/1

Form: 6

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
145,000gns foal; easy to back, but signs of ability when sixth of 11 on Newbury debut (6f, good to firm; 25-1) in July; interesting to see what he makes of the switch to the AW for second start; chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(2)

2nd Aug 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:00 Newmarket (July)

Rogue Invader

9st 7lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Alice Haynes

Contrasting performances this term, winning maiden at Beverley (7.5f, good) then last of nine in handicap; hard to recommend on latter effort but his earlier promise is not forgotten.

12/1

9th

6

(8)

5th Jul 2025

Good

0m 7f 37y

Class 3

16:55 Haydock

Rogue Invader

9st 3lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Alice Haynes

Built upon last summer's promise (including on fast ground) when winning at 11-10 on reappearance in Beverley maiden (7.4f, good) in May; that form has been franked by the runner-up and this 145,000gns foal is open to further improvement; possible player on handicap debut.

7/2

100/1

Form: 9

Last run: 42 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Ran green and always behind when last of nine on Newbury debut (6f, good to firm; 50-1); entitled to know more second time around, but tough to consider on such limited evidence.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(1)

11th Feb 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

20:10 Kempton (AW)

Token Gesture

9st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Mark Usher

C&D win as a 2yo; first success since when dead-heating in a 1m handicap here 23 days ago (subsequently awarded first place outright); a 2lb rise shouldn't prevent another good run.

9/2

1st

3

(6)

19th Jan 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

13:08 Kempton (AW)

Token Gesture

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Mark Usher

Just 1lb higher than when making a successful nursery debut here (7f) in September 2024, but has been out of form for a while and has still to convince over this far.

12/1

Form: 6

Last run: 93 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Last of six on Chepstow debut (5f, soft; 13-2) in May; absent since, so sizeable leap forward needed for this switch to AW; could easily require further than 6f eventually.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

6

(2)

14th Jul 2026

Good

0m 7f 80y

Class 5

16:05 Ffos Las

Dandy G Boy

9st 6lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Warren Greatrex

Two AW wins for this yard last year but has yet to look as effective on turf (0-6); well beaten on comeback at Lingfield (7f, good).

13/2

6th

5

(2)

1st Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:00 Lingfield

Dandy G Boy

9st 7lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Warren Greatrex

Won twice on AW for this yard last year; yet to be placed from five runs on turf and runs off his highest mark; may be better for the run.

5/1

5

(6)

15th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

18:40 Kempton (AW)

Dandy G Boy

9st 7lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Warren Greatrex

Made a winning stable debut at Wolverhampton in July (7f); two solid efforts have followed and the return of cheekpieces could help squeeze out the requisite improvement.

9/2

OUR TIP

Form: 85

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Some improvement from debut but no telling impression when fifth of seven at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago; switches to AW (brother Lesson Learned won on sand) seeking more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(2)

25th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

16:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Crest Of Esteem

9st 10lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

in touch with leaders on inner

20/1

7th

1

(3)

15th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Crest Of Esteem

9st 7lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

Some improvement from debut but no telling impression when fifth of seven at Windsor (6f, good to firm) 12 days ago; switches to AW (brother Lesson Learned won on sand) seeking more.

12/1

5th

1

(6)

3rd Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 5

18:55 Windsor

Crest Of Esteem

9st 7lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

Cost £88,000 as a yearling but he was a weak 20-1 shot at Doncaster (6f, good to soft) last month and finished a remote eighth of 11; can only be watched after that low-key start.

12/1

Form: 00

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Well beaten over 5f at Windsor and Yarmouth; steps up in distance and dam was a tough Listed-placed 6f-7f winner so that should help; will be eligible for a mark after this; others more convincing.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(2)

9th Jul 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

19:55 Kempton (AW)

I Follow Rivers

9st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Richard Spencer

Has form figures of 31122 since handicapping and that latest second was a close call at Wolverhampton (8.6f; lost right hind shoe) two weeks ago; only 1lb higher in this similar race and he's open to more progress back on Polytrack; big player.

3/1

2nd

12

(7)

23rd Jun 2025

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

14:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

I Follow Rivers

10st 2lb

J: Mr Eireann Cagney

T: Richard Spencer

Progressive since handicapping, winning 7f events here and at Kempton this spring; solid second at Bath last time (1m, firm; slowly-run race); could take another step forward back on AW and he has the assistance of a leading amateur; would have more to prove over an extended mile if they go a strong pace

5/1

2nd

1

(2)

14th May 2025

Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

18:42 Bath

I Follow Rivers

9st 13lb

J: George Wood

T: Richard Spencer

Has proved a different proposition since switching to handicaps following a gelding operation, winning two of his last three starts (all three over 7f on AW); now steps up to a 1m (he's speedily bred) on this return to turf under a penalty, 4lb higher than for last week's Kempton win; respected in his hat-trick attempt.

4/1

20/1

Form: 86

Last run: 102 days

W: 9st 2lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
75,000gns yearling; raced prominently on second start at Salisbury (5f, soft; 18-1) before fading out of contention; surprising if she's capable of mixing it with the boys at this stage of her career.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

4

(1)

29th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Spring

9st 7lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

6f nursery winner at Brighton last September; shaped quite well on her seasonal return at Lingfield in April (5f, AW) but failed to build on it in two further runs in the summer; back from 146 days on the sidelines and this drop in class will be in her favour; betting useful.

9/1

8th

4

(1)

29th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

20:30 Kempton (AW)

Spring

9st 7lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

6f nursery winner at Brighton last September; shaped quite well on her seasonal return at Lingfield in April (5f, AW) but failed to build on it in two further runs in the summer; back from 146 days on the sidelines and this drop in class will be in her favour; betting useful.

9/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
55,000gns yearling; fifth foal from an unraced dam (half-sister to the 1m1f Group 3 winner City Style); half-brother to Universal Order (1m-1m4f; RPR 113); yard in great form and market check necessary.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(3)

13th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

20:10 Lingfield (AW)

Launceston

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Tony Carroll

15-race maiden who has been out of sorts over hurdles and on the Flat this year; hasn't been with Tony Carroll for long but he was beaten 8l in a classified event at Brighton (1m2f) last week and others are preferred; stablemate of Masqool.

8/1

4th

4

(8)

7th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

20:20 Brighton

Launceston

9st 9lb

J: William Carson

T: Tony Carroll

0-14 under rules and has been out of sorts over hurdles and on the Flat this year for Joe Ponting; makes his debut for shrewd yard but hard to make a case for.

20/1

7th

7

(1)

1st Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 99y

Class 6

19:45 Windsor

Launceston

9st 2lb

J: George Bass

T: Joe Ponting

0-13 under rules; runner-up in one of his nine starts for Sir Mark Prescott, but has shown nothing in five outings for this stable, four of them over hurdles.

25/1

12/1

Form: 87

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Half-brother to 6f juvenile winner Royal Zabeel (RPR 85); unlikely that we've seen the best of him yet, having failed to negotiate a clear passage at Ripon (5f) latest; gelded since, and will be eligible for a handicap mark soon; may need more time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(5)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 5f 60y

Class 6

13:50 Brighton

Watch Blue Point

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: James Tate

Half-brother to 6f juvenile winner Royal Zabeel (RPR 85); shaped with promise at Ripon (5f, good to soft) on his second start but he flopped at Chelmsford (6f; first run since gelded) last month; that was a heavy defeat and he needs a transformation back in trip on nursery debut.

11/2

11th

11

(1)

15th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

18:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Watch Blue Point

9st 7lb

J: Neil Callan

T: James Tate

Half-brother to 6f juvenile winner Royal Zabeel (RPR 85); unlikely that we've seen the best of him yet, having failed to negotiate a clear passage at Ripon (5f) latest; gelded since, and will be eligible for a handicap mark soon; may need more time.

12/1

7th

6

(4)

20th Jul 2024

Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Ripon

Watch Blue Point

9st 7lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: James Tate

towards rear

13/2

Non-runners

Force And Valour

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £41.00
Straight Forecast £44.71
Trifecta £134.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Fire Flame

POSTDATA:

Gold Star Hero

Daily Record:

Gilet

D Express:

Gold Star Hero

RP RATINGS:

Fire Flame

NEWMARKET:

Fire Flame

The Times:

Fire Flame

Telegraph:

Fire Flame

The Guardian:

Fire Flame

Daily Mail:

Fire Flame

Daily Mirror:

Fire Flame

The Sun:

Fire Flame

The Star:

Fire Flame