August 29 / 14.10 Chelmsford (AW)

14.10

Standard

IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 0m 7f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 10 runners
RTV
View Course
IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

8/11 (Won)

  • Win: £1.45
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 1 D

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 11lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
320,000euros yearling; well-bred colt who was backed in from 20-1 to 9-4 when winning by a neck on his Sandown debut (7f, good to firm) last month; form of that race not really working out, but he still sets a good standard and holds entries in several big 2yo races in the autumn; sire 10-40 (25%) here in last five seasons.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(4)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 4f 6y

Class 1

14:40 Epsom

Bay City Roller

9st 2lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: George Scott

Consistent colt whose Group 1 form is non-domestic, namely a success in Germany (1m4f, soft) last November and good second at the Curragh (10.5f, good) latest start; only a neck behind Lambourn on worse terms at Chester on reappearance, albeit with that rival rusty and likely to improve for the run, according to Ryan Moore; needs a personal best to land this prize.

18/1

2nd

2

(3)

24th May 2026

Good To Yielding

1m 2f 110y

15:55 Curragh

Bay City Roller

9st 5lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: George Scott

Showed some high-class form last year, including when beaten less than a length by Daryz in the Prix Egene Adam; hit the big time when making all to win the Group 1 Grosser Allianz Preis von Bayern by 7l at Munich (1m4f, soft) in November; huge run at Chester when conceding weight all around, just going down by a neck to last year's dual Derby winner Lambourn; ideally suited by softer ground and a bit to find on ratings but he's clearly in top form.

8/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.30

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
May foal by Bolt D'Oro; $30,000 yearling, 130,000euros breeze-up 2yo; dam US 6.5f/7f dirt winner, half-sister to US stakes-placed 1m-1m1f winner Savannah Belle, out of maiden half-sister to US 1m 2yo Grade 1 winner Traitor; attractive pedigree and stable 8-20 (40%) with 2yo newcomers this year; well worth a market check.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

6

(5)

18th Sep 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:50 Sandown

Rock dOro

9st 7lb

J: David Egan

T: Ralph Beckett

130,000euros breeze-up 2yo; got behind early at Chelmsford (7f AW; 5-1) but finished with some purpose to give the odds-on favourite a fright and that winner was last weekend's Group 2 Champagne Stakes hero Bay City Roller; hard to beat unless any of the newcomers are above average.

8/15

2nd

9

(5)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Rock dOro

9st 4lb

J: David Egan

T: Ralph Beckett

slowly away, in rear early, headway and prominent after 2f

3/1

16/1

  • Place: £3.60

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
March foal by Mohaather; dam 1m 2yo/1m4f winner (RPR 96), sister to 1m6f winner Rose Camira, half-sister to 1m2f winner Harold Lloyd, out of 11.6f/1m4f winning sister to US 1m1f Grade 3 winner Roman Dynasty; already gelded and wears blinkers on debut; stable does have winning 2yo newcomers, but dam's side of pedigree suggests he will appreciate further.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(6)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

16:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Nidaami

9st 3lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Tom Clover

slowly away, raced in last, some headway over 1f out, hung left and no impression final furlong

7/2

5th

4

(6)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

16:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Nidaami

9st 3lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Tom Clover

slowly away, raced in last, some headway over 1f out, hung left and no impression final furlong

7/2

4th

6

(5)

21st Nov 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

16:30 Southwell (AW)

Nidaami

9st 6lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Tom Clover

Yet to build on his debut promise but blinkers return for this nursery debut and stepping up in trip should suit on breeding; Kieran Shoemark 6-22 for the yard (another five placed) for a level-stake profit of +51; interesting contender.

8/1

OUR TIP

50/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
April foal by Too Darn Hot; 40,000gns yearling; half-brother to four winners including Like A King (Scandinavian 1m/1m1f including Listed; RPR 112), Daafr (6f-9.4f including 2yo/AW; 97) and Odin Owns You All (7f AW; 83); dam US 1m winner, half-sister to Gold Cup winner Order Of St George; sire 4-13 (31%) here in his first two seasons, but he would be a rare winning 2yo newcomer from the stable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

(2)

29th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 6f 0y

Class 4

16:20 Goodwood

Arcturus Flame

9st 6lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: James Owen

Sole win at Nottingham at about 1m (good) in April 2025 but he has C&D form and a close call with Zachary Hickes at Yarmouth (about 1m3f, good to firm) for new yard puts him in this picture; may well improve further even though he's not obviously ahead of his mark on past efforts.

7/2

2nd

1

(1)

14th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 104y

Class 5

15:13 Yarmouth

Arcturus Flame

9st 9lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: James Owen

Sole win came over 1m in April 2025; in good form this season before his form dipped when fifth of ten in 1m4f Epsom handicap last month; latest race was voided and he's left Richard Hughes since; very much one to consider in a change of headgear for his new yard.

15/8

6

(2)

17th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Arcturus Flame

8st 13lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

Sole success came in April 2025 when trained by Darryl Holland; has performed with credit on several occasions since, resulting in him being still 6lb higher than his winning mark; place claims.

6/1

10/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
March foal by Mehmas; 70,000euros foal; 40,000euros breeze-up 2yo; first foal; dam sprint maiden (RPR 60), half-sister to winners Van Der Neer (1m AW Listed) and Showing Character (useful 5f-1m including 2yo), out of unraced half-sister to 7f Listed winner Intense Pink; enough to like on breeding and market support should be heeded on debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(6)

13th Sep 2024

Soft

0m 6f 17y

Class 5

14:10 Chester

Mekhled

9st 2lb

J: Sam Hitchcott

T: Richard Hannon

40,000euros breeze-up 2yo; 20-1, never-dangerous fifth on recent debut at Chelmsford (7f, AW) and has quite a bit to find here.

25/1

5th

5

(2)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Mekhled

9st 4lb

J: Sam Hitchcott

T: Richard Hannon

midfield

10/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
March foal by No Nay Never; $155,000 yearling; first foal; dam unplaced 7f-1m2f AW (RPR 69), half-sister to US winners Cool Beans (Graded stakes-placed 1m/8.5f) and Against The Win (5f/6f) and to the dam of 1m1f Grade 1 winner Magnum Moon, out of US 6f Grade 3 winner; stable gets plenty of 2yo winners first time and enough in his pedigree to make him of interest; watch market.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

12

(10)

21st Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Via Con Me

9st 4lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

In need of the experience on his Chelmsford debut (7f) but he showed much more when third of 12 at Wolverhampton two weeks ago when a tongue-tie was tried; can progress further but he will need to pull out more.

9/2

3rd

12

(1)

7th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Via Con Me

9st 7lb

J: Ross Coakley

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

midfield

16/1

6th

10

(3)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Via Con Me

9st 4lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

slowly away, in rear

5/1

Form: 7

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Sent off 20-1 and looked awkward when a tailed-off last of seven on his Pontefract debut (6f, good to firm) 11 days ago; sire has a good record here, but he looks one to watch for the time being.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

29th Sep 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:30 Southwell (AW)

One Road

10st 3lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

midfield, lost ground from over 4f out

2/1

1st

6

(2)

23rd Sep 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

One Road

9st 6lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

Improved with each of his three runs and his never-dangerous fifth of 12 at Kempton 19 days ago (6f) hinted at much better; return to 7f should suit and he's of some interest now facing more realistic opposition.

5/1

66/1

Form: 47

Last run: 9 days

W: 8st 13lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Hinted at ability in a Newmarket seller (7f, good) and a Kempton maiden (1m, Polytrack) this month, but her future probably lies in handicaps after this.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

14

19th Aug 2026

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

18:03 Worcester

Take The Boat

11st 4lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Georgina Nicholls

Fair Flat racer at up to 1m6f with 4-22 strike-rate; placed on all three hurdling starts, most recently when third at Newton Abbot (2m1f, good to soft) last month, and has good each-way claims again.

6/1

3rd

8

19th Jul 2026

Good

2m 0f 167y

Class 4

15:05 Newton Abbot

Take The Boat

11st 4lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Georgina Nicholls

Fair Flat racer at up to 1m6f with 4-22 strike-rate; close second on hurdle debut at Stratford (good to firm) before finishing a well-held third behind a classy sort back there a month ago; can go well.

4/1

3rd

10

16th Jun 2026

Good

2m 2f 148y

Class 4

14:05 Stratford

Take The Boat

10st 4lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Georgina Nicholls

Fair Flat racer at up to 1m6f with 4-22 strike-rate; took pretty well to hurdling and belied 20-1 odds when second (just ahead of Maskarvel) over C&D (good to firm) last month and has each-way claims at least.

11/2

20/1

Form: 44

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth in his first two starts at Pontefract (6f, good) last month and at Kempton (1m, Polytrack) nine days ago, but was beaten a long way on both occasions; handicapping over further should eventually see him in a better light.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

9

(5)

28th Jul 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

18:52 Southwell (AW)

Moonlit Stage

9st 6lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Ed Dunlop

1m2f win at Newcastle last October came off 3lb lower; three heavy defeats this year, including tried in cheekpieces at Ayr three weeks ago; down in trip and class with new blinkers added; a revival wouldn't be a total bolt from the blue.

9/1

11th

12

(1)

7th Jul 2025

Good To Soft

1m 5f 26y

Class 5

17:15 Ayr

Moonlit Stage

8st 12lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Ed Dunlop

Won a Newcastle handicap (1m2f, AW) last October but he's returned from a break with two heavy defeats (1m2f/1m6f) this season; still has low-mileage but he needs a major revival back on turf.

25/1

4th

4

(4)

12th May 2025

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 5

18:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Moonlit Stage

9st 1lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Dunlop

Three solid efforts in 1m2f nurseries last backend; proved easy to back when well held on his comeback early last month but this is less competitive going right up in distance; should fare better.

7/1

100/1

Form:

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Sent off 28-1 and looked an awkward ride when tailed off on his Yarmouth debut (7f, good to firm) last month; has been gelded since; best watched for now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

5

(11)

26th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

16:35 Wolverhampton (AW)

Manton Road

9st 7lb

J: Kieren Fox

T: Richard Phillips

Three-time course winner over 7f/8.6f and suggested he needed a return to a stiffer test when fifth of 11 at Lingfield (1m, Polytrack) six days ago; respected.

5/1

5th

7

(10)

20th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

15:20 Lingfield (AW)

Manton Road

9st 4lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Richard Phillips

Caught late after hanging left in a C&D classified event two starts ago before gaining his fifth AW success at Wolverhampton (7f, AW; first-time cheekpieces) three weeks ago; a 4lb rise still leaves him fairly treated on old form and he has to be respected.

9/2

1st

11

(2)

30th Jul 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

20:42 Wolverhampton (AW)

Manton Road

9st 6lb

J: Jonny Peate

T: Richard Phillips

Two course wins include one over C&D; has been placed in each of his last three starts, most recently when getting caught late after hanging left at Lingfield (1m) 17 days ago; drops in trip with cheekpieces on for the first time and he's shortlisted.

10/1

Non-runners

Launceston

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £3.50
Straight Forecast £3.00
Trifecta £18.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Bay City Roller

Daily Mail:

Rock d'Oro

The Star:

Rock d'Oro

Daily Record:

Rock d'Oro

RP RATINGS:

Bay City Roller

POSTDATA:

Bay City Roller

NEWMARKET:

Bay City Roller

The Times:

Bay City Roller

Telegraph:

Bay City Roller

The Guardian:

Bay City Roller

D Express:

Bay City Roller

Daily Mirror:

Bay City Roller

The Sun:

Bay City Roller