July 18 / 15.25 Hamilton

15.25

Good To Soft

Racing TV HD On Sky 424 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £4050
  • 1m 0f 68y
  • Class 5
  • 7 runners
RTV
View Course
Racing TV HD On Sky 424 Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Cloudy

OUR TIP

8/11 (Won)

  • Win: £1.23
  • Place: £1.10

Form: 21 D

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Eyecatching runner-up on debut at Wetherby (7f, good) last month then easily made all at Thirsk (1m, good to soft) a fortnight ago; he's a bright prospect who holds strong claims under a 7lb penalty.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

24th

1

(16)

26th Sep 2026

Good

1m 1f 0y

Class 2

15:40 Newmarket

Thunder Run

10st 0lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Fine second at York (1m2f, good to soft) last month and won at Doncaster (1m2f, good) a fortnight ago; a 4lb penalty takes him to a new career-high mark but he looked better than ever last time and Karl Burke and Clifford Lee have combined to win the last two runnings of this race with topweights.

20/1

1st

1

(5)

12th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

16:48 Doncaster

Thunder Run

9st 12lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Twice runner-up in large fields over York's 1m2f this season, including at the Ebor festival (good to soft) on latest start; respected despite a return to his career-high mark.

4/1

2nd

2

(13)

22nd Aug 2026

Good To Soft

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

17:20 York

Thunder Run

9st 10lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

His two wins here came on good to firm but he also acts on soft; respectable seventh of 22 to Raammee in the John Smith's Cup over C&D (good to firm) latest; being eased 2lb is a help but it may not be quite enough.

22/1

2/1

  • Place: £1.40

Form: 15-

Last run: 250 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Won on debut at Saint-Cloud (7.5f, good) last October for Christopher Ferland and soundly beaten fifth of nine in Listed race (1m, heavy) in November; gelded since and has joined top yard for British career; could play a leading role under a 7lb penalty on his British debut.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

16

(10)

18th Oct 2026

Good

1m 0f 100y

15:12 Leopardstown

Terre De Vega

9st 0lb

J: Terry Casey

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Won on good ground at two in France; very lightly raced in recent years, well held all four runs this season; handicapper relenting (down 15lb this year) but hard to be confident in.

33/1

10th

4

(3)

4th Oct 2026

Good To Yielding

1m 0f 0y

17:25 Curragh

Terre De Vega

9st 12lb

J: Terry Casey

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Won on good ground at two in France; very lightly raced in recent years, well held all three runs this season, most recently in new headgear combination in Galway premier handicap in July; handicapper relenting (down 11lb this year) but hard to be confident in.

14/1

16th

16

(17)

28th Jul 2026

Good To Yielding

1m 0f 123y

18:45 Galway

Terre De Vega

8st 10lb

J: Keithen Kennedy

T: John Andrew Kinsella

Won on good ground at two in France; ran only twice for William Haggas in 2024; same last year for this stable, the best of those a second at Leopardstown on the first of two late-season handicap outings; dismal form in three subsequent outings

33/1

Form: 73

Last run: 24 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Left May's debut run (7.4f, soft) behind when close third of five at Thirsk (1m, good to firm) last month; her dam was a Listed winner and there's every chance she'll continue to improve; on the shortlist.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

7

(3)

11th Sep 2024

Standard

1m 4f 0y

Class 5

17:20 Lingfield (AW)

Celestial Wave

9st 3lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

took keen hold, led, prominent after 1f, lost ground 5f out, soon weakened quickly

10/1

8th

6

(7)

17th Aug 2024

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:55 Newmarket (July)

Celestial Wave

9st 8lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Charlie Johnston

prominent, weakened quickly 2f out, tailed off

15/2

3rd

8

(2)

18th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

15:25 Hamilton

Celestial Wave

8st 13lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

led

7/1

66/1

Form: 6-7

Last run: 31 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Hasn't shown enough on his two starts (1m/1m1f) to suggest he'll make an impact this afternoon; may come into his own over further.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4

19th Oct 2026

Good

1m 7f 195y

Class 5

16:30 Plumpton

Mix De Gris

10st 12lb

J: Marc Goldstein

T: Sheena West

Well handicapped if judged on best hurdling form for Lucinda Russell in 2024-25 season but, following a long absence, raced too freely and was well beaten on the Flat for new yard in August; current ability hard to gauge.

10/1

9th

6

(7)

17th Aug 2026

Good To Firm

1m 3f 99y

Class 6

19:55 Windsor

Mix De Gris

9st 4lb

J: Rose Dawes

T: Sheena West

11-race maiden (four races on Flat) who was tailed off over hurdles in March 2025 on his final run for Lucinda Russell; that's 504 days off and he has plenty to prove; the hood worn on last six starts is removed.

20/1

Form: 55

Last run: 12 days

W: 8st 13lb

3 yo Filly

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Has shown very little at big prices on her first two outings.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

9

(6)

18th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

15:25 Hamilton

Pennymuir

8st 13lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford

in rear

200/1

5th

7

(2)

6th Jul 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 5

19:20 Carlisle

Pennymuir

9st 2lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford

300-1, beaten 23l on recent 1m2f Redcar debut.

100/1

5th

7

(1)

27th Jun 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 35y

Class 5

19:45 Hamilton

Pennymuir

9st 0lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Harriet Graham & Gary Rutherford

midfield

33/1

100/1

Form: 87

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Colt

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Big odds and beaten a long way on both starts.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

12

(7)

21st Aug 2024

Good To Firm

1m 3f 39y

Class 6

15:50 Carlisle

Leveche

8st 6lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

took keen hold, held up in rear, no impression from 3f out

40/1

10th

10

(2)

10th Aug 2024

Good To Soft

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

20:45 Ayr

Leveche

9st 1lb

J: Mohammed Tabti

T: Iain Jardine

Beaten 21l or more on three qualifying runs at 1m-8.5f, slowly away and soon struggling in two of them; optimum trip could shake out at anywhere between 7f and 1m4f judged on the immediate family.

33/1

6th

5

(9)

18th Jul 2024

Good To Soft

1m 0f 68y

Class 5

15:25 Hamilton

Leveche

9st 4lb

J: Andrew Mullen

T: Iain Jardine

slowly away, raced in last

100/1

200/1

Form: 77

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 4lb

3 yo Gelding

OR: —

Form & Verdict
Tailed off at triple-figure odds last month on first two starts.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

6

(5)

20th Sep 2026

Soft

0m 5f 7y

Class 6

15:00 Hamilton

Royal Duke

9st 3lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: R Mike Smith

Finished third behind Kyber Crystal in this race in 2024; off the mark for the year when winning at Carlisle (5f, good) last month and he still looked in top form when third at Musselburgh last week, having to wait for a gap as the race unfolded in front of him; handles good to soft but a faster surface would probably be ideal.

3/1

3rd

8

(6)

12th Sep 2026

Good

0m 5f 1y

Class 6

19:20 Musselburgh

Royal Duke

9st 4lb

J: Cian Horgan

T: R Mike Smith

Ran creditably on Wednesday when bidding for a Carlisle double; remains in form and is effective in this different scenario, being a dual C&D scorer; not dismissed.

8/1

5th

11

(12)

9th Sep 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 6

15:47 Carlisle

Royal Duke

8st 13lb

J: Greg Fairley

T: R Mike Smith

Had a tongue-tie on for the first time when seventh at Musselburgh two starts back and had cheekpieces added when winning over this C&D three days later, coming home strongly from well off the pace to get the better of Cotai Starlight; shortlisted off this 3lb higher mark.

6/1

Non-runners

Bolton, Barefoot Warrior

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £1.40
Straight Forecast £1.46
Trifecta £1.90

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Thunder Run

Daily Mail:

Celestial Wave

NEWMARKET:

Terre De Vega

RP RATINGS:

Thunder Run

POSTDATA:

Thunder Run

The Times:

Thunder Run

Telegraph:

Thunder Run

The Guardian:

Thunder Run

D Express:

Thunder Run

Daily Mirror:

Thunder Run

The Sun:

Thunder Run

The Star:

Thunder Run

Daily Record:

Thunder Run