October 07 / 14.25 Ascot

14.25

Good

Jim Barry Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £45368
  • 1m 3f 211y
  • Class 1
  • 8 runners
ITV4
View Course
Jim Barry Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Sunny

OUR TIP

5/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.30

Form: 15-001 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 112

Form & Verdict
Often used to front-run but hasn't since last July; best form in that progressive campaign came when winning French Group 2 over 1m7f one year ago; made a modest start to 2023 in Saudi Arabia and Dubai and was not seen again until three weeks ago but that Listed win at Chester (1m4f) was career-best form; firmly in the mix.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(8)

7th May 2026

Good

1m 5f 84y

Class 1

15:05 Chester

Al Qareem

9st 5lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Justified favouritism in Listed grade at Musselburgh (1m6f, soft) on seasonal debut, making it five wins from his last nine starts and taking overall record to 13-36; Chester record reads 112, most recently running creditably in this race 12 months ago; again likely to give his running.

9/1

1st

1

(5)

4th Apr 2026

Good

1m 5f 216y

Class 1

14:30 Musselburgh

Al Qareem

9st 7lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Front-runner who keeps pulling out more, with 12 wins; the four last season (April-October) included career-best form; unraced here; has never won first time out but he has run creditably and is the clear form pick.

4/5

1

(5)

18th Oct 2025

Good

1m 7f 209y

Class 1

12:55 Ascot

Al Qareem

9st 9lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Front-running 6yo who keeps pulling out more, with 12 wins now to his credit, including three of his four starts at Ascot; latest was over 1m4f two weeks ago, with three 1m6f wins earlier this season; he's never been at his best over this far, admittedly with stiff tasks but it's hard to ignore that Trawlerman gave him 3lb and a comprehensive beating at York in August.

12/1

7/2

  • Place: £1.30

Form: 0-2216 D

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 11lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 115

Form & Verdict
Close third in C&D handicap at last year's Royal meeting; apparently best form when beating the odds-on Adayar (who's not been seen since) in some style to take Group 2 at Newmarket (1m4f, good to firm) this July, albeit with all three rivals clearly below form; not far away on his other 2023 form.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

5

(1)

21st Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 1

15:35 York

Israr

9st 8lb

J: William Buick

T: John & Thady Gosden

Record of 321 since wearing blinkers, most recently landing the Wolferton at Royal Ascot (1m2f Listed, good to firm) where he won well and looked better than ever; headgear retained; faces a stiffer task on first Group 1 attempt and owner's retained rider Jim Crowley prefers Alflaila.

33/1

1st

9

(8)

18th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 212y

Class 1

18:40 Ascot

Israr

9st 5lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: John & Thady Gosden

Group 2 winner (1m4f) last term; beaten favourite in two runs in Britain with blinkers added this spring but he ran right up to his best when second to Passenger in 1m2f Chester Group 2 (good to firm; also acts on heavy) last time, with the pair well clear; solid chance.

7/2

2nd

3

(3)

10th May 2024

Good

1m 2f 70y

Class 1

15:05 Chester

Israr

9st 3lb

J: Jim Crowley

T: John & Thady Gosden

took keen hold, prominent, led over 1f out, headed final 110yds

7/2

8/1

  • Place: £2.20

Form: 1/1601 D

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 105

Form & Verdict
Ascot runs only when mid-division at the Royal meeting over 2m4f (2021) and 1m6f (2023); while most of his career has been spent over further than this, he was back to 1m4f with a bang when winning well in a handicap at Hamilton (good to soft) six weeks ago in first-time cheekpieces, making it 2-2 at that track and showing career-best form; each-way contender on that.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

2

(6)

26th Jun 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 2

15:10 Newcastle (AW)

Postileo

9st 6lb

J: David Nolan

T: Alan Brown

Big chance on best 2023 efforts for Roger Varian but he did not shine last year (hurdles/Flat) for Emmet Mullins; 8,500gns buy in September and heavily beaten at 100-1 in a hot AW handicap (2m; first-time visor) in April; others are more solid at present.

50/1

50/1

Form: 083402 C

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 6lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 97

Form & Verdict
Held up; won this race in 2020 when it was held at York (sixth in it here last year); no win since July 2021 and, aged 10, he does not look the force of old; still managed fourth in the Ebor at York three starts ago and beaten a head at Ayr on latest, but that handicap form falls some way short of what should be required to win this again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

9

(10)

26th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

15:15 Doncaster

Euchen Glen

9st 8lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

11yo who has won just once since 2021 but that came at Ayr (1m5f, good to firm) this June; has run well several times this year, including when fourth of 13 at York (1m2f, soft) a fortnight ago, and might not be far away.

20/1

4th

5

(6)

12th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

14:05 York

Euchen Glen

9st 0lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

11yo now but he's had a few bright moments this season, including second of eight to Kihavah at Ayr (1m5f, good to firm) three weeks ago; his sixth of 20 in the John Smith's Cup over C&D in July shows he's still effective over shorter trips.

20/1

2nd

3

(5)

21st Sep 2024

Good

1m 5f 26y

Class 3

17:15 Ayr

Euchen Glen

9st 12lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

in touch with leaders against rail, going okay 3f out, keeping on and went second over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong, no match for winner

6/1

5/4

Form: 1-5112 CD

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 113

Form & Verdict
Sole run last year was a C&D Listed win; held up this season with his summer wins in a Listed race at Newbury and Group 3 at Haydock both at about 1m2f, but he ran on strongly to close to half a length in Group 3 at Leopardstown four weeks ago when returned to 1m4f; major claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

(5)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

14:35 Newbury

Al Aasy

9st 2lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

Held up; eight Group 3 wins are already in the bag, including this race in 2021 (his only appearance in it); has a slightly mixed reappearance record but he was almost as good as ever with his two wins last term, including first time out, and a return to that level would make this 9yo the one to beat.

5/2

9th

1

(4)

25th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

15:45 Newbury

Al Aasy

9st 9lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: William Haggas

4-8 at Newbury but he was a below-form third in this race last year on heavy going (acts on soft); Sandown in April and Glorious Goodwood in August made it eight Group 3 wins now in total; held up as usual in Ireland last time but he did not get run of the race; the chance of heavy ground is far more of a concern but he has a leading form chance if the ground is okay.

11/2

5th

1

(6)

13th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 4f 0y

15:50 Leopardstown

Al Aasy

9st 12lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: William Haggas

8yo finished second in this race two years ago and better form in recent years, now a winner of eight races at Group 3 level, including this term at Sandown (1m2f) and most recently last month's Glorious Goodwood Stakes, producing a tidy turn of foot in softish ground to win it for second consecutive year; sets a high standard.

6/4

16/1

Form: 6-3163

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 105

Form & Verdict
Four wins at up to 1m7f in France, including a 1m3f Group 2 in May 2022; made debut for this yard (same ownership) in 1m4f Listed race at Chester three weeks ago when third of seven was as good as he's ever been but he was two and a half lengths behind Al Qareem, who he again meets at level weights; bit to find but it's only his second go for this stable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

7th Nov 2024

Good

2m 0f 69y

Class 3

13:05 Newbury

LAstronome

11st 0lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: James Owen

novicey jumping, in touch with leaders

9/2

11/1

Form: 2014-6 C

Last run: 135 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 111

Form & Verdict
Highlights last season were his second in the Craven at Newmarket and front-running win in 1m2f Group 3 at Royal Ascot; absent 306 days before tailed off this May, bleeding from the nose, and not seen since; something to prove after that and over this far (he has some stamina in the family) but he is lightly raced.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(2)

30th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 2

13:30 Carlisle

Claymore

9st 6lb

J: Sorin Moldoveanu

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Campaigned in the UAE this winter, last seen finishing tailed off at Meydan; still 4lb higher than for his last win in Britain and probably best watched after three months off.

20/1

2

(2)

14th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

20:00 Windsor

Claymore

9st 11lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Career highlight was at Royal Ascot 2022 but he capitalised on a career-low mark to win at Newmarket (1m4f, good to firm) last month; long list of possible excuses next time and not disgraced at Ascot last Saturday, so he needs a second look.

10/1

2

(5)

9th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 2

14:45 Ascot

Claymore

10st 1lb

J: Suraj Narredu

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

Career highlight was at Royal Ascot 2022 but he capitalised on a career-low mark to win at Newmarket (1m4f, good to firm) last month; long list of possible excuses at Yarmouth 12 days later, so he remains of interest.

6/1

33/1

Form: 211-17 D

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 109

Form & Verdict
Eight wins from 11 starts in Chile, four of the wins at Group 1 level (one courtesy of the stewards) and the latest in El Derby (1m4f, good) in February; 10-1 for stable/British debut in Group 3 at Kempton (1m4f, AW) four weeks ago but came a detached last of seven; cheekpieces go on today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(7)

7th Oct 2023

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Fortino

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: John & Thady Gosden

Eight wins from 11 starts in Chile, four of the wins at Group 1 level (one courtesy of the stewards) and the latest in El Derby (1m4f, good) in February; 10-1 for stable/British debut in Group 3 at Kempton (1m4f, AW) four weeks ago but came a detached last of seven; cheekpieces go on today.

33/1

7th

7

(3)

9th Sep 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 1

13:35 Kempton (AW)

Fortino

9st 6lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: John & Thady Gosden

Eight wins from 11 starts in Chile, four of them at Group 1 level (one courtesy of the stewards) the latest of which was in El Derby (1m4f, good) in February; 2-2 on dirt and fascinating to see how he fares if ready to roll on debut for a stable with such a fine recent record in this race.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £14.10
Straight Forecast £16.14
Tricast £107.23
Trifecta £66.30

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Al Qareem

TOPSPEED:

Israr

NEWMARKET:

Al Aasy

POSTDATA:

L'Astronome

RP RATINGS:

Al Qareem

D Express:

Al Qareem

The Sun:

Al Qareem

The Star:

Al Qareem

The Times:

Israr

The Guardian:

Israr

Daily Mail:

Israr

Telegraph:

Al Aasy

Daily Mirror:

Al Aasy

Daily Record:

Al Aasy