19.12
GoodPaul’s 50th Celebration Handicap
- Prize money: £4710.6
- 0m 6f 0y
- Class 6
- 8 runners
Runners: 8 runners
Type: Flat Turf
Surface: Turf
Weather: Rain
7/1
Form: 044376 D
Last run: 17 days
W: 9st 13lb
4 yo Colt
OR: 64
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6th 2 (3) |
30th Sep 2026 Yielding To Soft 0m 5f 3y |
10st 0lb |
Seven wins up to 7f with latest coming at the Curragh over 6f in August before a lesser Fairyhouse run; all his best form is on faster ground so this isn't ideal. |
9/1 |
|
6th 1 (5) |
21st Sep 2026 Good 0m 6f 0y |
10st 5lb |
Hard-knocking 5yo has won seven races; beat 26 rivals over this trip at the Curragh a month ago and only up 3lb; has run well around here. |
5/1 |
9/4
Form: 705201 D
Last run: 8 days
W: 10st 5lb
5 yo Filly
OR: 70
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6th 8 (7) |
14th Feb 2026 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
9st 3lb |
50-1 winner over C&D off 11lb higher in February last year; back on a good mark but hasn't been in top form recently. |
25/1 |
|
7th 3 (2) |
4th Feb 2026 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
9st 8lb |
Well short of her best this winter but that is reflected in her mark and she has too much ability to discount now dropping into a 0-60; betting should be revealing. |
12/1 |
|
11th 8 (10) |
20th Jan 2026 Standard 0m 5f 0y Class 5 |
9st 0lb |
Backwards since winning at Musselburgh (5f, Class 6, good) in August; kept on from behind to finish fifth of ten at Southwell (5f; 33-1) a fortnight ago; the handicapper continues to give her assistance from a career-low mark. |
20/1 |
6/1
Form: 313415 D BF
Last run: 7 days
W: 9st 13lb
4 yo Colt
OR: 64
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3rd 4 (4) |
3rd Jul 2026 Good To Firm 0m 6f 2y Class 6 |
9st 11lb |
Currently 2-4 over C&D (also finished fourth in this last year off 4lb lower); a disappointing effort last time will need forgiving but the return here will help, this time with 7lb being taken off by Jake Dickson. |
8/1 |
|
9th 4 (5) |
21st Jun 2026 Good 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
9st 9lb |
Scored three times off lower marks in May-July last term (ended up with a peak mark 7lb higher than current one); generally consistent since, running-on third at Nottingham (6f, good) most recently; in the mix. |
6/1 |
|
3rd 2 (4) |
3rd Jun 2026 Good 0m 6f 18y Class 6 |
9st 9lb |
Won three times last season, the most recent coming at Doncaster (6f, good to soft) in July; respectable third over this C&D on his return in April and kept on for fifth of 11 at Redcar (6f, good) 16 days ago; contender if things drop right. |
4/1 |
20/1
Form: -87058
Last run: 17 days
W: 9st 9lb
3 yo Colt
OR: 64
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8th 5 (3) |
12th Sep 2026 Good 1m 0f 2y Class 6 |
9st 4lb |
Has failed to back up the form of his account-opening AW success in two starts since, very slowly away latest; enough to prove. |
16/1 |
|
8th 2 (9) |
2nd Sep 2026 Standard 1m 0f 5y Class 6 |
9st 7lb |
Hit the target for the first time when fending off Mercurius Power over C&D (22-1; from 4lb lower) in July; last of eight back on turf at Hamilton (1m1f) subsequently; returning to this track (1-2 on AW) could still prove beneficial. |
6/1 |
|
8th 4 (2) |
1st Aug 2026 Good 1m 1f 35y Class 6 |
9st 8lb |
Made it 15th-time lucky at Newcastle (1m, AW) a week ago; now needs to show he can do it back on turf from 4lb higher and also still has stamina to prove. |
6/1 |
7/1
Form: -07017 C
Last run: 19 days
W: 9st 8lb
4 yo Colt
OR: 59
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6th 3 (1) |
30th Mar 2026 Standard 0m 6f 20y Class 6 |
11st 1lb |
Four wins last year, three on AW (6f/7f); some fair form since but has a bit to find with Instant Bond on recent form at Newcastle (6f); 4lb lower than last winning mark; first run here. |
11/2 |
|
5th 7 (7) |
21st Mar 2026 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
9st 4lb |
Dual C&D winner who is on a dangerous mark and he didn't get much luck when third here (6f) last Thursday; could be a big factor if things go more to plan this time and his last three wins have been on Tapeta. |
5/1 |
|
3rd 8 (3) |
12th Mar 2026 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
9st 0lb |
Dual C&D winner for Lauren Young, who's back up today, last autumn, latterly off a 2lb higher mark; expensive to follow since but won't mind coming back down from 7f and a case could be made. |
7/1 |
16/1
Form: -56688 D
Last run: 19 days
W: 9st 3lb
3 yo Filly
OR: 58
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5th 8 (6) |
4th Feb 2026 Standard 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
8st 13lb |
Both her wins have come at Newcastle (6f and 7f); she has finished second in 7f classified events on her last three starts but she will need to raise her game to take this; the return to Newcastle and switch to blinkers could spark extra though. |
5/1 |
|
2nd 5 (6) |
22nd Jan 2026 Standard 0m 7f 14y Class 6 |
9st 9lb |
Losing run stands at 18 but she has run well in 7f classified events on Tapeta on her last two starts, the latest here last week; strong claims in this field. |
2/1 |
|
14 (14) |
27th Oct 2025 Good To Soft 0m 5f 217y Class 6 |
9st 2lb |
Gained both wins on Newcastle AW last November; 0-12 on turf but has frame possibilities on some of her recent form; drop back to Class 6 looks a plus. |
12/1 |
8/1
Form: 745841 CD
Last run: 12 days
W: 8st 11lb
4 yo Filly
OR: 48
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8th 10 (12) |
30th Sep 2026 Good To Soft 0m 5f 1y Class 4 |
9st 2lb |
Finished with a flourish for second at the Ayr Gold Cup meeting (5f, soft); her defeat at Hamilton three days later is excusable but Monday's Hamilton fourth, when outpaced before making some late headway, doesn't suggest she is the answer today. |
12/1 |
|
4th 2 (8) |
28th Sep 2026 Soft 0m 5f 7y Class 5 |
9st 12lb |
Below par at Hamilton eight days ago but the race possibly came too soon after running well at Ayr (5f) a few days earlier; higher in the weights than ever, however. |
6/1 |
|
4th 6 (1) |
20th Sep 2026 Soft 0m 6f 6y Class 4 |
9st 3lb |
Finished behind three of today's rivals over C&D 18 days ago but she showed better form when flying home to take second (first in her group) in a 5f handicap at Ayr (soft) on Thursday; good chance in a race featuring plenty of pace. |
4/1 |
50/1
Form: 797005
Last run: 8 days
W: 8st 9lb
4 yo Gelding
OR: 45
| Place / No / Draw |
Date / Going /
Distance / Class |
Time + Course Horse + Weight Jockey / Trainer |
Verdict | Starting price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13 (14) |
1st Sep 2025 Good 0m 5f 0y Class 6 |
9st 0lb |
Nine-race maiden who has not finished closer than 7l to a winner including in six handicaps; passed over. |
50/1 |
|
10 (10) |
9th Aug 2025 Good 0m 6f 0y Class 6 |
8st 9lb |
Unplaced in eight starts and hard to recommend on what he has shown in handicaps. |
50/1 |
|
5 (7) |
1st Aug 2025 Good 0m 5f 1y Class 6 |
8st 9lb |
Looks a poor maiden and he beat just two in 6f Ayr handicap 11 days ago; cheekpieces are reached for now and a tongue-tie is also refitted. |
20/1 |
Non-runners
Annie Edson Taylor, Ramon Di Loria
+o+e Accumulators
| Payout | |
|---|---|
| Exacta | £11.20 |
| Straight Forecast | £9.47 |
| Tricast | £65.40 |
| Trifecta | £56.10 |
Selections
The Guardian:
Thunderstorm KatieRP RATINGS:
Annie Edson TaylorPOSTDATA:
Defence MissileSPOTLIGHT:
MerseaTelegraph:
Ishe Worth AgambleDaily Mail:
Ramon Di LoriaThe Star:
Thunderstorm KatieDaily Record:
Thunderstorm KatieD Express:
Defence MissileThe Times:
Annie Edson TaylorDaily Mirror:
Annie Edson TaylorThe Sun:
Mersea