July 28 / 16.05 Ayr

16.05

Good

Outcider Handicap (GBBplus Race)

  • Prize money: £5154
  • 1m 2f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 9 runners
RTV
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Outcider Handicap (GBBplus Race)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

2/1 (Won)

  • Win: £2.00
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 3-33 BF

Last run: 63 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
3yo who has finished third on all three starts (7f/1m, good to soft-good to firm); turned over at 1-3 last time but that was still a good run; gelded since; this well-bred handicap newcomer is open to improvement now up in trip and his top trainer is 8-19 (42%) here in the last five seasons.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13

(23)

18th Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

16:40 Ascot

Crown Of Oaks

8st 12lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Won when upped in trip on handicap debut at Ayr (1m2f, good) in July then easily followed up in small field here (1m2f, soft); another big run when third of 21 at the Curragh (1m2f, good to yielding) eight days later; he's 14lb higher than two starts ago and drops back down in trip today, but this well-bred 3yo could still have more to offer for his top stable.

11/2

3rd

12

(5)

14th Sep 2025

Good To Yielding

1m 2f 0y

17:35 Curragh

Crown Of Oaks

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Much improved since being gelded, returning to win over this trip at Ayr in July and followed up off 6lb higher mark when impressively taking Ascot contest on soft ground eight days ago; carries mandatory 7lb penalty here but has been re-assessed by the British handicapper on 100 so theoretically has 7lb in hand here with ground to suit.

15/8

6

(3)

6th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 1f 212y

Class 3

14:10 Ascot

Crown Of Oaks

9st 3lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Had some fancy entries at the start of the season but those went west after suffering two defeats at odds-on; however, was gelded prior to getting off the mark on handicap debut at Ayr (1m2f, good; 6lb lower) and won that with a nice bit in hand; in the Cambridgeshire and retains significant potential; unraced on soft ground.

10/11

4/1

  • Place: £1.20

Form: 2-4744 C

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Encouraging fourth of nine in 3yo handicap at Epsom (1m2f, good to soft) last month on first run since being gelded and a line can be put through his next run at Doncaster where he was badly hampered; chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

(5)

10th Oct 2025

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

14:40 York

Hornsea Bay

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Debut at Ayr last September remains his only win but three of his last four starts (two over 1m2f at Ayr, one C&D) suggest he is capable of getting seriously involved.

7/2

8

(2)

18th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:45 Ayr

Hornsea Bay

9st 3lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Won 2yo debut here (1m, good) last September and clear second behind well-handicapped winner in handicap over this C&D (good) in July; has shown promise on good to soft (unraced on softer); close fifth at York 11 days ago and he could play a leading role now back here.

5/1

10

(10)

7th Sep 2025

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 3

16:00 York

Hornsea Bay

9st 3lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: David O’Meara

Second to an unexposed Haggas horse at Ayr before racing too freely for his own good when favourite for a Racing League handicap at Chepstow (1m2f, good to soft); if giving himself a better chance here he might not be far away.

15/2

10/1

  • Place: £3.90

Form: 4-8481 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 8st 2lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
3yo who showed improved form to get off the mark at ninth attempt over C&D (good) a fortnight ago; in a warmer race today but is just 3lb higher than last time and could still have more to offer.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

9

(9)

17th May 2026

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 4

18:45 Hamilton

Sure And Stedfast

9st 4lb

J: Tom Kiely-Marshall

T: Ewan Whillans

Can get a bit worked up and not that consistent but he still won last summer at Ayr (1m2f) and Carlisle (1m1f) and ran creditably over 1m4f on final outing; no show at 33-1 for recent reappearance when a hood was enlisted, which it isn't today; competitive if this is one of his good days.

20/1

10th

10

(2)

1st May 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

17:20 Newcastle (AW)

Sure And Stedfast

9st 2lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Ewan Whillans

Buzzy gelding who won twice on turf last year; only run once before on the AW but this mark should be within range if he keeps calm in a first-time hood back from six months off.

10/1

Form: 13-546 CD

Last run: 44 days

W: 10st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Hasn't really threatened on his three runs this year but has been in fair form and he won by 4l over C&D (good) last July on his last visit to Ayr; first-time blinkers replace cheekpieces; could go well.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(9)

28th Jul 2025

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

16:05 Ayr

Born Ruler

10st 3lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Hasn't really threatened on his three runs this year but has been in fair form and he won by 4l over C&D (good) last July on his last visit to Ayr; first-time blinkers replace cheekpieces; could go well.

5/1

4

(7)

14th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 3

14:25 York

Born Ruler

10st 6lb

J: Miss Gina Andrews

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Consistent last year; hasn't threatened on either outing this season but he kept on for a fair fourth in a warm race at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) last time and may benefit from this step back up in trip; unraced on slow ground; cheekpieces go back on, which he wore for his last win; chance.

4/1

OUR TIP

Form: -22775 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 10st 2lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Runner-up on first two starts this season (1m/1m2f, good) and creditable fifth of 18 in the John Smith's Cup at York (1m2f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; could be in the mix now back down in grade.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

8

(1)

28th May 2026

Good

1m 1f 170y

Class 3

15:40 Ripon

Austrian Theory

8st 10lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Tim Easterby

On a losing run and went backwards from C&D reappearance fifth to Spioradalta when well held at Hamilton a fortnight ago; on a career-low mark but need to see more.

14/1

9th

3

(7)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 1f 35y

Class 4

19:50 Hamilton

Austrian Theory

9st 8lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Tim Easterby

On a losing run but he wasn't disgraced on his reappearance when fifth of ten in 1m2f Ripon handicap 29 days ago; this course winner can't be ruled out.

13/2

8/1

Form: 391231 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Three wins at Newcastle (1m2f/1m4f, AW) earlier this year and her good form has continued back on turf, winning at Haydock (11.6f, good) most recently off 4lb lower; this progressive 4yo can go well once more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(2)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 20y

Class 4

14:42 Ayr

Jujubella

8st 9lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Three-time Newcastle winner who made the breakthrough on turf at Haydock (1m3f, good) last July; acquitted herself respectably in Class 2 contests at York (fifth) and Doncaster (seventh) last autumn, but her form has tapered off; fast easing handicap mark.

33/1

11th

8

(5)

1st May 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

17:20 Newcastle (AW)

Jujubella

9st 5lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Progressive for cheekpieces going on early last year, with three course wins, latterly off a 4lb lower mark; again goes without the headgear back from six months off and there's nothing to suggest she's best caught fresh.

8/1

20/1

Form: 411186 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 8st 13lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Won this in 2020 and third in 2022; this 10yo won three in a row here (1m5f/1m2f) this spring but he hasn't been at the same level on his last two starts; needs to bounce back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

(5)

21st May 2026

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 6

15:50 Musselburgh

Glasses Up

9st 8lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: R Mike Smith

Veteran who has won at this track but who is better known for his exploits at Ayr; solid third at that track 16 days ago (1m1f, good to firm); shouldn't be far away if backing it up.

4/1

3rd

7

(3)

5th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 20y

Class 6

15:30 Ayr

Glasses Up

9st 3lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: R Mike Smith

Veteran who has won 11 times here, including three last year (1m2f/1m5f); on a good mark and should come on for his run at Musselburgh last week; contender.

13/2

Form: 446364

Last run: 23 days

W: 8st 11lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Kept on for fair fourth of 15 here (1m, good) in April on second start and he's run well in defeat at Carlisle (both 1m1f, soft) on two of his three handicap starts; soundly beaten over 1m4f on AW in between; today's trip could prove ideal and this unexposed 4yo is in calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

8

(10)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 1f 35y

Class 4

19:50 Hamilton

Tee Aitch Aye

8st 9lb

J: Greg Fairley

T: Iain Jardine

Gained his first win over C&D in September; has failed to last home over 1m4f on his last two runs, coming in last of eight at Newcastle in March, and not totally dismissed back in trip.

10/1

Form: 9316-8

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Ex-German 5yo who won a seller at Musselburgh (1m1f, good) last October on stable debut; however, down the field next time and it was the same story on her reappearance over this C&D a fortnight ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

7

(5)

13th Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 5

13:52 Musselburgh

Bint Al Karama

10st 6lb

J: Miss Hannah Crawford

T: Iain Jardine

Has posted her most encouraging British performances in C&D sellers, respectable third in latest start; has unconvincing handicap form but may fare better off current mark.

10/1

4

(1)

1st Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 4

15:30 Musselburgh

Bint Al Karama

9st 3lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Won the equivalent race 12 months ago; however, this is a stronger race and she's found things very tough this season.

25/1

9th

4

(5)

19th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:45 Ayr

Bint Al Karama

9st 8lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Won a seller in October but no worthwhile form in five handicaps since then.

25/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £6.30
Straight Forecast £4.36
Tricast £34.89
Trifecta £51.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Crown Of Oaks

POSTDATA:

Austrian Theory

The Times:

Hornsea Bay

Daily Mail:

Jujubella

NEWMARKET:

Born Ruler

TOPSPEED:

Glasses Up

RP RATINGS:

Crown Of Oaks

D Express:

Crown Of Oaks

The Star:

Crown Of Oaks

The Guardian:

Hornsea Bay

Daily Record:

Jujubella

Telegraph:

Born Ruler

Daily Mirror:

Austrian Theory

The Sun:

Austrian Theory