September 29 / 14.31 Newton Abbot

14.31

Good

Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Golf Holidays Conditional Jockeys’ Selling Handicap Hurdle

  • Prize money: £4752.9
  • 2m 2f 110y
  • Class 5
  • 9 runners
SKY
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Le Dorney Villas Cornwall Golf Holidays Conditional Jockeys’ Selling Handicap Hurdle

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Hurdle Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

13/8 (Won)

  • Win: £3.00
  • Place: £1.30

Form: -31131 C

Last run: 10 days

W: 12st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 109

Form & Verdict
3-4 for new stable this summer, the latest win gained here (2m1f, good to soft) ten days ago; another 5lb higher today but the longer trip will suit; must be considered in current form.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

27th May 2026

Good

2m 6f 31y

Class 4

19:08 Cartmel

Dickens

11st 5lb

J: Luke Scott

T: Jennie Candlish

In a consistent run of form when last seen in November, mostly hooded but also in just a tongue-tie last time; this mark is very manageable but he does lack a recent run.

13/2

1

30th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

2m 2f 148y

Class 5

12:47 Stratford

Dickens

11st 12lb

J: Luke Scott

T: Jennie Candlish

Has been in fine fettle since joining current yard in the summer with four wins in handicaps; incurs 12lb penalty here partially offset by Luke Scott's 3lb claim; should be hard to beat at this level.

Evs

1

30th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

2m 2f 148y

Class 5

12:47 Stratford

Dickens

11st 12lb

J: Luke Scott

T: Jennie Candlish

Has been in fine fettle since joining current yard in the summer with four wins in handicaps; incurs 12lb penalty here partially offset by Luke Scott's 3lb claim; should be hard to beat at this level.

Evs

14/1

  • Place: £2.10

Form: 1F85-4

Last run: 127 days

W: 11st 10lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 108

Form & Verdict
Looked promising when winning two good-ground juvenile hurdles for Adrian Keatley last autumn but has lost his way since; changed hands for 4,000gns after two disappointing Flat runs in June, and it's unnerving to see him make his stable debut in plating company; cheekpieces refitted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

14th May 2026

Good

2m 1f 165y

Class 5

19:40 Fontwell

Model Approach

11st 1lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Mrs C Williams

Beaten a combined 70l in two soft-ground starts over fences but he won his third hurdle race when picking up a 12-runner Ffos Las handicap (2m, good) off this mark nine days ago; 5lb well in on handicap marks if he can transfer that form to chasing and there should be no ground excuses this time.

3/1

1st

11

5th May 2026

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

14:48 Ffos Las

Model Approach

11st 2lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Mrs C Williams

Well treated if going back far enough but achieved little for current yard, over hurdles and fences; finished last of three on final run.

25/1

3rd

3

2nd Mar 2026

Heavy

1m 7f 182y

Class 5

14:15 Southwell

Model Approach

11st 2lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Evan Williams

Well treated on best hurdles form but his record for current yard leaves a lot to be desired; switch to fences made no difference last time; the weakest contender.

8/1

14/1

  • Place: £3.40

Form: 0/946-

Last run: 435 days

W: 10st 2lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Dual 3m hurdle winner in summer 2023 but absent since respectable sixth here (3m2f, good to soft) last July and may find this trip too sharp; 2lb out of the weights.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

13th May 2026

2m 4f 35y

Class 5

17:25 Perth

The Longest Day

10st 6lb

J: Roisin Leech

T: Sophie Leech

Won back-to-back here (3m) in August 2023; 0-10 since and well beaten over 2m when last in action in January; is very lowly weighted if factoring in the 10lb claim of regular rider Roisin Leech.

16/1

4th

5

24th Jan 2026

Soft

1m 7f 168y

Class 5

12:47 Uttoxeter

The Longest Day

10st 2lb

J: Roisin Leech

T: Sophie Leech

Returned from long absence with fairly good third in selling handicap at Newton Abbot (2m2f, good) in September but ended last year with a poor run over 3m and the slow ground here is probably not ideal.

16/1

7

30th Oct 2025

Good To Firm

2m 7f 149y

Class 4

15:08 Newcastle

The Longest Day

10st 2lb

J: Roisin Leech

T: Sophie Leech

Dual 3m hurdle winner in summer 2023; hasn't run too badly in 2m2f/2m4f handicaps following a long absence but being 8lb out of the weights is not ideal.

20/1

OUR TIP

Form: 242722 BF

Last run: 23 days

W: 11st 5lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Dominated from the front at Ffos Las (2m, good) in May and has largely remained in good form since; well held when second in selling handicap at Stratford (2m2f, good) this month but the winner has performed well in much stronger company since; probably won't be far away.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

8

30th Jan 2026

Heavy

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

16:00 Ffos Las

Gavin

10st 4lb

J: Shane Fenelon

T: Mickey Bowen

Gained last three wins over C&D but they were on good ground; failed to beat a rival on heavy going here (race won by El Gavilan) last time; forecast conditions look unfavourable.

16/1

4

16th Oct 2025

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

15:50 Ffos Las

Gavin

11st 5lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Dominated from the front over C&D (good) in May and has largely remained in good form since; slightly disappointing when well-held fourth in recent selling handicap at Newton Abbot (2m2f, good) but still enters calculations.

3/1

4th

3

29th Sep 2025

Good

2m 2f 110y

Class 5

14:31 Newton Abbot

Gavin

11st 5lb

J: Shane Fenelon

T: Mickey Bowen

Dominated from the front at Ffos Las (2m, good) in May and has largely remained in good form since; well held when second in selling handicap at Stratford (2m2f, good) this month but the winner has performed well in much stronger company since; probably won't be far away.

7/2

Form: 8-3123 CD BF

Last run: 71 days

W: 10st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Scored here (2m1f, good to soft) in June, his fourth hurdling success, and was placed over C&D (good) on both subsequent outings; may not have much margin for error off current mark but still respected in this grade.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

18th Oct 2025

Good

2m 2f 148y

Class 5

15:40 Stratford

Sassified

11st 8lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: James Owen

Four-time hurdle winner and his last success was at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good to soft) in June; disappointing in final run for the Hobbs/White yard but he still looks feasibly treated on his best form and needs a close look on first run for James Owen; new headgear.

6/4

Form: P59-90

Last run: 115 days

W: 11st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 95

Form & Verdict
0-7 over hurdles when trained in Ireland; well down the field in Clonmel handicap (2m1f, good to yielding) on latest outing in June and needs to have benefited from subsequent change of stable; hood refitted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

23rd Oct 2025

Good To Soft

2m 1f 165y

Class 5

14:45 Fontwell

Mega Speculator

11st 0lb

J: Harry Reed

T: Daisy Hitchins

0-7 over hurdles when based in Ireland and well held in selling handicap for new stable last month; makes chasing debut with a lot to prove.

12/1

6th

5

29th Sep 2025

Good

2m 2f 110y

Class 5

14:31 Newton Abbot

Mega Speculator

11st 0lb

J: Jay Tidball

T: Daisy Hitchins

0-7 over hurdles when trained in Ireland; well down the field in Clonmel handicap (2m1f, good to yielding) on latest outing in June and needs to have benefited from subsequent change of stable; hood refitted.

16/1

7

6th Jun 2025

Good

2m 0f 190y

17:35 Clonmel

Mega Speculator

11st 7lb

J: Niall Moore

T: M A Gunn

Best hurdle run when fifth in a 2m Thurles maiden in March; well below that level over further at this track twice since; has to bounce back.

22/1

Form: 2P45-6

Last run: 146 days

W: 11st 5lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 100

Form & Verdict
Useful for Paul Nicholls a few years ago but well beaten on all three starts for Alison Thorpe this year; had another wind op (his third) during 146-day break; sports refitted cheekpieces; needs to prove some ability remains.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

8

27th May 2026

Good

2m 1f 46y

Class 5

18:38 Cartmel

Silent Revolution

10st 12lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Barry John Murphy

His good days are long gone and he has been regressing for a while; made no impact on stable debut.

12/1

7th

4

26th Mar 2026

Good

2m 0f 16y

Class 5

14:18 Chepstow

Silent Revolution

11st 8lb

J: Dylan O’Connor

T: Barry John Murphy

Useful in his prime; badly out of sorts for Alison Thorpe last year (five runs) but makes stable debut from a very dangerous mark and with the trip/ground suitable; well worth keeping an eye on in the betting.

12/1

5

16th Oct 2025

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

15:50 Ffos Las

Silent Revolution

11st 2lb

J: James Bowen

T: Alison Thorpe

Useful for Paul Nicholls a few years ago but well beaten on all four starts for Alison Thorpe this year; swaps cheekpieces for first-time blinkers here; urgently needs to prove some ability remains.

20/1

Form: -65569

Last run: 6 days

W: 10st 12lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 93

Form & Verdict
Badly out of form over fences and on the Flat for the Flint stable this year, and was well beaten in 2m4f Warwick chase for new trainer on Tuesday; needs combination of return to hurdling and refitted cheekpieces to rekindle his enthusiasm.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

29th Sep 2025

Good

2m 2f 110y

Class 5

14:31 Newton Abbot

Byzantine Empire

10st 12lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Alison Thorpe

Badly out of form over fences and on the Flat for the Flint stable this year, and was well beaten in 2m4f Warwick chase for new trainer on Tuesday; needs combination of return to hurdling and refitted cheekpieces to rekindle his enthusiasm.

16/1

9th

1

23rd Sep 2025

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 5

14:28 Warwick

Byzantine Empire

12st 0lb

J: Shane Fenelon

T: Alison Thorpe

Two-time chase winner but last success in this sphere was in 2022 and he's deteriorated considerably since; has switched yards since his last run and is well treated if new trainer can get a tune out of him.

20/1

8

31st Aug 2025

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Worcester

Byzantine Empire

11st 7lb

J: Jack Tudor

T: John & Rhys Flint

Two-time chase winner who won off this mark over hurdles here last July; however, he's been well beaten over fences and on the Flat on his four outings this year and needs a major turnaround.

33/1

Form: 8P05-9 C

Last run: 39 days

W: 10st 2lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Regressive 7yo who was a well-beaten 66-1 shot over C&D (good) last month and is effectively only 2lb lower today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

29th Sep 2025

Good

2m 2f 110y

Class 5

14:31 Newton Abbot

Greystoke

10st 2lb

J: Cameron Iles

T: Jimmy Frost

Regressive 7yo who was a well-beaten 66-1 shot over C&D (good) last month and is effectively only 2lb lower today.

33/1

12

21st Aug 2025

Good

2m 2f 110y

Class 5

14:45 Newton Abbot

Greystoke

10st 4lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Jimmy Frost

Has struggled since joining this stable, including when briefly tried over fences and in cheekpieces, but offered some hope here on heavy ground in April (2m1f); has come a long way down in the weights but returns from a break with enough to prove.

33/1

5th

7

19th Apr 2025

Soft

2m 0f 167y

Class 5

15:44 Newton Abbot

Greystoke

10st 11lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Jimmy Frost

Consistent and capable under both codes when with Alan King; has yet to reach the frame on seven starts for this stable, trying fences the last time; has a lot to prove right now.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £12.20
Straight Forecast £12.80
Tricast £96.45
Trifecta £86.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Dickens

TOPSPEED:

Gavin

D Express:

Sassified

RP RATINGS:

Dickens

The Times:

Dickens

Telegraph:

Dickens

The Guardian:

Dickens

Daily Mail:

Dickens

Daily Mirror:

Dickens

The Sun:

Dickens

The Star:

Dickens

Daily Record:

Dickens

POSTDATA:

Gavin