October 01 / 14.25 Ascot

14.25

Good

Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £45368
  • 1m 3f 211y
  • Class 1
  • 9 runners
ITV
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Peroni Nastro Azzurro Cumberland Lodge Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 9 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

OUR TIP

11/8 (Won)

  • Win: £2.10
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 147-12 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 9lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced in recent seasons but he's hit new heights this term with his ready win in the Ormonde at Chester in May and excellent second in the Irish St Leger; good chance he can cope with drop back to 1m4f; kept to softer than good for over three years now when on turf and looks a strong candidate if conditions are suitable.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

3

(8)

25th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

15:45 Newbury

Hamish

9st 6lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, one over C&D; beaten a head in this race on heavy going in 2022; produced a rather disappointing show in Ascot Group 3 three weeks ago but had Listed wins over Military Academy and Mount Atlas earlier this term and holds a major chance if returning to form.

7/2

2

(2)

4th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Hamish

9st 6lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s at 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including this race in 2022; also won 1m4f Listed races on last three outings, including in a good scrap involving Military Academy at Goodwood in June and when that rival disappointed at Chester three weeks ago; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good; back up to Group 3 but with leading form claims again and a tremendous attitude.

7/4

1

(2)

13th Sep 2025

Good

1m 4f 63y

Class 1

14:05 Chester

Hamish

9st 8lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

9yo who's won a hatful of Group 3s over 1m4f-1m6f in his long and distinguished career, including two Ormondes over the extended 1m5f here; also won 1m4f Listed races at the Curragh (yielding) last November and Goodwood (soft; by a neck from Military Academy at level weights) this June, which were his last two outings; all of his turf starts in the last six years have been on softer than good, so rain may be needed.

10/11

5/1

  • Place: £1.70

Form: -52451

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
Can take a strong hold and has been held up in a hood lately; ran on from the back when fifth of ten in Group 3 at Glorious Goodwood on step up to 1m4f; that looked good at the time (he was 66-1) but he left that form way behind when storming well clear to justify favouritism in a Listed race at Windsor (11.4f, good to soft) one month later; on that he's a very serious player despite this step back up in class.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

8

(5)

1st Oct 2022

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Cresta

9st 0lb

J: David Probert

T: Freddie & Martyn Meade

held up in midfield, headway over 2f out, ridden and every chance inside final furlong, outpaced inside final 110yds

5/1

1st

6

(2)

27th Aug 2022

Soft

1m 3f 99y

Class 1

18:05 Windsor

Cresta

8st 13lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Freddie & Martyn Meade

took keen hold, held up in midfield, headway on outer over 2f out, ridden to lead over 1f out, went clear final furlong, easily

4/1

5th

3

(7)

28th Jul 2022

Good To Firm

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

15:00 Goodwood

Cresta

9st 3lb

J: Jamie Spencer

T: Freddie & Martyn Meade

steadied start, held up in rear, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and edged right over 1f out, stayed on final 110yds, not pace to challenge

25/1

14/1

  • Place: £3.40

Form: 1-1804 CD

Last run: 8 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 106

Form & Verdict
Acted on good to soft last term, unraced on soft; ran away with 1m4f handicap at Royal Ascot (good to firm) on return; only mid-division in good 1m6f handicaps on next two starts and although last week's fourth in 1m4f Listed race at Newmarket (good) looked up with his Royal Ascot form, a fair bit better is required to win this.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(5)

6th Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 1

13:35 Kempton (AW)

Candleford

9st 7lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: William Haggas

Ran respectably in Group 3 events the last twice; creditable second in this race two years ago but faces a difficult task on ratings today and has never won above Listed level.

25/1

3rd

2

(1)

16th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 5f 61y

Class 1

13:50 Newbury

Candleford

9st 7lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

7yo who's been lightly raced in recent years; won one Listed race last May (made all) and another at Beverley (1m4f, good to firm) this July before his respectable, front-running third of five in Group 3 at Goodwood two weeks ago; there's a stamina query (after two attempts at 1m6f in 2022) and he may well need to show his best form for nearly two years.

7/2

3rd

4

(1)

2nd Aug 2025

Soft

1m 3f 218y

Class 1

13:20 Goodwood

Candleford

9st 3lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: William Haggas

7yo who's been lightly raced in recent years; has never raced on soft and not seen on good to soft since he was a bit below his best in this race in 2023; won one Listed race last May (made all) and another four weeks ago but he probably needs to return to 2023 form if he's to be competitive today.

5/1

10/1

Form: 4-3196 D

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 108

Form & Verdict
A fair C&D reappearance preceded his 6l Listed win at Goodwood (1m4f, good to soft; acts on soft) in May; that win would put him in the mix but it's very much his highlight this season.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(3)

1st Oct 2022

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 1

14:25 Ascot

Third Realm

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Roger Varian

led, ridden and edged right over 1f out, headed and no extra inside final furlong, lost third towards finish

10/1

6th

7

(6)

3rd Sep 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 1

14:05 Kempton (AW)

Third Realm

9st 7lb

J: Jack Mitchell

T: Roger Varian

midfield, pushed along over 2f out, ridden and some headway over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong

7/1

Form: 211155 C

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 6lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
Better than ever this season, which includes major handicap wins at Royal Ascot (1m6f) and Haydock (1m4f, soft); good fifth of 20 in the Ebor at York on penultimate start and, after his crack at the 2m2f Doncaster Cup three weeks ago, this drop back in trip should suit; in serious calculations.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(3)

5th Nov 2024

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 4

14:40 Newcastle (AW)

Get Shirty

10st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: David O’Meara

Long in the tooth and on the downgrade now but still retains a good chunk of ability, as evidenced by his fourth of 20 in Royal Ascot marathon (2m4f, good to firm) in June; moves back up in trip after respectable fourth in deeper race than this here (12.5f) last month; must be considered.

5/4

1st

1

(3)

5th Nov 2024

Standard

2m 0f 56y

Class 4

14:40 Newcastle (AW)

Get Shirty

10st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: David O’Meara

Long in the tooth and on the downgrade now but still retains a good chunk of ability, as evidenced by his fourth of 20 in Royal Ascot marathon (2m4f, good to firm) in June; moves back up in trip after respectable fourth in deeper race than this here (12.5f) last month; must be considered.

5/4

4th

8

(7)

22nd Oct 2024

Standard

1m 4f 99y

Class 2

16:15 Newcastle (AW)

Get Shirty

9st 3lb

J: David Nolan

T: David O’Meara

Winless in well over two years and takes a drop in trip on his belated AW debut, having run a couple of times over 2m4f in the summer; this is less competitive off a career-low mark and he has claims if stamina comes into the equation.

7/1

12/1

Form: 403732 C

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 6lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 104

Form & Verdict
Usually held up in rear; he's now a 9yo and would have a much better chance on last year's form, despite his close third in 1m6f handicap at Glorious Goodwood (his 2022 peak) and some other minor honours.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

14th

9

(10)

26th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

15:15 Doncaster

Euchen Glen

9st 8lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

11yo who has won just once since 2021 but that came at Ayr (1m5f, good to firm) this June; has run well several times this year, including when fourth of 13 at York (1m2f, soft) a fortnight ago, and might not be far away.

20/1

4th

5

(6)

12th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

14:05 York

Euchen Glen

9st 0lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

11yo now but he's had a few bright moments this season, including second of eight to Kihavah at Ayr (1m5f, good to firm) three weeks ago; his sixth of 20 in the John Smith's Cup over C&D in July shows he's still effective over shorter trips.

20/1

2nd

3

(5)

21st Sep 2024

Good

1m 5f 26y

Class 3

17:15 Ayr

Euchen Glen

9st 12lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

in touch with leaders against rail, going okay 3f out, keeping on and went second over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong, no match for winner

6/1

Form: 423665

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
Can make the running; very smart at his best but yet to add to his 2yo wins; produced big runs in Group 1s on good ground in May (10.5f Tattersalls Gold Cup) and June (1m4f Coronation Cup); that form would make him the one to beat but he has not fired in anything like the same way since.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

3

28th Apr 2023

Yielding

2m 3f 80y

18:00 Punchestown

High Definition

11st 12lb

J: J J Slevin

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

raced in second, not fluent 2nd, not fluent 7th, joined leader before 3 out, ridden after 2 out, led home turn, headed approaching last, no extra when hit rail and stumbled after last, kept on, no match for winner

9/1

7th

7

14th Mar 2023

Soft

2m 0f 87y

Class 1

13:30 Cheltenham

High Definition

11st 7lb

J: J J Slevin

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Went close in Group 1 on the Flat last May and, despite failing to shine on his final few Flat starts, he beat some talented rivals to win on hurdle debut at Leopardstown (2m, soft) in December; mid-race unseat in the Grade 1 Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle subsequently; has plenty of potential in this code given his peak Flat ability but there is a worry about his jumping; this race is likely to expose any frailties in that department.

14/1

3

5th Feb 2023

Yielding

2m 0f 0y

15:40 Leopardstown

High Definition

11st 12lb

J: J J Slevin

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

raced in second, mistake 1st, joined leader 2nd, mistake then pecked on landing and unseated rider 4th

7/1

33/1

Form: 21-451 D

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 6lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 98

Form & Verdict
Flourished when upped to 1m4f for last two starts last season (on good to soft and soft); off three months before resuming his improvement with a tidy win in another 1m4f handicap at York Ebor meeting (good, unraced on firmer) six weeks ago; still looks capable of better but this demands a lot better.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(4)

22nd Apr 2023

Soft

1m 4f 0y

Class 1

13:30 Newbury

Farhan

9st 2lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Philip Kirby

Made a big splash in a few good 1m4f handicaps last two seasons, including on soft; tidy win last term at the York Ebor meeting; sold out of John Butler's for 150,000gns 11 days prior to a muted show in the November Handicap at Doncaster; even on best form, he has a lot to prove at this level.

50/1

10th

5

(22)

5th Nov 2022

Heavy

1m 3f 197y

Class 2

16:13 Doncaster

Farhan

9st 8lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Philip Kirby

Flourished when upped to 1m4f for last two starts last season, justifying favouritism in this race (soft; unraced on heavy) in clearcut style; resumed his improvement with a tidy win at York Ebor meeting (good) before put in his place when 33-1 in an Ascot Group 3; sold out of John Butler's for 150,000gns 11 days ago; still looked capable of better in that York win, so not dismissed despite 5lb higher mark.

16/1

10th

5

(22)

5th Nov 2022

Heavy

1m 3f 197y

Class 2

16:13 Doncaster

Farhan

9st 8lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Philip Kirby

Flourished when upped to 1m4f for last two starts last season, justifying favouritism in this race (soft; unraced on heavy) in clearcut style; resumed his improvement with a tidy win at York Ebor meeting (good) before put in his place when 33-1 in an Ascot Group 3; sold out of John Butler's for 150,000gns 11 days ago; still looked capable of better in that York win, so not dismissed despite 5lb higher mark.

16/1

Form: 1 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
By Nathaniel out of 1m2f Listed winner; made his debut only one month ago, when overcoming greenness to gallop on well and lead on the line at 12-1 in a nine-runner novice at Hamilton (1m4f, good to soft); while that suggested a bright future, this assignment is vastly more demanding.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

15th

4

17th Mar 2026

Yielding

2m 1f 105y

13:18 Down Royal

Good Show

11st 12lb

J: Carl Millar

T: Gordon Elliott

Won twice early in Flat career for Keith Dalgleish; missed all of 2024 and failed to recapture best form in five runs for Andrew Balding last year; big price on Irish/hurdling debut at Thurles; unlikely to feature.

50/1

9th

3

5th Feb 2026

Soft

2m 0f 34y

14:17 Thurles

Good Show

11st 12lb

J: Danny Gilligan

T: Gordon Elliott

Won twice early in Flat career for Keith Dalgleish; missed all of 2024 and failed to recapture best form in five runs for Andrew Balding last year; rated 79 at season's end; others have stronger credentials.

20/1

5th

5

(2)

15th Oct 2025

Good

2m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:44 Nottingham

Good Show

9st 13lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Long layoff before he stuck on from last into a respectable sixth in nine-runner handicap at Goodwood (2m, soft; 7lb lower today) this June; seemingly found 14.5f too short at Doncaster next time (not disgraced) but his 2m run at Ascot 12 days ago was pretty disappointing.

5/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £6.30
Straight Forecast £5.36
Tricast £37.55
Trifecta £41.80

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Hamish

The Times:

Cresta

POSTDATA:

Get Shirty

RP Ratings:

High Definition

The Guardian:

Cresta

Daily Mirror:

Get Shirty

TOPSPEED:

Hamish

NEWMARKET:

Hamish

Telegraph:

Hamish

Daily Mail:

Hamish

Daily Express:

Hamish

The Sun:

Hamish

The Star:

Hamish

Daily Record:

Hamish