July 14 / 16.00 Ascot

16.00

Good To Firm

Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith British EBF Fillies’ Handicap

  • Prize money: £27000
  • 1m 3f 211y
  • Class 3
  • 10 runners
SKY
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Long Harbour Derek Lucie-Smith British EBF Fillies’ Handicap

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

9/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.50
  • Place: £1.40

Form: 51-162

Last run: 48 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Came up a little short in the Lingfield Oaks Trial; progressive otherwise, including wins over 1m and 1m2f on AW/soft; ran well in fillies' handicap at Goodwood (1m4f, good to firm; finished second) most recently; raised 2lb but Harry Davies takes off a useful 3lb; solid chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

9

(7)

5th Aug 2023

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:40 Newmarket (July)

Sunset Point

8st 13lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Quietly progressive in 1m4f handicaps and confirmed her liking for give underfoot when taking a competitive affair for fillies at Ascot 22 days ago; revised mark elevates her to this sort of level; respected.

5/1

1st

4

(1)

14th Jul 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 3

16:00 Ascot

Sunset Point

9st 5lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Charlie Appleby

prominent, led 2f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on, hung left towards finish

9/2

2nd

7

(6)

27th May 2023

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 3

16:20 Goodwood

Sunset Point

8st 13lb

J: James Doyle

T: Charlie Appleby

towards rear of midfield

5/1

12/1

  • Place: £3.10

Form: 57-010

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Drops back slightly in grade, having faced a tough task in Royal Ascot handicap (well held) last month; scored easily at Newbury (1m2f, good; handicap debut) the time before and that form has worked out well; may still have more to offer.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(8)

12th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 6f 21y

Class 4

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Greysful Storm

10st 2lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Rebecca Menzies

in rear, weakened from 3f out

16/1

7th

3

(8)

12th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 6f 21y

Class 4

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Greysful Storm

10st 2lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Rebecca Menzies

in rear, weakened from 3f out

16/1

14/1

  • Place: £2.00

Form: 42-127

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 91

Form & Verdict
Listed limitations have been shown up at Chester (remote second) and Longchamp (last of seven) since her clearcut success in Doncaster handicap (1m2f, soft) on reappearance; on a tougher mark now but the drop back to this level looks a positive.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(5)

13th Sep 2024

Good

1m 3f 197y

Class 2

16:10 Doncaster

Theres The Door

10st 2lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: David Evans

Her last win came at last season's Glorious Goodwood when the ground was heavy; she has run mostly respectably this term but having ground softer than good, preferably soft or heavy, seems vital to her chance.

16/1

OUR TIP

12/1

Form: 114-79 D

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Sole 4yo in the field; progressive form last term included wins in soft-ground maiden and AW handicap, both over 1m4f; has failed to shine in two runs this season but she's in excellent hands and a revival is far from impossible; trainer has a respectable record in this contest.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(7)

20th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

1m 3f 104y

Class 4

16:55 Yarmouth

Tamilla

10st 2lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

Turf (soft) and AW winner last summer who is back on her last winning mark and shaped as though coming to hand at Bath last time; the forecast ground here should suit better and leading claims.

2/1

4th

2

(1)

6th Sep 2023

Good

1m 3f 137y

Class 4

16:00 Bath

Tamilla

10st 2lb

J: G Cheyne

T: William Haggas

Won back-to-back 1m4f events last year, including a handicap off this mark; her third at Ascot in July was in line with those efforts and latest run there was too bad to be true; very capable of going well.

11/2

7th

6

(1)

28th Jul 2023

Good

1m 7f 209y

Class 3

14:25 Ascot

Tamilla

9st 11lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

2022 campaign included 1m4f wins in a soft-ground maiden and AW handicap, followed by a close fourth when tried over 1m6f; latest start was more like it again, when making most for a respectable fourth of eight at this track (1m4f); going back up in trip looks in order but 2m is something new.

8/1

Form: 1-2538

Last run: 23 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 96

Form & Verdict
Won at Newmarket on sole 2yo outing and ran well in Listed event there (1m2f, soft) on reappearance; no further progress since, most recently eighth in the Queen's Vase here; however, has possibilities back down in class on handicap debut, with Billy Loughnane taking off a valuable 3lb.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(3)

12th Sep 2024

Good

1m 6f 115y

Class 1

15:35 Doncaster

Sumo Sam

9st 7lb

J: James Doyle

T: Paul & Oliver Cole

Came into her own once encountering the mud last term, galloping on relentlessly with front-running rides to win Group 2s over about 1m6f at Glorious Goodwood (by wide margin) and Doncaster (this race); flopped on reappearance this May, however, and although she returned from wind surgery with a satisfactory run (considering the good to firm ground) last month, she surely needs an absolute downpour.

9/1

4th

4

(4)

17th Aug 2024

Good

1m 5f 61y

Class 1

13:50 Newbury

Sumo Sam

9st 4lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Paul & Oliver Cole

took keen hold, led, raced wide, switched left and against rail after 5f, headed over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

7/1

Form: 1236

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 88

Form & Verdict
AW winner whose two turf attempts have come in Listed grade, finishing third at Chester (one place behind There's The Door) then sixth of seven at Goodwood; hit with another rise in her mark but Connor Planas takes off a handy 5lb; could go well on handicap debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

5

(11)

23rd Jun 2024

Good

1m 4f 5y

Class 1

15:00 Pontefract

Ermesinde

9st 2lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

Placed three times in Listed grade; outstayed in 1m6f Group 3 at York (behind River Of Stars) most recently, though wasn't disgraced on the figures; each-way possibilities back down in trip/class.

11/2

6th

1

(9)

25th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 5f 188y

Class 1

15:20 York

Ermesinde

9st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

led, headed 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

33/1

6th

1

(9)

25th May 2024

Good To Soft

1m 5f 188y

Class 1

15:20 York

Ermesinde

9st 2lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

led, headed 2f out, weakened inside final furlong

33/1

Form: 1-36

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Scored at Newmarket on sole 2yo start and ran well, one place behind Sumo Sam, in Listed race there on reappearance; disappointing in French Group 3 upped to 1m4f last time (bred to stay) but could easily bounce back if she takes well to first-time headgear; nowhere near fully exposed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(6)

14th Jul 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 3

16:00 Ascot

Trust The Stars

9st 5lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

Scored at Newmarket on sole 2yo start and ran well, one place behind Sumo Sam, in Listed race there on reappearance; disappointing in French Group 3 upped to 1m4f last time (bred to stay) but could easily bounce back if she takes well to first-time headgear; nowhere near fully exposed.

8/1

3rd

10

(4)

7th May 2023

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 1

14:25 Newmarket

Trust The Stars

9st 2lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

prominent

7/1

1st

13

(2)

17th Sep 2022

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

13:31 Newmarket

Trust The Stars

9st 2lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

dwelt start, pressed leaders, shaken up when led 2f out, pushed along over 1f out, kept on well and always doing enough

14/1

Form: 557111

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 91

Form & Verdict
Completed a quickfire hat-trick last month, which means she's 3-3 since handicapping and switched to turf; won well each time, most recently at Windsor (11.5f, good to firm; Class 5); now upped two grades off a much sterner mark but could well progress further; has to be feared.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

6

(7)

27th Sep 2023

Soft

1m 6f 0y

Class 3

16:50 Goodwood

Alpina Express

9st 2lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

Completed a hat-trick (1m2f-11.5f) in June, looking progressive; however, shot up the weights for those wins and has found things harder the last twice; this new trip needs to eke out extra from her.

16/1

4th

2

(5)

17th Aug 2023

Good

1m 4f 5y

Class 3

16:40 Salisbury

Alpina Express

9st 9lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Charlie Johnston

took keen hold, in rear

7/1

8th

6

(9)

14th Jul 2023

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 3

16:00 Ascot

Alpina Express

9st 4lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

Completed a quickfire hat-trick last month, which means she's 3-3 since handicapping and switched to turf; won well each time, most recently at Windsor (11.5f, good to firm; Class 5); now upped two grades off a much sterner mark but could well progress further; has to be feared.

11/4

Form: -61224

Last run: 14 days

W: 8st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Acts on soft and good to firm ground; consistent filly who has been performing well over 1m2f while shaping as if this longer trip will eke out more progress from her; has course form and looks interesting off an unaltered mark on first crack at 1m4f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(1)

23rd Aug 2024

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 4

18:50 Goodwood

Dubai Crystal

10st 0lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: George Boughey

in touch with leaders

11/2

7th

4

(8)

3rd Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:40 Newmarket (July)

Dubai Crystal

9st 9lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: George Boughey

towards rear

50/1

7th

2

(7)

24th Mar 2024

Soft

1m 3f 197y

Class 4

13:20 Doncaster

Dubai Crystal

10st 12lb

J: Mr Simon Walker

T: George Boughey

Has sound claims on her 1m2f form (including on soft) for Karl Burke and dam's side suggests this new trip will suit; sold for 50,000gns since last run; not fully exposed; interesting.

5/2

Form: 935-12

Last run: 21 days

W: 8st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Yet to race on ground softer than good; sound performances in middle-distances handicaps this term, winning at Chepstow (1m2f, good to firm) then good second at Goodwood (1m4f, good); now upped in grade but may improve further and go well off bottom weight.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(3)

31st May 2025

Good

1m 5f 188y

Class 1

15:15 York

Divina Grace

9st 5lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

Took her form to a new level with a game success in Newbury Group 3 on stable/seasonal debut; not so good front-running in a four-runner Group 2 at Newmarket (also 1m4f on good) three weeks later; player if reverting to the Newbury form but her three attempts at this sort of trip (summer 2023) were not as good as that year's runs at 1m4f.

5/1

6th

1

(3)

31st May 2025

Good

1m 5f 188y

Class 1

15:15 York

Divina Grace

9st 5lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

Took her form to a new level with a game success in Newbury Group 3 on stable/seasonal debut; not so good front-running in a four-runner Group 2 at Newmarket (also 1m4f on good) three weeks later; player if reverting to the Newbury form but her three attempts at this sort of trip (summer 2023) were not as good as that year's runs at 1m4f.

5/1

3rd

4

(2)

2nd May 2025

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

16:05 Newmarket

Divina Grace

9st 2lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

Useful for Rae Guest; took her form to a new level with a game success in Newbury Group 3 on stable/seasonal debut, taking record to 6-21; faces a stiffer task in this grade but may rate higher still and she's the sole C&D winner in the field; very hard to dismiss.

6/1

Non-runners

Dubai Crystal, Divina Grace

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £30.60
Straight Forecast £39.40
Tricast £219.49
Trifecta £200.50

Selections

NEWMARKET:

Sunset Point

SPOTLIGHT:

Dubai Crystal

D Express:

Alpina Express

TOPSPEED:

Divina Grace

Daily Mirror:

Alpina Express

The Star:

Alpina Express

The Times:

Sunset Point

The Guardian:

Sunset Point

The Sun:

Sunset Point

Daily Record:

Sunset Point

RP RATINGS:

Dubai Crystal

Telegraph:

Dubai Crystal

Daily Mail:

Dubai Crystal

POSTDATA:

Divina Grace