October 25 / 19.30 Dundalk (AW)

19.30

Standard

William Hill Top Price Guarantee Mercury Stakes (Group 3)

  • Prize money: £28217.39
  • 0m 5f 0y
  • 13 runners
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William Hill Top Price Guarantee Mercury Stakes (Group 3)

Runners: 13 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Showers

50/1 (Won)

  • Win: £73.50
  • Place: £17.90

Form: 601167 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 11lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Revival of fortunes this year for new yard on turf, winning at Curragh and Navan; big ask here however on AW return.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

8th

3

(9)

13th Jun 2025

Good

0m 5f 0y

18:34 Cork

Ostraka

9st 7lb

J: Ronan Whelan

T: Daniel James Murphy

Useful sprint handicapper on turf; sprung a 66-1 shock when beating Powerful National in a 5f Group 3 race at Dundalk last October; no sign of anything remotely comparable in four runs since February.

33/1

7th

2

(3)

7th Jun 2025

Good

0m 5f 0y

14:35 Navan

Ostraka

9st 8lb

J: Shane Foley

T: Daniel James Murphy

Three turf wins including over C&D last September and biggest win came following month in Dundalk Group 3; yet to hit that sort of form in three starts this year in Listed contests; back in handicap company now.

7/1

10/1

  • Place: £1.60

Form: 21213 CD

Last run: 21 days

W: 8st 10lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 101

Form & Verdict
Progressive 2yo won C&D conditions event last month and better again when close third to Lady With The Lamp in C&D Listed three weeks ago, being hampered in his run; tough task taking on his elders here but type to improve again.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

4

(1)

24th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

19:15 Dundalk (AW)

Powerful Nation

10st 0lb

J: Andrew Slattery

T: Andrew Slattery

Looked set for a big season after his Listed win at Cork but it hasn't materialised; upset in stalls when soundly beaten again upped to 6f at Naas latest; however, he has C&D form figures of 132, including a head second in this last year, so the return to this venue offers hope of a revival.

12/1

2

(8)

11th Oct 2025

Yielding To Soft

0m 5f 205y

15:50 Naas

Powerful Nation

9st 9lb

J: Andrew Slattery

T: Andrew Slattery

Smart 2yo who nearly won a Group 3 over 5f and a Listed winner this season; dropped his guard of late, though did contest the Group 1 Flying Five last time; this is a belated first try at 6f but it might suit.

6/1

13/2

  • Place: £1.60

Form: -21262

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 11lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 101

Form & Verdict
Dual Kempton AW winner last year and progressed well this year, winning Haydock Listed and touched off in Group 3's both at Deauville and last month at Longchamp; in between below best on quick ground at the Curragh; interesting to see if she can reproduce soft-ground turf form back on AW.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(6)

11th Jul 2025

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 1

14:45 York

Electric Storm

9st 6lb

J: Connor Beasley

T: James Tate

Two Listed wins to her name; ran well in the 5f Temple Stakes at Haydock in May; disappointed when favourite at Ayr three weeks ago (5f, good; behind First Instinct); career best required.

8/1

1

(2)

21st Jun 2025

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

17:55 Ayr

Electric Storm

9st 9lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: James Tate

Likeable 5yo with four wins from 11 attempts, including in Listed race at Bath (5f, good to firm) in April; far from disgraced in face of stiff task in Group 2 at Haydock last time; leading contender.

11/4

7

(4)

24th May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

15:30 Haydock

Electric Storm

9st 3lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: James Tate

6f fillies' Listed winner here (soft) last May and placed in Group 3 races subsequently; reappeared with Listed win against fillies and mares at Bath (5f, good to firm) in April and had an excuse (high draw) when below par behind Mgheera at Longchamp two weeks ago; however, needs a career best.

10/1

Form: 240901 CD

Last run: 21 days

W: 10st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 101

Form & Verdict
Shock Norfolk Stakes winner last year later produced a high-class display when chasing home Big Evs in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Sprint; struggled badly at Pattern level since returning from a spell in America until recent confidence-boosting C&D win in five-runner conditions event; much more on his plate here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(11)

23rd May 2026

Good To Yielding

0m 6f 0y

15:05 Curragh

Valiant Force

9st 5lb

J: Donagh O’Connor

T: Robson De Aguiar

Sole win on turf in the 2023 Norfolk Stakes; has won five conditions races at Dundalk since, the most recent over 5f in February; has struggled since then, most recently last Sunday at Naas; out of his depth here.

50/1

9th

5

(5)

17th May 2026

Good

0m 5f 0y

17:26 Naas

Valiant Force

9st 9lb

J: Donagh O’Connor

T: Robson De Aguiar

Sole win on turf in the 2023 Norfolk Stakes; has won five conditions races at Dundalk since, the most recent a 4.25l win over 5f in February; well beaten at Lingfield, Newcastle and when 7.5l behind Keke in a 6f handicap here last time; others arrive in better form.

14/1

10th

1

(10)

27th Apr 2026

Yielding

0m 5f 205y

18:15 Naas

Valiant Force

10st 1lb

J: David Egan

T: Robson De Aguiar

Sole win on turf in the 2023 Norfolk Stakes; has won five conditions races at Dundalk since, the most recent a 4.25l win over 5f in February; well beaten at Lingfield and Newcastle the last twice and others arrive in better form.

10/1

OUR TIP

7/2

Form: 100247 D

Last run: 34 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Horse

OR: 107

Form & Verdict
Has enjoyed a good year with two wins on Newcastle AW early in the year and also landed valuable Ascot handicap over the summer; heavy ground against him last time at Newbury but likely major player here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

5

(10)

16th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

16:20 Newbury

Albasheer

9st 3lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Has moved in the right direction on AW since returning from lengthy layoff but the form suggests he doesn't retain peak ability; the 8yo is the oldest contender back on turf.

14/1

2nd

2

(7)

13th Apr 2026

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

19:00 Newcastle (AW)

Albasheer

9st 9lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Second run back from a long break (C&D) was better than the first; on a good mark if able to take another step forward.

7/1

4th

2

(3)

19th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 6f 0y

Class 2

18:30 Newcastle (AW)

Albasheer

9st 6lb

J: Hollie Doyle

T: Archie Watson

Smart sprint handicapper but off for 13 months after finishing third over C&D on New Year's Day 2025 and always behind on his Chelmsford comeback 26 days ago; needs to have come on a lot.

10/1

Form: 321181 D

Last run: 35 days

W: 9st 11lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 110

Form & Verdict
Hardy filly who has won six times this year, including twice on Lingfield AW and most recently career-best when making all in Ayr Listed last month (breaking track record) in beating a trio of 104+ rated rivals; clearly thriving and could take some stopping.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

12

(9)

24th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

19:15 Dundalk (AW)

Star Of Lady M

9st 11lb

J: Ronan Whelan

T: David O’Meara

Eleven-time winner including at Listed level; ran well on seasonal reappearance in the Listed Beverley Bullet but has failed to land a blow the last twice; 3-16 on the AW but could only manage sixth when 5-1 for this last year; needs to rediscover best.

15/2

12th

3

(11)

19th Sep 2025

Soft

0m 5f 110y

Class 1

15:05 Ayr

Star Of Lady M

9st 2lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: David O’Meara

Made all in this last year (good) and encouraging Listed third at Beverley (5f, good to firm) three weeks ago on her belated reappearance; won on soft ground at the start of her career; her usual visor returns (left off last time) and she has leading claims if building on her comeback run.

4/1

9

(2)

30th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 1

14:05 Beverley

Star Of Lady M

8st 13lb

J: Mark Winn

T: David O’Meara

Had a busy 2024 and notched six wins, the last of them in 5.5f Listed race at Ayr; would have real possibilities if repeating that form, although she'll need to hit the ground running after over ten months off.

14/1

Form: 019031 D

Last run: 31 days

W: 10st 0lb

6 yo Gelding

OR: 104

Form & Verdict
Well-campaigned 6yo with nine wins from 36 turf starts including this year in handicaps at Newmarket and Sandown and last month in 4-runner Beverley conditions event when beating a long odds-on shot under today's rider; 9lb rise seems harsh but could make a bold bid if handling surface (AW debut).
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(5)

27th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

0m 5f 0y

Class 2

14:05 Haydock

Tees Spirit

9st 1lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Adrian Nicholls

Capable 5f performer on his day but has not made the frame in six runs this year; a slow start meant he couldn't adopt his usual front-running tactics at York five weeks ago, and his mark is tumbling, but he's risky.

20/1

19th

4

(18)

20th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 89y

Class 2

13:50 York

Tees Spirit

9st 5lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: Adrian Nicholls

Smart front-runner on his day; the handicapper took a dim view of his Beverley win last September and he has found it tough going this time around, including at Redcar 11 days ago after a wind op; he is well handicapped again now though and should have a big run in him if his high draw proves no hindrance.

40/1

Form: 31631 CD

Last run: 21 days

W: 8st 7lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 98

Form & Verdict
Progressive 2yo reversed an earlier C&D defeat to Powerful Nation when getting up on post to win C&D Listed contest three weeks ago; 2lb worse off with that rival here and more needed taking on her elders.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

9

(6)

24th Oct 2025

Standard

0m 5f 0y

19:15 Dundalk (AW)

Lady With The Lamp

9st 11lb

J: Dylan Browne McMonagle

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

One of three for yard and preferred by McMonagle; three-time Listed winner including over C&D last October; won another Listed at Chelmsford (6f) in May; out of form on turf recently but return to AW a big plus and nicely drawn; cheekpieces go on.

10/1

15th

15

(11)

14th Sep 2025

Yielding

0m 5f 0y

15:15 Curragh

Lady With The Lamp

9st 2lb

J: Ronan Whelan

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

5f Dundalk Listed winner last season; has added two more Listed wins to her record this season, at Cork (6f, good) and Chelmsford (6f, AW); struggled in the Commonwealth Cup and not at her best in Group 3/Listed races since.

50/1

10

(3)

24th Aug 2025

Good

0m 5f 205y

15:25 Naas

Lady With The Lamp

9st 4lb

J: Declan McDonogh

T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien

5f Dundalk Listed winner last season; has added two more Listed wins to her record this season, at Cork (6f, good) and Chelmsford (6f, AW); struggled in the Commonwealth Cup; not at her best the C&D event won by Sky Majesty; never counted in a Group 3 at the Curragh.

12/1

9th
2 (6)
Arnhem

40/1

Form: 060043 C

Last run: 21 days

W: 10st 0lb

8 yo Gelding

OR: 90

Form & Verdict
Modest strike-rate, winning here four years ago and won on turf last year; recent C&D third to Valiant Force was a fine effort but stiff task here at the weights.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

10

(6)

26th Apr 2026

Good

0m 5f 1y

Class 4

18:45 Musselburgh

Arnhem

8st 6lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: Jim Goldie

He did well after joining this yard last year and he's on a handy mark; he should get back on track sooner or later but this 10yo has failed to shine on his last three outings, over C&D on last two starts.

25/1

9th

15

(5)

12th Apr 2026

Good

0m 5f 1y

Class 4

18:45 Musselburgh

Arnhem

9st 0lb

J: Cieren Fallon

T: Jim Goldie

Veteran whose form has dipped in last two outings, latest over C&D eight days ago; doesn't look as if he's about to improve his poor strike-rate (long time between drinks).

20/1

8th

8

(11)

4th Apr 2026

Good To Soft

0m 5f 1y

Class 4

16:45 Musselburgh

Arnhem

8st 10lb

J: Harry Davies

T: Jim Goldie

Good turf spell in the autumn included a winning yard debut at Haydock (good) and a close second over C&D (soft); has run well on AW since but looks to have his share of weight; trainer runs five and won this in 2024.

14/1

Form: 416081 D

Last run: 39 days

W: 8st 7lb

2 yo Filly

OR: 85

Form & Verdict
Limitations have been well exposed since winning Chester's Lily Agnes but back on track to win Windsor fillies' novice last month; altogether different ball game here though.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(3)

22nd May 2026

Good

0m 5f 160y

Class 4

15:53 Bath

Seraphim Angel

9st 8lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ollie Sangster

Triple turf winner who scored at Windsor (6f, good to firm) last July in her final run for Tom Dascombe; only 1lb higher than for that success but she's been out of sorts in two runs for new yard this spring and needs to get back on track.

16/1

7th

1

(3)

4th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 6f 12y

Class 4

16:08 Windsor

Seraphim Angel

9st 10lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ollie Sangster

Has a record of 3-13 overall and 2-2 at Windsor, most recently scoring over C&D (good to firm) last July on final start of her 2025 campaign; finished last at Kempton (AW) on stable/seasonal debut but looks interesting returned to this venue with the outing under her belt.

7/1

11th

10

(9)

28th Mar 2026

Standard To Slow

0m 6f 0y

Class 3

17:03 Kempton (AW)

Seraphim Angel

8st 10lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Ollie Sangster

Last seen making all to win a 6f handicap (Class 4) at Windsor 257 days ago; has since left Tom Dascombe; up in class and could prove vulnerable; connections also run Tuco Salamanca.

25/1

50/1

Form: 506125 CD

Last run: 54 days

W: 9st 11lb

6 yo Filly

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Four-time C&D winner also won on turf at Cork in July ensuring a 15lb hike; safely held in Listed company latest and even stiffer task awaits here.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

1

(9)

6th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

17:00 Dundalk (AW)

Samrogue

10st 6lb

J: Leigh Roche

T: Ross O’Sullivan

Four-time C&D winner also won on turf at Cork in July ensuring a 15lb hike; safely held in Group 3 company over C&D latest; back into calmer waters but tough ask off current mark.

15/2

10th

1

(9)

6th Dec 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

17:00 Dundalk (AW)

Samrogue

10st 6lb

J: Leigh Roche

T: Ross O’Sullivan

Four-time C&D winner also won on turf at Cork in July ensuring a 15lb hike; safely held in Group 3 company over C&D latest; back into calmer waters but tough ask off current mark.

15/2

11th

9

(2)

25th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

19:30 Dundalk (AW)

Samrogue

9st 11lb

J: Leigh Roche

T: Ross O’Sullivan

Four-time C&D winner also won on turf at Cork in July ensuring a 15lb hike; safely held in Listed company latest and even stiffer task awaits here.

50/1

10/1

Form: 4326-8 D

Last run: 26 days

W: 10st 0lb

3 yo Colt

OR: 102

Form & Verdict
Beat Valiant Force on debut in Curragh Listed last year but is 0-6 since, albeit highly-tried; belated seasonal return when never landing a blow in Group 3 Renaissance Stakes (Curragh) last month and now tries AW for the first time.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

12th

3

(7)

25th Oct 2024

Standard

0m 5f 0y

19:30 Dundalk (AW)

His Majesty

10st 0lb

J: Wayne Lordan

T: A P O’Brien

Beat Valiant Force on debut in Curragh Listed last year but is 0-6 since, albeit highly-tried; belated seasonal return when never landing a blow in Group 3 Renaissance Stakes (Curragh) last month and now tries AW for the first time.

10/1

8th

6

(3)

29th Sep 2024

Yielding

0m 6f 0y

15:15 Curragh

His Majesty

9st 5lb

J: Ryan Moore

T: A P O’Brien

towards rear

11/2

Form: 31255

Last run: 40 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 92

Form & Verdict
Lightly-raced filly landed a 6f maiden at Naas in June and better form in defeat in stakes company at same track; good run in Curragh premier handicap latest but this a much stiffer task on paper.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3

(4)

20th Aug 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 0y

Class 2

16:45 York

Over The Blues

9st 5lb

J: Clifford Lee

T: K R Burke

Third at Ascot (6f, good to firm) in May and now 2lb lower; merely seventh on both runs since and, while she raced away from the main action for the first part of the race at Doncaster (5f, good) last time, others arrive with more pressing claims.

14/1

7th

1

(3)

7th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

0m 5f 3y

Class 3

17:45 Doncaster

Over The Blues

9st 10lb

J: P J McDonald

T: K R Burke

She has struggled in two of her three runs for Karl Burke but they were in Listed company and she ran well in a 6f handicap at Ascot in between; she has a bit more to prove over this trip though.

12/1

4

(6)

23rd May 2025

Good To Firm

0m 6f 0y

Class 1

15:00 Haydock

Over The Blues

9st 7lb

J: Shane Gray

T: K R Burke

3l second to Nighteyes in Listed race at Naas (6f, yielding) last July and creditable third in Ascot handicap (6f, good to firm) two weeks ago on second stable start; has raced only eight times and it's possible she has more to offer for her top northern trainer, but such improvement is needed.

14/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta €392.80
Straight Forecast €297.55

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Star Of Lady M

RP RATINGS (IRE):

Albasheer

The Irish Sun:

Powerful Nation

TOPSPEED:

Star Of Lady M

POSTDATA:

Albasheer