July 28 / 16.05 Ayr

16.05

Good

Outcider Handicap (GBBplus Race)

  • Prize money: £5154
  • 1m 2f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 9 runners
RTV
View Course
Outcider Handicap (GBBplus Race)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Light rain

2/1 (Won)

  • Win: £2.00
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 3-33 BF

Last run: 63 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
3yo who has finished third on all three starts (7f/1m, good to soft-good to firm); turned over at 1-3 last time but that was still a good run; gelded since; this well-bred handicap newcomer is open to improvement now up in trip and his top trainer is 8-19 (42%) here in the last five seasons.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

(2)

28th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

15:20 Curragh

Crown Of Oaks

9st 9lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

British raider; three handicap wins last season at 1m-1m2f on good and soft ground, including the Balmoral at Ascot (1m, good) on his final start of 2025 off 99; ran well when third in C&D handicap last September; a bit to find on the figures here and lacks a recent run but respected.

8/1

13

(23)

18th Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

16:40 Ascot

Crown Of Oaks

8st 12lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Won when upped in trip on handicap debut at Ayr (1m2f, good) in July then easily followed up in small field here (1m2f, soft); another big run when third of 21 at the Curragh (1m2f, good to yielding) eight days later; he's 14lb higher than two starts ago and drops back down in trip today, but this well-bred 3yo could still have more to offer for his top stable.

11/2

3rd

12

(5)

14th Sep 2025

Good To Yielding

1m 2f 0y

17:35 Curragh

Crown Of Oaks

9st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Much improved since being gelded, returning to win over this trip at Ayr in July and followed up off 6lb higher mark when impressively taking Ascot contest on soft ground eight days ago; carries mandatory 7lb penalty here but has been re-assessed by the British handicapper on 100 so theoretically has 7lb in hand here with ground to suit.

15/8

4/1

  • Place: £1.20

Form: 2-4744 C

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Encouraging fourth of nine in 3yo handicap at Epsom (1m2f, good to soft) last month on first run since being gelded and a line can be put through his next run at Doncaster where he was badly hampered; chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

(5)

10th Oct 2025

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

14:40 York

Hornsea Bay

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Debut at Ayr last September remains his only win but three of his last four starts (two over 1m2f at Ayr, one C&D) suggest he is capable of getting seriously involved.

7/2

8

(2)

18th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

14:45 Ayr

Hornsea Bay

9st 3lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Won 2yo debut here (1m, good) last September and clear second behind well-handicapped winner in handicap over this C&D (good) in July; has shown promise on good to soft (unraced on softer); close fifth at York 11 days ago and he could play a leading role now back here.

5/1

10

(10)

7th Sep 2025

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 3

16:00 York

Hornsea Bay

9st 3lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: David O’Meara

Second to an unexposed Haggas horse at Ayr before racing too freely for his own good when favourite for a Racing League handicap at Chepstow (1m2f, good to soft); if giving himself a better chance here he might not be far away.

15/2

10/1

  • Place: £3.90

Form: 4-8481 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 8st 2lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
3yo who showed improved form to get off the mark at ninth attempt over C&D (good) a fortnight ago; in a warmer race today but is just 3lb higher than last time and could still have more to offer.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(6)

11th Jul 2026

Good

1m 5f 16y

Class 4

19:20 Hamilton

Sure And Stedfast

8st 13lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Ewan Whillans

A dual winner (at up to 1m2f) last season; recorded a very good second over C&D in June and didn't enjoy a smooth run when fifth of 12 at Newcastle (1m4f) two weeks ago; remains one to be interested in.

11/2

5th

1

(10)

27th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 4f 98y

Class 5

16:58 Newcastle (AW)

Sure And Stedfast

9st 9lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Ewan Whillans

Two-time turf winner (1m1f/1m2f) who arrives in good nick after two solid placed efforts at Hamilton (1m3f/1m5f); hasn't shone in two starts here but otherwise he's more solid than most.

4/1

2nd

3

(3)

4th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 5f 16y

Class 5

16:51 Hamilton

Sure And Stedfast

9st 4lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Ewan Whillans

Returned to form when third here (1m3f, good) last month on second run of the season; also effective on soft ground; could play a leading role if seeing out this longer trip, and there can be optimism on that score.

4/1

Form: 13-546 CD

Last run: 44 days

W: 10st 3lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Hasn't really threatened on his three runs this year but has been in fair form and he won by 4l over C&D (good) last July on his last visit to Ayr; first-time blinkers replace cheekpieces; could go well.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(9)

28th Jul 2025

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

16:05 Ayr

Born Ruler

10st 3lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Hasn't really threatened on his three runs this year but has been in fair form and he won by 4l over C&D (good) last July on his last visit to Ayr; first-time blinkers replace cheekpieces; could go well.

5/1

4

(7)

14th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 3

14:25 York

Born Ruler

10st 6lb

J: Miss Gina Andrews

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Consistent last year; hasn't threatened on either outing this season but he kept on for a fair fourth in a warm race at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) last time and may benefit from this step back up in trip; unraced on slow ground; cheekpieces go back on, which he wore for his last win; chance.

4/1

OUR TIP

Form: -22775 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 10st 2lb

6 yo Colt

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Runner-up on first two starts this season (1m/1m2f, good) and creditable fifth of 18 in the John Smith's Cup at York (1m2f, good to firm) a fortnight ago; could be in the mix now back down in grade.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(9)

24th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 4

17:05 Carlisle

Austrian Theory

9st 6lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Tim Easterby

Not the force of old but, after a couple of modest efforts, his latest fifth of 18 at York (10.5f, good; first-time cheekpieces) was a step back in the right direction; shaped as though this stiffer test might suit on that occasion so interesting to see if the headgear works a second time for in-form yard.

16/1

5th

12

(15)

12th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 4

17:18 York

Austrian Theory

9st 3lb

J: David Allan

T: Tim Easterby

Not the best of strike-rates and not been in top form this year; cheekpieces now tried but has a tricky draw to overcome; well handicapped now.

20/1

7th

8

(1)

28th May 2026

Good

1m 1f 170y

Class 3

15:40 Ripon

Austrian Theory

8st 10lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Tim Easterby

On a losing run and went backwards from C&D reappearance fifth to Spioradalta when well held at Hamilton a fortnight ago; on a career-low mark but need to see more.

14/1

8/1

Form: 391231 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Three wins at Newcastle (1m2f/1m4f, AW) earlier this year and her good form has continued back on turf, winning at Haydock (11.6f, good) most recently off 4lb lower; this progressive 4yo can go well once more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(4)

11th Jul 2026

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 5

20:50 Hamilton

Jujubella

9st 13lb

J: Kevin Stott

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Scored four times (at up to 1m4f) in 2025; back in good form of late, runner-up in 1m4f handicap at Newcastle two weeks ago; well in the mix nudged up 1lb.

5/2

2nd

6

(12)

27th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 4f 98y

Class 5

16:58 Newcastle (AW)

Jujubella

9st 6lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Not at the top of her game this season but she's dropped down the weights and took a step back in the right direction when fifth at Hamilton (1m5f, good) three weeks ago; creditable third of four at Hamilton on Thursday; three wins here include one at this trip and she warrants a good look.

7/1

3rd

2

(3)

25th Jun 2026

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 5

20:30 Hamilton

Jujubella

9st 12lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore

Not at the top of her game this season but she's dropped down the weights and took a step back in the right direction when fifth of seven here (1m5f, good) three weeks ago; the drop back in trip could help; not ruled out.

6/1

20/1

Form: 411186 CD

Last run: 14 days

W: 8st 13lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Won this in 2020 and third in 2022; this 10yo won three in a row here (1m5f/1m2f) this spring but he hasn't been at the same level on his last two starts; needs to bounce back.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(2)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

16:30 Ayr

Glasses Up

9st 7lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: R Mike Smith

Veteran who was recording his 12th win at the track when leading close home over 1m5f last week; able to race off a 3lb lower mark today and he has to be of interest from a handicapping perspective.

5/1

1st

6

(3)

13th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 5f 26y

Class 5

17:05 Ayr

Glasses Up

8st 4lb

J: Shay Farmer

T: R Mike Smith

Long in the tooth now and needs to better his recent efforts but was close third off 4lb higher at Hamilton (1m1f, good to firm) in May and is probably better suited by today's trip; can't rule out.

10/1

5th

3

(1)

5th Jul 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

16:25 Ayr

Glasses Up

9st 11lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: R Mike Smith

Veteran who last May gained a ninth C&D win; his more recent form is not so encouraging, though, just fifth of eight over C&D 16 days ago; needs to bounce back.

20/1

Form: 446364

Last run: 23 days

W: 8st 11lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Kept on for fair fourth of 15 here (1m, good) in April on second start and he's run well in defeat at Carlisle (both 1m1f, soft) on two of his three handicap starts; soundly beaten over 1m4f on AW in between; today's trip could prove ideal and this unexposed 4yo is in calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(7)

6th Jul 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

15:00 Ayr

Tee Aitch Aye

9st 13lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Now 6b lower than when coming from off the pace to open account at Hamilton (1m1f, soft) in September but has been out of form this year (four runs) and needs to turn a corner.

16/1

6th

1

(7)

17th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 3f 15y

Class 6

17:52 Hamilton

Tee Aitch Aye

10st 2lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Won over 1m1f here (soft) last September when 3lb higher but he's beaten only one rival in the course of his three races this year; probably stays 1m2f but well beaten in his three attempts at 1m4f; risky.

14/1

7th

9

(5)

4th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 35y

Class 4

15:21 Hamilton

Tee Aitch Aye

8st 7lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Iain Jardine

Won over C&D (soft) last September when 1lb higher and he's one to watch in the betting, especially if the ground is on the slow side; however, he's been tailed off on both starts this season.

16/1

Form: 9316-8

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 1lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Ex-German 5yo who won a seller at Musselburgh (1m1f, good) last October on stable debut; however, down the field next time and it was the same story on her reappearance over this C&D a fortnight ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

7

(5)

13th Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 5

13:52 Musselburgh

Bint Al Karama

10st 6lb

J: Miss Hannah Crawford

T: Iain Jardine

Has posted her most encouraging British performances in C&D sellers, respectable third in latest start; has unconvincing handicap form but may fare better off current mark.

10/1

4

(1)

1st Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 4

15:30 Musselburgh

Bint Al Karama

9st 3lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Won the equivalent race 12 months ago; however, this is a stronger race and she's found things very tough this season.

25/1

9th

4

(5)

19th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:45 Ayr

Bint Al Karama

9st 8lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Won a seller in October but no worthwhile form in five handicaps since then.

25/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £6.30
Straight Forecast £4.36
Tricast £34.89
Trifecta £51.00

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Crown Of Oaks

POSTDATA:

Austrian Theory

The Times:

Hornsea Bay

Daily Mail:

Jujubella

NEWMARKET:

Born Ruler

TOPSPEED:

Glasses Up

RP RATINGS:

Crown Of Oaks

D Express:

Crown Of Oaks

The Star:

Crown Of Oaks

The Guardian:

Hornsea Bay

Daily Record:

Jujubella

Telegraph:

Born Ruler

Daily Mirror:

Austrian Theory

The Sun:

Austrian Theory