December 28 / 17.15 Southwell (AW)

17.15

Standard

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap

  • Prize money: £3716.14
  • 1m 4f 14y
  • Class 5
  • 6 runners
SKY
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Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies’ Handicap

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Cloudy

OUR TIP

11/2 (Won)

  • Win: £6.50
  • Place: £2.70

Form: 5149

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced 3yo; won at Newcastle (1m) last winter; might have needed the run after over eight months off when only ninth of 12 at Wolverhampton this month; bit to prove now, including her stamina for this longer distance, but her dam stayed well and she may have untapped potential.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

(8)

10th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

17:08 Southwell (AW)

Alpine Oasis

9st 7lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: John Butler

Course scorer but she came in a never-dangerous seventh of 12 on her yard debut in 7f handicap here 18 days ago; more is required with cheekpieces removed today.

20/1

7th

4

(4)

20th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

16:58 Southwell (AW)

Alpine Oasis

9st 8lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: John Butler

Two wins when trained by Karl Burke (1m/1m4f); posted her best effort for Darryll Holland when fourth of seven (beaten 1l) here over 1m3f last month but she was well beaten at Kempton (1m3f, AW) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) 16 days ago; drops down markedly in trip for her stable debut.

18/1

10th

5

(8)

4th Feb 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 5

15:45 Kempton (AW)

Alpine Oasis

9st 8lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Darryll Holland

Dual Tapeta winner (1m/1m4f), who gave it a good shot when a close fourth at Southwell (1m3f) four weeks ago; usually races prominently and has possibilities if she can find something extra with cheekpieces added.

12/1

11/2

  • Place: £4.50

Form: 567

Last run: 51 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Showed ability when finishing in midfield in maidens at Kempton (1m3f, Polytrack) and over C&D this autumn; bred to be useful over middle-distances and open to progress now handicapping.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(3)

14th Jan 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

12:22 Southwell (AW)

Fleeting Moment

9st 6lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: James Horton

prominent

5/1

6th

3

(3)

14th Jan 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

12:22 Southwell (AW)

Fleeting Moment

9st 6lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: James Horton

prominent

5/1

Form: 611212 C BF

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
A revelation since switched back to the AW in second half of this year, winning three times (9.4f-1m4f including here) and only narrowly denied at Wolverhampton on latest start; edging up the weights but shortlisted again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

4

(9)

10th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 4

20:10 Kempton (AW)

Caramay

9st 11lb

J: Jack Doughty

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Resumed winning ways over 1m3f here in February and in good form since, not seen to ideal effect when fifth of nine in 1m4f Goodwood handicap 19 days ago; she ought to be thereabouts.

10/1

5th

7

(10)

22nd May 2026

Soft

1m 3f 218y

Class 3

15:42 Goodwood

Caramay

9st 1lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Consistent AW handicapper and a seven-time winner in that sphere; only 1-9 on turf and appears to have a difficult task off current mark, especially in this grade, returned to this sphere.

16/1

3rd

5

(5)

4th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 3

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Caramay

9st 5lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Tough mare who has been in good form on the AW since December (13341333), the wins coming at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) and here (1m3f); return to this trip should suit and unlikely to be far away.

11/2

5/1

Form: 033323 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 8lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
Placed on her last five outings and three of those runs have been here (1m4f-1m6f); kept on at one pace when third nine days ago and she should be in the thick of things again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

6

(5)

12th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 5

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Turner Girl

9st 12lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Dunlop

Backed out of contention rather quickly the last twice and several others are higher on the list; visor the headgear of choice.

14/1

6th

3

(2)

1st Feb 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Turner Girl

9st 11lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ed Dunlop

Doesn't win very often but is usually there or thereabouts; fourth of six at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) five weeks ago not amongst her best efforts and better will be required.

8/1

6th

3

(2)

1st Feb 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

18:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Turner Girl

9st 11lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ed Dunlop

prominent

8/1

Form: 213046 C

Last run: 115 days

W: 9st 13lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 74

Form & Verdict
Not at her best when last seen in August/September but her mark has fallen as a result; 1-1 on this course and that win came after a break; quite interesting after four months off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(4)

11th Feb 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 5

19:40 Kempton (AW)

Aiming High

9st 10lb

J: Luke Morris

T: David Simcock

Wouldn't judge her too harshly on last two runs (met trouble on former occasion and then faced a stiff task from out of the weights latest); this more suitable and she's not discounted.

10/1

7th

9

(4)

17th Jan 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:15 Lingfield (AW)

Aiming High

8st 2lb

J: Jack Dace

T: David Simcock

1m4f turf win here last September; ended 2025 with three AW defeats though and she looks booked for a struggle from 5lb out of the handicap in this useful event.

25/1

3

(1)

30th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 5

17:30 Southwell (AW)

Aiming High

10st 0lb

J: Georgia Dobie

T: David Simcock

Just 1-20 on turf but 4-17 on the AW including a win over C&D; raised just 2lb for last month's Lingfield success (1m4f, Polytrack) and likely to make her presence felt again.

3/1

Form: 31335

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
1-5, the win coming over 1m2f at Newcastle; never-dangerous fifth of 11 over the same trip at Lingfield (tongue-tied, omitted here) 24 days ago; probably needs a personal best over this longer trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(2)

28th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

18:10 Lingfield

Countess Candy

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Conrad Allen

Lightly raced 4yo who ran well when third on the AW here (1m2f) in April; however, following wind surgery she was tailed off at Goodwood (1m2f, good to soft) three weeks ago and it's hard to be hopeful after that.

12/1

4

(7)

6th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

1m 1f 11y

Class 5

17:25 Goodwood

Countess Candy

9st 10lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Conrad Allen

Confined to the AW since debut run at Yarmouth; 1m2f novice winner and mostly consistent; beaten under 3l at Lingfield last time and that was after three months off; had another break since, and wind surgery; softening ground a grey area.

8/1

3rd

1

(3)

10th Apr 2025

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

15:02 Lingfield (AW)

Countess Candy

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Conrad Allen

Record of 1-6 in her first season last year, the win in Newcastle novice event (1m2f); non-stayer over 1m4f on final outing; drop back in trip and booking of Rossa Ryan are positives.

3/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £45.70
Straight Forecast £51.11
Trifecta £280.20

Selections

The Guardian:

Caramay

RP RATINGS:

Aiming High

SPOTLIGHT:

Fleeting Moment

POSTDATA:

Turner Girl

The Times:

Fleeting Moment

Daily Mail:

Caramay

Daily Mirror:

Caramay

The Sun:

Caramay

Daily Record:

Caramay

TOPSPEED:

Aiming High

Telegraph:

Aiming High

D Express:

Aiming High

The Star:

Turner Girl