December 28 / 17.15 Southwell (AW)

17.15

Standard

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 1m 4f 14y
  • Class 5
  • 6 runners
SKY
View Course
Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Cloudy

OUR TIP

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £6.50
  • Place: £2.70

Form: 5149

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced 3yo; won at Newcastle (1m) last winter; might have needed the run after over eight months off when only ninth of 12 at Wolverhampton this month; bit to prove now, including her stamina for this longer distance, but her dam stayed well and she may have untapped potential.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

(8)

10th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:08 Southwell (AW)

Alpine Oasis

9st 7lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: John Butler

Course scorer but she came in a never-dangerous seventh of 12 on her yard debut in 7f handicap here 18 days ago; more is required with cheekpieces removed today.

20/1

7th

4

(4)

20th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

16:58 Southwell (AW)

Alpine Oasis

9st 8lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: John Butler

Two wins when trained by Karl Burke (1m/1m4f); posted her best effort for Darryll Holland when fourth of seven (beaten 1l) here over 1m3f last month but she was well beaten at Kempton (1m3f, AW) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) 16 days ago; drops down markedly in trip for her stable debut.

18/1

10th

5

(8)

4th Feb 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 5

15:45 Kempton (AW)

Alpine Oasis

9st 8lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Darryll Holland

Dual Tapeta winner (1m/1m4f), who gave it a good shot when a close fourth at Southwell (1m3f) four weeks ago; usually races prominently and has possibilities if she can find something extra with cheekpieces added.

12/1

11/2

  • Place: £4.50

Form: 567

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Showed ability when finishing in midfield in maidens at Kempton (1m3f, Polytrack) and over C&D this autumn; bred to be useful over middle-distances and open to progress now handicapping.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(3)

14th Jan 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

12:22 Southwell (AW)

Fleeting Moment

9st 6lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: James Horton

prominent

5/1

6th

3

(3)

14th Jan 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

12:22 Southwell (AW)

Fleeting Moment

9st 6lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: James Horton

prominent

5/1

Form: 611212 C BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
A revelation since switched back to the AW in second half of this year, winning three times (9.4f-1m4f including here) and only narrowly denied at Wolverhampton on latest start; edging up the weights but shortlisted again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(10)

22nd May 2026

Soft

1m 3f 218y

Class 3

15:42 Goodwood

Caramay

9st 1lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Consistent AW handicapper and a seven-time winner in that sphere; only 1-9 on turf and appears to have a difficult task off current mark, especially in this grade, returned to this sphere.

16/1

3rd

5

(5)

4th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 3

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Caramay

9st 5lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Tough mare who has been in good form on the AW since December (13341333), the wins coming at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) and here (1m3f); return to this trip should suit and unlikely to be far away.

11/2

3rd

2

(4)

17th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

15:18 Wolverhampton (AW)

Caramay

9st 8lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Tough mare who has been in good form since December (1334133), the wins coming at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) and Kempton (1m3f, Polytrack); has never attempted this far before, but still respected.

7/2

5/1

Form: 033323 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Placed on her last five outings and three of those runs have been here (1m4f-1m6f); kept on at one pace when third nine days ago and she should be in the thick of things again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

6

(5)

12th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Turner Girl

9st 12lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Dunlop

Backed out of contention rather quickly the last twice and several others are higher on the list; visor the headgear of choice.

14/1

6th

3

(2)

1st Feb 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Turner Girl

9st 11lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ed Dunlop

Doesn't win very often but is usually there or thereabouts; fourth of six at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) five weeks ago not amongst her best efforts and better will be required.

8/1

6th

3

(2)

1st Feb 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Turner Girl

9st 11lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ed Dunlop

prominent

8/1

Form: 213046 C

Last run: 115 days

W: 9st 13lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Not at her best when last seen in August/September but her mark has fallen as a result; 1-1 on this course and that win came after a break; quite interesting after four months off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(4)

11th Feb 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 5

19:40 Kempton (AW)

Aiming High

9st 10lb

J: Luke Morris

T: David Simcock

Wouldn't judge her too harshly on last two runs (met trouble on former occasion and then faced a stiff task from out of the weights latest); this more suitable and she's not discounted.

10/1

7th

9

(4)

17th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:15 Lingfield (AW)

Aiming High

8st 2lb

J: Jack Dace

T: David Simcock

1m4f turf win here last September; ended 2025 with three AW defeats though and she looks booked for a struggle from 5lb out of the handicap in this useful event.

25/1

3

(1)

30th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

17:30 Southwell (AW)

Aiming High

10st 0lb

J: Georgia Dobie

T: David Simcock

Just 1-20 on turf but 4-17 on the AW including a win over C&D; raised just 2lb for last month's Lingfield success (1m4f, Polytrack) and likely to make her presence felt again.

3/1

Form: 31335

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
1-5, the win coming over 1m2f at Newcastle; never-dangerous fifth of 11 over the same trip at Lingfield (tongue-tied, omitted here) 24 days ago; probably needs a personal best over this longer trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(2)

28th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

18:10 Lingfield

Countess Candy

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Conrad Allen

Lightly raced 4yo who ran well when third on the AW here (1m2f) in April; however, following wind surgery she was tailed off at Goodwood (1m2f, good to soft) three weeks ago and it's hard to be hopeful after that.

12/1

4

(7)

6th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

1m 1f 11y

Class 5

17:25 Goodwood

Countess Candy

9st 10lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Conrad Allen

Confined to the AW since debut run at Yarmouth; 1m2f novice winner and mostly consistent; beaten under 3l at Lingfield last time and that was after three months off; had another break since, and wind surgery; softening ground a grey area.

8/1

3rd

1

(3)

10th Apr 2025

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

15:02 Lingfield (AW)

Countess Candy

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Conrad Allen

Record of 1-6 in her first season last year, the win in Newcastle novice event (1m2f); non-stayer over 1m4f on final outing; drop back in trip and booking of Rossa Ryan are positives.

3/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £45.70
Straight Forecast £51.11
Trifecta £280.20

Selections

The Guardian:

Caramay

RP RATINGS:

Aiming High

SPOTLIGHT:

Fleeting Moment

POSTDATA:

Turner Girl

The Times:

Fleeting Moment

Daily Mail:

Caramay

Daily Mirror:

Caramay

The Sun:

Caramay

Daily Record:

Caramay

TOPSPEED:

Aiming High

Telegraph:

Aiming High

D Express:

Aiming High

The Star:

Turner Girl