August 23 / 15.15 Carlisle

15.15

Good

Fred Says Don’t Fall 80th Birthday Handicap

  • Prize money: £4187.2
  • 0m 5f 182y
  • Class 5
  • 12 runners
RTV
View Course
Fred Says Don’t Fall 80th Birthday Handicap

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

1st
6 (6)
Mersea

8/1 (Won)

  • Win: £7.50
  • Place: £1.90

Form: 93-045 C

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Dual 5f winner as 2yo but she failed to build on a solid York fourth when only fifth of seven at Doncaster (6f) 18 days ago; she is falling in the weights though and shouldn't be written off for her in-form yard.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

8

(7)

14th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

16:55 Newcastle (AW)

Mersea

9st 3lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Grant Tuer

50-1 winner over C&D off 11lb higher in February last year; back on a good mark but hasn't been in top form recently.

25/1

7th

3

(2)

4th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Newcastle (AW)

Mersea

9st 8lb

J: Oliver Stammers

T: Grant Tuer

Well short of her best this winter but that is reflected in her mark and she has too much ability to discount now dropping into a 0-60; betting should be revealing.

12/1

11th

8

(10)

20th Jan 2026

Standard

0m 5f 0y

Class 5

16:13 Newcastle (AW)

Mersea

9st 0lb

J: Sean Kirrane

T: Grant Tuer

Backwards since winning at Musselburgh (5f, Class 6, good) in August; kept on from behind to finish fifth of ten at Southwell (5f; 33-1) a fortnight ago; the handicapper continues to give her assistance from a career-low mark.

20/1

2nd
11 (11)
Happier

11/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 621227 D

Last run: 26 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
A 6f Redcar maiden winner who looked to be on the up in handicaps until coming in last of seven (in first-time cheekpieces) at Thirsk (6f) 26 days ago; she's worth another chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(11)

29th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

19:30 Windsor

Happier

9st 4lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Martin Keighley

3-31 for Tim Easterby, including a Catterick win (5f, good) last August; second at Lingfield (6f, AW) on stable debut in December but not so good in her three runs since, so others have more pressing claims; some headgear (not used by current yard) returns.

9/1

4th

2

(7)

15th Jun 2026

Good

0m 5f 110y

Class 6

16:15 Wetherby

Happier

9st 8lb

J: Sam James

T: Martin Keighley

Ex-Tim Easterby; Catterick winner last August (5f, good) and good second at Lingfield on stable debut (6f) in December; last two runs have been a bit disappointing.

16/1

11/4

  • Place: £1.50

Form: 232

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 7lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Harry Angel filly; has gone with some promise when placed on all three runs, second of nine in 6f Ripon novice (form has been franked) 32 days ago; looks to start life in handicaps on a handy mark so rates a player.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

2

(5)

2nd Nov 2023

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:30 Chelmsford (AW)

Elusive Angel

9st 12lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Harry Eustace

took keen hold, led narrowly

12/1

7th

1

(6)

20th Sep 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 3y

Class 5

14:05 Yarmouth

Elusive Angel

10st 0lb

J: Hayley Turner

T: Harry Eustace

Placed in all four starts (6f), including on soft; wasn't far away at Carlisle on handicap debut latest and 1lb drop won't do her cause any harm; player.

2/1

3rd

5

(9)

23rd Aug 2023

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

15:15 Carlisle

Elusive Angel

9st 7lb

J: Ben Curtis

T: Harry Eustace

reluctant to load, midfield, headway 2f out, kept on and went third final 110yds

11/4

Form: 4-1943

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Resumed with 7f Wolverhampton success in June and she posted another solid effort when third in 6f Leicester handicap ten days ago; blinkers replace cheekpieces now and she's shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

2

(6)

10th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Leicester

Creative Style

9st 8lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

pressed leader, outpaced and lost position 2f out, weakened over 1f out

10/1

8th

6

(8)

16th Sep 2023

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 5

16:55 Lingfield (AW)

Creative Style

9st 7lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Archie Watson

Returned with 7f Wolverhampton maiden victory and she has held her form well since, solid third of six in 6f Hamilton handicap 11 days ago; possibilities off an unchanged mark.

8/1

OUR TIP

20/1

Form: -24310

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Fair ex-French 1m winner in the spring but well held on his sole run for Kevin Ryan in 1m Goodwood handicap 20 days ago; has since changed hands for £25,000 and more is required on his yard debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(5)

15th Sep 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

17:20 Thirsk

Naval Academy

8st 13lb

J: Harry Russell

T: Mark Walford

Seen only four times this year, with best run his close second of six in modest race at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) two starts ago; sports refitted tongue-tie/cheekpieces; others have more pressing claims.

14/1

6

(9)

31st Jul 2025

Good

1m 0f 75y

Class 5

16:05 Nottingham

Naval Academy

9st 9lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Mark Walford

Ran best race this year when second at Carlisle last time (7f, good to soft); could go well, but ideally suited by some give in the ground and perhaps better at 7f.

15/2

2nd

7

(7)

30th May 2025

Good

0m 6f 195y

Class 6

16:50 Carlisle

Naval Academy

9st 2lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Mark Walford

Now 10lb lower than when winning over Haydock's 7f last July and took a step back in the right direction when fifth at Leicester (7f, good to firm) latest; he has soft-ground form if going back far enough.

6/1

Form: 094550 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 5lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 71

Form & Verdict
All his five successes have come on the AW and he came in well held in 7f York handicap 25 days ago when tried again in a hood; others are more persuasive.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

10

(3)

26th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

13:23 Doncaster

Pocket The Packet

9st 3lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Nigel Tinkler

Yet to score for his current yard and well below par in 6f handicaps at Newcastle and Thirsk this spring; others appeal more.

20/1

10th

10

(3)

26th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

13:23 Doncaster

Pocket The Packet

9st 3lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Nigel Tinkler

Yet to score for his current yard and well below par in 6f handicaps at Newcastle and Thirsk this spring; others appeal more.

20/1

8th

5

(10)

9th Apr 2024

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:45 Thirsk

Pocket The Packet

9st 6lb

J: Faye McManoman

T: Nigel Tinkler

Generally struggled for this yard last year but he's become more realistically treated again now; last month's Newcastle reappearance should have blown away any cobwebs but he has done his winning on AW and has something to prove on slow turf.

20/1

11/1

Form: 112199 CD

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Is enjoying an excellent season (already a four-time winner, including over C&D) and he wasn't seen to best effect when ninth of 16 at York (7f) 25 days ago; he's the sort to bounce back so needs considering.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(8)

15th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:50 Thirsk

B Associates

9st 9lb

J: Jason Hart

T: James Owen

Two wins in 7f classified events last month; runner-up in his last two completed starts; unseated rider early at Chester on Friday; each-way shout but hardly an unknown quantity.

8/1

10

(7)

12th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 17y

Class 5

16:55 Chester

B Associates

9st 5lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: James Owen

Fourth, nearest at the finish, to Hallowed Time in this last year; back with James Owen again and arrives in the midst of a productive spell, recent second-place finishes (visored) to add to earlier wins at Yarmouth and Brighton (7f); can often miss the break though, which isn't ideal at Chester.

5/1

2nd

3

(8)

8th Sep 2025

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

15:58 Lingfield (AW)

B Associates

9st 8lb

J: Ashley Lewis

T: James Owen

Nine of his ten wins have been on turf and he came from off the pace when good second off this mark at Brighton (6f; first-time visor) last month; has claims if he can repeat that form but he's 1-12 on AW and that success was in a claimer.

7/2

Form: 230-66 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
Dual 5f/6f winner in 2022 but had wind op and been off for three months before beating only one in a 6f Doncaster handicap 18 days ago; she needs to take a big step forward.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

1

(5)

23rd Aug 2023

Good

0m 5f 182y

Class 5

15:15 Carlisle

Signora Camacho

9st 11lb

J: Gianluca Sanna

T: John Quinn

held up in rear

10/1

6th

3

(2)

5th Aug 2023

Soft

0m 6f 2y

Class 3

15:55 Doncaster

Signora Camacho

9st 4lb

J: Gianluca Sanna

T: John Quinn

prominent, dropped to rear 2f out, struggling when eased final 110yds

7/1

6th

3

(6)

29th Apr 2023

Soft

0m 6f 0y

Class 4

17:50 Ripon

Signora Camacho

9st 6lb

J: James Sullivan

T: John Quinn

Bolted up in an Ayr nursery last July (6f, good); made heavy weather of following up at Chelmsford one week later (5f) when the drop in trip didn't suit; good runs at York and Naas in September but off since a modest effort in the Redcar Two-Year-Old Trophy last October; back in calmer waters and she looks the type her trainer will coax more out of this year.

7/1

Form: -77737

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 66

Form & Verdict
Still to get his head in front and he's been largely below par this season, only seventh of nine at Haydock (7f) 11 days ago; cheekpieces replace the visor now with something to prove.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

5

(8)

3rd Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 96y

Class 6

20:40 Beverley

Reginald Charles

9st 6lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Geoff Oldroyd

Three AW wins and 0-18 on turf after finishing second to Travis at Redcar; the winner comfortably had his measure but a 5lb pull could make it interesting.

5/1

2nd

7

(1)

19th Jun 2026

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 6

14:15 Redcar

Reginald Charles

9st 5lb

J: Sam James

T: Geoff Oldroyd

All three wins have come on AW and he is 0-17 on turf, though he has been placed in both visits here including when beaten just a short head over this trip last October; each-way claims again.

10/1

5th

14

(16)

24th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 6y

Class 6

14:15 Doncaster

Reginald Charles

9st 6lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Geoff Oldroyd

0-16 on turf but he went mighty close at Redcar (good) in October; narrow winner at Southwell (also 7f, AW) on next start in December and it was a good effort when third to Wrydcroft over latter C&D last time; that did come after another two-month break but he's a player if backing it up 17 days on.

8/1

7/1

Form: 9-5479 D

Last run: 14 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Two-time 6f juvenile scorer; had breathing surgery before coming in last of nine in 6f Pontefract handicap a fortnight ago but didn't enjoy the best of runs there so shouldn't be written off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

13th

8

(10)

10th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 0y

Class 5

16:55 Carlisle

Hougoumont

9st 3lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood

Won twice in novice company as a 2yo; record of 0-10 in handicaps but he's dropped down the weights and didn't get much luck when fourth at Beverley (7.4f, soft) on recent stable debut; looks worth a try at this new trip and he's not ruled out with cheekpieces added.

10/1

4th

9

(4)

29th May 2024

Good

0m 7f 96y

Class 5

14:10 Beverley

Hougoumont

8st 11lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood

Won twice in novice company as a 2yo; yet to win a handicap but he ran well at Chelmsford on Good Friday (7f, AW); less good at Musselburgh one month later; has since left Julie Camacho.

14/1

14

(11)

21st Apr 2024

Good

1m 0f 2y

Class 5

16:45 Musselburgh

Hougoumont

9st 4lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Julie Camacho

0-8 in handicaps but has come down the weights and ran promisingly at Chelmsford (7f, AW) most recently, while shaping as if he's ready for a crack at this new trip; one to consider.

15/2

Form: 615130 D

Last run: 75 days

W: 9st 2lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
A two-time 6f winner earlier this term but he beat only one in 6f Thirsk handicap in June; he needs to bounce back after a break.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8

(7)

29th Sep 2025

Good

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

17:05 Brighton

Werenotreallyhere

8st 11lb

J: Edward Greatrex

T: Daniel Steele

Dead-heated over 1m here last year off this mark but a rollercoaster ride for his backers in the meantime; another fair effort when 2l away on the AW three weeks ago but he's never the percentage call.

16/1

5th

6

(6)

8th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 1y

Class 6

17:29 Lingfield (AW)

Werenotreallyhere

8st 10lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Daniel Steele

Only 1lb higher than when dead-heating at Brighton (1m, good) in May but he's been up and down since and was last of nine at Brighton last Monday; comes with risks attached and he's not the percentage call; cheekpieces removed.

12/1

6

(6)

1st Sep 2025

Good To Firm

0m 7f 216y

Class 6

16:52 Brighton

Werenotreallyhere

9st 5lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Daniel Steele

Lost second to Headshot in closing stages of 1m2f classified race won by Celebrating Ethel here (good) last month but that was still a good effort and today's shorter trip probably suits him better; now only 1lb higher than when dead-heating over C&D in May and might be boosted by refitted cheekpieces.

13/2

Form: 0-2384 D

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Fair 6f winner but he comes here on the back of below-par efforts in 6f handicaps at Hamilton and Haydock; others appeal more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(4)

13th Jul 2026

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 6

18:40 Lingfield (AW)

Hour By Hour

9st 5lb

J: Charles Bishop

T: Adam Kirby

All wins at 6f on ground ranging from good to soft to heavy, the last three in 2024; well handicapped on his old form but he's been tailed off in three runs (1m, AW/good to firm) for new yard this year and has a lot to prove

20/1

7th

1

(7)

26th Jun 2026

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

18:25 Newmarket (July)

Hour By Hour

10st 2lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Adam Kirby

All wins at 6f on ground ranging from good to soft to heavy, the last three in 2024; well below best on final starts for previous trainer and he's beaten a total of one rival in two AW runs (1m) for this one in 2026; has a lot to prove.

25/1

10th

11

(1)

10th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

18:40 Kempton (AW)

Hour By Hour

9st 3lb

J: Charles Bishop

T: Adam Kirby

Well treated on his 2024 form; low-key stable debut here three weeks ago and he arrives with a point to prove.

33/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £41.50
Straight Forecast £32.29
Tricast £92.24
Trifecta £141.80

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Elusive Angel

The Times:

Creative Style

TOPSPEED:

Happier

The Star:

Hougoumont

POSTDATA:

B Associates

D Express:

Mersea

RP RATINGS:

Elusive Angel

NEWMARKET:

Elusive Angel

Telegraph:

Elusive Angel

Daily Mail:

Elusive Angel

The Sun:

Elusive Angel

Daily Record:

Elusive Angel

The Guardian:

Creative Style

Daily Mirror:

Creative Style