October 03 / 18.45 Southwell (AW)

18.45

Standard

ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 4
  • 13 runners
SKY
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ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Light rain

Form: 200790 C

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Struggled on his last four starts but he has dropped 9lb as a result; fully effective around here and he's likely to bounce back soon; 7f perhaps his optimum trip though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(4)

2nd Jul 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

18:33 Kempton (AW)

Blue Prince

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: David Evans

Dropped down the weights last summer and he has rediscovered his spark this time around, following third-placed efforts here and at Goodwood with a comfortable Salisbury success (all over 7f); probably stays this far but he has yet to be placed in his six 1m starts so it will be breaking new ground for him to win today.

3/1

1st

5

(5)

14th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

0m 6f 213y

Class 4

14:44 Salisbury

Blue Prince

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: David Evans

Hasn't won since defying a 10lb higher mark at Glorious Goodwood two years ago but his two efforts this term are very encouraging, latest back at Goodwood (7f, soft); attractively treated and firmly in the mix.

5/1

OUR TIP

Form: 106390 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
His third to Sky Safari at Kempton in July reads well enough and he is 1lb lower today; has three C&D wins to his name from five visits; market instructive now back down in class.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

7

(12)

7th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 4lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

11-time AW winner; quiet for Chelsea Banham this year but dropping down the weights and he is one of four runners on the card for connections that all require close market surveillance.

9/1

9th

13

(1)

20th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 2lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

11-time AW winner but he's been out of sorts for new yard since December and was last of eight over C&D last time; mark is tumbling but he has lots to prove and needs a major revival.

66/1

8th

6

(8)

4th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:20 Kempton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 4lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

All 11 wins on the AW, including one over C&D, though his latest success for the Moores was in a Newcastle seller (1m, Tapeta) in October; out of the frame in all four starts for this yard since then and may be best watched despite his declining mark.

12/1

Form: 9-4809 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 9st 12lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Had Group-race form in Uruguay in 2023/24; well beaten in three handicap runs for Marco Botti this year though and although he's down in the weights and tried in cheekpieces, he has plenty to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(1)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Rock Walk

9st 12lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Marco Botti

Had Group-race form in Uruguay in 2023/24; well beaten in three handicap runs for Marco Botti this year though and although he's down in the weights and tried in cheekpieces, he has plenty to prove.

33/1

9th

2

(2)

14th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Chelmsford (AW)

Rock Walk

10st 0lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Marco Botti

Second in 1m4f Group 1 in Uruguay, then 0-4 during a spell in UAE; seemed unsuited by the drop back to 7f (good; 33-1) on British debut in June but weakened over that trip at Newmarket (good to firm; 100-1) later that month; mark is tumbling but he has something to prove and last win was almost two years ago.

10/1

Form: 252107 D

Last run: 58 days

W: 9st 10lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Prolific winner who has added three more victories to his tally in 2025, the latest off just 1lb lower (1m, soft); has won on Tapeta at other tracks but his three runs here have seen him finish down the field; has the widest stall this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

5

(4)

16th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 218y

Class 5

16:45 Thirsk

Cosmos Raj

9st 3lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

Won at Ripon (1m, soft; Barley was second) last July off a mark 8lb higher than today's but he's struggled since; others have stronger claims.

25/1

6th

8

(8)

29th Jun 2026

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

16:00 Pontefract

Cosmos Raj

9st 4lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

12-time winner; creditable second in this race in 2022 and 2025 but on both occasions he was in better form at the time; out of sorts since his last success.

20/1

7th

3

(13)

8th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 1f 0y

Class 5

16:53 Carlisle

Cosmos Raj

9st 8lb

J: David Nolan

T: David O’Meara

Gained most recent success off 3lb higher last July, enhancing his good record at Ripon; not in anything like the same form since; difficult to support with confidence.

16/1

Form: -01068 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Ended a losing run at Windsor in June but only five ran there and he has finished down the field in three runs since; looks vulnerable once again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(13)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Lyndon B

9st 9lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Ended a losing run at Windsor in June but only five ran there and he has finished down the field in three runs since; looks vulnerable once again.

33/1

4

(6)

8th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

16:34 Windsor

Lyndon B

10st 2lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Only beat four rivals for his 1m win here in June and was pretty much last in his two races on either side of that; again beat just the one home here 16 days ago.

14/1

6th

2

(2)

23rd Aug 2025

Good

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

19:15 Windsor

Lyndon B

9st 12lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Snapped a losing run when beating four rivals over C&D (good to firm) in June but he's not easy predict and was last of 13 at Chepstow two weeks ago; needs to bounce back again after that and he comes with risks attached.

8/1

Form: -30893 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Slipped down the weights this summer and she returned to form when third of ten over C&D last month (blinkered first time); back against males this time and she'll need another step forward.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(1)

6th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 3

16:52 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

9st 7lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Record of 7-20 on AW and 2-3 since wearing visor; midfield in notable handicap at Lingfield (1m2f) most recently, shaping as if this return to further is worth exploring; could go well in the retained headgear.

6/1

5th

5

(10)

17th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:15 Lingfield (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

8st 8lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

2-2 since visored, following a 1m2f Chelmsford win with a ready success at Wolverhampton last month (9.5f); up 4lb and drawn widest so she will need to produce another personal best to complete her hat-trick.

12/1

3rd

4

(2)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 4

13:40 Lingfield (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Five-time AW winner who looks a solid contender, having shown herself back in better form with third-place finishes off current mark at Southwell (1m) in last three outings; should be thereabouts again.

7/2

Form: 030277

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Patchy record this year but he is on the same mark as when a close second in a competitive race at Brighton in August; each-way shout.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(9)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Rufaa

10st 0lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Now 2lb lower than when keeping on well for close second behind course specialist in quite valuable Brighton Mile this summer, but recent Tapeta form has been underwhelming and he remains without a win since 2023.

10/1

1

(9)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Rufaa

10st 0lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Now 2lb lower than when keeping on well for close second behind course specialist in quite valuable Brighton Mile this summer, but recent Tapeta form has been underwhelming and he remains without a win since 2023.

10/1

7

(5)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Al Rufaa

9st 9lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Patchy record this year but he is on the same mark as when a close second in a competitive race at Brighton in August; each-way shout.

10/1

Form: -15617 CD

Last run: 41 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
C&D winner last December; added handicap wins at Wetherby and Redcar this year (both 1m, good to firm) but he was underwhelming back at Redcar six weeks ago; career best required.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

6

(7)

10th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:00 Ascot

Paladin

9st 9lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Caused a 33-1 surprise when winning on his stable debut in January (8.5f, AW) but after a four-month break he couldn't repeat that level returned to turf when 18th of 22 at York (7f, good) seven weeks ago; tough to predict what can be expected this time.

12/1

18th

3

(5)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Paladin

9st 8lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Free-going sort who was 4-18 for Charlie Johnston, including two 1m wins last summer, and made a winning start for new connections when 33-1 for a nine-runner race at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January; absent since and has more to prove back at 7f for the first time since 2024.

20/1

1st

6

(3)

16th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 4

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paladin

9st 4lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Record of 4-18 for Charlie Johnston and was second at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) on his penultimate run for that yard; returns after three months off but he's still lightly raced on AW and needs watching in market on stable debut.

12/1

Form: 323211 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Took a while to put her head in front but having got off the mark at Wolverhampton last month (8.6f; blinkers first time), she followed up in emphatic fashion at Newcastle last week; escapes a penalty for that win and she's due to be 9lb higher in the future; obvious claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(12)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Bernalda

9st 5lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: James Ferguson

Took a while to put her head in front but having got off the mark at Wolverhampton last month (8.6f; blinkers first time), she followed up in emphatic fashion at Newcastle last week; escapes a penalty for that win and she's due to be 9lb higher in the future; obvious claims.

15/8

3

(3)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bernalda

9st 9lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: James Ferguson

Made her breakthrough at the 13th attempt when landing a Wolverhampton handicap (8.6f; first-time blinkers) three weeks ago; up 5lb but that was a comfortable success and she's still unexposed on AW; key player.

11/4

1st

1

(3)

6th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

20:42 Wolverhampton (AW)

Bernalda

9st 9lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: James Ferguson

12-race maiden; regularly run well in defeat this year, going down narrowly over 1m at Thirsk three weeks ago; blinkers now replace cheekpieces; 2lb rise shouldn't prevent another big run.

9/2

Form: 41-208

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
7f AW winner 12 months ago; subsequent handicap defeats suggest she is vulnerable in this competitive event.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11

(9)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Loch Leven

9st 5lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Ollie Sangster

7f AW winner 12 months ago; subsequent handicap defeats suggest she is vulnerable in this competitive event.

20/1

8th

11

(2)

13th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Kempton (AW)

Loch Leven

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Ollie Sangster

Progressed to win 7f maiden here in the autumn and reappeared with good second in 1m handicap at Southwell; raced wide when soundly beaten in hotter race next time; drawn one off the rail on this occasion; cheekpieces return.

12/1

12th

11

(9)

13th Jul 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 3

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Loch Leven

8st 12lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ollie Sangster

Ties in with two of today's rivals, having beaten Transparent in Kempton maiden (7f) on final 2yo start then run well behind Immediate Effect in C&D handicap on reappearance; enters the reckoning.

10/1

Form: 360398 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Made all in a Class 3 fillies' handicap at Musselburgh (1m1f, good to soft) on her stable debut in April; in and out since and although she should be well treated now, others bring more pressing claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

(8)

4th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 100y

Class 5

16:35 Beverley

Alessia Fernanda

10st 0lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Kickstarted 2026 with 1m success at Southwell but she's failed to build on it, only sixth of seven in 7f Catterick handicap 12 days ago; needs to take a step forward.

14/1

6th

2

(7)

22nd Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 5

16:00 Catterick

Alessia Fernanda

10st 2lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Turf wins at 1m and 1m1f; scored on AW at Southwell (1m) in April following six-month break and wind surgery but below that form at Newcastle since; returns to turf but may be best suited by further than 7f.

12/1

8th

3

(2)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

Alessia Fernanda

9st 8lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Took advantage of an easing mark to make a winning seasonal reappearance at Southwell (1m; 14-1, first start since wind surgery) in late April; non-runner at Thirsk (ground) on Sunday, and this looks a better fit; likely to have a say from 4lb higher.

13/2

6/1

Form: 4371 CD

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
His first two runs were promising and he quickly put a poor run at Ffos Las behind him (gelded after) when making a successful handicap debut over C&D four weeks ago; up 6lb but should still have his best days ahead of him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13

(11)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Bin Ajwad

9st 3lb

J: David Allan

T: James Tate

His first two runs were promising and he quickly put a poor run at Ffos Las behind him (gelded after) when making a successful handicap debut over C&D four weeks ago; up 6lb but should still have his best days ahead of him.

6/1

7

(2)

4th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Bin Ajwad

9st 7lb

J: David Allan

T: James Tate

Shaped well in April when fourth on debut at Newcastle (7f, AW) and third of 14 at Ayr (1m, good) but he was beaten 26l at Ffos Las (1m2f, good to soft) 66 days ago; gelded since and drops back to 1m on his handicap debut; check the market.

10/1

7th

6

(5)

30th Jun 2025

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Bin Ajwad

9st 0lb

J: Jason Watson

T: James Tate

Showed fair form when keeping on and making the frame on both starts in April (7f, AW/1m, good); will be right in the thick of things here if this new trip unlocks any improvement.

11/2

Form: 533170 D

Last run: 61 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Beat 13 rivals when making all in a 1m handicap at Newbury in June; struggled on soft ground at Galway in August; not fully exposed and now races in new accessories.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(3)

7th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

American State

9st 9lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Ivan Furtado

Returned from a wind operation in December with a C&D success in February; scored over 1m at Southwell in April too when just 2lb lower; not so good on his next three starts but this is an ease in grade and he can't be discounted.

7/1

6th

5

(11)

10th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

18:40 Kempton (AW)

American State

9st 6lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Ivan Furtado

Two AW wins this year; met plenty of trouble when down the field at Newcastle last week but still makes only limited appeal tonight.

16/1

Non-runners

Special Ghaiyyath

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £23.40
Straight Forecast £18.99
Tricast £146.05
Trifecta £156.50

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Bernalda

POSTDATA:

Bin Ajwad

Telegraph:

Special Ghaiyyath

The Star:

Cephalus

D Express:

Al Rufaa

The Times:

Bin Ajwad

The Guardian:

Bin Ajwad

Daily Record:

Special Ghaiyyath

RP RATINGS:

Bernalda

TOPSPEED:

Bernalda

NEWMARKET:

Bernalda

Daily Mail:

Bernalda

Daily Mirror:

Bernalda