May 24 / 16.20 Warwick

16.20

Good

Wigley Group Carnival Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £13007.5
  • 2m 0f 54y
  • Class 2
  • 6 runners
RTV
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Wigley Group Carnival Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Runners: 6 runners

Type: Chase Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Partly cloudy

4/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.34
  • Place: £1.80

Form: 12F52- D

Last run: 30 days

W: 11st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 135

Form & Verdict
Three-time chase winner on good ground; ran well in defeat at Kempton (2m2f good to soft) last month, after a layoff, and could quite plausibly be seen to better effect on today's quicker surface and on this left-handed track.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

3

6th May 2026

Good To Soft

2m 4f 216y

Class 2

13:45 Newton Abbot

Light N Strike

11st 5lb

J: James Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Progressive for Emma Lavelle last term, winning this off today's mark and backing it up with solid placed efforts; however, he's struggled for this yard (early unseat in Kerry National, pulled up at Chepstow and tailed off at Cheltenham when last seen in October) and now has something to prove.

13/2

5

25th Oct 2025

Good To Soft

3m 1f 0y

Class 2

14:20 Cheltenham

Light N Strike

11st 1lb

J: James Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Five-time winner over fences but got no further than the first in the Kerry National on stable debut and didn't run much of a race at Chepstow two weeks ago; this is a tough race in which to bounce back.

40/1

1

11th Oct 2025

Good

2m 7f 131y

Class 2

14:45 Chepstow

Light N Strike

12st 0lb

J: James Bowen

T: Mickey Bowen

Got no further than the first in the recent Kerry National at Listowel; has won five times over fences and was mostly consistent for Emma Lavelle earlier this year; wouldn't be that well handicapped but entitled to have a say.

8/1

6/1

  • Place: £3.70

Form: 572P5- D

Last run: 27 days

W: 10st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 130

Form & Verdict
Irish challenger; has gone nearly a year since his last win but was creditable fifth at last month's Punchestown festival (2m, good) and will be right in the thick of things if in similar form here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

22nd Feb 2024

Soft

2m 0f 158y

13:53 Thurles

Espion Du Chenet

10st 5lb

J: Ryan Treacy

T: Louise G Lyons

Six-time chase winner but struggling when last seen, tailed off in each of his last three starts; bounce back required and off 153 days.

25/1

9th

11

22nd Sep 2023

Yielding To Soft

2m 1f 0y

16:25 Listowel

Espion Du Chenet

10st 5lb

J: Ryan Treacy

T: Louise G Lyons

Has done a lot of racing since his last win, two most recent runs provide no encouragement; tailed off in Kilbeggan race in which Irish Blaze was third two week ago.

25/1

Form: PPF3P- D

Last run: 41 days

W: 10st 8lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 129

Form & Verdict
Excellent servant to connections over the years, winning 14 times in total; struggled in major handicap at Aintree festival last month but his 80-1 third at Ascot (2m1f, good to soft) two starts ago was a good effort and today's faster ground will suit.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

3

13th Nov 2023

Good

2m 4f 110y

Class 2

14:25 Kempton

Hatcher

11st 6lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

Prolific winner (mostly at around 2m on good ground) and fine servant to connections over the years; not as good as he was and didn't run very well on latest outing in September, but should be fine over today's trip and his spring form puts him in the mix.

4/1

4th

4

18th Sep 2023

Good

2m 4f 0y

Class 2

14:40 Worcester

Hatcher

10st 11lb

J: Harry Skelton

T: Dan Skelton

held up in rear, headway before 4 out, outpaced before 3 out, no impression from 2 out

7/1

Form: 132P-4 D

Last run: 23 days

W: 10st 2lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 117

Form & Verdict
4-12 over fences, the last two wins gained on good ground in the autumn; finished about 28l behind Mercian Prince at Kempton (2m2f, good) this month but travelled strongly for a long way there and looked dangerous when stalking the leaders on the home turn; 6lb out of the weights here but capable amateur Freddie Gordon claims 7lb; not ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

21st Jul 2024

Good

2m 0f 213y

Class 2

15:25 Stratford

Only Money

10st 3lb

J: Rex Dingle

T: Chris Gordon

Should be well handicapped, likes good ground and returned to form with a pleasing second at Newton Abbot; often takes a good hold so the assured strong pace here will aid his chance.

6/1

2nd

7

14th Jun 2024

Good

2m 0f 75y

Class 3

18:10 Newton Abbot

Only Money

10st 11lb

J: Rex Dingle

T: Chris Gordon

Did not hit top gear during light campaign last season and was well beaten (albeit on soft ground) last month, after a break; on good mark now and might be seen to better effect if the ground stays good here but others have much less to prove.

16/1

4th

4

22nd May 2024

Good

1m 7f 182y

Class 4

18:10 Southwell

Only Money

11st 9lb

J: Rex Dingle

T: Chris Gordon

Four chase wins (from 14 attempts); has seemingly found himself stranded too high in the weights since scoring at Worcester (2m, good) in October 2022; back to his last winning mark after unseating rider early on at Plumpton last September; fitness is taken on trust.

13/2

OUR TIP

Form: 2251-1

Last run: 23 days

W: 11st 5lb

12 yo Gelding

OR: 140

Form & Verdict
Front-running veteran who wasn't far off career-best form when making all at favourite track Kempton (2m2f, good) this month, after a break; only 3lb higher here; no surprise if he gives this a good shot.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

0

5

22nd Oct 2023

Good

2m 2f 0y

Class 3

15:30 Kempton

Mercian Prince

11st 9lb

J: Jack Quinlan

T: Amy Murphy

Habitual front-runner who gained six of his 11 chase wins here, most recently when fending off Jay Jay Reilly over today's trip in May (good ground; now 2lb lower); getting long in the tooth now and has questions to answer after some disappointing runs during the summer but it won't be a big surprise if he gives this a good shot.

10/1

0

1

21st Aug 2023

Good

2m 1f 77y

Class 3

17:00 Bangor-on-Dee

Mercian Prince

11st 10lb

J: Jack Quinlan

T: Amy Murphy

Dangerous front-runner on his day, especially at Kempton where he's won six times; can go left-handed but he needs to bounce back from some below-par efforts.

12/1

5th

1

23rd Jul 2023

Good

2m 0f 213y

Class 2

15:22 Stratford

Mercian Prince

12st 0lb

J: Jack Quinlan

T: Amy Murphy

Dangerous front-runner on his day, especially at Kempton where he's won six times; can go left-handed but his last couple of runs weren't his best and he now has to bounce back.

9/2

Form: /24P3- CD

Last run: 33 days

W: 12st 0lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 149

Form & Verdict
Can sometimes harm his chance by racing too freely but was a high-class chaser in his prime and proved he retains a significant chunk of ability when close third in Ayr handicap (2m4f, good to soft) last month; drops back to 2m for first time since 2019; respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

5

9th Mar 2025

Good To Soft

2m 4f 198y

Class 5

17:10 Carlisle

Saint Calvados

11st 12lb

J: Mr David Maxwell

T: Harry Whittington

held up in rear, headway and went third before 4 out, pressed winner 2 out, drifted left run-in, stayed on

11/10

6th

1

24th May 2023

Good

2m 0f 54y

Class 2

16:20 Warwick

Saint Calvados

12st 0lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Can sometimes harm his chance by racing too freely but was a high-class chaser in his prime and proved he retains a significant chunk of ability when close third in Ayr handicap (2m4f, good to soft) last month; drops back to 2m for first time since 2019; respected.

2/1

3rd

1

21st Apr 2023

Good To Soft

2m 4f 110y

Class 2

15:00 Ayr

Saint Calvados

12st 0lb

J: Harry Cobden

T: Paul Nicholls

Won a Grade 2 at Sandown (2m6f, good) last April and has dropped to an attractive mark; not ruled out but this 10yo has been well below his best on his three starts this season and has something to prove.

11/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £33.30
Straight Forecast £30.85
Trifecta £177.90

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Only Money

POSTDATA:

Saint Calvados

TOPSPEED:

Mercian Prince

The Times:

Light N Strike

SPOTLIGHT:

Espion Du Chenet

Telegraph:

Only Money

D Express:

Only Money

Daily Mirror:

Only Money

WEST COUNTRY:

Saint Calvados

Daily Mail:

Saint Calvados

The Star:

Saint Calvados

The Guardian:

Mercian Prince

The Sun:

Mercian Prince

Daily Record:

Mercian Prince