October 25 / 17.11 Newbury

17.11

Heavy

Renegade Brewery Fillies’ Handicap

  • Prize money: £7327.6
  • 1m 2f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 11 runners
SKY
View Course
Renegade Brewery Fillies’ Handicap

Runners: 11 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Showers

10/1 (Won)

  • Win: £8.20
  • Place: £2.70

Form: 012236 D

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 10lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Acts on soft; record is 5-14, the most recent win at Sandown (1m2f) in July; remained in form until below par last time perhaps feeling the effects of a busy spell; may rebound.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(8)

2nd Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 50y

Class 2

16:35 Nottingham

Ciara Pearl

9st 12lb

J: Nicola Currie

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Narrowly made all over C&D in May off 3lb lower; inconsistent since, wearing cheekpieces on last four outings, but she appeared to run very well from off the pace when 66-1 in a Listed race on latest outing; back up 3lb but considered for a place.

11/1

5th

3

(9)

17th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 2f 23y

Class 1

16:00 Yarmouth

Ciara Pearl

9st 4lb

J: Nicola Currie

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

Made all to win a Nottingham handicap (1m2f, good to firm) in May; came up short in two previous attempts at Listed level, though; inconsistent in cheekpieces on last three starts; soft ground no bother but plenty to find.

50/1

2

(10)

22nd Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

16:10 York

Ciara Pearl

9st 11lb

J: Mickael Barzalona

T: Daniel & Claire Kubler

5yo who has a 7-22 strike-rate and showed career-best form when winning a six-runner handicap at Nottingham (1m2f, good to firm) in May; ran okay at Ascot last time and might appreciate this drop back in trip but she's now starting to look exposed and could be vulnerable in this competitive race.

16/1

14/1

  • Place: £2.10

Form: 613528 D

Last run: 20 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Won at Epsom in July and close second there on penultimate start; has never defied a mark this high but is proven in the mud, having scored on heavy at Newmarket last autumn.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

(7)

19th May 2026

Good

1m 3f 133y

Class 5

14:10 Lingfield

Big Bear Hug

9st 7lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Jim Boyle

Made a winning stable debut at Goodwood (1m4f, good to soft) last June but she's now 12lb lower following some lesser efforts; better is needed but any rain will suit.

14/1

9th

9

(8)

4th May 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 5

16:55 Kempton (AW)

Big Bear Hug

9st 5lb

J: Luke Catton

T: Jim Boyle

Made successful stable debut/reappearance at Goodwood (1m4f, good to soft) in June last year, but now 9lb lower for a reason; others stronger.

14/1

5th

7

(6)

8th Apr 2026

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 4

19:00 Kempton (AW)

Big Bear Hug

8st 12lb

J: Pat Cosgrave

T: Jim Boyle

Made a successful stable debut after seven months off at Goodwood (1m4f, good to soft) in June last year, but is now 7lb lower for a reason; others stronger.

33/1

3rd
7 (11)
Lady La Fay

13/2

  • Place: £1.80

Form: 34241

Last run: 27 days

W: 9st 9lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 84

Form & Verdict
Registered an 8l success in Ripon novice event (1m4f, soft) last month, opening her account at the fifth attempt; may be capable of further progress on slow ground; respected handicap debutante.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(2)

21st Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 104y

Class 4

16:20 Yarmouth

Lady La Fay

9st 8lb

J: Pierre-Louis Jamin

T: K R Burke

Wide-margin winner of 1m4f Ripon novice last autumn; well held in handicaps so far but the signs were slightly better over C&D (soft) latest and the easing of the ground, and perhaps fitting cheekpieces, can help.

8/1

3rd

2

(6)

17th Sep 2025

Soft

1m 3f 104y

Class 4

17:10 Yarmouth

Lady La Fay

10st 2lb

J: Jack Nicholls

T: K R Burke

Sole win in nine runs came in a 1m4f novice on soft ground; yet to find her stride this year but she's not ruled out from a falling mark.

10/1

Form: -41563

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Record is 1-8; ran well in first-time hood at this course (1m, heavy) most recently; headgear now removed and the new trip presents a question mark judged on breeding.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(1)

2nd Sep 2025

Soft

1m 1f 197y

Class 5

16:43 Goodwood

Dramatic Effect

9st 12lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Sole success in 15 came in a 1m good-ground novice here last season; below par this year with and without the hood; others preferred.

25/1

6th

5

(6)

8th Aug 2025

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 5

20:14 Newmarket (July)

Dramatic Effect

9st 10lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Did not progress much after her 1m Goodwood novice win last spring and reappearance (1m, AW) was clearly the best of her three results this term; the hood (absent last time) returns and peak 2024 form reads well but other runners are more persuasive.

25/1

5

(4)

30th Jun 2025

Soft

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:15 Ffos Las

Dramatic Effect

9st 11lb

J: Charles Bishop

T: Eve Johnson Houghton

Did not progress much after last spring's 1m Goodwood novice win and failed to build upon her encouraging seasonal reappearance when soundly beaten over that C&D this month; others preferred.

14/1

Form: 8-721

Last run: 44 days

W: 9st 1lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 76

Form & Verdict
Successful in weak novice race at Lingfield (1m, AW) last month, opening her account at the fourth attempt; this is harder but she's still an unexposed sort; worth another crack at 1m2f.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

6

(6)

11th Feb 2025

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Hello Miss Lady

9st 5lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Dylan Cunha

Justified short odds in 1m Lingfield novice in September; the path hasn't been smooth in handicaps but she ran well for a long way here (about 1m1f) two starts ago and 1m2f stretched her next time; looks worth another go at 7f but this is competitive.

9/1

9th

6

(6)

11th Feb 2025

Standard

0m 7f 36y

Class 5

18:00 Wolverhampton (AW)

Hello Miss Lady

9st 5lb

J: Rhys Clutterbuck

T: Dylan Cunha

Justified short odds in 1m Lingfield novice in September; the path hasn't been smooth in handicaps but she ran well for a long way here (about 1m1f) two starts ago and 1m2f stretched her next time; looks worth another go at 7f but this is competitive.

9/1

OUR TIP

Form: 31220 D

Last run: 63 days

W: 9st 12lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 87

Form & Verdict
Something seemed amiss at the York Ebor festival two months ago; steadily progressive otherwise and went close at Glorious Goodwood (1m2f, good to firm; handicap debut) the time before; not written off.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

3

(6)

1st Oct 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 4

18:30 Kempton (AW)

Power Of Destiny

10st 1lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

Has finished out of the frame in her last five outings, but is back off the same mark as when successful over C&D last November; needs a resurgence but that's not out of the question, especially if responding positively to the first-time cheekpieces.

7/1

3

(9)

22nd Aug 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 56y

Class 2

16:10 York

Power Of Destiny

9st 9lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ralph Beckett

Well handicapped on AW form as recent as January; however, she hasn't been at the top of her game on her four starts since April (AW/turf) and needs something extra if she's to capitalise on this mark.

12/1

5

(11)

30th Jul 2025

Good

1m 1f 197y

Class 2

15:45 Goodwood

Power Of Destiny

9st 7lb

J: Richard Kingscote

T: Ralph Beckett

Trained by Sir Michael Stoute when pipped in this race last year on handicap debut; made a successful start for Ralph Beckett on AW in November and went close in January (2lb lower today); however, she's not beaten many in her three starts since, back to turf for the last two; trainer won this race in 2020, 2022 and 2024.

20/1

10/1

Form: 326198 BF

Last run: 34 days

W: 9st 11lb

3 yo Filly

OR: 86

Form & Verdict
Has one stand-out performance since handicapping, namely Lingfield win (1m1f) in August; disappointing favourite last time; fairly useful on her day but isn't particularly solid.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(1)

4th May 2025

Yielding

1m 2f 120y

15:55 Sligo

Shemozzle

9st 7lb

J: Jack Kearney

T: Stephen Thorne

Won twice for Ralph Beckett but lost her way for that yard and finished down the field on debut for this one; now blinkered.

20/1

7th

5

(1)

4th May 2025

Yielding

1m 2f 120y

15:55 Sligo

Shemozzle

9st 7lb

J: Jack Kearney

T: Stephen Thorne

Won twice for Ralph Beckett but lost her way for that yard and finished down the field on debut for this one; now blinkered.

20/1

12th

5

(15)

9th Apr 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

14:48 Leopardstown

Shemozzle

9st 12lb

J: Jack Kearney

T: Stephen Thorne

Won sole 2yo start and added a fillies' handicap success at Lingfield (1m1f, good to firm) when making all; subsequent runs for Ralph Beckett were below her best and she has a tough draw to defy here.

20/1

13/2

Form: -55116 D BF

Last run: 50 days

W: 9st 10lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Two from two in a hood, the wins over 1m2f on good ground in May/July; beaten favourite last time but the race didn't pan out favourably; interesting with the headgear reapplied.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

5

(6)

18th Jan 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:25 Lingfield (AW)

Elladonna

9st 1lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: James Fanshawe

towards rear, headway but raced wide over 2f out, pressed winner towards finish, just held

11/2

2nd

5

(6)

18th Jan 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:25 Lingfield (AW)

Elladonna

9st 1lb

J: Callum Shepherd

T: James Fanshawe

towards rear, headway but raced wide over 2f out, pressed winner towards finish, just held

11/2

2nd

5

(8)

4th Dec 2024

Standard

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:20 Lingfield (AW)

Elladonna

9st 6lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: James Fanshawe

took keen hold, in touch with leaders, led on outer and going easily 2f out, soon pestered, headed but went clear with winner final 110yds, no extra towards finish

9/2

3/1

Form: -12001 D

Last run: 16 days

W: 9st 12lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 83

Form & Verdict
Made all for a comfortable success off 7lb lower at Nottingham (1m2f) this month, taking her form figures in heavy-ground handicaps to 121; big player granted similar conditions.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

5

(7)

11th Jun 2025

Good To Soft

1m 0f 3y

Class 4

16:45 Yarmouth

Wintercrack

9st 6lb

J: Shane Kelly

T: Pam Sly

Won over this trip at Pontefract (her only start at 1m) last April and added to her good record in testing conditions when comfortably making all at Nottingham (also heavy, 1m2f) last autumn; probably needs a downpour, which isn't forecast.

33/1

8th

4

(3)

17th Apr 2025

Good

1m 1f 170y

Class 4

16:15 Ripon

Wintercrack

9st 7lb

J: Shane Kelly

T: Pam Sly

led, headed over 2f out, weakened quickly over 1f out

8/1

8th

4

(3)

17th Apr 2025

Good

1m 1f 170y

Class 4

16:15 Ripon

Wintercrack

9st 7lb

J: Shane Kelly

T: Pam Sly

led, headed over 2f out, weakened quickly over 1f out

8/1

Form: 121683 D

Last run: 22 days

W: 9st 10lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 81

Form & Verdict
Record of 2221213 in 1m2f handicaps this term, the wins on fast ground in the summer; respectable third, clear of remainder, on heavy going at Salisbury most recently; solid.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

3

(3)

23rd Aug 2025

Good

1m 1f 197y

Class 4

15:50 Goodwood

Expert Witness

9st 13lb

J: David Probert

T: Patrick Chamings

Encouraging start for new stable culminated in Windsor success in April; has failed to back up that form in two starts since, last of three runners latest; rebound required.

9/1

4

(1)

22nd Jun 2025

Good

1m 4f 5y

Class 3

15:10 Pontefract

Expert Witness

9st 2lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Patrick Chamings

Low-key effort at Windsor four weeks ago but she'd begun her life with this yard with three good efforts, notably a 1m2f Windsor success on fast turf; considered.

11/2

5th

10

(11)

26th May 2025

Good

1m 2f 0y

Class 3

16:30 Windsor

Expert Witness

9st 2lb

J: Joe Leavy

T: Patrick Chamings

Has shown steadily progressive form (421) this term for new yard, gaining a narrow win over C&D (good to firm) most recently; however, she's been campaigned largely in lower grades and now goes into deeper waters; got upset in stalls and was withdrawn at Newbury ten days ago.

10/1

Form: 12115- D

Last run: 482 days

W: 9st 4lb

4 yo Filly

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Four-time Flat scorer in France and hurdles winner for current yard; absent since Listed third here last December; market helpful on return to this code.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

5th

1

21st Apr 2025

Good

2m 0f 3y

Class 5

15:23 Fakenham

Saisissante

12st 0lb

J: James Davies

T: Noel Williams

Three Flat wins early in 2023 and another at Ludlow (2m, good to soft) that November on second start over hurdles; back from a year off with creditable third on handicap hurdle debut at Hereford in the autumn but she's not gone on from that and was only third of four at Market Rasen last month; mark continues to fall but she's now 1-7 over hurdles and others are more convincing; cheekpieces added.

6/1

5th

1

21st Apr 2025

Good

2m 0f 3y

Class 5

15:23 Fakenham

Saisissante

12st 0lb

J: James Davies

T: Noel Williams

towards rear, hit 5th, headway before 4 out

6/1

3rd

2

26th Mar 2025

Good

2m 0f 125y

Class 5

15:50 Market Rasen

Saisissante

11st 8lb

J: James Davies

T: Noel Williams

raced in last, went third before 2 out, lost ground approaching last, weakened run-in

16/1

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £46.40
Straight Forecast £53.75
Tricast £182.85
Trifecta £291.40

Selections

RP RATINGS:

Wintercrack

SPOTLIGHT:

Lady La Fay

NEWMARKET:

Elladonna

TOPSPEED:

Power Of Destiny

LAMBOURN:

Ciara Pearl

POSTDATA:

Expert Witness

D Express:

Power Of Destiny

The Star:

Lady La Fay

Daily Record:

Lady La Fay

The Times:

Elladonna

Daily Mail:

Elladonna

Telegraph:

Wintercrack

The Guardian:

Wintercrack

Daily Mirror:

Wintercrack

The Sun:

Wintercrack