October 03 / 18.45 Southwell (AW)

18.45

Standard

ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 4
  • 13 runners
SKY
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ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Light rain

Form: 200790 C

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Struggled on his last four starts but he has dropped 9lb as a result; fully effective around here and he's likely to bounce back soon; 7f perhaps his optimum trip though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12

(14)

5th Sep 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

14:20 Kempton (AW)

Blue Prince

8st 12lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: David Evans

Latest win came in a claimer and he was never a threat back in a handicap at Chester last time; fully exposed and others appeal more.

22/1

7th

12

(5)

22nd Aug 2026

Good To Soft

0m 7f 127y

Class 2

14:05 Chester

Blue Prince

8st 10lb

J: J F Egan

T: David Evans

Normally ridden to be produced late, as when successful at Salisbury (7f, good) in June, but was given a straightforward ride to land a claimer over C&D (good) 20 days ago; this looks tougher however and more is required.

14/1

1st

4

(4)

2nd Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 127y

Class 4

16:22 Chester

Blue Prince

8st 13lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: David Evans

The last run wasn't his best (four ran) but he was bang there in his four previous races, all handicaps at 7f/1m; drops into a claimer on favourable terms and must have every chance; has run well here before.

5/4

OUR TIP

Form: 106390 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
His third to Sky Safari at Kempton in July reads well enough and he is 1lb lower today; has three C&D wins to his name from five visits; market instructive now back down in class.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

6

(10)

30th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

17:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 8lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

11-time AW winner, the latest a Newcastle seller for the Moores (1m, Tapeta) last October; regressive for this yard in the meantime despite plummeting in the weights; best watched unless the market suggests otherwise.

11/1

10th

7

(12)

7th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 4lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

11-time AW winner; quiet for Chelsea Banham this year but dropping down the weights and he is one of four runners on the card for connections that all require close market surveillance.

9/1

9th

13

(1)

20th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 2lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

11-time AW winner but he's been out of sorts for new yard since December and was last of eight over C&D last time; mark is tumbling but he has lots to prove and needs a major revival.

66/1

Form: 9-4809 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 9st 12lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Had Group-race form in Uruguay in 2023/24; well beaten in three handicap runs for Marco Botti this year though and although he's down in the weights and tried in cheekpieces, he has plenty to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(1)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Rock Walk

9st 12lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Marco Botti

Had Group-race form in Uruguay in 2023/24; well beaten in three handicap runs for Marco Botti this year though and although he's down in the weights and tried in cheekpieces, he has plenty to prove.

33/1

9th

2

(2)

14th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Chelmsford (AW)

Rock Walk

10st 0lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Marco Botti

Second in 1m4f Group 1 in Uruguay, then 0-4 during a spell in UAE; seemed unsuited by the drop back to 7f (good; 33-1) on British debut in June but weakened over that trip at Newmarket (good to firm; 100-1) later that month; mark is tumbling but he has something to prove and last win was almost two years ago.

10/1

Form: 252107 D

Last run: 58 days

W: 9st 10lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Prolific winner who has added three more victories to his tally in 2025, the latest off just 1lb lower (1m, soft); has won on Tapeta at other tracks but his three runs here have seen him finish down the field; has the widest stall this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(1)

1st Sep 2026

Good

1m 1f 170y

Class 5

14:10 Ripon

Cosmos Raj

9st 7lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: David O’Meara

10-50 turf; made all, clinging on, at Redcar (1m2f, good; 20-1) ten days ago; 3lb higher, but with 3lb claimer Conor Whiteley taking over in the saddle; is better known as a miler, so stamina could be the thorny issue, especially if more rain arrives.

7/2

1st

3

(3)

22nd Aug 2026

Good

1m 2f 1y

Class 5

18:30 Redcar

Cosmos Raj

9st 9lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: David O’Meara

A three-time 1m winner in 2025 but yet to hit top form this season, finishing just fourth of six in 1m Pontefract handicap 17 days ago; on a falling mark but more is required.

10/1

4th

5

(2)

5th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 6y

Class 5

15:45 Pontefract

Cosmos Raj

8st 13lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: David O’Meara

Multiple winner over 1m-1m2f; versatile regarding going; 12lb lower than his most recent win at Ripon 13 months ago; plenty to prove based on five of his six starts this season.

10/1

Form: -01068 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Ended a losing run at Windsor in June but only five ran there and he has finished down the field in three runs since; looks vulnerable once again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(13)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Lyndon B

9st 9lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Ended a losing run at Windsor in June but only five ran there and he has finished down the field in three runs since; looks vulnerable once again.

33/1

4

(6)

8th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

16:34 Windsor

Lyndon B

10st 2lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Only beat four rivals for his 1m win here in June and was pretty much last in his two races on either side of that; again beat just the one home here 16 days ago.

14/1

6th

2

(2)

23rd Aug 2025

Good

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

19:15 Windsor

Lyndon B

9st 12lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Snapped a losing run when beating four rivals over C&D (good to firm) in June but he's not easy predict and was last of 13 at Chepstow two weeks ago; needs to bounce back again after that and he comes with risks attached.

8/1

Form: -30893 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Slipped down the weights this summer and she returned to form when third of ten over C&D last month (blinkered first time); back against males this time and she'll need another step forward.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(1)

6th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 3

16:52 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

9st 7lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Record of 7-20 on AW and 2-3 since wearing visor; midfield in notable handicap at Lingfield (1m2f) most recently, shaping as if this return to further is worth exploring; could go well in the retained headgear.

6/1

5th

5

(10)

17th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:15 Lingfield (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

8st 8lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

2-2 since visored, following a 1m2f Chelmsford win with a ready success at Wolverhampton last month (9.5f); up 4lb and drawn widest so she will need to produce another personal best to complete her hat-trick.

12/1

3rd

4

(2)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 4

13:40 Lingfield (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Five-time AW winner who looks a solid contender, having shown herself back in better form with third-place finishes off current mark at Southwell (1m) in last three outings; should be thereabouts again.

7/2

Form: 030277

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Patchy record this year but he is on the same mark as when a close second in a competitive race at Brighton in August; each-way shout.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(9)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Rufaa

10st 0lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Now 2lb lower than when keeping on well for close second behind course specialist in quite valuable Brighton Mile this summer, but recent Tapeta form has been underwhelming and he remains without a win since 2023.

10/1

1

(9)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Rufaa

10st 0lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Now 2lb lower than when keeping on well for close second behind course specialist in quite valuable Brighton Mile this summer, but recent Tapeta form has been underwhelming and he remains without a win since 2023.

10/1

7

(5)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Al Rufaa

9st 9lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Patchy record this year but he is on the same mark as when a close second in a competitive race at Brighton in August; each-way shout.

10/1

Form: -15617 CD

Last run: 41 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
C&D winner last December; added handicap wins at Wetherby and Redcar this year (both 1m, good to firm) but he was underwhelming back at Redcar six weeks ago; career best required.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

(4)

20th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

16:20 Newmarket (July)

Paladin

10st 1lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

His first win came over 7f (soft) but better at 1m now, getting up late to win on Wolverhampton AW when making his yard debut in January and finding only a subsequent winner too good at Ascot last month; out of sorts at Redcar since though and reverts to 7f with something to prove.

7/1

9th

4

(5)

8th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 219y

Class 4

15:12 Redcar

Paladin

10st 1lb

J: William Pyle

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Caused 33-1 surprise on stable debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January and rebounded from lesser effort when second over the straight 1m at Ascot (good to firm; winner followed up soon afterwards) last month; considered.

7/1

3

(7)

25th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 192y

Class 4

15:05 York

Paladin

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Kevin & Lauren Frost

Sprang a 33-1 surprise on stable debut at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January, and back to form when second at Ascot (1m, good to firm) two weeks ago; should be thereabouts.

10/1

Form: 323211 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Took a while to put her head in front but having got off the mark at Wolverhampton last month (8.6f; blinkers first time), she followed up in emphatic fashion at Newcastle last week; escapes a penalty for that win and she's due to be 9lb higher in the future; obvious claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(12)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Bernalda

9st 5lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: James Ferguson

Took a while to put her head in front but having got off the mark at Wolverhampton last month (8.6f; blinkers first time), she followed up in emphatic fashion at Newcastle last week; escapes a penalty for that win and she's due to be 9lb higher in the future; obvious claims.

15/8

3

(3)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bernalda

9st 9lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: James Ferguson

Made her breakthrough at the 13th attempt when landing a Wolverhampton handicap (8.6f; first-time blinkers) three weeks ago; up 5lb but that was a comfortable success and she's still unexposed on AW; key player.

11/4

1st

1

(3)

6th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

20:42 Wolverhampton (AW)

Bernalda

9st 9lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: James Ferguson

12-race maiden; regularly run well in defeat this year, going down narrowly over 1m at Thirsk three weeks ago; blinkers now replace cheekpieces; 2lb rise shouldn't prevent another big run.

9/2

Form: 41-208

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
7f AW winner 12 months ago; subsequent handicap defeats suggest she is vulnerable in this competitive event.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11

(9)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Loch Leven

9st 5lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Ollie Sangster

7f AW winner 12 months ago; subsequent handicap defeats suggest she is vulnerable in this competitive event.

20/1

8th

11

(2)

13th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Kempton (AW)

Loch Leven

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Ollie Sangster

Progressed to win 7f maiden here in the autumn and reappeared with good second in 1m handicap at Southwell; raced wide when soundly beaten in hotter race next time; drawn one off the rail on this occasion; cheekpieces return.

12/1

12th

11

(9)

13th Jul 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 3

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Loch Leven

8st 12lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ollie Sangster

Ties in with two of today's rivals, having beaten Transparent in Kempton maiden (7f) on final 2yo start then run well behind Immediate Effect in C&D handicap on reappearance; enters the reckoning.

10/1

Form: 360398 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Made all in a Class 3 fillies' handicap at Musselburgh (1m1f, good to soft) on her stable debut in April; in and out since and although she should be well treated now, others bring more pressing claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(5)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:40 Southwell (AW)

Alessia Fernanda

9st 5lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Reappeared with a C&D win in April (14-1) but she's not hit the same level since and was beaten 10l at Thirsk last time; now only 1lb higher than for that last success but she needs another bolt from the blue.

16/1

6th

5

(9)

14th Aug 2026

Good

0m 7f 218y

Class 5

19:50 Thirsk

Alessia Fernanda

9st 6lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

No match for the winner last week at Pontefract (1m) but that was a return to form of sorts; has dropped to what should be a good mark.

10/1

2nd

2

(5)

5th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 6y

Class 5

15:45 Pontefract

Alessia Fernanda

9st 6lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Her wins have come on slow ground but she appears to act on good to firm; latest success came on AW (1m) in April, when 2lb lower; below that level in three turf starts since.

11/2

6/1

Form: 4371 CD

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
His first two runs were promising and he quickly put a poor run at Ffos Las behind him (gelded after) when making a successful handicap debut over C&D four weeks ago; up 6lb but should still have his best days ahead of him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13

(11)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Bin Ajwad

9st 3lb

J: David Allan

T: James Tate

His first two runs were promising and he quickly put a poor run at Ffos Las behind him (gelded after) when making a successful handicap debut over C&D four weeks ago; up 6lb but should still have his best days ahead of him.

6/1

7

(2)

4th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Bin Ajwad

9st 7lb

J: David Allan

T: James Tate

Shaped well in April when fourth on debut at Newcastle (7f, AW) and third of 14 at Ayr (1m, good) but he was beaten 26l at Ffos Las (1m2f, good to soft) 66 days ago; gelded since and drops back to 1m on his handicap debut; check the market.

10/1

7th

6

(5)

30th Jun 2025

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Bin Ajwad

9st 0lb

J: Jason Watson

T: James Tate

Showed fair form when keeping on and making the frame on both starts in April (7f, AW/1m, good); will be right in the thick of things here if this new trip unlocks any improvement.

11/2

Form: 533170 D

Last run: 61 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Beat 13 rivals when making all in a 1m handicap at Newbury in June; struggled on soft ground at Galway in August; not fully exposed and now races in new accessories.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

8

(2)

3rd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

19:10 Southwell (AW)

American State

9st 4lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Ivan Furtado

C&D winner in April off a 2lb lower mark than today's and he raced wide when second of 13 at Wolverhampton (9.5f, AW) in July; drops back in trip with good claims.

11/2

2nd

3

(11)

21st Jul 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

American State

9st 8lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Ivan Furtado

Dual winner at around 1m early in the year, latterly off 1lb lower, who's been this far only once (C&D last backend), when well held; offered more last time but stamina remains a worry.

12/1

4th

1

(3)

7th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:10 Wolverhampton (AW)

American State

9st 9lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Ivan Furtado

Returned from a wind operation in December with a C&D success in February; scored over 1m at Southwell in April too when just 2lb lower; not so good on his next three starts but this is an ease in grade and he can't be discounted.

7/1

Non-runners

Special Ghaiyyath

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £23.40
Straight Forecast £18.99
Tricast £146.05
Trifecta £156.50

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Bernalda

POSTDATA:

Bin Ajwad

Telegraph:

Special Ghaiyyath

The Star:

Cephalus

D Express:

Al Rufaa

The Times:

Bin Ajwad

The Guardian:

Bin Ajwad

Daily Record:

Special Ghaiyyath

RP RATINGS:

Bernalda

TOPSPEED:

Bernalda

NEWMARKET:

Bernalda

Daily Mail:

Bernalda

Daily Mirror:

Bernalda