February 08 / 14.05 Warwick

14.05

Soft

Unibet Kingmaker Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £42712.5
  • 2m 0f 54y
  • Class 1
  • 4 runners
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Unibet Kingmaker Novices’ Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)

Runners: 4 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

1/4 (Won)

  • Win: £1.20

Form: 25-111 D

Last run: 63 days

W: 11st 7lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 152

Form & Verdict
Won easily on his first two chase starts (2m3f/2m, good to soft/good) before landing the four-runner Grade 1 Henry VIII Novices' Chase at Sandown (1m7f, soft) in December, beating two highly talented Gordon Elliott raiders; carries a 5lb penalty today but holds standout claims nevertheless.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

10th Apr 2026

Good To Soft

2m 3f 200y

Class 1

15:30 Aintree

LEau Du Sud

11st 10lb

J: Tristan Durrell

T: Dan Skelton

Third of five in Grade 1 Maghull Novices' Chase here (2m, good) 12 months ago and reappeared with a win in the Grade 2 Shloer at Cheltenham (2m, soft) in November; ran well when 12l third in the Champion Chase at Cheltenham (2m, good to soft) last month but doesn't appear to be crying out for this step up in trip, and Harry Skelton rides Grey Dawning.

11/1

3rd

6

11th Mar 2026

Good To Soft

1m 7f 199y

Class 1

16:00 Cheltenham

LEau Du Sud

11st 10lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Progressive in the main; smart novice chaser last term and ties in closely with Majborough on Arkle bare form (good to soft; finished a close fourth); below par in the 2025 Tingle Creek when last seen but this looks the day to catch him; successful the last three times he has returned from a break of two months or bigger, most recently in this season's Shloer over C&D (soft) when easily beating his rivals and registering a fourth Graded win, as well as cementing his Champion Chase claims; favourably fresh and rightly respected.

4/1

2

1st Nov 2025

Good

2m 0f 172y

Class 1

14:05 Ascot

LEau Du Sud

11st 12lb

J: Tristan Durrell

T: Dan Skelton

One of Britain's best 2m novice chasers last season and held his own in the Grade 1s at Cheltenham and Aintree; didn't jump as well as he can on the latter occasion when tried in cheekpieces and those aids are now left off; high in the weights for a reason but he may prefer softer ground and will have new handling, having only been ridden by Harry Skelton in Britain.

OUR TIP

Form: 56-11F D

Last run: 43 days

W: 11st 2lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 149

Form & Verdict
The forecast soft ground may not be ideal and he was well beaten in third when falling at the final fence on his chase debut at Kempton in December; however, he was taking on Sir Gino and Ballyburn in that Grade 2 and he's entitled to respect today in view of his hurdle form, having won the Grade 2 Elite Hurdle for second successive season at Wincanton (1m7f, good) in November.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

25th Apr 2026

Good

2m 5f 110y

Class 1

16:02 Sandown

Rubaud

11st 10lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Form dipped in Cheltenham Festival handicap returned to fences last time; multiple Grade 2 winner but has raced mostly at about 2m and isn't crying out for this step back up in trip; first go beyond a sharp 2m4f.

14/1

3

11th Mar 2026

Good To Soft

1m 7f 199y

Class 1

16:40 Cheltenham

Rubaud

11st 7lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Listed/Grade 2 wins over hurdles this term; goes back over fences for the first time since last May and he's 1-5 in this sphere, the win coming in a Grade 2 novice last February; sixth of 15 off this mark in the Scottish Champion Hurdle in April 2024 when he last tackled a handicap; may be vulnerable.

16/1

2nd

1

14th Feb 2026

Heavy

1m 7f 50y

Class 1

13:35 Wincanton

Rubaud

11st 10lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Paul Nicholls

Front-runner who is 2-3 since returned to hurdles from fences, winning races at Kempton (Listed) and Wincanton (Elite Hurdle) that he also took in 2023 and 2024; held in a 9l third at Kempton on Boxing Day but that was behind Sir Gino in a Grade 1 and he's strongly respected on this drop back in class; most of his wins have been on good ground but he's effective on soft.

7/4

Form: 122235 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 11st 2lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 128

Form & Verdict
Produced a string of solid runs in handicap chases towards end of last year and bounced back from Cheltenham blip with a fair fifth at Ascot three weeks ago; however, he has lots to find with L'Eau du Sud.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

16th May 2025

Good

2m 3f 200y

Class 3

17:45 Aintree

Tedley

11st 4lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Launched chasing career with two wins in the autumn (2m/2m3f. good to soft/good) and generally remained in good form until end of last season; looked a non-stayer over 2m7f on latest outing and now drops back in trip with usual cheekpieces refitted; recent 3lb drop gives him a decent chance.

6/1

5th

3

16th May 2025

Good

2m 3f 200y

Class 3

17:45 Aintree

Tedley

11st 4lb

J: Sam Twiston-Davies

T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies

Launched chasing career with two wins in the autumn (2m/2m3f. good to soft/good) and generally remained in good form until end of last season; looked a non-stayer over 2m7f on latest outing and now drops back in trip with usual cheekpieces refitted; recent 3lb drop gives him a decent chance.

6/1

5th

2

21st Mar 2025

Good To Soft

2m 7f 86y

Class 3

14:30 Newbury

Tedley

11st 9lb

J: Jamie Brace

T: Nigel Twiston-Davies

Has done well since switched to this discipline (winning twice) and his blowouts have come in strong races, latterly in the 2m4f Greatwood Gold Cup here three weeks ago; more exposed than some in here and he's unraced past 2m5f, but can be competitive off this mark.

6/1

Form: 513354

Last run: 78 days

W: 11st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 131

Form & Verdict
Won four handicap chases last May-September (2m4f/2m5f, good/good to soft) but below par in November on last two starts and he's up against it today even if back to his best.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

28th Jun 2026

Good

3m 0f 10y

Class 2

15:27 Uttoxeter

Riskintheground

11st 12lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Successful on this card two years ago; campaigned mostly over 2m4f/2m5f but saw out 3m well at Perth (good) most recently, adding to his Grade 2 handicap success in April and taking chase record to 9-30; better than ever and commands respect.

9/2

1st

2

7th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

2m 7f 180y

Class 2

16:27 Perth

Riskintheground

11st 4lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Good ground is key to him, though good to soft is acceptable; after signs of a revival at the Cheltenham Festival he duly delivered in a competitive 2m4f handicap at Haydock, winning cosily despite narrow margin of victory; the 4lb rise seemed generous and when beaten at Uttoxeter he bumped into the talented Glengouly on a good day; all his best form is at shorter, so stamina would be the principal concern.

100/30

2nd

2

24th May 2026

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 2

16:03 Uttoxeter

Riskintheground

11st 9lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Good ground is the key to him; his form had nosedived but he was running much better when hampered late on at the Cheltenham Festival and then came good at Haydock (2m4f, good), prevailing only narrowly but under a confident ride in a strong race (he also won it the season before when staged at Cheltenham); a 4lb rise seems very generous.

11/8

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £1.30
Straight Forecast £1.80
Trifecta £2.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

L'Eau du Sud

The Times:

Rubaud

RP RATINGS:

L'Eau du Sud

TOPSPEED:

L'Eau du Sud

POSTDATA:

L'Eau du Sud

Telegraph:

L'Eau du Sud

The Guardian:

L'Eau du Sud

Daily Mail:

L'Eau du Sud

D Express:

L'Eau du Sud

Daily Mirror:

L'Eau du Sud

The Sun:

L'Eau du Sud

The Star:

L'Eau du Sud

Daily Record:

L'Eau du Sud