August 29 / 14.10 Chelmsford (AW)

14.10

Standard

IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 0m 7f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 10 runners
RTV
View Course
IRE-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Runners: 10 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

8/11 (Won)

  • Win: £1.45
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 1 D

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 11lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
320,000euros yearling; well-bred colt who was backed in from 20-1 to 9-4 when winning by a neck on his Sandown debut (7f, good to firm) last month; form of that race not really working out, but he still sets a good standard and holds entries in several big 2yo races in the autumn; sire 10-40 (25%) here in last five seasons.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(4)

6th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 4f 6y

Class 1

14:40 Epsom

Bay City Roller

9st 2lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: George Scott

Consistent colt whose Group 1 form is non-domestic, namely a success in Germany (1m4f, soft) last November and good second at the Curragh (10.5f, good) latest start; only a neck behind Lambourn on worse terms at Chester on reappearance, albeit with that rival rusty and likely to improve for the run, according to Ryan Moore; needs a personal best to land this prize.

18/1

2nd

2

(3)

24th May 2026

Good To Yielding

1m 2f 110y

15:55 Curragh

Bay City Roller

9st 5lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: George Scott

Showed some high-class form last year, including when beaten less than a length by Daryz in the Prix Egene Adam; hit the big time when making all to win the Group 1 Grosser Allianz Preis von Bayern by 7l at Munich (1m4f, soft) in November; huge run at Chester when conceding weight all around, just going down by a neck to last year's dual Derby winner Lambourn; ideally suited by softer ground and a bit to find on ratings but he's clearly in top form.

8/1

3/1

  • Place: £1.30

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
May foal by Bolt D'Oro; $30,000 yearling, 130,000euros breeze-up 2yo; dam US 6.5f/7f dirt winner, half-sister to US stakes-placed 1m-1m1f winner Savannah Belle, out of maiden half-sister to US 1m 2yo Grade 1 winner Traitor; attractive pedigree and stable 8-20 (40%) with 2yo newcomers this year; well worth a market check.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

6

(5)

18th Sep 2024

Good To Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:50 Sandown

Rock dOro

9st 7lb

J: David Egan

T: Ralph Beckett

130,000euros breeze-up 2yo; got behind early at Chelmsford (7f AW; 5-1) but finished with some purpose to give the odds-on favourite a fright and that winner was last weekend's Group 2 Champagne Stakes hero Bay City Roller; hard to beat unless any of the newcomers are above average.

8/15

2nd

9

(5)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Rock dOro

9st 4lb

J: David Egan

T: Ralph Beckett

slowly away, in rear early, headway and prominent after 2f

3/1

16/1

  • Place: £3.60

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
March foal by Mohaather; dam 1m 2yo/1m4f winner (RPR 96), sister to 1m6f winner Rose Camira, half-sister to 1m2f winner Harold Lloyd, out of 11.6f/1m4f winning sister to US 1m1f Grade 3 winner Roman Dynasty; already gelded and wears blinkers on debut; stable does have winning 2yo newcomers, but dam's side of pedigree suggests he will appreciate further.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(6)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

16:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Nidaami

9st 3lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Tom Clover

slowly away, raced in last, some headway over 1f out, hung left and no impression final furlong

7/2

5th

4

(6)

21st Dec 2024

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 5

16:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Nidaami

9st 3lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Tom Clover

slowly away, raced in last, some headway over 1f out, hung left and no impression final furlong

7/2

4th

6

(5)

21st Nov 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

16:30 Southwell (AW)

Nidaami

9st 6lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Tom Clover

Yet to build on his debut promise but blinkers return for this nursery debut and stepping up in trip should suit on breeding; Kieran Shoemark 6-22 for the yard (another five placed) for a level-stake profit of +51; interesting contender.

8/1

OUR TIP

50/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
April foal by Too Darn Hot; 40,000gns yearling; half-brother to four winners including Like A King (Scandinavian 1m/1m1f including Listed; RPR 112), Daafr (6f-9.4f including 2yo/AW; 97) and Odin Owns You All (7f AW; 83); dam US 1m winner, half-sister to Gold Cup winner Order Of St George; sire 4-13 (31%) here in his first two seasons, but he would be a rare winning 2yo newcomer from the stable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(2)

17th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

17:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Arcturus Flame

8st 13lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

Sole success came in April 2025 when trained by Darryl Holland; has performed with credit on several occasions since, resulting in him being still 6lb higher than his winning mark; place claims.

6/1

5th

3

(3)

1st Jul 2026

Good

1m 4f 6y

Class 4

18:57 Epsom

Arcturus Flame

9st 12lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Richard Hughes

Won Nottingham handicap (8.5f, good; first-time cheekpieces) for Darryll Holland last year; mostly very consistent for this yard and has placed in three of his four starts (9.5f to 1m6f) this term; handicapper appears to be in charge but maybe first-time blinkers and Billy Loughnane can eke out more.

6/1

2nd

2

(6)

14th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 4f 5y

Class 4

17:32 Salisbury

Arcturus Flame

9st 8lb

J: Finley Marsh

T: Richard Hughes

Solid enough run behind the favourite last time at Goodwood (1m6f, good) but he's 7lb higher than for his only handicap win and there are doubts about him on soft ground.

7/2

10/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
March foal by Mehmas; 70,000euros foal; 40,000euros breeze-up 2yo; first foal; dam sprint maiden (RPR 60), half-sister to winners Van Der Neer (1m AW Listed) and Showing Character (useful 5f-1m including 2yo), out of unraced half-sister to 7f Listed winner Intense Pink; enough to like on breeding and market support should be heeded on debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

6

(6)

13th Sep 2024

Soft

0m 6f 17y

Class 5

14:10 Chester

Mekhled

9st 2lb

J: Sam Hitchcott

T: Richard Hannon

40,000euros breeze-up 2yo; 20-1, never-dangerous fifth on recent debut at Chelmsford (7f, AW) and has quite a bit to find here.

25/1

5th

5

(2)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Mekhled

9st 4lb

J: Sam Hitchcott

T: Richard Hannon

midfield

10/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
March foal by No Nay Never; $155,000 yearling; first foal; dam unplaced 7f-1m2f AW (RPR 69), half-sister to US winners Cool Beans (Graded stakes-placed 1m/8.5f) and Against The Win (5f/6f) and to the dam of 1m1f Grade 1 winner Magnum Moon, out of US 6f Grade 3 winner; stable gets plenty of 2yo winners first time and enough in his pedigree to make him of interest; watch market.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

12

(10)

21st Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

18:15 Southwell (AW)

Via Con Me

9st 4lb

J: Kieran Shoemark

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

In need of the experience on his Chelmsford debut (7f) but he showed much more when third of 12 at Wolverhampton two weeks ago when a tongue-tie was tried; can progress further but he will need to pull out more.

9/2

3rd

12

(1)

7th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Via Con Me

9st 7lb

J: Ross Coakley

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

midfield

16/1

6th

10

(3)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

14:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Via Con Me

9st 4lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Simon & Ed Crisford

slowly away, in rear

5/1

Form: 7

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Sent off 20-1 and looked awkward when a tailed-off last of seven on his Pontefract debut (6f, good to firm) 11 days ago; sire has a good record here, but he looks one to watch for the time being.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

29th Sep 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

14:30 Southwell (AW)

One Road

10st 3lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

midfield, lost ground from over 4f out

2/1

1st

6

(2)

23rd Sep 2024

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

One Road

9st 6lb

J: Benoit De La Sayette

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

Improved with each of his three runs and his never-dangerous fifth of 12 at Kempton 19 days ago (6f) hinted at much better; return to 7f should suit and he's of some interest now facing more realistic opposition.

5/1

66/1

Form: 47

Last run: 9 days

W: 8st 13lb

2 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Hinted at ability in a Newmarket seller (7f, good) and a Kempton maiden (1m, Polytrack) this month, but her future probably lies in handicaps after this.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

8

19th Jul 2026

Good

2m 0f 167y

Class 4

15:05 Newton Abbot

Take The Boat

11st 4lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Georgina Nicholls

Fair Flat racer at up to 1m6f with 4-22 strike-rate; close second on hurdle debut at Stratford (good to firm) before finishing a well-held third behind a classy sort back there a month ago; can go well.

4/1

3rd

10

16th Jun 2026

Good

2m 2f 148y

Class 4

14:05 Stratford

Take The Boat

10st 4lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Georgina Nicholls

Fair Flat racer at up to 1m6f with 4-22 strike-rate; took pretty well to hurdling and belied 20-1 odds when second (just ahead of Maskarvel) over C&D (good to firm) last month and has each-way claims at least.

11/2

2nd

7

30th May 2026

Good To Firm

2m 2f 148y

Class 4

17:50 Stratford

Take The Boat

10st 2lb

J: Harry Bannister

T: Georgina Nicholls

Four wins on AW Flat over 7f-1m4f at a modest level; interesting how she takes to this new discipline; may be one to fight out minor honours.

10/1

20/1

Form: 44

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth in his first two starts at Pontefract (6f, good) last month and at Kempton (1m, Polytrack) nine days ago, but was beaten a long way on both occasions; handicapping over further should eventually see him in a better light.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

9

(5)

28th Jul 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

18:52 Southwell (AW)

Moonlit Stage

9st 6lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Ed Dunlop

1m2f win at Newcastle last October came off 3lb lower; three heavy defeats this year, including tried in cheekpieces at Ayr three weeks ago; down in trip and class with new blinkers added; a revival wouldn't be a total bolt from the blue.

9/1

11th

12

(1)

7th Jul 2025

Good To Soft

1m 5f 26y

Class 5

17:15 Ayr

Moonlit Stage

8st 12lb

J: Kaiya Fraser

T: Ed Dunlop

Won a Newcastle handicap (1m2f, AW) last October but he's returned from a break with two heavy defeats (1m2f/1m6f) this season; still has low-mileage but he needs a major revival back on turf.

25/1

4th

4

(4)

12th May 2025

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 5

18:50 Wolverhampton (AW)

Moonlit Stage

9st 1lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Dunlop

Three solid efforts in 1m2f nurseries last backend; proved easy to back when well held on his comeback early last month but this is less competitive going right up in distance; should fare better.

7/1

100/1

Form:

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 4lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Sent off 28-1 and looked an awkward ride when tailed off on his Yarmouth debut (7f, good to firm) last month; has been gelded since; best watched for now.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(4)

13th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

19:40 Lingfield (AW)

Manton Road

9st 9lb

J: Kieren Fox

T: Richard Phillips

In-form 4yo who has been placed at Wolverhampton (8.6f) in his last two starts including when runner-up in a handicap last Monday; usually comes from off the pace and has claims if he gets the breaks.

4/1

2nd

7

(9)

6th Jul 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Manton Road

9st 6lb

J: David Egan

T: Richard Phillips

Two of his four wins in 2025 came in handicaps here, one over C&D; has been below that form since and a resurgent effort last time came in a classified race.

10/1

3rd

4

(10)

16th Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

19:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Manton Road

9st 9lb

J: Kieren Fox

T: Richard Phillips

Progressive in the early months of last year for Gay Kelleway but has lost his way; runs in 0-50 company for the first time but that's as a consequence of having regressed further for his current yard this season.

33/1

Non-runners

Launceston

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £3.50
Straight Forecast £3.00
Trifecta £18.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Bay City Roller

Daily Mail:

Rock d'Oro

The Star:

Rock d'Oro

Daily Record:

Rock d'Oro

RP RATINGS:

Bay City Roller

POSTDATA:

Bay City Roller

NEWMARKET:

Bay City Roller

The Times:

Bay City Roller

Telegraph:

Bay City Roller

The Guardian:

Bay City Roller

D Express:

Bay City Roller

Daily Mirror:

Bay City Roller

The Sun:

Bay City Roller