October 09 / 16.17 Nottingham

16.17

Soft

Join Us Next Week 16th October Handicap

  • Prize money: £5495.7
  • 1m 0f 75y
  • Class 4
  • 11 runners
RTV
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Join Us Next Week 16th October Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

9/1 (Won)

  • Win: £8.00
  • Place: £2.70

Form: 80283

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 3lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Five-race maiden who ran well in soft-ground handicap at Newmarket (first attempt over 1m) most recently; that form ties him in closely with Pressure's On; may improve further at this trip; shortlisted.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

8

(13)

28th Mar 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

14:25 Doncaster

Desperate Dan

9st 8lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Peter Chapple-Hyam

An ideal type for this prize having ended last term with a C&D win, showing career-best form; that was on heavy but he seems versatile as regards ground; further progress is not out of the question; shortlisted.

7/1

1st

11

(3)

25th Oct 2025

Heavy

1m 0f 0y

Class 3

15:50 Doncaster

Desperate Dan

9st 1lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Peter Chapple-Hyam

Did well last autumn (including heavy-ground win) and back to form with a 1m Windsor success (good) in September; only a respectable fourth at Nottingham (good to soft) since, though.

10/1

4

(11)

8th Oct 2025

Soft

1m 0f 75y

Class 4

15:28 Nottingham

Desperate Dan

9st 9lb

J: Neil Callan

T: Peter Chapple-Hyam

Off the mark in impressive style in this race last year (heavy); returned to form with a Windsor win (1m, good) on latest start, which sees him back up 4lb today (10lb higher than 12 months ago) but on the shortlist.

7/2

9/1

  • Place: £3.50

Form: 2-0253

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 70

Form & Verdict
Has a useful pedigree; placed in three of her five runs; finished 4l behind Native Souvenir at Ffos Las (1m, heavy) most recently but now gets an 8lb pull with that rival and both go handicapping for the first time; set for an interesting rematch.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

5

(2)

26th Feb 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 5

16:23 Kempton (AW)

Groovy Baby

8st 13lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

0-11; lots of fair form, including at this venue, but her willingness to come home in front is questionable; hood removed for the first time since her debut.

7/4

3rd

6

(4)

12th Feb 2025

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 5

13:30 Southwell (AW)

Groovy Baby

8st 13lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

led, ridden when faced challenges over 1f out, lost two places inside final furlong, kept on

9/2

4th

7

(8)

20th Jan 2025

Standard To Slow

0m 7f 0y

Class 5

18:15 Kempton (AW)

Groovy Baby

9st 5lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

Well-bred filly who is now 0-9 and looking exposed, but was runner-up in her only previous handicap and she beat all bar an unexposed favourite in a 1m novice last time; can be keen out in front and perhaps this belated return to 7f will work.

8/1

14/1

  • Place: £3.40

Form: 122038 D

Last run: 25 days

W: 9st 13lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 79

Form & Verdict
Acts on any going; brings mixed messages, having performed poorly in two of last three starts but been consistent otherwise this season; not fully certain what to expect from him.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7

(6)

4th Oct 2025

Good

0m 7f 219y

Class 2

16:30 Redcar

Boy Douglas

9st 1lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

In prime form in July, winning twice (7f/1m) at Ayr, but the wheels seem to have come off since and he beat only one home on the same course last time; others preferred.

16/1

10th

2

(13)

20th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 7f 50y

Class 4

16:40 Ayr

Boy Douglas

9st 12lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: Michael Dods

Back in prime form in July, winning twice here (1m/7f), but two slightly disappointing efforts have followed and he probably needs to rebound with a career-best performance; effective on all ground.

9/1

7th

4

(5)

6th Sep 2025

Good

0m 7f 0y

Class 4

17:35 Thirsk

Boy Douglas

9st 9lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: Michael Dods

Effective on fast and heavy ground; got back in the groove when winning twice at Ayr (1m/7f) in July but he was disappointing in hat-trick bid there last month; bit to prove again after that and he needs to bounce back near best.

9/1

Form: 425722 CD

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Has a modest strike-rate but won over C&D (soft) in April; largely consistent since, solid second off this mark at Sandown (1m, good; behind a subsequent winner) most recently; one for the shortlist.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

(12)

17th Oct 2024

Soft

0m 7f 216y

Class 5

15:15 Brighton

Ardbraccan

10st 0lb

J: Frederick Larson

T: Michael Appleby

in rear

11/2

4th

8

(2)

9th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 0f 75y

Class 4

16:17 Nottingham

Ardbraccan

9st 6lb

J: Frederick Larson

T: Michael Appleby

Has a modest strike-rate but won over C&D (soft) in April; largely consistent since, solid second off this mark at Sandown (1m, good; behind a subsequent winner) most recently; one for the shortlist.

8/1

12/1

Form: 231136 D

Last run: 21 days

W: 9st 12lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Seems to handle any ground; largely consistent 2024 campaign includes three wins; latest effort, although unplaced for the first time since March, suggests he remains in form.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

12

(1)

1st Jun 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

14:50 Newbury

Lunario

8st 11lb

J: Jack Dace

T: Luke Dace

Won twice over shorter last summer; big prices and little to cheer this year; down in the weights but he has plenty to prove.

50/1

11th

15

(5)

22nd May 2026

Soft

0m 7f 0y

Class 3

16:52 Goodwood

Lunario

8st 8lb

J: Laura Coughlan

T: Luke Dace

Returns to his ideal sphere (turf) but brings a question mark over his current form, having trailed home last in both AW outings this year; possibly out of his depth to boot, having never won above Class 4.

20/1

7th

4

(4)

27th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 7f 1y

Class 4

15:45 Lingfield (AW)

Lunario

9st 1lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Luke Dace

Last four wins have come in high summer, including two from the front last year for Jack Dace (rides Tiger Crusade), and he remains weighted to his best; didn't offer much on his comeback three weeks ago and an easy 7f is a bare minimum these days.

16/1

11/2

Form: -28552

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
7f AW success last October; generally respectable form this term, beating all bar the short-priced favourite at Newmarket (1m, soft) most recently; solid contender who has clear possibilities off an unaltered mark.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

2

(8)

1st May 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 4

19:33 Newcastle (AW)

Pressures On

9st 8lb

J: P J McDonald

T: Ed Dunlop

Didn't appear to be crying out for the return to 1m at Doncaster and weakened late on; this is his trip, over which he was twice runner-up at Wolverhampton in March; not handicapped out of it, either.

4/1

8th

20

(7)

28th Mar 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 2

14:25 Doncaster

Pressures On

9st 1lb

J: Oisin Orr

T: Ed Dunlop

Best form over 7f, including second-place finishes on Wolverhampton AW this year; faded into midfield, having raced freely, when joint-favourite for this contest 12 months ago; not crying out for return to 1m.

14/1

10/1

Form: 239026 D

Last run: 33 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 73

Form & Verdict
Won on soft ground in April; failed to show his form in three of last four outings; reproduction of penultimate effort, namely close second at Windsor, would put him in the picture.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(8)

20th May 2026

Good To Soft

1m 2f 23y

Class 5

18:40 Yarmouth

Law Supreme

9st 9lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Ian Williams

His good run of form ground to a halt at Thirsk last time but he can be given a pass as he was tight for room at a crucial stage; Billy Loughnane back on board today and his record for him reads 4111; one to take seriously.

4/1

8th

2

(4)

2nd May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 218y

Class 5

17:00 Thirsk

Law Supreme

9st 9lb

J: Ryan Kavanagh

T: Ian Williams

He had dropped a long way in the weights prior to his Wolverhampton win on Boxing Day; added further wins at Wolverhampton (twice) and Bath (1m, good) since; similar form when fourth at Nottingham two weeks ago (1m2f, good); shouldn't be far away if the ground is deemed suitable (untried on faster than good).

3/1

4th

1

(10)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 2f 50y

Class 5

18:45 Nottingham

Law Supreme

9st 9lb

J: Ryan Kavanagh

T: Ian Williams

Made it 4-7 since cheekpieces went on when seeing off ten rivals back on turf at Bath (1m, good) 13 days ago; a 3lb rise shouldn't prevent another prominent showing in his current mood.

100/30

25/1

Form: 615758 C

Last run: 29 days

W: 9st 6lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 72

Form & Verdict
Has done her winning at 1m2f, most recently in May; failed to beat a rival last time; drops back to 1m for first time since 2022 and has something to prove; headgear applied.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

9

(8)

4th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 6

17:53 Windsor

Moonlit Cloud

8st 12lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Dean Ivory

No win since May 2024 (1m2f, Bath) but she has fallen a long way in the weights as a result; may have needed her reappearance run at Wolverhampton (9.4f) last month but she had a patchy record last season and others are more convincing.

12/1

4th

6

(2)

21st Apr 2026

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Moonlit Cloud

9st 2lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Dean Ivory

No win since May 2024 (1m2f, Bath) but she has fallen a long way in the weights as a result; bogged down on heavy ground at Nottingham last October; it's difficult to know what to expect returned to AW (0-11) off a six-month absence.

16/1

10/1

Form: 22-825

Last run: 68 days

W: 9st 8lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 77

Form & Verdict
0-5 for Michael Bell, runner-up over 1m on three occasions; hasn't progressed but this switch to handicap level could make a difference on debut for new yard; still in same ownership.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

4th

7

(2)

7th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

15:10 Southwell (AW)

Climate Action

9st 4lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: James Owen

midfield, switched to near side over 2f out, headway over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

8/1

4th

7

(2)

7th Nov 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 4

15:10 Southwell (AW)

Climate Action

9st 4lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: James Owen

midfield, switched to near side over 2f out, headway over 1f out, weakened final 110yds

8/1

1st

4

(2)

25th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 5

18:15 Wolverhampton (AW)

Climate Action

9st 9lb

J: Sean D Bowen

T: James Owen

in touch with leaders, pushed along 2f out, went second against rail 1f out, ridden to lead final 110yds, soon faced challenge, just did enough

14/1

OUR TIP

Form: 13 D

Last run: 19 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 78

Form & Verdict
Twice-raced filly who is far less exposed than most of her rivals; got up on the line at Ffos Las (1m, heavy) then ran respectably at Kempton (AW) where she conceded weight all round; still open to progress and is interesting back on turf.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

3

(7)

9th Oct 2024

Soft

1m 0f 75y

Class 4

16:17 Nottingham

Native Souvenir

9st 9lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Hugo Palmer

Twice-raced filly who is far less exposed than most of her rivals; got up on the line at Ffos Las (1m, heavy) then ran respectably at Kempton (AW) where she conceded weight all round; still open to progress and is interesting back on turf.

7/1

3rd

1

(3)

20th Sep 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

17:10 Kempton (AW)

Native Souvenir

9st 9lb

J: David Probert

T: Hugo Palmer

awkward start, took keen hold, prominent, led after 1f, headed over 1f out, edged left and weakened inside final furlong

3/1

1st

6

(2)

30th Aug 2024

Heavy

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

14:30 Ffos Las

Native Souvenir

9st 2lb

J: Aidan Keeley

T: Hugo Palmer

Fourth foal; by Invincible Spirit; closely related to winners Imrahor (6.5f/1m; RPR 101) and Dukeman (1m/1m2f turf; 88); dam placed 7f 2yo (73); needs a market check.

10/1

8/1

Form: 160133 D

Last run: 18 days

W: 9st 6lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Unraced on soft/heavy; has registered two wins over 1m (AW/good) in this first season; having been placed the last twice, he appears to remain in form; may do better still.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

1

(4)

9th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 135y

Class 3

15:15 Lingfield

Mr Swivell

9st 9lb

J: Ray Dawson

T: Kevin Philippart De Foy

Good second of 16 (AW) on his stable debut/reappearance last April and went on to land similar events in June and July; turf no issue and was second of 17 at Ascot (also 1m, soft; acts on good to firm) in September; career-high mark but still respected on this return.

7/1

Non-runners

Inversion, Bigbertiebassett

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £70.20
Straight Forecast £77.05
Tricast £623.18
Trifecta £617.10

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Pressure's On

The Times:

Native Souvenir

TOPSPEED:

Lunario

NEWMARKET:

Mr Swivell

Telegraph:

Inversion

D Express:

Climate Action

Daily Mail:

Native Souvenir

The Sun:

Native Souvenir

RP RATINGS:

Pressure's On

The Star:

Pressure's On

Daily Record:

Pressure's On

The Guardian:

Mr Swivell

POSTDATA:

Lunario

Daily Mirror:

Lunario