August 29 / 14.21 Chepstow

14.21

Good To Soft

IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Restricted Novice Stakes (Band D) (GBB) (IRE Incentive Race)

  • Prize money: £4320
  • 0m 7f 16y
  • Class 5
  • 8 runners
SKY
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IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Restricted Novice Stakes (Band D) (GBB) (IRE Incentive Race)

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

6/4 (Won)

  • Win: £1.73
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 23432

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Yet to finish outside the frame after five runs, and looked suited by the step up to 7f when second in recent Newbury nursery (good ground); needs to be taken very seriously.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(9)

13th Jun 2023

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

15:30 Southwell (AW)

Little Edi

9st 2lb

J: Mark Winn

T: Richard Spencer

Good record on AW, winning at Kempton in February and a creditable third over 7f here last month; that latest effort suggests he'll need improvement for this first crack at 1m if he's to defy this mark.

10/1

3rd

6

(1)

11th May 2023

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

13:50 Southwell (AW)

Little Edi

9st 3lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Richard Spencer

Tailed off at Newbury three weeks ago but that was his first run on soft ground; had previously improved for cheekpieces on the AW, winning over 7f at Kempton then narrowly defeated on his return visit; could easily bounce back with Billy Loughnane booked.

8/1

8th

10

(9)

21st Apr 2023

Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 2

16:25 Newbury

Little Edi

8st 10lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Richard Spencer

Had plenty of experience; has improved for cheekpieces on the AW this year, winning over 7f at Kempton then narrowly defeated there 23 days ago; now significantly higher than his handicap defeats on turf last year so there are question marks back on grass.

9/1

OUR TIP

7/2

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 25

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Chased home very useful rival on debut here (6f, good) in June and didn't look suited by drop to 5f when failing to build on that at Wolverhampton (AW) this month; now goes in the other direction trip-wise; still has potential.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

(4)

5th Sep 2022

Good

0m 6f 210y

Class 5

14:05 Brighton

Jive King

9st 7lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: David Evans

sweating, made virtually all, shaken up and hung right 2f out, soon ridden and went clear, eased inside final 110yds, readily

5/4

2nd

2

(6)

29th Aug 2022

Good To Soft

0m 7f 16y

Class 5

14:21 Chepstow

Jive King

9st 7lb

J: George Downing

T: David Evans

led, headed and pressed leader 4f out, pushed along 2f out, ridden and led narrowly 1f out, soon joined and sustained battle with winner, just denied

7/2

5th

5

(1)

17th Aug 2022

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 5

13:40 Wolverhampton (AW)

Jive King

9st 4lb

J: George Downing

T: David Evans

held up in rear, pushed along before halfway, still plenty to do home turn, ridden and stayed on over 1f out, never dangerous

10/1

7/2

  • Place: £1.30

Form: 72624

Last run: 23 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
Second twice over 6f this summer; faded into fourth after racing too freely at Ayr (good) on latest outing but that still goes down as a pretty good run; contender if first-time blinkers have positive effect.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(7)

29th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

17:05 Brighton

Werenotreallyhere

8st 11lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Daniel Steele

Dead-heated over 1m here last year off this mark but a rollercoaster ride for his backers in the meantime; another fair effort when 2l away on the AW three weeks ago but he's never the percentage call.

16/1

5th

6

(6)

8th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

17:29 Lingfield (AW)

Werenotreallyhere

8st 10lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Daniel Steele

Only 1lb higher than when dead-heating at Brighton (1m, good) in May but he's been up and down since and was last of nine at Brighton last Monday; comes with risks attached and he's not the percentage call; cheekpieces removed.

12/1

6

(6)

1st Sep 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 216y

Class 6

16:52 Brighton

Werenotreallyhere

9st 5lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Daniel Steele

Lost second to Headshot in closing stages of 1m2f classified race won by Celebrating Ethel here (good) last month but that was still a good effort and today's shorter trip probably suits him better; now only 1lb higher than when dead-heating over C&D in May and might be boosted by refitted cheekpieces.

13/2

Form: 04

Last run: 68 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Tailed off on debut in May (6f, good to soft) but fared considerably better when fourth of ten at Kempton (7f, AW) three weeks later, despite being denied a clear run; that form already gives him a good each-way chance and open to further progress.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

10

(5)

20th Nov 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

19:30 Kempton (AW)

Roar Emotion

9st 5lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Jonathan Portman

Won a 1m handicap here in April off a 9lb higher mark; struggled since but new blinkers saw him fare better here two weeks ago, only weakening in the final furlong; others preferred for win purposes.

12/1

5th

8

(11)

6th Nov 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

13:30 Kempton (AW)

Roar Emotion

9st 8lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Jonathan Portman

Won a C&D handicap in April off a 7lb higher mark; struggled badly since, however, and far too much to prove for comfort; cheekpieces debuted latest are now replaced by new blinkers.

33/1

12th

11

(1)

18th Oct 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 6

18:30 Kempton (AW)

Roar Emotion

9st 8lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Jonathan Portman

Won over C&D in April on handicap debut and is now 5lb lower; however, he's struggled to get competitive since (here on his last three starts) and hopes are pinned on the first-time cheekpieces prompting a revival.

33/1

20/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
15,000gns yearling; second foal; half-brother to 7f winner Cubanista (RPR 75); dam 7f winner (84), sister to 1m1f/1m4f winner Yulongpearlisland; market support will bring him into the equation.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

6

(2)

20th Oct 2022

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:45 Wolverhampton (AW)

Wong Kei

9st 4lb

J: Sean Levey

T: Amy Murphy

took keen hold, prominent on inner, slightly hampered over 5f out, ridden and lost position over 2f out, lost touch over 1f out

25/1

5

(4)

25th Sep 2022

Good

0m 7f 80y

Class 5

14:40 Ffos Las

Wong Kei

9st 7lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Amy Murphy

Out of a fairly useful 7f winner; ahead of Nacho Daay but unable to land a significant blow when fifth of eight at Chepstow (7f, good) last month, beaten about 13l.

25/1

5th

8

(4)

29th Aug 2022

Good To Soft

0m 7f 16y

Class 5

14:21 Chepstow

Wong Kei

9st 7lb

J: George Wood

T: Amy Murphy

midfield, ridden over 2f out, soon struggling, weakened over 1f out

20/1

14/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Seventh foal; half-brother to four winners including War Whisper (5f including 2yo; RPR 88) and Plant Pot Power (7f/1m 2yo; 87); dam 1m2f winner (85), half-sister to 1m Listed winner Wagtail; George Bass presumably prefers this newcomer to Blue Jay Way.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(2)

24th Sep 2022

Standard

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

17:03 Chelmsford (AW)

Smokin Joe

9st 5lb

J: Charlie Bennett

T: Mick Channon

slowly into stride, midfield, pushed along over 3f out, hung right and weakened over 2f out

14/1

6th

6

(7)

29th Aug 2022

Good To Soft

0m 7f 16y

Class 5

14:21 Chepstow

Smokin Joe

9st 7lb

J: George Bass

T: Mick Channon

always towards rear, ran green, pushed along and reminder over 4f out, behind from 3f out

14/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
10,000gns yearling; second foal; half-brother to 6f AW winner Man On A Mission (RPR 57); dam 7f AW winner (67), sister to a 1m Hong Kong winner and half-sister to three sprint winners; interesting to see how he fares.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

11

(3)

24th Oct 2022

Soft

0m 5f 217y

Class 5

14:00 Redcar

Nacho Daay

8st 6lb

J: Charlie Bennett

T: Robyn Brisland

soon led, led narrowly, pushed along over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong

20/1

20th

17

(10)

1st Oct 2022

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

14:06 Newmarket

Nacho Daay

8st 9lb

J: William Carson

T: Robyn Brisland

led group towards far side early, prominent when groups merged after 2f, pushed along halfway, ridden and weakened quickly over 1f out

150/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
First foal; dam 7f AW 2yo winner (RPR 61), sister to winners Kinch (6f turf/1m AW) and Olivia Mary (7f AW); one of two newcomers representing these connections; riding arrangements suggest Smokin Joe is their main hope.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

7

(9)

22nd Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

17:10 Catterick

Blue Jay Way

9st 3lb

J: Mikkel Mortensen

T: John David Riches

Won over 6f here last autumn (soft) and also shaped well when fourth over C&D in May (good); not at his best over 5f on AW last time; could go well back up in trip.

14/1

9th

1

(11)

1st Jun 2026

Standard

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Blue Jay Way

9st 9lb

J: Ethan Tindall

T: John David Riches

Only run over 5f once, when well held over C&D two years ago, and has done most recent racing over 7f; resumed in decent form and this is easier if anything but the drop back in trip from the outside stall would have to be a worry; headgear returns.

13/2

4th

8

(6)

21st May 2026

Good

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

16:50 Catterick

Blue Jay Way

9st 0lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: John David Riches

Won back-to-back, here (6f) and Wolverhampton (7f), last October; higher in the weights now and Ethan Tindall is booked for Ideal Guest; raced freely when seventh of nine at Wolverhampton (7f; 16-1) two months ago; others more obvious.

12/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £5.40
Straight Forecast £4.96
Trifecta £13.30

Selections

TOPSPEED:

Little Edi

SPOTLIGHT:

Jive King

The Times:

Roar Emotion

RP Ratings:

We'renotreallyhere

Daily Mail:

Jive King

Telegraph:

Roar Emotion

POSTDATA:

Little Edi

NEWMARKET:

Little Edi

The Guardian:

Little Edi

Daily Express:

Little Edi

Daily Mirror:

Little Edi

The Sun:

Little Edi

The Star:

Little Edi

Daily Record:

Little Edi