June 26 / 15.05 Carlisle

15.05

Good To Firm

Stablemate By AGMA Cumberland Plate Handicap

  • Prize money: £15702
  • 1m 3f 39y
  • Class 4
  • 12 runners
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Stablemate By AGMA Cumberland Plate Handicap

Runners: 12 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Mostly cloudy

3/1 (Won)

  • Win: £3.00
  • Place: £1.50

Form: 923-32

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Second or third in the last four of his five races, best form when front-running second of six at Leicester (1m4f, good to soft) last time in his second handicap; easily worst result was on debut on his sole outing on good to firm; major player judged on the latest effort.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

3

(1)

19th Jul 2024

Good

1m 3f 15y

Class 1

19:10 Hamilton

Sea The Thunder

9st 7lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

Came good at sixth attempt, dominating the always-competitive Cumberland Plate from the front at Carlisle (1m3f, good to firm) last month; takes on higher-calibre opposition here and has work to do at the weights but could have significant further improvement to come.

8/1

1st

11

(1)

26th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 4

15:05 Carlisle

Sea The Thunder

9st 3lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ralph Beckett

made all, pushed along up the centre over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, wandered around inside final furlong, kept on well final 110yds, unchallenged

3/1

2nd

3

(3)

4th Jun 2024

Good To Soft

1m 3f 179y

Class 4

16:03 Leicester

Sea The Thunder

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

Best 2yo form when going close on soft at Salisbury (1m); looked likely to raise his game upped to 1m2f at Newmarket but he just plugged on into third in October and again on reappearance/handicap debut there (good) last month; step up in trip is due but drying ground is a query.

3/1

13/2

  • Place: £2.90

Form: 342241 C

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 8lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Very solid sequence over about 1m2f/1m3f on AW and turf this year, culminating in his win at Beverley 18 days ago; add in a 2-2 record at Carlisle and he has to be on the shortlist, despite going up another 4lb.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

5

(6)

11th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 6f 32y

Class 4

16:45 Carlisle

Ludos Landing

9st 6lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Charlie Johnston

Scored at Newcastle (1m4f) in March but largely below form since, last of four in 1m4f handicap at Thirsk ten days ago; this course winner needs to take a step forward in refitted blinkers.

12/1

4th

1

(1)

1st Aug 2026

Good

1m 4f 8y

Class 5

16:22 Thirsk

Ludos Landing

10st 2lb

J: Silvestre De Sousa

T: Charlie Johnston

Exposed 6yo who concedes weight to 3yo rivals but brings positives, being the only C&D scorer in the field and a winner off 2lb higher in most recent attempt in this grade.

11/2

5th

4

(3)

24th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 6f 0y

Class 4

18:20 Sandown

Ludos Landing

9st 5lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Charlie Johnston

Strike-rate of 7-50; won off this mark in March but well beaten in three of his four subsequent runs and has become hard to predict.

11/1

20/1

  • Place: £7.20

Form: 05-700

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 10lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Showed his good side to score at Ayr last September and has a 4lb lower mark today, but he was inconsistent last term and has been beaten about 20l in all three starts this season.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

8

(8)

25th Oct 2024

Heavy

1m 4f 0y

Class 3

16:01 Newbury

Thundering

9st 6lb

J: Sam James

T: Kevin Ryan

Two wins from 24 starts; heavy defeats in four of seven races this term but also now placed in three of his last four; more to prove on soft or heavy.

8/1

2nd

5

(8)

3rd Oct 2024

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 4

17:05 Newcastle (AW)

Thundering

9st 10lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Kevin Ryan

held up in rear, smooth headway on outer over 2f out, led narrowly over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, kept on

7/1

Form: 15-222

Last run: 12 days

W: 10st 0lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
Steadily progressive; has made a solid start to his 2024 campaign with three seconds, on last occasion short of room for a long way at Sandown (1m2f, good to firm) but repeatedly hanging right did not help his cause; has run respectably on sole attempts at 1m3f and 1m4f; cheekpieces are enlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

1

(9)

28th Jul 2025

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 4

16:05 Ayr

Born Ruler

10st 3lb

J: Cam Hardie

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Hasn't really threatened on his three runs this year but has been in fair form and he won by 4l over C&D (good) last July on his last visit to Ayr; first-time blinkers replace cheekpieces; could go well.

5/1

4

(7)

14th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 3f 188y

Class 3

14:25 York

Born Ruler

10st 6lb

J: Miss Gina Andrews

T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Consistent last year; hasn't threatened on either outing this season but he kept on for a fair fourth in a warm race at Redcar (1m2f, good to firm) last time and may benefit from this step back up in trip; unraced on slow ground; cheekpieces go back on, which he wore for his last win; chance.

4/1

9/1

Form: 56-813 CD

Last run: 11 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Won at Carlisle (1m3f) and York (1m4f; readily) last summer and he returned to winning ways when delivering a late challenge at Catterick (1m6f, good to firm) this month; good third of 18 from off the pace in amateurs event at York (1m4f) one week later; failed to shine in this race last year but soft ground was probably against him; firmly in the picture.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

6

(4)

11th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 6f 32y

Class 4

16:45 Carlisle

Gibside

9st 5lb

J: Duran Fentiman

T: Tim Easterby

Course winner but he's yet to hit top form this season and came in a never-dangerous third of five in 1m6f handicap at Thirsk 18 days ago; not easy to make a case for despite a falling mark.

8/1

3rd

1

(3)

24th Jul 2026

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 5

15:40 Thirsk

Gibside

10st 0lb

J: Jake Dickson

T: Tim Easterby

Eight wins at up to 2m2f and he's versatile ground-wise; his last success was off 5lb higher at Catterick (1m4f) last autumn but he's been out of sorts this season and was tailed off at York last time; now drops back in grade but he needs a major revival.

7/1

Form: 4562/8

Last run: 23 days

W: 10st 0lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 82

Form & Verdict
All three wins for Ivan Furtado came over 1m4f at Wolverhampton late in 2021 but he had some comparable turf form in 2022; never involved but more than hinted at retaining ability for new yard at Wetherby (1m2f; 40-1) this month, having missed 2023; market can guide again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(10)

18th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 5

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Desert Emperor

10st 1lb

J: Ryan Sexton

T: Michael & David Easterby

Won a Newcastle handicap over a similar trip last December off the same mark; best effort this year when second of five back at Newcastle three weeks ago; suspicion the 3yos will have his measure this time.

10/1

1

(4)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 4

17:00 Newcastle (AW)

Desert Emperor

9st 8lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Won over C&D in December but he's returned from a layoff with two low-key runs this summer; only 1lb higher than for that last success but tailed off at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) last month and needs a major revival.

20/1

10th

4

(1)

17th Aug 2025

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 4

16:52 Southwell (AW)

Desert Emperor

10st 1lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Michael & David Easterby

Returned from layoff with low-key turf run three weeks ago but won over about 1m4f on Tapeta at Newcastle in December and has obvious claims here if back at that level.

14/1

4/1

Form: 50-364 D BF

Last run: 12 days

W: 10st 1lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Completed a four-timer last summer for Tony Carroll, the last leg when upped to 11.4f at Windsor; running well in defeat over 1m2f for new yard this season, meeting trouble in running on the heels of Born Ruler at Sandown on latest; each-way chance.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(2)

16th Aug 2026

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 4

13:30 Southwell (AW)

Gallant Lion

9st 5lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Ian Williams

Back to some form over 1m4f on turf on last two starts; 0-11 on AW, however, with two places but they were on Polytrack.

11/1

4th

7

(5)

19th Jun 2026

Good

1m 3f 218y

Class 4

18:55 Goodwood

Gallant Lion

8st 12lb

J: Ryan Kavanagh

T: Ian Williams

Struggled over 1m at Southwell last month but relished the step back up in trip when winning at Brighton (1m4f, good to firm) three weeks ago; still fairly treated on his old form off this 3lb higher mark and has claims.

100/30

1st

7

(8)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 198y

Class 5

15:20 Brighton

Gallant Lion

9st 0lb

J: Jason Watson

T: Ian Williams

1m2f win here (good to firm) kicked off a four-timer in 2023 for Tony Carroll but he took a while to rediscover his level before scoring at Chepstow (1m4f, good; first-time blinkers) for this yard one year ago; raced mainly over further without success since and latest start over 1m can be written off; handy mark and he's not discounted on just his second visit to Brighton.

9/1

OUR TIP

Form: 118253

Last run: 25 days

W: 10st 2lb

4 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Can front-run; unraced on firmer than good; four AW wins this January-March and he's run well back on turf on last three outings; on the premises if the ground is okay.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

6

(9)

8th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 211y

Class 2

14:45 Ascot

Asgards Captain

9st 8lb

J: Ryan Moore

T: Dylan Cunha

Seen mostly at up to 1m4f so perhaps unwise to read all that much into last two defeats over 2m and 1m6f; not impossibly treated on his solid 1m4f form earlier this season, and last year's efforts included a 2l defeat in this (not seen to best effect) and a victory over Insanity at York (1m4f, good to firm); in the mix.

13/2

6th

5

(3)

10th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 6f 0y

Class 2

15:00 Newmarket (July)

Asgards Captain

9st 1lb

J: David Egan

T: Dylan Cunha

Seen mostly at up to 1m4f, over which he delivered a telling late challenge on the other Newmarket track in May; while that looked encouraging for longer trips, his one attempt at 1m6f (on soft last July) and two at 2m (last two Northumberland Plates) saw him well beaten; that's not conclusive proof that he won't stay 1m6f but it leaves his stamina unproven.

33/1

12th

11

(13)

27th Jun 2026

Standard To Slow

2m 0f 56y

Class 2

15:15 Newcastle (AW)

Asgards Captain

9st 1lb

J: Saffie Osborne

T: Dylan Cunha

Three wins at this track but he came 13th in this race last year; that was his only appearance over this long a trip and he was also below form when he had a crack at 1m6f, so he's unproven beyond 1m4f, over which he's contested his last nine starts; stamina is the big doubt.

16/1

Form: 416664

Last run: 11 days

W: 10st 2lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Won at Redcar (1m2f, soft; acts on good to firm) early last month; rarely seen beyond 10.4f but shaped as if he got 1m4f when coming from well off the pace to take fourth in amateurs race at York 11 days ago, albeit below form; work to do with third-placed Gibside on that result.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

15

(13)

30th Mar 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 3

16:15 Doncaster

Baryshnikov

8st 12lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: David & Nicola Barron

slowly away, in rear

25/1

Form: 239-64 CD

Last run: 52 days

W: 9st 12lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 80

Form & Verdict
Won here in 2021 and beaten a neck in this race last year on his second visit; well treated on several 2023 efforts but not so good on either of his Flat runs this year and his second at Kelso on latest outing was over hurdles; no win anywhere since July 2021; has tried cheekpieces and a visor, placed in most of them, and now it's blinkers.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(5)

2nd Sep 2026

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

13:45 Newcastle (AW)

Ravenscraig Castle

9st 9lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Without a win on the Flat since 2021 and he came in only ninth of 12 in 1m2f Ayr handicap 23 days ago; others appeal more.

9/1

9th

7

(5)

10th Aug 2026

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

16:15 Ayr

Ravenscraig Castle

9st 8lb

J: Cara Tuke

T: Iain Jardine

Largely consistent hurdler who returned to the Flat with respectable fourth (just behind Penelope's Sister) over C&D (good to firm) a fortnight ago; 1lb lower today and might be better suited by the slightly slower ground; each-way claims at least.

6/1

4th

4

(10)

27th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:20 Ayr

Ravenscraig Castle

9st 7lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

Overall record of 3-54 but he's been placed over hurdles in his last two runs and is well handicapped on his best Flat form in 2025; hard to rule out back in this sphere and he has won at this track.

12/1

11th
12 (2)
Ayr Poet

33/1

Form: 35-327

Last run: 4 days

W: 8st 13lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 67

Form & Verdict
9yo who's best known for his performances at Ayr (five wins) and Hamilton (three); runner-up here once last summer; 1lb above his last winning mark (from last September) and latest start is easy to forgive, because of 1m5f and a marked step up in class, but he's usually seen at up to 1m2f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

9

(2)

30th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 173y

Class 4

17:28 Carlisle

Ayr Poet

9st 3lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Jim Goldie

All 13 wins have come elsewhere but he does have course form and he did so well when going close at Ayr (1m1f, good to firm) last week; however, he's now 6lb higher than his September win which might be a step too far.

9/2

2nd

9

(6)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 20y

Class 4

14:42 Ayr

Ayr Poet

8st 12lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Jim Goldie

Rounded off last season with a game win here (1m Class 5, good to soft; from 4lb lower), that his 13th win; struggled in a competitive Sunday Series Handicap at Musselburgh 24 days ago, and it might be a similar story here; stablemate of Pearl Eye and Motawaared.

40/1

12th

8

(12)

26th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 2y

Class 4

15:45 Musselburgh

Ayr Poet

9st 6lb

J: Shay Farmer

T: Jim Goldie

11yo who was as good as ever last season, winning three times, including at Ayr in September when last season; this two-time course winner is not ruled out on his return but there's a suspicion he'll improve for the run.

16/1

50/1

Form: 12-250 D

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 7lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Returned to the Flat last spring/summer for three wins (one here) and two seconds; career-best form when close second off this mark at Musselburgh on reappearance this April, which has been followed however by two heavy defeats at Hamilton where he registered one of his wins last term; made most last time, whereas plenty of his success last year came when held up.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

4

(11)

24th Aug 2026

Good

1m 0f 208y

Class 5

15:15 Musselburgh

Simple Star

9st 9lb

J: Sam James

T: Gary Rutherford

Three wins over 1m4f here, the latest off 4lb higher last August (good) when with Dianne Sayer; tailed off over 1m5f here last time (slowly away); takes a significant drop in trip; cheekpieces tried.

33/1

5th

2

(3)

7th Aug 2026

Good

1m 5f 0y

Class 5

16:24 Musselburgh

Simple Star

9st 13lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Gary Rutherford

Won over a slightly shorter trip here fpr Dianne Sayer a year ago but has not been firing on all cylinders this season; managed only fourth of six here (2m, good) on last week's stable debut; needs to up his game.

20/1

4th

5

(4)

31st Jul 2026

Good

1m 7f 217y

Class 5

20:25 Musselburgh

Simple Star

9st 2lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Gary Rutherford

Three course wins over shorter but does stay this trip; mixed bag so far this year and he needs a recent stable switch (same owner) to spark something extra.

10/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £34.50
Straight Forecast £26.57
Tricast £548.78
Trifecta £676.50

Selections

The Times:

Sea The Thunder

SPOTLIGHT:

Gibside

RP RATINGS:

Gallant Lion

NEWMARKET:

Born Ruler

TOPSPEED:

Ravenscraig Castle

Telegraph:

Sea The Thunder

The Guardian:

Sea The Thunder

Daily Mail:

Sea The Thunder

The Star:

Sea The Thunder

Daily Record:

Sea The Thunder

D Express:

Gallant Lion

The Sun:

Born Ruler

POSTDATA:

Gibside

Daily Mirror:

Gibside