January 31 / 14.15 Ffos Las

14.15

Soft

Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase

  • Prize money: £5597.86
  • 3m 1f 60y
  • Class 5
  • 11 runners
SKY
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Mumbles Brewery Handicap Chase

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

Form: 167-21 D

Last run: 41 days

W: 12st 2lb

9 yo Mare

OR: 107

Form & Verdict
Comfortable winner of a Hereford handicap (3m1f, soft) on just her second run for this yard and she could deal with this 8lb higher mark during her time with Bob Buckler; much respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

22nd Feb 2026

Soft

3m 1f 44y

Class 4

15:10 Hereford

Flowing Cadenza

10st 12lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

C&D winner whose last win came at Ffos Las in January 2023; lightly raced since, one of her best runs when second in a mares' handicap at Huntingdon last time (2m7f, soft); stable in better form now; good chance.

7/2

2nd

3

22nd Jan 2026

Soft

2m 7f 129y

Class 4

14:05 Huntingdon

Flowing Cadenza

11st 3lb

J: Charlie Deutsch

T: Venetia Williams

Dual soft-ground winner either side of Christmas 2022-23 (3m1f, 3m2f); limited form in just three starts in the past three years, though might just have gone closer but for losing a shoe latest.

7/2

3

5th Dec 2024

Good To Soft

3m 1f 30y

Class 4

14:35 Wincanton

Flowing Cadenza

11st 9lb

J: Ned Fox

T: Venetia Williams

took keen hold, pressed leaders, led 5th, hit 10th, headed after 4 out, soon weakened, pulled up before 2 out

9/2

Form: 446-65

Last run: 67 days

W: 10st 6lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Comfortably held in all three handicaps, the last two over fences; clearly needs to improve but this former pointer should appreciate going beyond 2m5f for the first time under rules; new headgear added and he's had a wind operation.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

20th Mar 2025

Good

3m 6f 130y

Class 4

16:05 Chepstow

Twilight Glory

11st 2lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

midfield, not fluent and lost ground 6th, struggling before 11th

6/1

2nd

3

20th Feb 2025

Soft

2m 7f 110y

Class 5

14:35 Lingfield

Twilight Glory

11st 10lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

Won this two years ago and has gained three further wins in the meantime; ran perfectly well off this career-high mark at Chepstow last month; in the mix.

100/30

3rd

8

28th Jan 2025

Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 4

15:17 Chepstow

Twilight Glory

11st 0lb

J: Alan Johns

T: Tim Vaughan

in touch with leaders

5/1

33/1

Form: 0/0-P3

Last run: 8 days

W: 10st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 69

Form & Verdict
10lb out of the weights when running on into third over 3m here last week on his second run for this yard (first-time cheekpieces); on the same terms here and probably placed at best.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

30th Jan 2026

Soft

3m 1f 54y

Class 5

15:13 Catterick

Dysania

10st 2lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Mickey Bowen

Runner-up at Southwell last April but a long way below that level on his three runs since and this 11yo's sole win came back in November 2023.

20/1

9

19th Nov 2025

Soft

2m 7f 177y

Class 5

13:35 Ffos Las

Dysania

10st 2lb

J: Brendan Powell

T: Mickey Bowen

Very inconsistent 10yo who sometimes races lazily and is never easy to predict; comes here fresh and on career-low mark but has presumably been overlooked by Sean Bowen today and cannot be supported with much confidence; versatile ground-wise.

10/1

7th

7

7th May 2025

Good

3m 1f 210y

Class 5

19:40 Fontwell

Dysania

10st 2lb

J: Shane Fenelon

T: Mickey Bowen

3lb out of the weights; kept on for second at Southwell three weeks ago (3m, good) but this 10yo is hard to predict.

6/1

Form: 414-3P C

Last run: 70 days

W: 12st 0lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 105

Form & Verdict
Remote third on his return to fences at Chepstow (2m7f) before pulling up at Sedgefield (3m3f); on a handy mark if able to revive but he looks risky business at the minute.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

9

26th Mar 2026

Good

3m 6f 136y

Class 4

15:50 Chepstow

To Be Sure

10st 2lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Mrs C Williams

Generally in much better form last March-October than in his three starts this winter; no impact in his four races beyond 3m2f and the bottom line seems to be that he last won a race in April 2023.

20/1

3rd

4

9th Feb 2026

Soft

3m 1f 157y

Class 5

16:15 Plumpton

To Be Sure

11st 2lb

J: Conor Ring

T: Evan Williams

Chance if bringing his 'A' game but he hasn't on last two outings when tailed off at Fakenham (3m5f) and Fontwell (3m2f; both on soft); risky.

25/1

10

12th Oct 2025

Good To Firm

3m 2f 54y

Class 4

13:32 Chepstow

To Be Sure

10st 4lb

J: Ellis Collier

T: Evan Williams

Running well since the spring, most recently second of four at Fontwell (3m2f, good to soft) in first-time visor last month; will probably find others too strong in this deeper race, though; usual cheekpieces refitted.

10/1

Form: 84-346

Last run: 27 days

W: 10st 5lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
No closer than 11l in three runs this season and his strike-rate of 1-43 is offputting; the win came in France.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

7

13th Mar 2023

Soft

3m 1f 152y

Class 5

16:10 Plumpton

Surdoue De Ballon

10st 8lb

J: Tom Bellamy

T: Kayley Woollacott

pressed leader, led 4th, headed but pressed leader 5th

16/1

5th

8

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Surdoue De Ballon

10st 5lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Kayley Woollacott

No closer than 11l in three runs this season and his strike-rate of 1-43 is offputting; the win came in France.

33/1

6th

7

4th Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 44y

Class 5

14:00 Hereford

Surdoue De Ballon

10st 13lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Kayley Woollacott

Tailed off at Market Rasen last month, taking his career record to 1-42 (his only success came in France in 2019); others are more likely.

25/1

Form: 115-30

Last run: 27 days

W: 11st 1lb

11 yo Mare

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Prolific pointer who won back-to-back 3m handicap chases at Exeter last season (heavy/good to soft), the latest a small-field affair off 2lb higher; 2m5f would have been an inadequate test when reappearing a month ago.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

8th Mar 2024

Soft

3m 0f 54y

Class 5

15:40 Exeter

Wind Tor

10st 6lb

J: Miss Chloe Emsley

T: Polly Gundry

Difficult to quantify her form in two points this winter; debatable whether she retains peak ability aged 12 but the return to Exeter is a plus, being 2-3 over C&D; those two wins came off higher marks in March 2022.

10/1

3rd

5

17th May 2023

Soft

3m 1f 170y

Class 5

15:10 Newton Abbot

Wind Tor

11st 0lb

J: Miss Chloe Emsley

T: Polly Gundry

Latest three efforts have been a return to some form but this thorough stayer has always looked best at Exeter on genuinely soft ground; could be in the shake-up if conditions don't dry too much.

8/1

4th

9

28th Apr 2023

Good

3m 2f 54y

Class 5

17:20 Chepstow

Wind Tor

10st 7lb

J: Miss Chloe Emsley

T: Polly Gundry

Last season's form was much better; third over 3m at Exeter (scene of her only two wins under rules) one month ago and not disgraced at Fontwell nine days later; considered each-way.

9/1

OUR TIP

Form: 2-3321

Last run: 30 days

W: 12st 1lb

8 yo Mare

OR: 106

Form & Verdict
Irish point winner who made the most of a drop in grade to win without breaking sweat at Fakenham (3m, good to soft), though that race did rather fall apart and this will be tougher off 6lb higher; fine on soft.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5

20th Feb 2025

Soft

2m 4f 0y

Class 4

15:35 Lingfield

Bolintlea

11st 2lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

Only win under rules came over 3m at Fakenham (good to soft) where she also didn't run too badly in a stronger race a month ago (2m5f, good); jumping can be an issue but she has a competitive show in her at this level.

7/2

5th

10

19th Jan 2025

Good To Soft

2m 5f 44y

Class 2

15:20 Fakenham

Bolintlea

10st 4lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

Placed twice since reverting to fences in November, latterly when keeping on to snatch modest third at Lingfield (2m7f, soft) last month, but might find this race too competitive.

16/1

5th

10

19th Jan 2025

Good To Soft

2m 5f 44y

Class 2

15:20 Fakenham

Bolintlea

10st 4lb

J: Charlie Hammond

T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole

Placed twice since reverting to fences in November, latterly when keeping on to snatch modest third at Lingfield (2m7f, soft) last month, but might find this race too competitive.

16/1

Form: 2P2/P7 D

Last run: 30 days

W: 12st 2lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 107

Form & Verdict
Won over hurdles and fences for Warren Greatrex during 2020-21 season but he's struggled on both starts since returning from a long absence and it's difficult to gauge his current ability.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

25th Feb 2023

Good

3m 2f 54y

Class 5

16:17 Chepstow

Talktomenow

12st 0lb

J: Lucy Gardner

T: Sue Gardner

Capable staying jumper at this level two years ago but he missed 20 months and few signs of life as yet for this yard; first-time tongue-tie/visor replace cheekpieces but he has lots to prove at present.

33/1

2

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Talktomenow

12st 2lb

J: Lucy Gardner

T: Sue Gardner

Won over hurdles and fences for Warren Greatrex during 2020-21 season but he's struggled on both starts since returning from a long absence and it's difficult to gauge his current ability.

66/1

7th

10

1st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 0f 54y

Class 4

14:40 Exeter

Talktomenow

11st 6lb

J: Lucy Gardner

T: Sue Gardner

Won over hurdles and fences for Warren Greatrex during 2020-21 season but, following a long absence, made very disappointing stable debut in November; current ability hard to gauge.

50/1

Form: 5P2-F2 BF

Last run: 32 days

W: 10st 10lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Perhaps travelled a bit too well for his own good when beaten narrowly on his second chase start at Taunton (3m2f, good to soft), finishing clear of the remainder; an 8lb rise seems harsh but he's considered nonetheless.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

13th Apr 2023

Good

2m 7f 3y

Class 5

15:45 Taunton

Advantura

10st 12lb

J: Micheal Nolan

T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

in rear, mistake 1st, in touch with leaders when not fluent 7th, not fluent 8th, reminder before 9th, pushed along and lost ground after 11th, got behind after 14th, soon pulled up

12/1

9

23rd Mar 2023

Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 5

16:20 Chepstow

Advantura

11st 1lb

J: Micheal Nolan

T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White

Fell in two of his first three chases but ran big race in defeat when close/clear second at Taunton (3m2f, good to soft) in between and may still have potential; can't be ruled out.

10/1

6

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Advantura

10st 10lb

J: Tom O’Brien

T: Philip Hobbs

Perhaps travelled a bit too well for his own good when beaten narrowly on his second chase start at Taunton (3m2f, good to soft), finishing clear of the remainder; an 8lb rise seems harsh but he's considered nonetheless.

11/2

Form: 1P4-53

Last run: 21 days

W: 10st 4lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Never dangerous when third over hurdles at Exeter last time and again didn't look the easiest of rides there; others appeal more on this return to fences (0-10).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

8

6th Mar 2025

Good To Soft

3m 1f 30y

Class 5

14:20 Wincanton

Bellamys Grey

10st 2lb

J: Elizabeth Gale

T: Carroll Gray

in rear, detached and niggled along from 3rd, slow jump and ridden 14th

50/1

15

9th Feb 2025

Soft

2m 7f 131y

Class 5

16:30 Chepstow

Bellamys Grey

10st 2lb

J: Harriet Tucker

T: Carroll Gray

13yo with a 1-36 strike-rate under rules; no show ten days ago after a 267-day break but he stepped up dramatically on second run last winter and might have a place chance.

25/1

Form: 908-U2 BF

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 2lb

7 yo Mare

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Lightly raced Irish maiden point winner formerly with Henry De Bromhead; unseated on her first run after wind surgery (and stable debut) but she ran a solid race behind a comfortable winner back at Lingfield (2m6f, heavy) last time; shouldn't be far away in new cheekpieces.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10

31st Jan 2023

Soft

3m 1f 60y

Class 5

14:15 Ffos Las

Melk Abbey

10st 2lb

J: Rex Dingle

T: Anthony Honeyball

Lightly raced Irish maiden point winner formerly with Henry De Bromhead; unseated on her first run after wind surgery (and stable debut) but she ran a solid race behind a comfortable winner back at Lingfield (2m6f, heavy) last time; shouldn't be far away in new cheekpieces.

13/2

2nd

13

21st Dec 2022

Soft

2m 6f 10y

Class 5

15:30 Lingfield

Melk Abbey

10st 2lb

J: Ben Godfrey

T: Anthony Honeyball

Lightly raced Irish maiden point winner formerly with Henry De Bromhead; just her second run for this yard, and the first after wind surgery, when unseating between three and two out here 16 days ago in the race dominated by Ramore Will and Echo Watt; she was going well at the time so needs considering.

4/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Straight Forecast £20.20
Tricast £211.02

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Flowing Cadenza

Telegraph:

Advantura

The Times:

Melk Abbey

Daily Mirror:

Bolintlea

Daily Mail:

To Be Sure

WEST COUNTRY:

Bellamy's Grey

The Star:

Advantura

Daily Record:

Advantura

D Express:

Melk Abbey

RP Ratings:

Flowing Cadenza

POSTDATA:

Flowing Cadenza

The Guardian:

Flowing Cadenza

The Sun:

Flowing Cadenza