October 02 / 14.30 Southwell

14.30

Good

Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £4700.09
  • 3m 0f 60y
  • Class 4
  • 6 runners
SKY
View Course
Paul Ferguson’s Jumpers To Follow Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

OUR TIP

Form: 2P61-P D BF

Last run: 140 days

W: 11st 13lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 121

Form & Verdict
Defied a virtually identical absence to today's at Perth this time last year (good); inconsistent when last seen, however, and over three and a half years since he last lowered a mark in the 120s.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

2nd Oct 2025

Good

3m 0f 60y

Class 4

14:30 Southwell

Peejaybee

11st 13lb

J: James Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Defied a virtually identical absence to today's at Perth this time last year (good); inconsistent when last seen, however, and over three and a half years since he last lowered a mark in the 120s.

6/1

1

15th May 2025

Good

2m 7f 180y

Class 4

14:50 Perth

Peejaybee

12st 1lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Course winner here last September (2m4f, good); back to winning ways last time at Ffos Las (3m, good to soft); interesting contender off this 5lb higher mark.

2/1

1

15th May 2025

Good

2m 7f 180y

Class 4

14:50 Perth

Peejaybee

12st 1lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Course winner here last September (2m4f, good); back to winning ways last time at Ffos Las (3m, good to soft); interesting contender off this 5lb higher mark.

2/1

Form: -562F4 C

Last run: 16 days

W: 11st 12lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 120

Form & Verdict
Hurdle win here in 2022 (2m5f) came in a match, and he's more synonymous with Worcester staying chases these days, albeit falling in one such two starts ago (confidence fillip since); 3lb below last winning mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

25th Sep 2026

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 4

15:50 Worcester

Tiger Orchid

11st 12lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Stuart Edmunds

Safely held in last two chases but beat Secret Trix by 4l to score at Uttoxeter (2m7f, good) on latest hurdling start in June and is now only 2lb above that mark; also suited by this track; can make his presence felt.

7/1

6th

3

22nd Jul 2026

Good

2m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:25 Worcester

Tiger Orchid

11st 13lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Stuart Edmunds

All three chase wins have been over C&D, including in this equivalent race in 2023; equally effective over hurdles with three wins, the most recent at Uttoxeter (3m, good) last month; last of five finishers when back over fences at Cartmel (3m1f, good) last time but cannot be dismissed around here.

12/1

5th

4

26th Jun 2026

Good

3m 1f 107y

Class 4

15:50 Cartmel

Tiger Orchid

12st 0lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Stuart Edmunds

All good since joining Stuart Edmonds and deserved his 2m7f win over hurdles at Uttoxeter (by 4l; good); up 4lb for this return to fences but he's a three-time winner in this discipline.

9/2

Form: P152-2 CD

Last run: 139 days

W: 11st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 116

Form & Verdict
Not wholly straightforward and nearly threw it away over C&D in February (good to soft), but kept sweet enough in blinkers (replaced here) to run second in an Aintree class 2 latest, a nose ahead of next-time Summer Cup scorer Only The Bold; chance off almost the same mark here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

14th Mar 2026

Good To Soft

2m 7f 91y

Class 3

15:25 Newcastle

Finn Lough

10st 12lb

J: Craig Nichol

T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Won two 3m handicap chases on good to soft last season; slow to find his form this term, but good run at Musselburgh last time (2m7f, soft); chance.

11/4

2nd

5

15th Feb 2026

Good To Soft

2m 7f 138y

Class 4

16:20 Musselburgh

Finn Lough

11st 4lb

J: Craig Nichol

T: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero

Has a slight question mark over current form but a revival would put him in the picture; gained most recent win off 1lb higher last February.

12/1

Form: -1951P CD

Last run: 16 days

W: 11st 8lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 116

Form & Verdict
Sound-surface wins in another C&D 0-120, a Cartmel hurdle and a Witton Castle open point since May; never travelling at Uttoxeter latest (first loss under Brian Hughes), but is one proven capable of bouncing back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

20th Oct 2026

Good

2m 7f 63y

Class 4

15:42 Hexham

Do No Wrong

12st 0lb

J: Callum Bewley

T: Justin Landy

8-30; Newcastle winner (3m, good; 3-1, from 3lb lower, when claimer ridden) last October; struggled on recent Kelso comeback run (2m5f; last of seven, beaten 27l); potentially vulnerable again until his mark slowly begins to ease.

4/1

7th

3

4th Oct 2026

Good

2m 4f 189y

Class 4

14:20 Kelso

Do No Wrong

11st 12lb

J: Callum Bewley

T: Justin Landy

Enjoyed a productive 2025 and won at Newcastle (2m7f, good) that October when last seen; this 10yo has an absence to defy but he won a point in May 2025 after some time off and is not discounted today.

11/2

5

30th Oct 2025

Good To Firm

2m 7f 149y

Class 4

15:08 Newcastle

Do No Wrong

11st 11lb

J: William Maggs

T: Justin Landy

Five-time chase winner who was runner-up in that discipline last time, and he won his last race over hurdles at Cartmel in August (2m6f, good); well treated in relation to chase mark and William Maggs also takes off 5lb.

100/30

Form: 5P1111

Last run: 13 days

W: 11st 5lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 113

Form & Verdict
Four class 5 wins shared between hurdles and fences since joining James Owen, hacking up in a Newton Abbot chase latest (3m2f, good to soft); a fifth race in 25 days, a step back up in class and most significantly an additional 20lb hike all ask different questions this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

26th Jan 2026

Soft

3m 1f 157y

Class 4

15:50 Plumpton

Shantou Lucky

11st 10lb

J: Nathan Howie

T: James Owen

Had a charmed spell for new yard earlier, five wins including one over C&D (good; also acts on soft); has run up to form only once in his last four starts though, following a revival at Fakenham last month with a tailed-off run at Windsor, and is still 6lb higher than the latest win.

100/30

5

2nd Oct 2025

Good

3m 0f 60y

Class 4

14:30 Southwell

Shantou Lucky

11st 5lb

J: Nathan Howie

T: James Owen

Four class 5 wins shared between hurdles and fences since joining James Owen, hacking up in a Newton Abbot chase latest (3m2f, good to soft); a fifth race in 25 days, a step back up in class and most significantly an additional 20lb hike all ask different questions this time.

Evs

1st

2

19th Sep 2025

Soft

3m 1f 170y

Class 5

16:55 Newton Abbot

Shantou Lucky

11st 13lb

J: Nathan Howie

T: James Owen

Revitalised 8yo who started off for James Owen with two hurdle wins in refitted visor this month (2m5f/2m4f) and barely came off the bridle when scoring by 12l over fences at Uttoxeter (2m4f, good) on Tuesday; has further to go here but has good chance to extend winning spree under 7lb penalty.

8/15

Form: 33-12F D

Last run: 16 days

W: 11st 2lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
Had the run of the race for May's Hexham maiden success (3m, good), but beaten favourite three times either side of that and last month's fall wasn't his first over hurdles; some trepidation ahead of this switch to fences, for all he's out of a chase-winning half-sister to Royal Auclair.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

4th Oct 2026

Good

2m 7f 70y

Class 3

15:15 Uttoxeter

Pike Road

10st 11lb

J: Freddie Keighley

T: Martin Keighley

C&D winner off this mark last November (soft) but mainly below that form since and tailed off back over C&D (good) on his last two outings.

14/1

8th

3

15th Sep 2026

Good

2m 7f 70y

Class 4

14:00 Uttoxeter

Pike Road

11st 12lb

J: Freddie Keighley

T: Martin Keighley

C&D winner off 2lb lower last November (soft) but mainly below that form since, including last time when well beaten over C&D after pulling too hard in first time visor (discarded); should fare better.

12/1

7th

6

26th Jul 2026

Good

2m 7f 70y

Class 2

16:12 Uttoxeter

Pike Road

10st 11lb

J: Freddie Keighley

T: Martin Keighley

Runner-up at Worcester before another disappointing run over fences (0-3); no surprise to see him back hurdling but the first-time visor is a grey area; others perhaps safer.

9/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £63.70
Straight Forecast £62.48
Trifecta £201.50

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Shantou Lucky

TOPSPEED:

Finn Lough

WEST COUNTRY:

Pike Road

SPOTLIGHT:

Do No Wrong

The Times:

Finn Lough

Daily Mirror:

Finn Lough

The Sun:

Finn Lough

POSTDATA:

Shantou Lucky

NEWMARKET:

Shantou Lucky

Telegraph:

Shantou Lucky

The Guardian:

Shantou Lucky

Daily Mail:

Shantou Lucky

D Express:

Shantou Lucky

The Star:

Shantou Lucky

Daily Record:

Shantou Lucky