October 03 / 18.45 Southwell (AW)

18.45

Standard

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  • Prize money: £5234
  • 1m 0f 13y
  • Class 4
  • 13 runners
SKY
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ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Light rain

Form: 200790 C

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Struggled on his last four starts but he has dropped 9lb as a result; fully effective around here and he's likely to bounce back soon; 7f perhaps his optimum trip though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(9)

6th May 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

20:00 Kempton (AW)

Blue Prince

9st 7lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: David Evans

Only won one of his last 25 starts and regressed last year; now 11lb lower than when beaten a nose over C&D last spring but there's nothing to suggest he's best caught fresh; others have more pressing claims.

16/1

1

(8)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Blue Prince

9st 13lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: David Evans

Struggled on his last four starts but he has dropped 9lb as a result; fully effective around here and he's likely to bounce back soon; 7f perhaps his optimum trip though.

16/1

11

(3)

20th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

16:25 Newbury

Blue Prince

9st 3lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: David Evans

Defied a higher mark at Glorious Goodwood last season and placed a few times on AW this year (up to April); not in top form since returning from a break and needs to stage a revival.

25/1

OUR TIP

Form: 106390 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
His third to Sky Safari at Kempton in July reads well enough and he is 1lb lower today; has three C&D wins to his name from five visits; market instructive now back down in class.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

13

(1)

20th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 2lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

11-time AW winner but he's been out of sorts for new yard since December and was last of eight over C&D last time; mark is tumbling but he has lots to prove and needs a major revival.

66/1

8th

6

(8)

4th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:20 Kempton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 4lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

All 11 wins on the AW, including one over C&D, though his latest success for the Moores was in a Newcastle seller (1m, Tapeta) in October; out of the frame in all four starts for this yard since then and may be best watched despite his declining mark.

12/1

10th

4

(9)

31st Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

18:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Cephalus

9st 7lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Chelsea Banham

Prolific winner down the years; not fired in three runs for Chelsea Banham this winter; betting likely to guide if a revival is on the cards.

40/1

Form: 9-4809 D

Last run: 50 days

W: 9st 12lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Had Group-race form in Uruguay in 2023/24; well beaten in three handicap runs for Marco Botti this year though and although he's down in the weights and tried in cheekpieces, he has plenty to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(1)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Rock Walk

9st 12lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Marco Botti

Had Group-race form in Uruguay in 2023/24; well beaten in three handicap runs for Marco Botti this year though and although he's down in the weights and tried in cheekpieces, he has plenty to prove.

33/1

9th

2

(2)

14th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Chelmsford (AW)

Rock Walk

10st 0lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Marco Botti

Second in 1m4f Group 1 in Uruguay, then 0-4 during a spell in UAE; seemed unsuited by the drop back to 7f (good; 33-1) on British debut in June but weakened over that trip at Newmarket (good to firm; 100-1) later that month; mark is tumbling but he has something to prove and last win was almost two years ago.

10/1

Form: 252107 D

Last run: 58 days

W: 9st 10lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Prolific winner who has added three more victories to his tally in 2025, the latest off just 1lb lower (1m, soft); has won on Tapeta at other tracks but his three runs here have seen him finish down the field; has the widest stall this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(3)

26th May 2026

Good

0m 7f 219y

Class 4

15:50 Redcar

Cosmos Raj

9st 1lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

Closely-matched with Classic Encounter on their form at York last June (1m1f, good to firm); bit disappointing since Ripon win in July (1m, good to soft), although excuses for poor reappearance run (blindfold removed late).

20/1

9th

7

(4)

29th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

15:23 Pontefract

Cosmos Raj

9st 1lb

J: Cian Horgan

T: David O’Meara

Three wins last May/July at about 1m on various ground and he's back down to his last winning mark; ended 2025 quietly and there's a suspicion he'll improve for this comeback run; withdrawn after getting upset in the stalls at Ripon two weeks ago (25-1 at the time).

25/1

8

(7)

16th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

17:25 Ripon

Cosmos Raj

9st 7lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: David O’Meara

Three wins last May/July at about 1m on various ground and he's back down to his last winning mark; may have been ready for a break towards end of last season but there's a suspicion he'll improve for this comeback run.

9/1

Form: -01068 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Ended a losing run at Windsor in June but only five ran there and he has finished down the field in three runs since; looks vulnerable once again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

(13)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Lyndon B

9st 9lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Ended a losing run at Windsor in June but only five ran there and he has finished down the field in three runs since; looks vulnerable once again.

33/1

4

(6)

8th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

16:34 Windsor

Lyndon B

10st 2lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Only beat four rivals for his 1m win here in June and was pretty much last in his two races on either side of that; again beat just the one home here 16 days ago.

14/1

6th

2

(2)

23rd Aug 2025

Good

1m 0f 31y

Class 4

19:15 Windsor

Lyndon B

9st 12lb

J: William Carson

T: John & Rhys Flint

Snapped a losing run when beating four rivals over C&D (good to firm) in June but he's not easy predict and was last of 13 at Chepstow two weeks ago; needs to bounce back again after that and he comes with risks attached.

8/1

Form: -30893 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 9lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Slipped down the weights this summer and she returned to form when third of ten over C&D last month (blinkered first time); back against males this time and she'll need another step forward.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(1)

6th Feb 2026

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 3

16:52 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

9st 7lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Record of 7-20 on AW and 2-3 since wearing visor; midfield in notable handicap at Lingfield (1m2f) most recently, shaping as if this return to further is worth exploring; could go well in the retained headgear.

6/1

5th

5

(10)

17th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:15 Lingfield (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

8st 8lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

2-2 since visored, following a 1m2f Chelmsford win with a ready success at Wolverhampton last month (9.5f); up 4lb and drawn widest so she will need to produce another personal best to complete her hat-trick.

12/1

3rd

4

(2)

4th Nov 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 4

13:40 Lingfield (AW)

Lady Of Arabia

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Five-time AW winner who looks a solid contender, having shown herself back in better form with third-place finishes off current mark at Southwell (1m) in last three outings; should be thereabouts again.

7/2

Form: 030277

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 9lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Patchy record this year but he is on the same mark as when a close second in a competitive race at Brighton in August; each-way shout.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(9)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Rufaa

10st 0lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Now 2lb lower than when keeping on well for close second behind course specialist in quite valuable Brighton Mile this summer, but recent Tapeta form has been underwhelming and he remains without a win since 2023.

10/1

1

(9)

27th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

20:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Al Rufaa

10st 0lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Now 2lb lower than when keeping on well for close second behind course specialist in quite valuable Brighton Mile this summer, but recent Tapeta form has been underwhelming and he remains without a win since 2023.

10/1

7

(5)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Al Rufaa

9st 9lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Patchy record this year but he is on the same mark as when a close second in a competitive race at Brighton in August; each-way shout.

10/1

Form: -15617 CD

Last run: 41 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
C&D winner last December; added handicap wins at Wetherby and Redcar this year (both 1m, good to firm) but he was underwhelming back at Redcar six weeks ago; career best required.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

18th

3

(5)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:00 York

Paladin

9st 8lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Free-going sort who was 4-18 for Charlie Johnston, including two 1m wins last summer, and made a winning start for new connections when 33-1 for a nine-runner race at Wolverhampton (8.6f, AW) in January; absent since and has more to prove back at 7f for the first time since 2024.

20/1

1st

6

(3)

16th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 4

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Paladin

9st 4lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Kevin Frost

Record of 4-18 for Charlie Johnston and was second at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) on his penultimate run for that yard; returns after three months off but he's still lightly raced on AW and needs watching in market on stable debut.

12/1

5th

4

(2)

17th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 4

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Paladin

9st 9lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Charlie Johnston

Southwell winner (1m, Tapeta) late last year and has twice won on turf (1m, good to firm) since returning from six months off in June; ran well to finish second of 13 back at Southwell (1m) a fortnight ago and much respected despite a 2lb rise.

3/1

Form: 323211 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 5lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Took a while to put her head in front but having got off the mark at Wolverhampton last month (8.6f; blinkers first time), she followed up in emphatic fashion at Newcastle last week; escapes a penalty for that win and she's due to be 9lb higher in the future; obvious claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

(12)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Bernalda

9st 5lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: James Ferguson

Took a while to put her head in front but having got off the mark at Wolverhampton last month (8.6f; blinkers first time), she followed up in emphatic fashion at Newcastle last week; escapes a penalty for that win and she's due to be 9lb higher in the future; obvious claims.

15/8

3

(3)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bernalda

9st 9lb

J: Alexandra Egan

T: James Ferguson

Made her breakthrough at the 13th attempt when landing a Wolverhampton handicap (8.6f; first-time blinkers) three weeks ago; up 5lb but that was a comfortable success and she's still unexposed on AW; key player.

11/4

1st

1

(3)

6th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

20:42 Wolverhampton (AW)

Bernalda

9st 9lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: James Ferguson

12-race maiden; regularly run well in defeat this year, going down narrowly over 1m at Thirsk three weeks ago; blinkers now replace cheekpieces; 2lb rise shouldn't prevent another big run.

9/2

Form: 41-208

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
7f AW winner 12 months ago; subsequent handicap defeats suggest she is vulnerable in this competitive event.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11

(9)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Loch Leven

9st 5lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Ollie Sangster

7f AW winner 12 months ago; subsequent handicap defeats suggest she is vulnerable in this competitive event.

20/1

8th

11

(2)

13th Aug 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

19:45 Kempton (AW)

Loch Leven

9st 7lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: Ollie Sangster

Progressed to win 7f maiden here in the autumn and reappeared with good second in 1m handicap at Southwell; raced wide when soundly beaten in hotter race next time; drawn one off the rail on this occasion; cheekpieces return.

12/1

12th

11

(9)

13th Jul 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 3

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Loch Leven

8st 12lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ollie Sangster

Ties in with two of today's rivals, having beaten Transparent in Kempton maiden (7f) on final 2yo start then run well behind Immediate Effect in C&D handicap on reappearance; enters the reckoning.

10/1

Form: 360398 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Made all in a Class 3 fillies' handicap at Musselburgh (1m1f, good to soft) on her stable debut in April; in and out since and although she should be well treated now, others bring more pressing claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(2)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

Alessia Fernanda

9st 8lb

J: Zak Wheatley

T: Declan Carroll

Took advantage of an easing mark to make a winning seasonal reappearance at Southwell (1m; 14-1, first start since wind surgery) in late April; non-runner at Thirsk (ground) on Sunday, and this looks a better fit; likely to have a say from 4lb higher.

13/2

1st

4

(6)

29th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Alessia Fernanda

9st 9lb

J: Harry Smith

T: Declan Carroll

Her form went the wrong way last season but she returns having had wind surgery and is 7lb lower than when winning on her reappearance last April; trainer had a double here last Saturday; capable of having a big say.

10/1

6/1

Form: 4371 CD

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
His first two runs were promising and he quickly put a poor run at Ffos Las behind him (gelded after) when making a successful handicap debut over C&D four weeks ago; up 6lb but should still have his best days ahead of him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13

(11)

3rd Oct 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Bin Ajwad

9st 3lb

J: David Allan

T: James Tate

His first two runs were promising and he quickly put a poor run at Ffos Las behind him (gelded after) when making a successful handicap debut over C&D four weeks ago; up 6lb but should still have his best days ahead of him.

6/1

7

(2)

4th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Bin Ajwad

9st 7lb

J: David Allan

T: James Tate

Shaped well in April when fourth on debut at Newcastle (7f, AW) and third of 14 at Ayr (1m, good) but he was beaten 26l at Ffos Las (1m2f, good to soft) 66 days ago; gelded since and drops back to 1m on his handicap debut; check the market.

10/1

7th

6

(5)

30th Jun 2025

Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Bin Ajwad

9st 0lb

J: Jason Watson

T: James Tate

Showed fair form when keeping on and making the frame on both starts in April (7f, AW/1m, good); will be right in the thick of things here if this new trip unlocks any improvement.

11/2

Form: 533170 D

Last run: 61 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Beat 13 rivals when making all in a 1m handicap at Newbury in June; struggled on soft ground at Galway in August; not fully exposed and now races in new accessories.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

6

(5)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

American State

9st 6lb

J: Stevie Donohoe

T: Ivan Furtado

Won twice this year (post wind surgery) for Ivan Furtado, keeping on well at Southwell (1m, Class 5; from 4lb lower) on penultimate start; not at his best at Wetherby (tenth) latest, but there's still a chance he can prove competitive from this revised mark.

12/1

10th

6

(6)

26th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:35 Wetherby

American State

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Ivan Furtado

Took his record to 2-3 since a wind operation when keeping on well in a 1m handicap at Southwell three weeks ago; up 4lb but he has shown comparable ability on turf and should give it another good go.

5/1

Non-runners

Special Ghaiyyath

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £23.40
Straight Forecast £18.99
Tricast £146.05
Trifecta £156.50

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Bernalda

POSTDATA:

Bin Ajwad

Telegraph:

Special Ghaiyyath

The Star:

Cephalus

D Express:

Al Rufaa

The Times:

Bin Ajwad

The Guardian:

Bin Ajwad

Daily Record:

Special Ghaiyyath

RP RATINGS:

Bernalda

TOPSPEED:

Bernalda

NEWMARKET:

Bernalda

Daily Mail:

Bernalda

Daily Mirror:

Bernalda