March 17 / 17.45 Newcastle (AW)

17.45

Standard

BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap

  • Prize money: £5129.32
  • 1m 2f 42y
  • Class 4
  • 8 runners
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BetUK Over 40,000 Live Streamed Races Handicap

Runners: 8 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Showers

2/1 (Won)

Form: 12-

Last run: 100 days

W: 9st 2lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Made a successful debut at Southwell (1m, Tapeta) in October and although beaten 4l into second of nine under her penalty at Kempton (1m, Polytrack) in December, the winner has since won a couple of 0-105 handicaps at Lingfield; steps up in trip for this handicap debut and returns from 100 days off, but still much respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(5)

17th Mar 2023

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 4

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Estidama

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Muscutt

T: William Haggas

towards rear, nudged along and headway from over 1f out, led inside final furlong, went clear towards finish, comfortably

2/1

2nd

1

(2)

7th Dec 2022

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Estidama

9st 9lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Haggas

took keen hold, pressed leader, pushed along from 2f out, outpaced over 1f out, rallied and kept on inside final furlong, no match for winner

7/4

1st

8

(7)

28th Oct 2022

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 5

18:45 Southwell (AW)

Estidama

9st 2lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: William Haggas

ducked right start, in touch with leaders, shaken up and headway from over 2f out, ran green when prominent over 1f out, edged left and kept on well to lead inside final furlong, ran on

10/11

14/1

Form: 13134- D

Last run: 172 days

W: 9st 2lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
All four wins on turf, but suggested she could win races on the AW when beaten just over a length into third of 14 in a slightly better race over C&D last September; may have gone even closer with a clear run and races off the same mark, but he may need the run after six months off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

4

(7)

4th Aug 2024

Good

1m 2f 70y

Class 4

14:30 Chester

Innse Gall

9st 10lb

J: Franny Norton

T: Craig Lidster

Five-time turf winner for by Iain Jardine (1m-1m2f); not beaten far on stable debut at Southwell (1m, AW) in January, after a break, but ran poorly over same C&D the following month and has been absent again since.

14/1

9th

6

(8)

24th Feb 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

18:35 Southwell (AW)

Innse Gall

9st 5lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Craig Lidster

Five-time winner when trained by Iain Jardine; attracted some support and ran creditably on his stable debut (C&D) six weeks ago; back to his last winning mark and he's not ruled out.

16/1

7th

2

(10)

11th Jan 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

14:05 Southwell (AW)

Innse Gall

9st 9lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Craig Lidster

Five turf wins, mostly over longer trips, for Iain Jardine; placed a few times on AW at Newcastle (1m2f) and returns to this sphere off a workable mark; drop back to 1m looks the negative on debut for new yard.

12/1

OUR TIP

4/1

Form: 31-712 CD BF

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
2-4 on Tapeta since returning in December, winning in game fashion over C&D last month and finishing clear of the rest when beaten half a length back here a fortnight later; up another 1lb but unlikely to be far away.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

5

6th Sep 2024

Good To Yielding

2m 3f 0y

17:10 Kilbeggan

Qaasid

11st 12lb

J: Paddy Hanlon

T: John Joseph Hanlon

midfield

10/1

5

23rd Jul 2024

Good To Yielding

2m 1f 64y

17:20 Ballinrobe

Qaasid

11st 12lb

J: Paddy Hanlon

T: John Joseph Hanlon

Winning for a fifth time on the Flat in a 1m2f good-ground Doncaster handicap only 18 days ago and that's useful form (RPR 96); since changed hands for 35,000gns and has to be of interest.

13/2

1st

1

(9)

5th Jul 2024

Good

1m 2f 43y

Class 4

15:15 Doncaster

Qaasid

10st 2lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Julie Camacho

Easily his best form this year is the defeat of 17 rivals over this far at Newbury (good to soft), since when he's been beaten a long way at York; becoming a hard horse to predict.

8/1

Form: 73-505 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 10lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Six wins on the AW for Hugo Palmer, but none in over two years and has shown little in three starts for this yard since returning from six months off in January; hard to recommend despite the drop in grade.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(11)

22nd Jun 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

17:05 Chelmsford (AW)

Power Of States

9st 8lb

J: Alistair Rawlinson

T: Michael Appleby

Six wins on the AW for Hugo Palmer, four of them here including three over this trip; losing run up to 14, though, and despite some encouraging efforts he hasn't been able to exploit his sliding mark; others more solid.

16/1

4th

1

(6)

17th Mar 2023

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 4

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Power Of States

9st 10lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Michael Appleby

prominent, pushed along to lead over 1f out, soon ridden and headed, weakened final furlong

16/1

5th

4

(2)

2nd Mar 2023

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

19:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Power Of States

8st 8lb

J: David Egan

T: Michael Appleby

Four wins around here for Hugo Palmer (three over this trip), but finished around 10l behind Chichester when making his stable debut after six months off at Newcastle (1m, Tapeta) in January; fared little better when 11th of 13 at Wolverhampton (9.5f, Tapeta) last month; mark continues to slide but plenty to prove.

12/1

Form: -33414 CD BF

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
4-8 since debuting for this yard in December, including a win over C&D; drop in trip and getting messed about at the start conspired against him when fourth of ten at Wolverhampton (8.6f, Tapeta) seven days ago, but no surprise if he fares better here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

4

(5)

29th Aug 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 3

20:10 Southwell (AW)

Dream Harder

9st 12lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Ian Williams

Losing run up to 12, but beaten only a head at the Shergar Cup meeting at Ascot (1m4f, good) last time; raised 3lb for that, but all four AW wins have come on Tapeta so he is respected back on this surface.

7/1

Form: 73-731 CD

Last run: 23 days

W: 8st 11lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Bumper winner here early last year but showed he had the speed for this sort of test when winning nicely over C&D last month; form has been franked, but he is 8lb higher in a much better race so will need to step up.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

5

(4)

1st Jul 2023

Standard To Slow

1m 4f 98y

Class 5

16:25 Newcastle (AW)

Ri Na Farraige

9st 4lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

Looked to be a lightly raced 6yo to follow when winning in good style over C&D in February; however, he was soundly beaten over C&D next time and it was the same story at Pontefract last time; return to form required.

12/1

11th

3

(9)

3rd May 2023

Good To Soft

1m 2f 5y

Class 5

14:50 Pontefract

Ri Na Farraige

9st 9lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

AW bumper winner on debut (2m); sole win on the Flat was over 1m2f at Newcastle in February; not so good last time but unexposed on turf and could bounce back.

6/1

6th

8

(1)

17th Mar 2023

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 4

17:45 Newcastle (AW)

Ri Na Farraige

8st 11lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Richard Fahey

midfield, headway over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened

7/2

12/1

Form: 40633- D

Last run: 151 days

W: 9st 8lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Often a front-runner; scored twice on turf (1m1f/1m2f) last summer; has won on Polytrack and just 2lb higher than when last successful, but this first start in five months may be needed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

3

(1)

7th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 0f 6y

Class 4

15:40 Pontefract

Jean Baptiste

9st 5lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

Runner-up on his first two starts this season (1m2f, good/AW) but down the field on his three runs since and needs to get back on track.

15/2

7th

4

(1)

7th Jul 2024

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

16:45 Ayr

Jean Baptiste

10st 0lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Roger Fell & Sean Murray

led, headed over 2f out, weakened over 1f out

16/1

12/1

Form: 3414-6 D

Last run: 43 days

W: 9st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Four-time turf winner and back to form when gaining his third success over hurdles last month; yet to show he is as effective on the AW on limited evidence and others have less to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

2

3rd Feb 2024

Good To Soft

1m 7f 124y

Class 2

14:50 Musselburgh

First Impression

11st 5lb

J: Craig Nichol

T: John & Sean Quinn

Useful dual-purpose performer but he's on a tough mark over hurdles, now 8lb higher than for his last win (last February) after going up 3lb for a narrow defeat at Doncaster; should give his running but others are preferred for win purposes.

8/1

2nd

9

16th Dec 2023

Good To Soft

2m 0f 128y

Class 2

14:40 Doncaster

First Impression

10st 3lb

J: Craig Nichol

T: John Quinn

raced in second

16/1

0

2

(5)

28th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

1m 2f 5y

Class 3

15:55 Pontefract

First Impression

9st 7lb

J: Jason Hart

T: John Quinn

In top form at Chester since returning from a three-month break, posting a win (1m2f, soft) then a good second (1m2f, good to soft); also effective elsewhere and he can give another good account.

11/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Straight Forecast £44.46
Tricast £110.35

Selections

TOPSPEED:

Estidama

RP Ratings:

Qaasid

SPOTLIGHT:

Dream Harder

The Times:

Ri Na Farraige

NEWMARKET:

Estidama

Telegraph:

Estidama

The Star:

Estidama

Daily Record:

Estidama

Daily Mail:

Dream Harder

The Sun:

Dream Harder

POSTDATA:

Qaasid

The Guardian:

Qaasid

D Express:

Qaasid

Daily Mirror:

Qaasid