February 15 / 15.42 Newcastle (AW)

15.42

Standard

Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

  • Prize money: £4396.56
  • 0m 7f 14y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
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Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface:

Weather: Rain and snow

OUR TIP

7/2 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.40

Form: 13-551 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Invigorated by a step up to 7f this winter, winning over C&D in December and adding to his haul back here nine days ago (beat Front Gunner by a nose); came from off the pace in a race where the second, third and fourth were more prominently ridden and showed plenty of pluck to lead late; 2lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

3

(2)

6th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Flowstate

9st 6lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

Only fourth off this mark at Southwell last week but this track seems to suit him ideally and he is 3-4 over C&D; not sure he is fully exposed at 7f just yet and he looks a major player.

9/4

4th

1

(5)

28th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

16:55 Southwell (AW)

Flowstate

9st 11lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: David O’Meara

Invigorated by a step up to 7f this winter, winning three times at Newcastle; latest success was smooth and a 4lb rise does not look harsh; leading contender again if proving equally effective at Southwell.

4/1

9/1

  • Place: £2.20

Form: 66-674 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 7lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Now 3lb lower than for his C&D win last September; fair fourth over C&D nine days ago but that run will need bettering if he is to come out on top.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

7

(6)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

16:12 Ayr

Novak

9st 3lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Beaten 13 times since last win at Newcastle (7f, AW) last September but close fifth of seven at Ayr (1m, good to firm) recently and he may appreciate the return to 7f; his mark continues to fall and he might not be far away.

15/2

5th

6

(6)

5th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Ayr

Novak

9st 2lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Has done his winning over 6f/7f, the last five times on AW (hasn't scored on turf since 2023); kept mostly to Newcastle since last September; not the percentage call in this scenario.

12/1

13/2

  • Place: £2.40

Form: 613-02 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 9lb

12 yo Gelding

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Age no barrier to success for this grand campaigner and he showed a fine attitude in a C&D handicap in December; back at that level when second here nine days ago; should remain competitive.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

9

(9)

20th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

20:00 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 1lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Ruth Carr

11-time course winner who defied this mark over C&D in December; some creditable efforts since but he has been a bit up and down and was only sixth behind Anthropologist here last time; others preferred.

16/1

6th

5

(9)

27th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 7lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

11-time course winner, the latest over C&D in December, and he twice finished placed over C&D last month; certainly of interest on that form but this 12yo has gone off the boil on his last two starts.

14/1

11th

1

(7)

14th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:00 Southwell (AW)

Bobby Joe Leg

9st 9lb

J: James Sullivan

T: Ruth Carr

Failed to fire at Newcastle last week but this veteran had run two fine races in defeat beforehand; fully effective at this track too so no great surprise were he to rebound quickly.

12/1

9/1

Form: -76367 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 2lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 63

Form & Verdict
Consistent enough RPRs for new yard since November and he is 1lb lower than for his Wolverhampton win in early December; this should be run to suit and no surprise to see him feature more prominently; yard also runs Tasever
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(1)

1st Jun 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lessay

9st 6lb

J: David Nolan

T: Patrick Morris

Three AW wins, the latest over C&D in December; went through a quiet spell since his most recent 7f run here (in January) but fared better back over C&D in May when going close off a reduced mark; bang there.

7/1

2nd

6

(6)

8th May 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lessay

9st 5lb

J: Donagh Murphy

T: Patrick Morris

Not at his best of late, but has dropped 8lb lower than when successful over C&D in January; needs a resurgence, but is too well handicapped to ignore.

20/1

7th

3

(3)

6th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

13:55 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lessay

9st 8lb

J: Cian Horgan

T: Patrick Morris

Kept on well to score over 7f here (10-1; from 5lb higher) in December; form has dipped since February, slowly away, failing to beat a single rival at Newcastle (1m) just over a fortnight ago; needs to rediscover a spark.

12/1

6/1

Form: -43433 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 0lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 61

Form & Verdict
Two course wins this winter, the second by a wide margin, and he has performed with credit off his revised mark since; more minor money perhaps his best hope once again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(8)

27th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

17:00 Newcastle (AW)

Concert Boy

9st 1lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Katie Scott

All five wins have come here, the latest over C&D in December, and he was short-headed over 7f here on March 12; this hold-up horse was on the wrong end of a pace bias when 2l sixth over C&D last Saturday and could play a leading role if this pans out more favourably.

7/1

6th

10

(9)

21st Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Concert Boy

8st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Katie Scott

All of his five wins have been at Newcastle and he produced a strong finish to go close over 7f here last Thursday; only 1lb higher on this step back up in trip and he's an interesting contender.

5/1

2nd

9

(6)

12th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

Concert Boy

9st 4lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Katie Scott

Two Class 6 wins here (including this trip) in late 2025 but recent efforts no more than respectable, including at Wolverhampton on Monday.

8/1

100/30

Form: -62621 CD

Last run: 5 days

W: 9st 10lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
He was gaining the sixth win of his career, all at this venue, when gamely landing a 1m handicap on Tuesday; effectively 6lb higher under the penalty and could face competition for the lead.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

(8)

27th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

16:25 Newcastle (AW)

Tasever

9st 8lb

J: Harry Vigors

T: Patrick Morris

Six-time course winner, including twice from the front over C&D this winter; 4lb higher than for his last win and he's never defied a mark this lofty, but the promising Harry Vigors takes off 7lb and he may make a bold bid.

6/1

8th

7

(1)

21st Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 5

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Tasever

9st 3lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Patrick Morris

Six-time course winner who scored over C&D last month but that was a narrow success and he's been vulnerable in both runs since; looks weighted near his best and others are more persuasive.

12/1

3rd

5

(8)

6th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Tasever

9st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: Patrick Morris

Two 1m wins here this winter but more to prove at this trip; 3.5l behind Flowstate here 19 days ago and others look better treated.

11/2

Form: 13-592 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 2lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict
Two-time C&D winner who went desperately close to making it three when pipped at the post by Flowstate nine days ago; 1lb turnaround today but he is likely to face competition for the lead this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

7

(3)

2nd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 218y

Class 5

17:00 Thirsk

Front Gunner

9st 0lb

J: Conor Whiteley

T: Stephen Hanlon

He has won on fast turf (7f) but he is a better horse on AW; not at his best on his last two starts and now tries 1m for the first time on his 26th start.

10/1

6th

5

(5)

12th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

20:15 Newcastle (AW)

Front Gunner

9st 6lb

J: Warren Fentiman

T: Stephen Hanlon

Two-time C&D winner who went desperately close to making it three when pipped at the post by Flowstate (won twice since) last month; disappointed back here since but he's nicely handicapped if bouncing back to form in a first-time visor.

8/1

Form: 23156- CD

Last run: 149 days

W: 9st 6lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
Front-runner who retained a good deal of enthusiasm, winning at Catterick (7f, good to firm) last August; not quite so good in two AW runs the following month; has gone well fresh in the past but others appeal more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(4)

21st May 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

16:50 Catterick

Saisons DOr

9st 9lb

J: Callum Rodriguez

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Veteran; game AW winner at Southwell (7f; 6-1) recently; 1lb rise looks fair and he's still 5lb lower than when successful over C&D (good to firm) last August; no reason why he shouldn't be thereabouts.

4/1

1st

3

(10)

28th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

14:20 Southwell (AW)

Saisons DOr

9st 8lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

Returned from break with three down-the-field runs this year but his fourth of ten over C&D three weeks ago was a big step back in the right direction and he's another 2lb lower today; considered each-way.

12/1

4th

11

(4)

7th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Saisons DOr

9st 5lb

J: Jack Garritty

T: Jedd O’Keeffe

2-7 over C&D and 4lb below his last winning mark, but now at the veteran stage and has beaten a total of one rival in three starts since returning from five months off in February.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £24.50
Straight Forecast £21.24
Tricast £126.01
Trifecta £167.50

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Front Gunner

SPOTLIGHT:

Flowstate

Daily Mirror:

Bobby Joe Leg

POSTDATA:

Flowstate

D Express:

Flowstate

The Sun:

Flowstate

The Times:

Front Gunner

Telegraph:

Front Gunner

The Guardian:

Front Gunner

Daily Record:

Front Gunner

The Star:

Bobby Joe Leg