November 07 / 18.30 Chelmsford (AW)

18.30

Standard

EBF ‘Confined’ Novice Stakes (For horses Which Have Run No More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)

  • Prize money: £5234
  • 1m 2f 0y
  • Class 4
  • 7 runners
RTV
View Course
EBF ‘Confined’ Novice Stakes (For horses Which Have Run No More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat AW

Surface: Polytrack

Weather: Partly cloudy

20/1 (Won)

  • Win: £4.50
  • Place: £2.30

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
By Saxon Warrior; first foal of Kempton 7f 2yo novice winner, with British and French Group 2 and 3 scorers at up to 1m1f evident a generation earlier; yard not as much among 2yo novice/maiden scorers this year as usual.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6

(8)

21st Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 4f 14y

Class 3

17:40 Southwell (AW)

Palazzo Blu

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Marco Botti

All was looking good when making it 2-3 in a C&D novice here in April; since then he's finished last in Listed/handicap company on either side of a good run to be fifth at Newmarket in July (strong 1m2f handicap); all hope is not yet lost as it's still early days, but he now has something to prove.

16/1

10th

6

(7)

11th Sep 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 2

15:35 Doncaster

Palazzo Blu

8st 9lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Marco Botti

Raced on good/good to firm on turf; tailed off in a 1m3f Goodwood Listed race in May but this dual novice winner got his career back on track when fifth of eight in a strong 1m2f 3yo handicap at the Newmarket July meeting; back from another two months off with Oisin Murphy doing the steering; yard also runs Molveno.

20/1

5th

2

(2)

11th Jul 2025

Good To Firm

1m 2f 0y

Class 2

13:50 Newmarket (July)

Palazzo Blu

9st 9lb

J: Marco Ghiani

T: Marco Botti

Made it 2-3 when staying on strongly to assert late on as 5-4 favourite in a novice at Southwell (1m4f, AW) in April; useful RPR with that convincing success but he was tailed off when switched to a Listed event at Goodwood (1m3f, good) in May; still unexposed but has a bit to prove after that heavy defeat and this is a highly competitive race for handicap debut.

20/1

6/1

  • Place: £2.40

Form: 547

Last run: 15 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR: 75

Form & Verdict
Front-running on soft ground found him out at Newmarket latest but that ought not to be anywhere near all he has to offer at 1m2f judged on pedigree; Kempton 1m fourth before that sets a clear standard of those with experience here, and he remains of interest; blinkers added.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

2

(5)

13th Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 104y

Class 5

16:30 Yarmouth

Mersea Island

9st 9lb

J: Billy Loughnane

T: Charlie Johnston

Went very close in a Chelmsford novice (1m2f, AW) last November but after being gelded, he's had two heavy defeats in handicaps (1m2f/1m4f) this season; still unexposed but he needs a major revival with visor now tried.

12/1

6th

2

(7)

1st Oct 2025

Good To Soft

1m 4f 13y

Class 5

17:25 Catterick

Mersea Island

9st 10lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Charlie Johnston

Best two efforts from five starts have been on AW and he's been off since finishing last of six in a class 3 at Doncaster (1m2f, good; beaten 24l) in March; drops in grade and steps up in trip with a bit to prove.

9/1

6th

4

(5)

30th Mar 2025

Good To Soft

1m 2f 43y

Class 3

14:30 Doncaster

Mersea Island

8st 10lb

J: Joe Fanning

T: Charlie Johnston

Recorded his best efforts last year on AW, albeit was perhaps unsuited by soft going in both turf starts; gelded over the winter; open to improvement on this forecast better ground on handicap debut.

7/1

OUR TIP

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
By Dubawi; first foal of French Group 3 winner at 1m, half-sister notched Listed (British) and Group 2 (French) wins at 1m2f; serious contender with the yard's 2yo strike-rate this autumn still most healthy.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

1

(2)

3rd Oct 2025

Good

1m 3f 211y

Class 3

15:30 Ascot

Aegean Prince

9st 10lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Charlie Appleby

Favourite for both runs last season on the AW and prevailed narrowly at Kempton in December (1m3f); top connections have been patient and had him gelded; open to improvement but William Buick rides the yard's other one.

4/1

1st

1

(7)

18th Dec 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 4

16:40 Kempton (AW)

Aegean Prince

9st 7lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Beaten favourite at Chelmsford on his debut six weeks ago (1m2f) but it was a promising start and he looked a stayer in the making; sets the standard and capable of better; one of two runners for stable.

10/11

1st

1

(7)

18th Dec 2024

Standard To Slow

1m 2f 219y

Class 4

16:40 Kempton (AW)

Aegean Prince

9st 7lb

J: William Buick

T: Charlie Appleby

Beaten favourite at Chelmsford on his debut six weeks ago (1m2f) but it was a promising start and he looked a stayer in the making; sets the standard and capable of better; one of two runners for stable.

10/11

12/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
By No Nay Never; dam won over 1m2f before later gains at Listed level over further, and she's produced one Polytrack scorer at today's trip; yard still firing in the winners in all disciplines lately; respected.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2nd

2

(4)

30th Apr 2026

Good To Firm

1m 2f 1y

Class 3

16:30 Redcar

Ammes

9st 8lb

J: Jason Hart

T: James Owen

Caught wide when down the field at Lingfield in February on last Flat start and when well beaten over hurdles on his last two runs he was contesting hot 4yo races; on a competitive mark on last summer's Flat form and he was a Listed hurdle runner-up in October; not ruled out back in this code.

6/1

7th

1

9th Apr 2026

Good To Soft

2m 0f 209y

Class 1

13:45 Aintree

Ammes

11st 2lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: James Owen

Good Flat horse who won his first two starts over hurdles before a close second behind Minella Study in a Listed race at Wetherby (2m, good) in October; still has potential in this sphere but he was only 12th in the juvenile handicap at Cheltenham last month and needs to resume his progress in this tough race; visor added.

25/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
By Camelot out of unraced dam who has already produced two German winners at this trip and beyond, notably Melbourne Cup hero Protectionist (also a 2yo winner at 1m); yard's 2yos rather less prolific on synthetics than turf, but a good bit to like otherwise.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1st

2

3rd Jun 2026

Good To Firm

2m 3f 0y

Class 4

19:30 Warwick

Kentucky River

11st 3lb

J: Robert Dunne

T: Olly Murphy

Fair Flat racer who won easily over hurdles at Huntingdon (2m4f, good) in April, his second handicap; well beaten in valuable Fakenham contest since but back in calmer waters and on a more conventional track here; remains of interest, albeit the forecast rain may not be in his favour.

6/1

9th

12

4th May 2026

Good

2m 4f 1y

Class 2

17:13 Fakenham

Kentucky River

10st 2lb

J: Sean Bowen

T: Olly Murphy

Fair Flat racer who got off the mark over hurdles with easy success at Huntingdon (2m4f, good) last month, his second handicap; hiked up 15lb for that but still can't be opposed with much confidence here.

5/1

20/1

Form:

Last run:

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
50,000euros yearling; Kameko half-brother to three Kempton Polytrack 2yo winners, albeit none of them beyond 1m and only one came really close to scoring on racecourse debut; other newcomers persuade more.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

6th

1

(6)

18th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 75y

Class 5

18:15 Nottingham

Kokanee

9st 10lb

J: Mason Paetel

T: Ed Dunlop

Winner over 1m2f at Beverley (good) last spring and went agonisingly close to a second career success on Pontefract reappearance (1m, good to soft) 11 days ago; a 2lb nudge shouldn't prevent another prominent showing if in similar form.

4/1

2nd

3

(4)

7th Apr 2026

Good To Soft

1m 0f 6y

Class 5

14:57 Pontefract

Kokanee

9st 8lb

J: Rossa Ryan

T: Ed Dunlop

Record is 1-10, the success off current mark at Beverley (1m2f, good) on reappearance last year; ran creditably over C&D (soft) in October; respected on seasonal debut.

11/4

2

(4)

31st Oct 2025

Good

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

15:22 Newmarket

Kokanee

9st 11lb

J: Hector Crouch

T: Ed Dunlop

1m2f winner at Beverley (good) in April on seasonal/handicap debut; has not improved on that form but close fourth of 12 when dropped back to 1m at Pontefract (soft) last time shows he has major each-way hopes.

4/1

12/1

Form: 03

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 7lb

2 yo Colt

OR:

Form & Verdict
Left a dismal Polytrack debut well behind when a rallying third of five at Bath last month (1m2f, heavy), if perhaps shaping as if already in need of the 1m4f; still of interest.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

2

(2)

27th Jun 2025

Good To Firm

1m 6f 115y

Class 5

13:50 Doncaster

Hi Ya Mal

9st 9lb

J: Daniel Tudhope

T: Andrew Balding

Reliable and progressive since sent into handicaps, including for a Hamilton win (1m4f, good) on penultimate start and close third at Sandown (1m6f, good) on latest; the latter was behind a Prescott-trained improver and the problem is that he faces another of those today.

3/1

3rd

5

(3)

13th Jun 2025

Good

1m 6f 0y

Class 5

17:00 Sandown

Hi Ya Mal

9st 4lb

J: Oisin Murphy

T: Andrew Balding

Consistent since sent into handicaps and had a bit up his sleeve at Hamilton 16 days ago (1m4f, good); 4lb rise is fair and interesting now sent further as his dam was a smart stayer.

11/4

1st

4

(4)

28th May 2025

Good

1m 4f 15y

Class 5

17:03 Hamilton

Hi Ya Mal

9st 4lb

J: David Probert

T: Andrew Balding

Two fair runs in 1m4f AW handicaps; likely needs more for the return to turf and longer trips might be his destiny as dam was a 1m6f Listed winner who finished third in the 2m4f Ascot Stakes, and whose winning offspring include a 2m winner; still not ruled out for yard that won this in 2024.

11/2

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £20.40
Straight Forecast £24.26
Trifecta £49.70

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Aegean Prince

Telegraph:

Kentucky River

POSTDATA:

Mersea Island

D Express:

Kentucky River

Daily Mirror:

Kentucky River

NEWMARKET:

Aegean Prince

The Times:

Aegean Prince

The Guardian:

Aegean Prince

Daily Mail:

Aegean Prince

The Sun:

Aegean Prince

The Star:

Aegean Prince

Daily Record:

Aegean Prince