August 16 / 17.10 Chelmsford (AW)

17.10

Standard

Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

  • Prize money: £3726
  • 0m 7f 0y
  • Class 5
  • 14 runners
RTV
View Course
Ire-Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (IRE Incentive Race)

Runners: 14 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Showers

7/1 (Won)

  • Win: £11.00
  • Place: £3.00

Form: 5

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Only fifth of seven at Salisbury (6f) but he wasn't beaten far and the scope is there to improve, especially over this longer distance; not dismissed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

5

(12)

22nd Jun 2026

Good

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

20:40 Brighton

Zu Run

9st 7lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Mark Loughnane

C&D winner off 11lb higher last spring whose mark tumbled on the AW over the winter; back in form when second to Dion Baker here last time, in headgear (retained) for the first time in two years, and a 7lb swing entitles him to at least close the gap.

12/1

2nd

6

(7)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

16:23 Brighton

Zu Run

9st 1lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Mark Loughnane

First visit here proved a winning one when taking handicap over this trip (good to firm) last May; flopped on his second go one month later and only bits and pieces of form since; career-low mark and cheekpieces (0-3) make a return after two-year absence.

10/1

5/1

  • Place: £2.20

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth foal; dam 1m winner (RPR 85), closely related to 8.4f Listed winner Soon, half-sister to Derby second Walk In The Park and to the dam of 6f Group 3 winner Tabdeed; stable's 2yos having a good season and he needs a market check.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

3

(10)

11th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

13:30 Southwell (AW)

Band Of Steel

9st 8lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: S Woods

Form dipped at Wolverhampton three weeks ago but he is normally consistent on AW and could well rebound; back on career-low mark and holds a good chance if taking well to new headgear (tongue-tie and blinkers replace hood/cheekpieces).

11/2

0

5

(10)

22nd Dec 2023

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 4

19:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Band Of Steel

9st 7lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: S Woods

0-9 since his novice win here (8.6f) last September but he's reached the frame in last three runs and was beaten less than 2l behind See You Boy at Lingfield (7f) last week; hasn't had much luck with the draw again but he shouldn't be far away.

9/1

4th

1

(10)

13th Dec 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

12:00 Lingfield (AW)

Band Of Steel

9st 10lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: S Woods

Had been running over further but was bang there on the return to 7f last week at Chelmsford when tried in this new headgear combination; the draw could prove troublesome.

5/2

6/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 42

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Two good runs over 6f at Yarmouth, probably bumping into something useful last time; that form is right up there and stepping up to 7f won't faze him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

2

(7)

22nd Aug 2026

Good

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

19:00 Redcar

Hover On The Wind

9st 12lb

J: David Nolan

T: Paul Midgley

Landed a pair of 5f Pontefract handicaps this summer but he's been well below par there and at Thirsk (5f) since; needs to bounce back.

16/1

7th

7

(6)

14th Aug 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

Class 4

18:43 Thirsk

Hover On The Wind

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Paul Midgley

Beat the same horse in bagging two Class 5s at Pontefract (both by a length) but he trailed home last there four weeks ago in a Class 3; might be high in the weights now.

10/1

7th

7

(4)

17th Jul 2026

Good

0m 5f 3y

Class 3

19:07 Pontefract

Hover On The Wind

8st 9lb

J: Barry McHugh

T: Paul Midgley

Right back to his best of late, landing back-to-back C&D handicaps; this is tougher under a 5lb penalty but he can't be dismissed in his hat-trick attempt.

6/1

4/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
150,000gns yearling; second foal; dam unraced half-sister to 5f Listed winner Swiss Lake (dam of Group 3 winners Swiss Spirit and Swiss Diva) and useful winners Hajoum (5f-7f), Nero Emperor (5f/6f) and Dubai Princess (5f-6f); no surprise were he to make an impact first time out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

7

(6)

22nd Aug 2026

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 6

19:45 Lingfield (AW)

Roman Spring

9st 0lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger

Won over C&D last November but has failed to match that level since and doesn't appeal.

9/1

4th

5

(6)

13th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 6f 1y

Class 6

18:58 Lingfield (AW)

Roman Spring

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger

Won three times in the second half of 2025, including here (5f); mixed bag in 2026 but he is capable at this level and shouldn't be discounted; stable also run Real Gold.

12/1

5th

8

(2)

8th Aug 2026

Standard

0m 6f 1y

Class 6

20:10 Lingfield (AW)

Roman Spring

9st 9lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Rachel Cook & John Bridger

Hard to predict and was well held at Salisbury last time but he looks interesting on his third in a Newbury handicap (6f, good to firm) in June; has claims if he can recapture that form and his last win was at this track.

13/2

11/4

Form: 42

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Behind smart opposition at Yarmouth and Newcastle (both 7f) and worth bearing in mind that he was pulled out of the Chesham only because of fast ground, so evidently held in some regard; sets the standard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

11

(7)

3rd Sep 2026

Soft

1m 3f 140y

Class 5

13:30 Haydock

Shahbaz

10st 3lb

J: Miss Brodie Hampson

T: Archie Watson

Reached the frame twice in similar races on AW under Brodie Hampson in February; well treated on those efforts but hasn't found the same form back on turf (good to firm/good) after a break, including well behind Star Start and Austrian Theory at Catterick 17 days ago; the return to softer ground could help but leap of faith needed.

25/1

6th

6

(6)

17th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 4f 13y

Class 5

14:15 Catterick

Shahbaz

10st 6lb

J: Miss Brodie Hampson

T: Archie Watson

Down the field in two turf handicaps this summer after a five-month absence; on a dangerous mark but there are risks attached; blinkers replace cheekpieces today.

16/1

6th

6

(5)

3rd Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 99y

Class 5

18:00 Windsor

Shahbaz

10st 10lb

J: Miss Brodie Hampson

T: Archie Watson

Patchy form since joining this yard and well behind I'd Go Maniac on his return from five months off at Epsom (1m4f, good to firm) 18 days ago, but is 9lb lower than when winning at Newbury (1m4f, good to firm) for Ian Williams a year ago; first-time tongue-tie.

6/1

10/1

Form: 36

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
First run over an extended 7f at Ffos Las was much better than his second run over 6f at Nottingham; no forlorn hope on that initial effort and returns to the right trip here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

(7)

31st Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

Resilient Power

9st 11lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Alice Haynes

Won a 7f nursery at Wolverhampton last month off a 4lb lower mark; close second at Chelmsford (1m) this month but his form dipped at Lingfield latest; in the mix if bouncing back.

7/1

5th

3

(5)

13th Jan 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

14:40 Lingfield (AW)

Resilient Power

9st 6lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Alice Haynes

In better form since having a gelding operation; opened his account at Wolverhampton (7f) last month then ran creditably (close second over 1m) at Chelmsford ten days ago; major player back down in distance.

5/2

2nd

6

(2)

3rd Jan 2023

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

14:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Resilient Power

9st 2lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Alice Haynes

pressed leader, ridden and went clear with winner over 2f out, sustained duel with winner home straight, no extra towards finish

7/2

9/2

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Fourth foal; half-brother to US 1m turf winner Accessible; dam 1m2f-1m4f winner (RPR 111), closely related to 15.5f Group 3 winner Last Train and 5f/6f Listed winner Kind (dam of Frankel); interesting.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(1)

29th Sep 2022

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

17:25 Chelmsford (AW)

Counter

9st 4lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

led, pushed along and headed over 1f out, soon ridden, weakened inside final furlong

15/8

3rd

2

(1)

6th Sep 2022

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

14:30 Goodwood

Counter

9st 7lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Ralph Beckett

led but pestered, clear with one other halfway, pushed along and much reduced lead over 2f out, ridden and faced strong challenge over 1f out, soon headed, outpaced but kept on inside final furlong, lost second towards finish

8/1

7th

4

(5)

16th Aug 2022

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Counter

9st 7lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Ralph Beckett

midfield, pushed along and outpaced over 2f out, no impression from over 1f out

9/2

Form: 9

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
225,000gns yearling and went off at only 7-1 for his debut at Newmarket (7f, good to firm), yet never made any real impression from off the pace; entitled to be sharper this time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(2)

5th Oct 2022

Good To Soft

1m 2f 50y

Class 3

15:50 Nottingham

Opera Ghost

9st 8lb

J: Adam Kirby

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

in touch with leaders, prominent when switched left and up the centre from over 4f out, pushed along and no response 4f out, tailed off and pulled up, fatally injured

5/1

8th

8

(1)

16th Aug 2022

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Opera Ghost

9st 7lb

J: Adam Kirby

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

slowly into stride, in rear and ran green, ridden and struggling over 3f out, some headway against far rail over 1f out, never dangerous

20/1

9th

8

(8)

5th Aug 2022

Good To Firm

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

18:35 Newmarket (July)

Opera Ghost

9st 7lb

J: Adam Kirby

T: Jane Chapple-Hyam

slowly into stride, in rear throughout

10/1

33/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
10,000euros yearling; 4th foal; half-brother to French winners Jarnac (7f 2yo; RPR 80) and Tequila Boom Boom (7.5f-10.5f); dam placed at 1m3f/1m4f in France, sister to 6f Listed winner Semarang; unlikely to be the answer first time out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(2)

6th Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 4

16:20 Kempton (AW)

Orchestra

9st 11lb

J: Fern O’Brien

T: Fergal O’Brien

Absent since finishing 5l behind Caprelo here in May; may put up a better fight in the rematch, having been fresh when gamely making all over C&D earlier in the spring.

8/1

2

(9)

28th May 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 5

20:52 Kempton (AW)

Orchestra

9st 11lb

J: Fern O’Brien

T: Fergal O’Brien

Having his second start back from wind surgery when making all and just holding on over C&D last month (first two clear); has since finished fourth of eight in a slightly better race at Ascot (2m, good to firm); respected, especially if again allowed an uncontested lead.

9/2

6th

2

(9)

28th May 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 7f 218y

Class 5

20:52 Kempton (AW)

Orchestra

9st 11lb

J: Fern O’Brien

T: Fergal O’Brien

Having his second start back from wind surgery when making all and just holding on over C&D last month (first two clear); has since finished fourth of eight in a slightly better race at Ascot (2m, good to firm); respected, especially if again allowed an uncontested lead.

9/2

Form:

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
200-1 for his 7f debut at Kempton and ran accordingly, beating only one home; unlikely to be worth following until sent down the handicap route.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(4)

9th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 179y

Class 5

15:34 Leicester

Robusto

10st 0lb

J: Harry Vigors

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Won at Wolverhampton (1m4f, AW) in April and close third at Chester (1m4f, good) four weeks ago; this 6yo could give another good account but is taking on some unexposed 3yos and may well be vulnerable.

13/2

3rd

7

(3)

11th Jul 2026

Good

1m 4f 63y

Class 5

17:00 Chester

Robusto

8st 13lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Has a much better strike-rate on AW than on grass; soundly beaten off his lower turf mark returned to this sphere last time; opposed.

25/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
40,000gns yearling; 8th foal; half-brother to four US winners and dam a US Graded stakes-placed 5.5f dirt winner; however, stable not an obvious source for 2yo winners.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

4

(2)

21st Jul 2026

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 6

21:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Landlordtothestars

9st 7lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: James Evans

Back off the same mark as when winning over 7f here in September; has won fresh so the four-month absence not a major problem, but he has never tackled a trip this short before; blinkers are given a go.

12/1

7th

2

(4)

17th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Landlordtothestars

9st 8lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: James Evans

Boasts a decent record in handicaps round here (two wins and two seconds from six starts) and ran better than his final position suggests over C&D from a wide stall two weeks ago; one to consider.

12/1

9th

3

(9)

3rd Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 6

19:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Landlordtothestars

9st 8lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: James Evans

Didn't get home at Southwell (7f, Tapeta) last month, but his record in handicaps around here reads 21412, his latest win coming over this trip in November after six months off; still just 1lb higher and respected; stable also runs Bungle Bay.

6/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
First foal; dam prolific 7f-1m4f winner (RPR 69), sister to Hong Kong 1m1f Group 3 winner Dinozzo; gelded ahead of his debut and is probably best watched.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(8)

11th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

14:30 Lingfield (AW)

Little Tiger

9st 9lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: William Stone

Dual winner over this trip on turf in 2024 and didn't run at all badly when fourth of 13 at Brighton (1m2f, good) in June after 221 days off; seven previous goes on the AW leave him with something to prove.

13/2

4th

2

(3)

9th Jun 2026

Good To Soft

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

19:51 Brighton

Little Tiger

9st 9lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: William Stone

Last win came in emphatic fashion over C&D (good to soft) in October 2024; still 6lb higher and he may just need this after 221 days off.

12/1

12

(12)

31st Oct 2025

Good

1m 1f 0y

Class 5

15:57 Newmarket

Little Tiger

9st 0lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: William Stone

2-19 overall, with both his wins in 2024 over 1m2f; three thirds from his five starts (all 1m2f) this season and he would have been close up at Leicester last time but for some interference, but he did not shape that day as if this shorter trip would suit.

11/2

OUR TIP

Form: 5

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Entered in next season's Derby and his sire won that Classic, so 1m+ is sure to suit; cost 120,000gns as a yearling and there were positives to take from his fifth of 12 at Kempton (7f; beaten 9l) but he's one for further down the line.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

29th Mar 2026

Good

2m 5f 146y

Class 3

17:25 Ascot

Brave Knight

12st 0lb

J: Freddie Keighley

T: Paul Nicholls

5-10 over hurdles, including wins under Freddie Keighley at Fontwell (2m1f) and Taunton (2m3f, good) on two of his last three outings; respected even though he's never raced over this far (he worked his way to the front late on for that 2m3f win) and has been raised another 5lb.

4/1

1st

2

26th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

2m 1f 162y

Class 4

12:57 Fontwell

Brave Knight

12st 0lb

J: Freddie Keighley

T: Paul Nicholls

Useful Flat stayer who won his first three starts over hurdles (2m-2m1f) last summer but he's been held back in this sphere in last three runs; mark is falling and he is still unexposed over hurdles but needs to raise his game back in trip; all of his hurdle wins have been on good but he seems versatile ground-wise.

7/1

100/1

Form: 98

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Down the field in both his runs (6f/7f) and likely to be handicapping sooner rather than later.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

9

(8)

11th Oct 2022

Good

1m 0f 53y

Class 6

15:05 Leicester

Baileys Showtime

9st 1lb

J: Stefano Cherchi

T: Amy Murphy

slowly into stride, in rear, never going well

25/1

12th

13

(7)

16th Sep 2022

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

17:45 Kempton (AW)

Baileys Showtime

8st 12lb

J: Thore Hammer Hansen

T: Amy Murphy

prominent, dropped to midfield after 2f, ridden and struggling over 3f out, lost touch over 2f out, tailed off

33/1

14th

1

(13)

16th Aug 2022

Standard

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:10 Chelmsford (AW)

Baileys Showtime

9st 7lb

J: George Wood

T: Amy Murphy

raced wide, prominent, ridden and outpaced over 2f out, soon lost position and struggling

100/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £68.90
Straight Forecast £48.75
Trifecta £349.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Shahbaz

The Guardian:

Hover On The Wind

The Times:

Zu Run

Daily Mail:

Hover On The Wind

RP Ratings:

Shahbaz

POSTDATA:

Shahbaz

NEWMARKET:

Shahbaz

Telegraph:

Shahbaz

Daily Express:

Shahbaz

Daily Mirror:

Shahbaz

The Sun:

Shahbaz

The Star:

Shahbaz

Daily Record:

Shahbaz