July 18 / 15.25 Hamilton

15.25

Good To Soft

Racing TV HD On Sky 424 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £4050
  • 1m 0f 68y
  • Class 5
  • 7 runners
RTV
View Course
Racing TV HD On Sky 424 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

OUR TIP

8/11 (Won)

  • Win: £1.23
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 21 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Eyecatching runner-up on debut at Wetherby (7f, good) last month then easily made all at Thirsk (1m, good to soft) a fortnight ago; he's a bright prospect who holds strong claims under a 7lb penalty.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

4

(8)

11th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

15:45 York

Thunder Run

9st 10lb

J: Shane Gray

T: K R Burke

Dual winner here (both on good to firm) who was sixth in this last year and was runner-up to Warrant Holder over C&D (good) this May; soundly beaten at Royal Ascot since but he's an each-way possible back at York.

18/1

15th

10

(28)

17th Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

17:00 Ascot

Thunder Run

9st 5lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Back to form with second at the York Dante festival (good) in the 1m2f event he'd won 12 months earlier; before racing over longer trips he was a three-time 1m winner and ran creditably in major handicap over C&D once; may remain competitive.

20/1

2nd

1

(10)

15th May 2026

Good

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

14:55 York

Thunder Run

9st 12lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Disappointing in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket on final outing last season and same story in Listed race at Kempton on last month's reappearance; however, he's back down to the same mark as when winning this last year (good to firm) and can have a big say if he's back on song.

5/1

2/1

  • Place: £1.40

Form: 15-

Last run: 250 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Won on debut at Saint-Cloud (7.5f, good) last October for Christopher Ferland and soundly beaten fifth of nine in Listed race (1m, heavy) in November; gelded since and has joined top yard for British career; could play a leading role under a 7lb penalty on his British debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

2

(5)

12th Jun 2026

Yielding To Soft

1m 1f 100y

19:43 Gowran Park

Terre De Vega

9st 13lb

J: Chris Hayes

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Won on good ground at two in France; ran only twice for William Haggas in 2024; same last year for this stable, the best of those a second at Leopardstown on the first of two late-season handicap outings; out of his depth in 10.5f Listed at Naas on return; plenty to find.

14/1

8th

3

(5)

22nd Mar 2026

Soft To Heavy

1m 2f 125y

16:22 Naas

Terre De Vega

9st 7lb

J: Chris Hayes

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Won on good ground at two in France; ran only twice for William Haggas in 2024; same last year for this stable; second at Leopardstown on the first of two late-season handicap outings; faces a huge task at these weights.

50/1

22th

5

(4)

2nd Nov 2025

Heavy

1m 0f 0y

15:05 Curragh

Terre De Vega

9st 11lb

J: Gary Halpin

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Won on good ground whan trained in France as a 2yo; not many runs since and was picked up by current connections for 3,600gns in an online sale in August; seemed rusty in the early stages but ran on well to be just denied at Leopardstown 14 days ago; up 5lb but a big player if building on that.

13/2

Form: 73

Last run: 24 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Left May's debut run (7.4f, soft) behind when close third of five at Thirsk (1m, good to firm) last month; her dam was a Listed winner and there's every chance she'll continue to improve; on the shortlist.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(3)

11th Sep 2024

Standard

1m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:20 Lingfield (AW)

Celestial Wave

9st 3lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

took keen hold, led, prominent after 1f, lost ground 5f out, soon weakened quickly

10/1

8th

6

(7)

17th Aug 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:55 Newmarket (July)

Celestial Wave

9st 8lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Charlie Johnston

prominent, weakened quickly 2f out, tailed off

15/2

3rd

8

(2)

18th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

15:25 Hamilton

Celestial Wave

8st 13lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

led

7/1

66/1

Form: 6-7

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Hasn't shown enough on his two starts (1m/1m1f) to suggest he'll make an impact this afternoon; may come into his own over further.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

31st Mar 2025

Good

2m 0f 190y

Class 5

17:00 Newcastle

Mix De Gris

10st 4lb

J: Alan Doyle

T: Lucinda Russell

Seems to have learned to settle better on recent outings and kept on well for close fourth (just behind Willie Shake Hands) over C&D (good to soft) last month; slightly disappointing at Ayr since but still considered.

5/1

5th

6

31st Mar 2025

Good

2m 0f 190y

Class 5

17:00 Newcastle

Mix De Gris

10st 4lb

J: Alan Doyle

T: Lucinda Russell

Seems to have learned to settle better on recent outings and kept on well for close fourth (just behind Willie Shake Hands) over C&D (good to soft) last month; slightly disappointing at Ayr since but still considered.

5/1

4th

9

7th Mar 2025

Soft

2m 0f 0y

Class 5

15:35 Ayr

Mix De Gris

10st 11lb

J: Conner McCann

T: Lucinda Russell

Remains winless but he posted a good fourth of 13 in 2m Newcastle handicap hurdle 22 days ago given he was set plenty to do; this keen-going sort can't be discounted off the same mark.

4/1

Form: 55

Last run: 12 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR:

Form & Verdict
Has shown very little at big prices on her first two outings.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

9

(6)

18th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

15:25 Hamilton

Pennymuir

8st 13lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford

in rear

200/1

5th

7

(2)

6th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 5

19:20 Carlisle

Pennymuir

9st 2lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford

300-1, beaten 23l on recent 1m2f Redcar debut.

100/1

5th

7

(1)

27th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 35y

Class 5

19:45 Hamilton

Pennymuir

9st 0lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford

midfield

33/1

100/1

Form: 87

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Big odds and beaten a long way on both starts.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

12

(7)

21st Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 6

15:50 Carlisle

Leveche

8st 6lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

took keen hold, held up in rear, no impression from 3f out

40/1

10th

10

(2)

10th Aug 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

20:45 Ayr

Leveche

9st 1lb

J: Mohammed Tabti

T: Iain Jardine

Beaten 21l or more on three qualifying runs at 1m-8.5f, slowly away and soon struggling in two of them; optimum trip could shake out at anywhere between 7f and 1m4f judged on the immediate family.

33/1

6th

5

(9)

18th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

15:25 Hamilton

Leveche

9st 4lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

slowly away, raced in last

100/1

200/1

Form: 77

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR:

Form & Verdict
Tailed off at triple-figure odds last month on first two starts.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

6

(1)

20th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

14:30 Ayr

Royal Duke

8st 13lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: R Mike Smith

Three 5f wins to his name, one of them at this track, but unplaced in six runs over 6f+; finished behind stablemate Whiskey Kisses over C&D last week; new cheekpieces not enough to tempt.

10/1

5th

7

(1)

13th Jul 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

15:00 Ayr

Royal Duke

9st 1lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: R Mike Smith

All three wins have been over 5f on good ground, latest at Musselburgh last August; hasn't been in top form this term, best run when third at Musselburgh in June (5f); bit to prove, including his stamina.

25/1

7th

7

(8)

6th Jul 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 6

17:00 Ayr

Royal Duke

9st 3lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: R Mike Smith

All three wins at 5f on good ground; not quite nailing it this year and it's up in the air as to whether this is his trip, having been well held in sole previous attempt, over C&D in April 2025.

14/1

Non-runners

Bolton, Barefoot Warrior

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £1.40
Straight Forecast £1.46
Trifecta £1.90

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Thunder Run

Daily Mail:

Celestial Wave

NEWMARKET:

Terre De Vega

RP RATINGS:

Thunder Run

POSTDATA:

Thunder Run

The Times:

Thunder Run

Telegraph:

Thunder Run

The Guardian:

Thunder Run

D Express:

Thunder Run

Daily Mirror:

Thunder Run

The Sun:

Thunder Run

The Star:

Thunder Run

Daily Record:

Thunder Run