October 19 / 17.40 Brighton

17.40

Good To Soft

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

  • Prize money: £3873.16
  • 0m 5f 60y
  • Class 5
  • 5 runners
SKY
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At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Runners: 5 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Rain

OUR TIP

9/2 (Won)

  • Win: £3.75
  • Place: £1.60

Form: 1-9224

Last run: 12 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Raced only six times, mostly at 6f; won on AW last November; latest effort suggests this drop back in trip is well worth exploring, and the fitting of headgear is another possible source of progress; one to consider.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(3)

19th Oct 2023

Good To Soft

0m 5f 60y

Class 5

17:40 Brighton

Fifty Year Storm

9st 11lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

took keen hold, prominent, switched to centre 3f out, jinked right and led over 1f out, kept on well final 110yds

9/2

4th

7

(4)

7th Oct 2023

Standard

0m 6f 20y

Class 5

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Fifty Year Storm

9st 8lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Archie Watson

Won a Lingfield maiden (6f, Polytrack) last November and has finished runner-up in her last two handicaps, the latest behind an easy winner at Chelmsford (6f, Polytrack) five weeks ago (third has won since); unexposed after just five starts and one for the shortlist.

5/1

2nd

2

(3)

2nd Sep 2023

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

19:15 Chelmsford (AW)

Fifty Year Storm

9st 13lb

J: Taylor Fisher

T: Archie Watson

mounted in chute, went second 1f out, kept on, no match for winner

9/2

9/1

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 135146 CD

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 9lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Has gained both wins this term on soft ground but previous successes came on good; conditions aside, she appears to need a career best; yet to score off a mark this high.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

5

(1)

30th Oct 2025

Soft

0m 5f 160y

Class 6

15:55 Bath

Mary Of Modena

9st 6lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Michael Attwater

Six-time winner but out of sorts on last three starts; needs to get back to the form she showed when winning at Lingfield (6f, good to soft) in July.

20/1

6th

5

(1)

30th Oct 2025

Soft

0m 5f 160y

Class 6

15:55 Bath

Mary Of Modena

9st 6lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Michael Attwater

Six-time winner but out of sorts on last three starts; needs to get back to the form she showed when winning at Lingfield (6f, good to soft) in July.

20/1

Form: 467278

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 60

Form & Verdict
Inconsistent 3yo maiden who has been campaigned at 6f/7f; close second at Salisbury on most recent turf attempt but isn't guaranteed to repeat that form, especially as new trip is an unknown.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

6

(7)

8th Oct 2024

Good To Soft

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

17:15 Brighton

Muy Muy Guapo

9st 0lb

J: Paddy Bradley

T: Simon Dow

slowly away

13/2

3rd

7

(5)

17th Sep 2024

Good

0m 5f 215y

Class 6

14:20 Brighton

Muy Muy Guapo

8st 11lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Simon Dow

slowly away, in rear, still plenty to do over 3f out, headway over 1f out, went third inside final 110yds, ran on well

5/1

4th

5

(5)

9th Sep 2024

Soft

0m 6f 210y

Class 6

17:50 Brighton

Muy Muy Guapo

8st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Simon Dow

Went very close in classified event over C&D (good to firm) in June; has failed to repeat that form since and latest defeat took record to 0-23; chance depends on how well he responds to new headgear.

12/1

Form: 848531 CD

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Belatedly opened his 2023 account in C&D contest (good to firm) last week, registering a fourth Brighton success; incurs a penalty (2lb lower in future) but remains well handicapped on peak form that includes wins off higher marks; shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(4)

17th Sep 2024

Good

0m 5f 60y

Class 6

17:20 Brighton

Batchelor Boy

9st 11lb

J: William Carson

T: John Gallagher

slowly into stride, always behind

8/1

5th

2

(2)

2nd Sep 2024

Good To Firm

0m 5f 215y

Class 6

16:20 Brighton

Batchelor Boy

9st 9lb

J: Darragh Keenan

T: John Gallagher

Eight-time winner at up to 7f; made virtually all when scoring at Yarmouth (5f, good to firm) in April, but he's not hit the same level since and was only sixth of eight at Windsor last time; now back below his last winning mark but he needs to raise his game.

11/2

6th

2

(1)

19th Aug 2024

Good To Firm

0m 5f 21y

Class 6

19:25 Windsor

Batchelor Boy

9st 10lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: John Gallagher

Made all to beat Exceed at Yarmouth (5f, good to firm) in April and he's 1lb lower today; mixed bag since but he's got the rail to help today and Oisin Murphy's booking is an obvious plus; big player.

9/2

14/1

Form: 158584 D

Last run: 10 days

W: 9st 9lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 68

Form & Verdict
Hinted at a return to form in Wolverhampton contest (AW) last week on third run for new stable; return to turf is the negative, having failed to score in this sphere since 2019.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

10

(1)

25th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 6

14:42 Lingfield (AW)

The Defiant

8st 9lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Luke Dace

Not the force of old and, although he retains some ability, others in this field have more pressing claims.

10/1

4th

3

(5)

12th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 5f 6y

Class 6

15:08 Lingfield (AW)

The Defiant

9st 1lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Luke Dace

Multiple 5f winner down the years, including over C&D, but his powers appear to be on the wane; a couple of respectable efforts last month but more will be needed to win.

8/1

Non-runners

On Edge, El Tesoro, Puffable

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £10.70
Straight Forecast £11.17
Trifecta £33.40

Selections

RP RATINGS:

On Edge

LAMBOURN:

Fifty Year Storm

POSTDATA:

Mary Of Modena

D Express:

Batchelor Boy

SPOTLIGHT:

Puffable

NEWMARKET:

El Tesoro

Daily Mail:

Fifty Year Storm

The Sun:

Fifty Year Storm

The Times:

Mary Of Modena

The Guardian:

Mary Of Modena

Telegraph:

On Edge

Daily Mirror:

On Edge

The Star:

On Edge

Daily Record:

Batchelor Boy