November 01 / 17.15 Newcastle (AW)

17.15

Standard

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 1m 0f 5y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
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Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Cloudy

9/4 (Won)

  • Win: £4.50
  • Place: £1.70

Form: 235396 BF

Last run: 55 days

W: 9st 12lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Time has shown his third of seven behind Inisherin and Kalpana here (7f) in March was some effort, but he is now 0-6 and there seemed few excuses when a disappointing favourite at Haydock (1m, good) last time; needs to resume his progress in first-time cheekpieces.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

13

(3)

3rd Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 2

15:00 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Encore

8st 2lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Peter Chapple-Hyam

Won a Class 4 over C&D in September; unplaced in three runs this year, the latest here last week, and this looks a tough race in which to try to rebound.

40/1

16/1

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 7-290

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Made a promising return from nearly a year off when second of 12 in a Pontefract maiden (1m, good to firm) in July, but two poor efforts have followed (1m2f, good); needs the new surface to help bring about a resurgence.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

21st Apr 2025

Good

2m 0f 3y

Class 4

14:48 Fakenham

Wind River

11st 2lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Dan Skelton

towards rear, not fluent 3 out, some headway before 2 out, not fluent 2 out, soon weakened

13/8

4th

6

21st Apr 2025

Good

2m 0f 3y

Class 4

14:48 Fakenham

Wind River

11st 2lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Dan Skelton

towards rear, not fluent 3 out, some headway before 2 out, not fluent 2 out, soon weakened

13/8

2nd

6

(1)

21st Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Wind River

9st 6lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ed Dunlop

prominent, went second over 4f out, outpaced over 1f out, kept on but no match for winner

5/2

20/1

  • Place: £3.00

Form: 006000 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 10st 0lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Two wins on turf/Polytrack for Roger Teal last year and 16lb lower than for the latest, but six runs since returning for this yard in June have yielded little; best watched until showing a bit more sparkle.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14

(8)

27th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

14:40 Haydock

Bear Force One

9st 0lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Michael Mullineaux

Prominent racer; three heavy defeats from four runs for his new stable in 2025 but the other run saw him spring a 40-1 surprise at Doncaster; blinkers join the eyeshields today but he drops to 6f for the first time on his 39th start.

50/1

6

(8)

5th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:45 Ascot

Bear Force One

10st 5lb

J: Miss Katie Garton

T: Michael Mullineaux

Heavy defeats on his first two starts for this yard but he popped up at 40-1 when scrambling home at Doncaster (7f, good to firm; first-time eye-shields) three weeks ago; 3lb rise less of a concern than his trainer putting one of the reasons for that success down to quick ground.

9/1

1st

3

(5)

16th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

15:07 Doncaster

Bear Force One

9st 8lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Michael Mullineaux

Over two years since his last win and he struggled at big prices in first two runs (7f, good) for new yard this season.

33/1

OUR TIP

6/1

Form: 147934 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Tapeta winner (at Wolverhampton) who is just 1lb higher than when winning at Windsor (1m, good to firm) in June; ran well for a 66-1 shot when fourth of 11 at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) last month and considered dropping into a Class 5 handicap for the first time on the AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(7)

20th Jun 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

13:24 Newmarket (July)

Siam Fox

9st 3lb

J: Matthew Lloyd Slater

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Six-time winner who finished a close third in this race off 9lb higher last year; took advantage of a slipping mark when making all to beat King Of Charm at Yarmouth (1m, good to firm) in this headgear combination three weeks ago and a 4lb nudge still leaves him competitively weighted.

5/1

1st

4

(2)

28th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

17:00 Yarmouth

Siam Fox

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

C&D winner but his last success was almost two years ago; very well treated on old form but he's struggled in last five starts including after wind surgery here (1m good; 22-1) two weeks ago; blinkers are now tried and cheekpieces are removed.

10/1

6th

8

(9)

13th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

14:08 Yarmouth

Siam Fox

9st 4lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Kevin Frost

C&D winner but his last success came back in June 2024; failed to beat a rival home at Doncaster on his first start since undergoing wind surgery and needs to take a big step forward from that.

14/1

Form: 044324

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 10lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Chelmsford novice winner (6f, Polytrack) as a 2yo; 0-10 in handicaps, but finished second of nine on stable debut over C&D on his penultimate start and looked unfortunate not to go even closer when fourth of 11 at Wolverhampton (8.6f, Tapeta) a week ago; high on list off same mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

13

(1)

2nd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

20:00 Newbury

Commander Of Life

9st 7lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Jessica Macey

Exposed four-time winner; has run a number of good races this season and Doncaster last time was one of those, as he did well to finish so close after missing the break; not without hope.

12/1

4th

5

(2)

14th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

16:40 Doncaster

Commander Of Life

9st 6lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Jessica Macey

C&D winner; despite the stable's poor year he has run a string of fine races in 2026, including when a close fifth of 22 in a Class 4 at York three weeks ago; shouldn't be far away.

7/2

5th

18

(4)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Commander Of Life

9st 2lb

J: George Wood

T: Jessica Macey

Not far away in one of these big-field C&D races last July; showed at Doncaster that month that he can win on turf and he's not been far away in any of his races this year, so he has place claims.

16/1

16/1

Form: 708478 D

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Won five times over 7f-1m on turf in 2022 and was also beaten a neck over 7f here, but unplaced in all 13 starts since his latest success despite a sliding mark; others are more solid.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(6)

7th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Carnival Zain

9st 9lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Has done his winning at 7f-1m but recent form features two encouraging efforts over 1m2f (turf/AW); long losing spell remains a cause for concern, however.

6/1

4th

2

(4)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Carnival Zain

9st 12lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Six-time winner but his last success was in August 2022; on much reduced mark and was creditable third at Beverley (1m2f; tongue-tie added) in July but he was beaten 13l at Ripon last time and that took his losing run to 20; down the list.

12/1

4

(6)

25th Aug 2025

Good

1m 2f 190y

Class 6

17:33 Ripon

Carnival Zain

10st 13lb

J: Miss Becky Smith

T: Micky Hammond

Much lower in the weights than for the latest of five wins in 2022 and ran well when third of 14 behind a couple of dead-heaters (including Star Start) at Beverley (1m2f, good to firm) last time; each-way claims again despite a losing run of 19.

7/1

3/1

Form: 94-464

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Haydock novice winner (7f, soft) as a 2yo and has run well in a couple of handicaps since returning from a year off in September, as when fourth of nine at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) eight days ago; still to convince that he wants this far, though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

6

(7)

10th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:00 Ascot

Paladin

9st 9lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Caused a 33-1 surprise when winning on his stable debut in January (8.5f, AW) but after a four-month break he couldn't repeat that level returned to turf when 18th of 22 at York (7f, good) seven weeks ago; tough to predict what can be expected this time.

12/1

18th

3

(5)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Paladin

9st 8lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Free-going sort who was 4-18 for Charlie Johnston, including two 1m wins last summer, and made a winning start for new connections when 33-1 for a nine-runner race at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January; absent since and has more to prove back at 7f for the first time since 2024.

20/1

1st

6

(3)

16th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 4

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paladin

9st 4lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Record of 4-18 for Charlie Johnston and was second at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) on his penultimate run for that yard; returns after three months off but he's still lightly raced on AW and needs watching in market on stable debut.

12/1

Form: 7-2000 C

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 10lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Made an impressive winning debut here (7f) in September last year and was beaten a neck at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) in March, but he dropped away to finish last of 12 on his return to the AW here (1m2f) 17 days ago; drop in trip may help, but has a few questions to answer.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(8)

29th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 31y

Class 6

20:30 Windsor

African Spirit

9st 7lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Ian Williams

Started his career well but it's been poor from April 2024 onwards; has had only two races for current yard and now sports tongue-tie and cheekpieces, both for the first time; 30lb lower than his opening mark.

25/1

8th

8

(12)

8th Jun 2026

Good

1m 2f 5y

Class 6

20:30 Pontefract

African Spirit

9st 1lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Ian Williams

Has lost his way since looking promising initially and finished last on yard debut at Newmarket after a lengthy absence; that was over 7f, but might not be crying out for this far.

16/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £33.60
Straight Forecast £36.78
Tricast £373.05
Trifecta £344.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Commander Of Life

D Express:

Paladin

POSTDATA:

Siam Fox

Daily Mail:

Rogue Encore

The Star:

Paladin

RP RATINGS:

Commander Of Life

The Times:

Commander Of Life

The Guardian:

Commander Of Life

Daily Mirror:

Commander Of Life

Daily Record:

Commander Of Life

Telegraph:

Siam Fox