October 08 / 18.40 Kempton (AW)

18.40

Standard To Slow

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  • Prize money: £6280.8
  • 0m 6f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 11 runners
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Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

OUR TIP

Form: 926408 CD

Last run: 36 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Well treated on old form but his last win was 18 months ago and he's finished down the field in last four starts; wasn't beaten far in similar race at Southwell (5-1) last month but he needs to find more back on Polytrack.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

(8)

18th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

18:40 Windsor

Al Barez

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Tom Clover

His last win was off 15lb higher but that was on AW in April 2024 and he has mixed record in four runs this year; ran well at Kempton (6f) in March but he was remote when third at Leicester last time and needs to bounce back again after that disappointing effort.

10/1

3rd

2

(5)

13th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Leicester

Al Barez

9st 8lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Tom Clover

Losing turf run goes back four years and he wasn't particularly convincing on grass in the middle months of 2025; however, he is 11lb lower than the latest attempt and his recent AW run at Kempton was quite encouraging; revival on the cards with Rossa Ryan up for the first time.

5/2

3rd

2

(8)

18th Mar 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Al Barez

9st 9lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Tom Clover

His form has deteriorated and he was underwhelming over C&D four weeks ago; however, prior to that he was a close fourth over C&D after a break and this C&D winner is not ruled out off a reduced mark.

13/2

Form: -77900 D

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Four-time sprint winner split between Tapeta and turf; well handicapped on his Wolverhampton win last December but he's not come close to that form since and slow starts are becoming a habit; capable but risky.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

6

(1)

23rd May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

13:30 York

Almarada Prince

9st 8lb

J: Billy Garritty

T: Paul Midgley

Split James's Delight and Elmonjed in top 3yo handicap over C&D (good to soft) in 2024; failed to win in 2025 but he has edged down the weights and his three runs for Paul Midgley have been quite encouraging, faring best of those in the far-side group when sixth of 16 back on turf at Ripon (6f, good to soft) 37 days ago; considered.

25/1

6th

7

(6)

16th Apr 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:45 Ripon

Almarada Prince

9st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Failed to win in 2025 but he has edged down the weights and his two AW runs for Paul Midgley have both been encouraging enough; no issue with the return to turf; type to win races sooner rather than later.

10/1

6th

7

(8)

27th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

20:30 Newcastle (AW)

Almarada Prince

9st 5lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

All four wins when trained by Craig Lidster; drew a blank for Ivan Furtado last year but was second over 6f at Kempton on final start; faded as if his first outing for this yard was needed when eighth of 11 over 6f here 15 days ago; should last longer this time.

10/1

Form: 3/0/70 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Smart form when winning twice on Tapeta as a 2yo but he's been lightly raced since and missed last year; returned after a long absence in July but he's struggled in two turf runs (6f, good to firm/soft) this season and has lots to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price
No Results Found

Form: 443030

Last run: 41 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
All his wins have come at Doncaster but he's fully effective elsewhere and is still unexposed on AW; plenty of solid efforts over 5f this season but losing run is mounting up and he's struggled in four previous runs at this trip; down the list.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

(3)

11th Apr 2026

Good

0m 5f 42y

Class 4

17:40 Yarmouth

Brave Nation

9st 7lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Michael Bell

Drew a blank in 2025 but there were some good runs in defeat and he starts this season off an 8lb lower mark than for last year's reappearance; solid third in one run at Yarmouth; best on good ground or faster; makes his seasonal return with a hood back on and with his stable in good form.

4/1

4

(3)

8th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:40 Kempton (AW)

Brave Nation

9st 8lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Michael Bell

All his wins have come at Doncaster but he's fully effective elsewhere and is still unexposed on AW; plenty of solid efforts over 5f this season but losing run is mounting up and he's struggled in four previous runs at this trip; down the list.

10/1

13

(8)

28th Aug 2025

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 2

20:45 Southwell (AW)

Brave Nation

8st 2lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: Michael Bell

All his wins have come at Doncaster but he is fully effective elsewhere, including on AW as evidenced by his close third in this race last year when rated 3lb higher; retains plenty of ability and more minor money not out of the question.

10/1

Form: 839117 CD

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Made it 2-3 for current yard when scoring at Chester (6f, good) last month but he was well held in hat-trick bid at Newmarket 18 days ago; needs to step up again after that but he remains feasibly treated on his best form and has won over C&D.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(1)

3rd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

14:35 Salisbury

Dapper Valley

10st 0lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: James Owen

Quickly coaxed back to form by James Owen last year, winning 6f handicaps at Kempton (twice) and Chester; struggled on dirt in the Middle East over the winter but his mark dropped quickly and he ran well back on turf in Abu Dhabi in March; returned to Britain with an emphatic success at Leicester (6f, good to firm) eight days ago; today's 8lb higher mark should still be in range but the drop to 5f is a slight query.

13/8

1st

5

(2)

25th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

14:44 Leicester

Dapper Valley

9st 6lb

J: David Probert

T: James Owen

Had ups and downs since showing decent form earlier in career and was well treated when starting out for this trainer in 2025, winning three of his last four 6f starts on AW and turf; went down only narrowly back on turf (good to firm; headgear left off) in UAE during March and he's of interest now back with former yard.

100/30

Form: -60859

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Two wins for Kevin Ryan and latest was at York (5f, soft) last October, but he has form figures of 60859 for new yard this season; now 6lb lower than for his last win but he needs a transformation back up in trip; headgear removed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(7)

8th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:40 Kempton (AW)

End Of Story

9st 8lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Mark Loughnane

Two wins for Kevin Ryan and latest was at York (5f, soft) last October, but he has form figures of 60859 for new yard this season; now 6lb lower than for his last win but he needs a transformation back up in trip; headgear removed.

20/1

6

(5)

4th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 3

18:20 Lingfield (AW)

End Of Story

9st 6lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Mark Loughnane

Had some solid 2yo form for Kevin Ryan and hinted at a revival at Yarmouth on his penultimate start; dropped away tamely under suitable conditions at Sandown on Saturday though and headgear is now reached for; AW debut.

16/1

5th

7

(8)

30th Aug 2025

Good

0m 5f 10y

Class 4

17:20 Sandown

End Of Story

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Mark Loughnane

Recent rain is a tonic with his 2yo wins having come on good to soft and soft; slow start for this stable and he was again well beaten in a Racing League event at Yarmouth five weeks ago when encountering soft ground again; he was poorly drawn there though and did best of the three who stayed near side; has a dangerous mark and stable is going well.

16/1

Form: 122261 C

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Has record of 122261 since switched to handicapping in May and that first win was over C&D; up 3lb for his narrow success at Yarmouth (6f, soft) last time but that was another personal best and he's open to more progress back on AW; key player.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(4)

21st May 2026

Good

0m 7f 15y

Class 3

16:25 Musselburgh

Kosometsuke

9st 1lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

Game effort to win a 7f handicap at Thirsk on his seasonal and stable debut last month; only fifth back at Thirsk this month but the drop to 6f may have counted against him; not discounted.

5/1

5th

1

(3)

2nd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

15:55 Thirsk

Kosometsuke

9st 11lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

Better than ever when making a winning start for the Michael Dods stable over 7f here (good) a fortnight ago; 6f winner for previous yard last autumn so the return to sprinting shouldn't be an issue; respected off just 2lb higher.

5/2

1st

7

(13)

18th Apr 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

15:58 Thirsk

Kosometsuke

9st 4lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

Won two handicaps for Roger Varian last year (7f, AW and 6f, soft); only fourth off this mark when last seen in October; sold for 34,000gns later that month; market to guide after his break.

8/1

Form: 742960

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Sole win was in a three-runner novice at Ffos Las last June; placed in a few handicaps since then but he's been hard to predict and was out the back at Ripon 11 days ago; record is now 1-13 and others are more convincing.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(5)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 16y

Class 5

15:30 Chepstow

Cayman Tai

9st 9lb

J: Seamus Cronin

T: Richard Hannon

Has dropped a fair way down the weights over the last year or so, but looked back in prime form when scooting clear to win readily by 4l at Southwell (5f, AW) last week; also suited by good to firm turf and is 4lb ahead of the handicapper under his 5lb penalty.

11/10

1st

2

(3)

21st May 2026

Standard

0m 4f 214y

Class 5

17:57 Southwell (AW)

Cayman Tai

9st 7lb

J: Seamus Cronin

T: Richard Hannon

Still to win a handicap and has been turned over as favourite four times this year; did well to finish second last time (first run under Seamus Cronin) having reared at the start and it's bound to fall right at some point, maybe tonight.

7/2

2nd

4

(7)

11th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

19:17 Windsor

Cayman Tai

9st 7lb

J: Seamus Cronin

T: Richard Hannon

Just one win from 28 starts and he has burned some fingers already this year; no doubt he has the ability to win off this mark but the excuses are running out.

7/2

7/1

Form: 136543 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
All four wins at 6f on AW including two over C&D; looked stretched when upped to 7f here last month but he still finished a creditable third and he's in the mix on this return to sprinting; raced prominently last time but he's tactically versatile.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(1)

23rd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 6

16:57 Windsor

Liosa

9st 9lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Zoe Hawkins

Trainer off the mark in the week with another who was formerly under the charge of Stuart Kittow; this three-time AW winner made it 0-10 on turf when some way off the front three on comeback (won first time out last season); needs a deal more.

12/1

4th

9

(3)

13th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Leicester

Liosa

9st 1lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Zoe Hawkins

Winning reappearance on AW in 2025 and there's other evidence that shows he goes well fresh; however, he's 0-9 on turf and is hard to weigh up, having left Stuart Kittow since some so-so runs in the autumn.

10/1

9

(4)

23rd Oct 2025

Standard

0m 6f 16y

Class 4

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Liosa

9st 8lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Stuart Kittow

Largely consistent record on AW features four wins, including one over C&D last October; placed twice at Kempton since returned to this sphere; solid claims.

8/1

Form: 659369 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Clung on for dead-heat in Chelmsford maiden (6f, AW) in March but he's not gone on from that and was always in rear here (7f) two weeks ago; on reduced mark with Oisin Murphy booked but he needs to rediscover his spark back in trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11

(11)

8th Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:40 Kempton (AW)

I Maximus

9st 4lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Richard Hughes

Clung on for dead-heat in Chelmsford maiden (6f, AW) in March but he's not gone on from that and was always in rear here (7f) two weeks ago; on reduced mark with Oisin Murphy booked but he needs to rediscover his spark back in trip.

11/1

9th

10

(9)

24th Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

19:10 Kempton (AW)

I Maximus

9st 4lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

Short-priced favourite on each of his first four starts and clung on for a dead-heat at Chelmsford in March; smidge frustrating in handicaps since.

10/1

12

(8)

20th Sep 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Newmarket

I Maximus

9st 9lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Richard Hughes

Most of his best form has come on the AW, including when dead-heating in a Chelmsford maiden (6f) in March and when third of 12 at Lingfield (7f) last month; needs to show he can produce a similar performance back on grass; stable won this last year.

5/1

Form: 415419 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
3yo who resumed his progress when scoring at Epsom (6f, good) in August but he never got involved at Goodwood last month; bit to prove again after that and he has tough draw back on AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(4)

21st May 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 16y

Class 4

18:05 Chepstow

Em Four

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Two AW wins (6f and 5f) from his last five starts and running well on turf too; not beaten far when third of five at Salisbury (5f, good to firm) this month; player if this forecast slower ground is no issue.

11/4

3rd

2

(3)

3rd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

14:35 Salisbury

Em Four

9st 9lb

J: William Carver

T: Jamie Osborne

Won twice on turf last year (as well as once on AW) and he has continued on an upward curve in 2026, winning for the third time this season when making all at Wolverhampton 12 days ago; that was his first success at this trip and there could be more to come at 5f; 6lb rise demands progress though.

5/2

1st

1

(2)

21st Apr 2026

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Em Four

9st 9lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Jamie Osborne

Won twice on the AW this year, the most recent from a 2lb lower mark at Kempton (6f); creditable third on turf at Leicester (6f, good; 3-1 favourite) last week; how he'll cope with dropping back to 5f (0-4) remains to be seen; isn't discounted.

3/1

Non-runners

Grey Jaguar

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £124.00
Straight Forecast £107.38
Tricast £451.28
Trifecta £642.90

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Kosometsuke

Telegraph:

Grey Jaguar

POSTDATA:

I Maximus

TOPSPEED:

Cayman Tai

Daily Mail:

Liosa

Daily Mirror:

Grey Jaguar

RP RATINGS:

Kosometsuke

NEWMARKET:

Kosometsuke

The Times:

Kosometsuke

The Guardian:

Kosometsuke

D Express:

Kosometsuke

The Sun:

Kosometsuke

The Star:

Kosometsuke

Daily Record:

Kosometsuke