October 17 / 20.30 Southwell (AW)

20.30

Standard

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

  • Prize money: £2983.38
  • 1m 3f 23y
  • Class 6
  • 11 runners
SKY
View Course
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Tapeta

Weather: Partly cloudy

5/2 (Won)

  • Win: £6.00
  • Place: £2.30

Form: -15261

Last run: 42 days

W: 9st 10lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 56

Form & Verdict
Carries her head a bit high but got off the mark at Windsor (1m2f) in May on reappearance and scored again at Wolverhampton (9.4f, AW) in second-time cheekpieces on latest outing; not proven over this far (tailed off when she tried 1m4f on penultimate start) but strongly considered.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

7

(10)

22nd May 2026

Soft

1m 3f 218y

Class 3

15:42 Goodwood

Caramay

9st 1lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Consistent AW handicapper and a seven-time winner in that sphere; only 1-9 on turf and appears to have a difficult task off current mark, especially in this grade, returned to this sphere.

16/1

3rd

5

(5)

4th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 3f 219y

Class 3

17:30 Kempton (AW)

Caramay

9st 5lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Tough mare who has been in good form on the AW since December (13341333), the wins coming at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) and here (1m3f); return to this trip should suit and unlikely to be far away.

11/2

3rd

2

(4)

17th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 4

15:18 Wolverhampton (AW)

Caramay

9st 8lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: William Muir & Chris Grassick

Tough mare who has been in good form since December (1334133), the wins coming at Southwell (1m4f, Tapeta) and Kempton (1m3f, Polytrack); has never attempted this far before, but still respected.

7/2

6/1

  • Place: £2.60

Form: 940434 C

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 4lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 50

Form & Verdict
8yo who has won only once (last September) since early 2021; three of his earlier wins were at this track, however, and he's made the frame at Wolverhampton on last three outings, so has solid each-way claims.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

9

(8)

20th Apr 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

15:17 Southwell (AW)

Bay Of Naples

9st 2lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

His three wins here were in the old Fibresand days and he's not scored anywhere since September 2023; plenty of competitive shows at this track, the latest three starts ago, and his usual tongue-tie (absent last time) returns but others appeal more for win purposes.

10/1

8th

9

(8)

20th Apr 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

15:17 Southwell (AW)

Bay Of Naples

9st 2lb

J: Tom Eaves

T: Michael Herrington

His three wins here were in the old Fibresand days and he's not scored anywhere since September 2023; plenty of competitive shows at this track, the latest three starts ago, and his usual tongue-tie (absent last time) returns but others appeal more for win purposes.

10/1

8th

9

(8)

7th Apr 2025

Standard

1m 1f 104y

Class 6

17:05 Wolverhampton (AW)

Bay Of Naples

9st 2lb

J: Andrea Pinna

T: Michael Herrington

Creditable third at Southwell (1m3f) last month but he's not easy to predict and was beaten 8l at Wolverhampton (1m4f) last time; needs to bounce back and will need a good pace back at this trip; tongue-tie removed.

6/1

7/1

  • Place: £2.50

Form: 947273

Last run: 17 days

W: 9st 2lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 48

Form & Verdict
Latest of his five wins (two on Wolverhampton Tapeta) was in June 2023; close up at Wolverhampton on two of his last three starts (first-time visor on latest, off today) and runner-up in March on a rare run at this track, so he enters calculations despite being unraced beyond 1m2f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9

(5)

14th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 6

17:30 Southwell (AW)

Storm Asset

10st 10lb

J: Miss Becky Smith

T: Micky Hammond

Almost three years since he won and does most racing over shorter; gone well fresh before but pulled hard the only time he's tried this far and will want to settle early back from four months off; refused to enter stalls and withdrawn from last intended start in January (9-1 at the time).

12/1

12

(11)

28th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 4f 98y

Class 6

15:20 Newcastle (AW)

Storm Asset

9st 1lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Four-time AW winner who had lost his way but bounced back with a narrow defeat on stable debut over 1m2f here a month ago; unraced over quite this far but couldn't rule out.

15/2

2nd

7

(9)

29th Aug 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

18:00 Newcastle (AW)

Storm Asset

9st 3lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Micky Hammond

Four of his five wins have come on the AW including one here (7f); losing run up to 24 and makes his stable debut after seven months off having changed hands for 1,000gns in February; market should reveal what is expected.

12/1

Form: 311658

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 7lb

4 yo Colt

OR: 53

Form & Verdict
4-19 on turf, including a double at Ffos Las in June/July; heavy ground probably excuses latest start and he was close up in his only AW race, albeit on Polytrack last October; unraced beyond 1m2f but needs a second look.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

5

(1)

26th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 37y

Class 6

16:30 Bath

Jimmy Mark

9st 0lb

J: Rob Hornby

T: Zoe Hawkins

Course winner (extended 1m3f) on last April's reappearance; ended that campaign with some lesser efforts but he returns on a feasible mark and can't be discounted.

8/1

5th

8

(5)

20th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 4f 51y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Jimmy Mark

9st 1lb

J: Callum Hutchinson

T: Stuart Kittow

Five-time turf winner, the latest over an extended 1m3f at Bath in April; finished second in four of his next five starts but his form has dipped the last twice; should be fully effective on AW and he's one to consider.

6/1

5

(14)

30th Sep 2025

Good To Firm

1m 5f 11y

Class 6

14:52 Bath

Jimmy Mark

9st 12lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Stuart Kittow

Well behind Harlington on the AW last time but has a far more convincing record on turf and had been running well.

9/4

5th
6 (4)
Chagall

12/1

Form: 444880

Last run: 24 days

W: 9st 7lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 53

Form & Verdict
6-41 on AW, with all the wins on Polytrack but second once (this March) from nine races on Tapeta; too far down the weights to be ruled out.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

6

(4)

17th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Chagall

9st 7lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Jack Jones

midfield

12/1

10th

5

(10)

23rd Sep 2024

Standard

1m 0f 142y

Class 6

20:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Chagall

9st 9lb

J: George Rooke

T: Jack Jones

Handicapped to win but he's rather been going through the motions this summer; has form at this track but over further and he may be ideally suited by more of a test.

20/1

8th

12

(10)

30th Aug 2024

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

17:58 Southwell (AW)

Chagall

9st 1lb

J: Dylan Hogan

T: Jack Jones

Handicapped to win but he's rather been going through the motions this summer; marked drop in trip today and no guarantee they'll go quick enough for him.

12/1

Form: 137386 C

Last run: 32 days

W: 9st 11lb

10 yo Gelding

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
1m race here in March saw him break a long losing run and he'd scored at up to 11.6f previously, but this 10yo needs to better his recent performances.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(1)

16th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:30 Southwell (AW)

My Brother Mike

9st 9lb

J: Dougie Costello

T: David Loughnane

Veteran with eight AW wins to his name, including one last November and another this February; both were on Wolverhampton Tapeta (8.6f and 9.4f) and he showed enough in two runs last month to be considered, even though he's very rarely seen over this far nowadays.

12/1

5

(9)

29th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

19:30 Southwell (AW)

My Brother Mike

9st 6lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: David Loughnane

Veteran with pretty good 8-54 AW strike-rate that includes two C&D wins (one on Fibresand); no longer the force of old but ran well off his lower turf mark a fortnight ago and has a fighting chance here.

6/1

2nd

5

(5)

14th Sep 2025

Heavy

1m 2f 37y

Class 6

14:00 Bath

My Brother Mike

9st 7lb

J: Jack Callan

T: David Loughnane

Much more prolific on AW but has a soft-ground C&D win on his CV; did not enjoy run of the race when sixth in 1m Chepstow classified in July, after a break, but still needs to build on that performance here.

12/1

8/1

Form: 015045 C

Last run: 30 days

W: 9st 4lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 50

Form & Verdict
Won twice over 1m4f here in first half of 2023; hasn't clicked here in quite the same way since but scored at Bath in May and ran creditably there last month on penultimate start; case can be made.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

9

(4)

22nd Jan 2026

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

16:35 Southwell (AW)

Bond Spirit

9st 0lb

J: Robert Havlin

T: Louise Allan

Modest sixth in similar event over C&D on reappearance, extending his losing run, but may fare better with the outing under his belt; scored twice at Southwell in 2023.

16/1

7

(6)

24th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 6

18:30 Southwell (AW)

Bond Spirit

9st 2lb

J: Joanna Mason

T: Louise Allan

Beaten just under 7l when fourth of eight in Bath handicap over an extended 1m3f seven weeks ago, extending his losing run to 17; others are more persuasive.

16/1

9

(11)

3rd Sep 2025

Good

1m 3f 137y

Class 6

16:50 Bath

Bond Spirit

9st 4lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: Louise Allan

Last won over C&D last May; first-time blinkers (retained) replaced visor for his last two starts and he responded with a creditable third in a classified at Yarmouth (11.5f, good to soft) on first occasion; tailed off on latest, however, which was a poor show notwithstanding the 1m2f.

25/1

8/1

Form: 4-0896 CD

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 4lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 50

Form & Verdict
Won twice here (1m4f/1m3f) at the end of 2022; well below that form over the last 15 months but beaten just 2l under Elle-May Croot over C&D last Thursday, so all hope may not be lost.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

8

(2)

11th May 2026

Standard

1m 5f 219y

Class 6

19:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Lednikov

9st 0lb

J: Joey Haynes

T: Ivan Furtado

Six-time Southwell winner, latterly by a wide margin in an apprentice handicap in March (handicapper punished him for that); finished held twice since and his record round here is nothing like as good.

16/1

6th

7

(8)

28th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 6

16:05 Southwell (AW)

Lednikov

9st 4lb

J: David Nolan

T: Ivan Furtado

Often a front-runner and has won here six times, the latest (1m6f) in March; finished well behind a couple of these over C&D last time, though, so has a bit to find.

20/1

7th

2

(9)

5th Apr 2026

Standard

1m 4f 14y

Class 6

17:20 Southwell (AW)

Lednikov

9st 8lb

J: Elle-May Croot

T: Ivan Furtado

All six AW wins have come here (four of them under Elle-May Croot), the latest by more than 7l over 1m6f last month; has been hit with an 8lb rise, but could enjoy the run of the race if reverting to his usual front-running tactics.

3/1

Form: 835056 D

Last run: 9 days

W: 9st 6lb

5 yo Gelding

OR: 52

Form & Verdict
Usually slowly away; quirky sort with a 2-34 strike-rate but one of those wins was at Yarmouth this May and he had some AW form (twice fourth) early this year; three runs for new yard and needs to better those performances.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

7

(2)

17th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Total Lockdown

9st 6lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Alice Haynes

midfield

16/1

6th

2

(10)

8th Oct 2024

Good To Soft

1m 3f 198y

Class 6

15:40 Brighton

Total Lockdown

9st 7lb

J: Kieran O’Neill

T: Alice Haynes

towards rear

8/1

5th

3

(13)

16th Sep 2024

Good

1m 4f 8y

Class 6

13:45 Thirsk

Total Lockdown

9st 10lb

J: Christian Howarth

T: Alice Haynes

Ex-Martin Dunne, winning for him at Yarmouth in May (11.5f, good); missed the break and pulled too hard on stable debut at Windsor last time (11.4f, good to firm; first run after a break); should be better for that run

14/1

OUR TIP

7/1

Form: 809598

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 11lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 57

Form & Verdict
Sole success in 15 starts came off 9lb higher at Newmarket (1m2f) in August last year; no impact in six starts this term, albeit not beaten far on latest; not proven on AW, making fourth appearance on it today.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

1

(3)

17th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Olympicus

9st 11lb

J: Tom Marquand

T: Michael Appleby

pulled extremely hard, prominent, raced wide over 8f out, pulled way into lead over 6f out

7/1

8th

6

(2)

10th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

19:00 Southwell (AW)

Olympicus

9st 6lb

J: Luke Morris

T: Michael Appleby

Sole success in 14 starts came off 9lb higher at Newmarket (1m2f, good to firm) in August last year; hasn't shown much in five starts since returning from eight months off in June and another 3lb drop not enough to tempt; can take a keen hold.

12/1

9th

5

(6)

24th Sep 2024

Good To Firm

1m 1f 207y

Class 6

13:40 Beverley

Olympicus

9st 11lb

J: Frederick Larson

T: Michael Appleby

Hindered by often failing to settle but is well handicapped granted a return to best; sole success came off 6lb higher.

10/1

66/1

Form: 59870-

Last run: 432 days

W: 9st 7lb

5 yo Colt

OR: 53

Form & Verdict
Seven-race maiden who's gone downhill and has not raced since August 2023; gelded since.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

4

(9)

17th Oct 2024

Standard

1m 3f 23y

Class 6

20:30 Southwell (AW)

Riffa Fort

9st 7lb

J: Kyle Strydom

T: Clare Ellam

prominent early, led after 1f, headed over 6f out

66/1

11th

2

(6)

12th Aug 2023

Good To Soft

1m 5f 218y

Class 6

17:35 Redcar

Riffa Fort

10st 2lb

J: Raul Da Silva

T: Clare Ellam

Six-race maiden with a regressive profile and he was tailed off at 100-1 in a Carlisle handicap (2m1f, good to firm) on his stable debut in June; opposable.

66/1

7th

2

(3)

2nd Jun 2023

Good To Firm

2m 1f 47y

Class 6

17:16 Carlisle

Riffa Fort

9st 8lb

J: Paul Hanagan

T: Clare Ellam

Best run was his debut when fifth in a 1m4f maiden at Doncaster (good to firm); well beaten in both handicaps and goes up markedly in trip for new trainer.

25/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £46.40
Straight Forecast £42.95
Tricast £299.98
Trifecta £280.40

Selections

Telegraph:

Caramay

SPOTLIGHT:

Bond Spirit

POSTDATA:

Lednikov

The Times:

Storm Asset

The Sun:

Bay Of Naples

D Express:

Caramay

Daily Mirror:

Caramay

The Star:

Caramay

Daily Record:

Caramay

RP RATINGS:

Bond Spirit

Daily Mail:

Lednikov

The Guardian:

Storm Asset