November 01 / 17.15 Newcastle (AW)

17.15

Standard

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 1m 0f 5y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
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Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Cloudy

9/4 (Won)

  • Win: £4.50
  • Place: £1.70

Form: 235396 BF

Last run: 55 days

W: 9st 12lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Time has shown his third of seven behind Inisherin and Kalpana here (7f) in March was some effort, but he is now 0-6 and there seemed few excuses when a disappointing favourite at Haydock (1m, good) last time; needs to resume his progress in first-time cheekpieces.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(2)

25th Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 4

15:15 Newcastle (AW)

Rogue Encore

9st 12lb

J: Cian Horgan

T: Peter Chapple-Hyam

Signed off for 2025 with a third C&D success in September but he's yet to fire this season, last of 14 over C&D in April; has it to prove after a break.

20/1

16/1

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 7-290

Last run: 37 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Made a promising return from nearly a year off when second of 12 in a Pontefract maiden (1m, good to firm) in July, but two poor efforts have followed (1m2f, good); needs the new surface to help bring about a resurgence.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

21st Apr 2025

Good

2m 0f 3y

Class 4

14:48 Fakenham

Wind River

11st 2lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Dan Skelton

towards rear, not fluent 3 out, some headway before 2 out, not fluent 2 out, soon weakened

13/8

4th

6

21st Apr 2025

Good

2m 0f 3y

Class 4

14:48 Fakenham

Wind River

11st 2lb

J: Kielan Woods

T: Dan Skelton

towards rear, not fluent 3 out, some headway before 2 out, not fluent 2 out, soon weakened

13/8

2nd

6

(1)

21st Nov 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Wind River

9st 6lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ed Dunlop

prominent, went second over 4f out, outpaced over 1f out, kept on but no match for winner

5/2

20/1

  • Place: £3.00

Form: 006000 D

Last run: 17 days

W: 10st 0lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Two wins on turf/Polytrack for Roger Teal last year and 16lb lower than for the latest, but six runs since returning for this yard in June have yielded little; best watched until showing a bit more sparkle.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14

(8)

27th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

14:40 Haydock

Bear Force One

9st 0lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Michael Mullineaux

Prominent racer; three heavy defeats from four runs for his new stable in 2025 but the other run saw him spring a 40-1 surprise at Doncaster; blinkers join the eyeshields today but he drops to 6f for the first time on his 39th start.

50/1

6

(8)

5th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:45 Ascot

Bear Force One

10st 5lb

J: Miss Katie Garton

T: Michael Mullineaux

Heavy defeats on his first two starts for this yard but he popped up at 40-1 when scrambling home at Doncaster (7f, good to firm; first-time eye-shields) three weeks ago; 3lb rise less of a concern than his trainer putting one of the reasons for that success down to quick ground.

9/1

1st

3

(5)

16th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

15:07 Doncaster

Bear Force One

9st 8lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Michael Mullineaux

Over two years since his last win and he struggled at big prices in first two runs (7f, good) for new yard this season.

33/1

OUR TIP

6/1

Form: 147934 D

Last run: 27 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Tapeta winner (at Wolverhampton) who is just 1lb higher than when winning at Windsor (1m, good to firm) in June; ran well for a 66-1 shot when fourth of 11 at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) last month and considered dropping into a Class 5 handicap for the first time on the AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(7)

20th Jun 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

13:24 Newmarket (July)

Siam Fox

9st 3lb

J: Matthew Lloyd Slater

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Six-time winner who finished a close third in this race off 9lb higher last year; took advantage of a slipping mark when making all to beat King Of Charm at Yarmouth (1m, good to firm) in this headgear combination three weeks ago and a 4lb nudge still leaves him competitively weighted.

5/1

1st

4

(2)

28th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

17:00 Yarmouth

Siam Fox

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

C&D winner but his last success was almost two years ago; very well treated on old form but he's struggled in last five starts including after wind surgery here (1m good; 22-1) two weeks ago; blinkers are now tried and cheekpieces are removed.

10/1

6th

8

(9)

13th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 3y

Class 6

14:08 Yarmouth

Siam Fox

9st 4lb

J: Alec Voikhansky

T: Kevin Frost

C&D winner but his last success came back in June 2024; failed to beat a rival home at Doncaster on his first start since undergoing wind surgery and needs to take a big step forward from that.

14/1

Form: 044324

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 10lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Chelmsford novice winner (6f, Polytrack) as a 2yo; 0-10 in handicaps, but finished second of nine on stable debut over C&D on his penultimate start and looked unfortunate not to go even closer when fourth of 11 at Wolverhampton (8.6f, Tapeta) a week ago; high on list off same mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(6)

23rd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

16:15 Doncaster

Commander Of Life

9st 9lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Jessica Macey

Has run a number of good in defeat races this season, including fourth over C&D last month; went down only to a progressive 3yo at Newbury (7f, good to firm) three weeks ago and the third and fourth have franked that form; bold show likely.

5/2

2nd

13

(1)

2nd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

20:00 Newbury

Commander Of Life

9st 7lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Jessica Macey

Exposed four-time winner; has run a number of good races this season and Doncaster last time was one of those, as he did well to finish so close after missing the break; not without hope.

12/1

16/1

Form: 708478 D

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Won five times over 7f-1m on turf in 2022 and was also beaten a neck over 7f here, but unplaced in all 13 starts since his latest success despite a sliding mark; others are more solid.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(6)

7th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:00 Southwell (AW)

Carnival Zain

9st 9lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Has done his winning at 7f-1m but recent form features two encouraging efforts over 1m2f (turf/AW); long losing spell remains a cause for concern, however.

6/1

4th

2

(4)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Carnival Zain

9st 12lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Six-time winner but his last success was in August 2022; on much reduced mark and was creditable third at Beverley (1m2f; tongue-tie added) in July but he was beaten 13l at Ripon last time and that took his losing run to 20; down the list.

12/1

4

(6)

25th Aug 2025

Good

1m 2f 190y

Class 6

17:33 Ripon

Carnival Zain

10st 13lb

J: Miss Becky Smith

T: Micky Hammond

Much lower in the weights than for the latest of five wins in 2022 and ran well when third of 14 behind a couple of dead-heaters (including Star Start) at Beverley (1m2f, good to firm) last time; each-way claims again despite a losing run of 19.

7/1

3/1

Form: 94-464

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Haydock novice winner (7f, soft) as a 2yo and has run well in a couple of handicaps since returning from a year off in September, as when fourth of nine at Kempton (7f, Polytrack) eight days ago; still to convince that he wants this far, though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

(4)

20th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:20 Newmarket (July)

Paladin

10st 1lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

His first win came over 7f (soft) but better at 1m now, getting up late to win on Wolverhampton AW when making his yard debut in January and finding only a subsequent winner too good at Ascot last month; out of sorts at Redcar since though and reverts to 7f with something to prove.

7/1

9th

4

(5)

8th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 219y

Class 4

15:12 Redcar

Paladin

10st 1lb

J: William Pyle

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Caused 33-1 surprise on stable debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January and rebounded from lesser effort when second over the straight 1m at Ascot (good to firm; winner followed up soon afterwards) last month; considered.

7/1

3

(7)

25th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 192y

Class 4

15:05 York

Paladin

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Sprang a 33-1 surprise on stable debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January, and back to form when second at Ascot (1m, good to firm) two weeks ago; should be thereabouts.

10/1

Form: 7-2000 C

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 10lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Made an impressive winning debut here (7f) in September last year and was beaten a neck at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) in March, but he dropped away to finish last of 12 on his return to the AW here (1m2f) 17 days ago; drop in trip may help, but has a few questions to answer.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

9

(12)

30th Jul 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

20:07 Wolverhampton (AW)

African Spirit

9st 7lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Ian Williams

Mostly struggled since winning on his debut in 2023 but he posted a solid effort when third of 11 at Windsor (1m, good to firm; first-time cheekpieces/tongue-tie) last month; needs to back that up now dropped back in trip.

13/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £33.60
Straight Forecast £36.78
Tricast £373.05
Trifecta £344.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Commander Of Life

D Express:

Paladin

POSTDATA:

Siam Fox

Daily Mail:

Rogue Encore

The Star:

Paladin

RP RATINGS:

Commander Of Life

The Times:

Commander Of Life

The Guardian:

Commander Of Life

Daily Mirror:

Commander Of Life

Daily Record:

Commander Of Life

Telegraph:

Siam Fox