July 14 / 15.40 Ayr

15.40

Good

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap

  • Prize money: £3663.8
  • 1m 0f 0y
  • Class 6
  • 7 runners
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racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap

Runners: 7 runners

Type: Flat Turf

Surface: Turf

Weather: Rain

Form: 385071 D

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 9lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 65

Form & Verdict
Most of his wins have come at Carlisle but he justified favouritism when scoring off a reduced mark at Musselburgh (1m1f, good) 13 days ago; up 4lb but he overcame trouble with that comfortable success and remains well treated on old form; key player.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

10th

11

(3)

18th May 2026

Good

0m 6f 195y

Class 5

17:10 Carlisle

Detective

8st 10lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Dianne Sayer

Veteran who has loads of Carlisle form, including six wins; however, has become inconsistent with age and isn't guaranteed to give his running.

20/1

9th

11

(5)

26th Apr 2026

Good

1m 0f 2y

Class 4

15:45 Musselburgh

Detective

8st 12lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Dianne Sayer

10yo who has an up-and-down profile last year and this is his first run since September; however, he was a good third over C&D (good) on his reappearance last April and won here (1m1f, good) in July; not ruled out each-way.

25/1

OUR TIP

Form: 70-672

Last run: 28 days

W: 9st 7lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 63

Form & Verdict
7yo who is not easy to predict but he won three times over 7f (soft) last year and returned to form with a good second over this trip at Carlisle last month; has claims if he can back that up and any rain will help.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

3rd

1

(3)

10th Mar 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

19:45 Southwell (AW)

Homer Stokes

9st 13lb

J: William Pyle

T: David & Nicola Barron

Revived by the drop to 0-50 classified events, runner-up over 7f at Wolverhampton and then C&D before seeing off six rivals in a 1m event here last week; that was a notably weak race, even for the grade, and he has a bit more on his plate as he bids to defy a penalty.

5/2

1st

3

(7)

4th Mar 2026

Standard

1m 0f 13y

Class 6

15:02 Southwell (AW)

Homer Stokes

9st 9lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: David & Nicola Barron

No win since 2024 and all his succes has come over 7f; that said, he is effective at this trip and arrives on the back of a pair of runner-up finishes at this level; unlikely to be found a better opportunity to register a first 1m success.

5/4

2nd

3

(2)

24th Feb 2026

Standard

0m 7f 14y

Class 6

17:00 Southwell (AW)

Homer Stokes

9st 9lb

J: Lewis Edmunds

T: David & Nicola Barron

Has won three times over C&D; clear of the remainder when runner-up in a Wolverhampton handicap last time; sound chance down in grade.

11/4

Form: 322411 CD

Last run: 13 days

W: 9st 5lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 61

Form & Verdict
Has form figures of 322411 since March and he justified support with a smooth success at Musselburgh (7f, good) 13 days ago; up another 4lb but he remains feasibly treated and his penultimate win was over this trip; big player.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

1

(6)

11th Aug 2025

Good

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

14:30 Ayr

Keep Me Stable

10st 2lb

J: David Allan

T: Linda Perratt

Has been running well since March and she's won at Musselburgh (1m/7f, good) in her last three starts; up another 4lb but she's a strong traveller who still looks feasibly treated and is a big player again in her bid for a four-timer.

5/2

7

(8)

22nd Jul 2025

Good

0m 7f 15y

Class 5

17:00 Musselburgh

Keep Me Stable

9st 3lb

J: David Allan

T: Linda Perratt

Has been running well since March and always looked the most likely winner over C&D three weeks ago (good); fair shout off 4lb higher provided the ground doesn't soften up too much.

11/4

Form: -73638 D

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 5lb

11 yo Gelding

OR: 61

Form & Verdict
11yo who has recorded his last four wins on AW at Newcastle (7f/1m); finished a respectable third over 7f here in May but he was well held over C&D (good to soft) last Monday and others are preferred.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

11th

7

(14)

2nd Jun 2026

Standard

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

20:45 Newcastle (AW)

Trais Fluors

9st 5lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Linda Perratt

Veteran (13-102); has won just once since late 2024, when edging out Pallas Lord over C&D (15-2) on New Year's Day; kept on after a slow start, fifth of seven, at Ayr (7f; 33-1) four weeks ago.

9/1

5th

8

(2)

5th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 50y

Class 6

15:00 Ayr

Trais Fluors

8st 12lb

J: Lauren Young

T: Linda Perratt

Getting on for three years since his last turf success and this veteran hasn't been at his best at Newcastle of late; opposable back at 7f and returned to the grass.

20/1

Form: 273297 C

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 3lb

7 yo Gelding

OR: 59

Form & Verdict
Only 1lb higher than for his win here (1m2f, good to firm) last summer but he's been inconsistent this year and has finished down the field in last two runs; wasn't beaten far back here last time but he needs to find more on this drop back in trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

8

(9)

14th Oct 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 5

17:25 Newcastle (AW)

We Still Believe

8st 10lb

J: Aiden Brookes

T: Daragh Bourke

On a long losing run (last win was at Ayr in July 2024) but he has run a few creditable races this year; has a bit to find with Royal Blaze on their C&D form last month.

20/1

5th

5

(9)

26th Sep 2025

Standard

1m 2f 42y

Class 6

17:30 Newcastle (AW)

We Still Believe

9st 9lb

J: Rowan Scott

T: Daragh Bourke

Triple course winner (1m/1m2f) but his last success was 14 months ago and he struggled here last time; on dangerous mark but he's been hard to predict this season and others are preferred.

20/1

10th

3

(1)

8th Sep 2025

Standard To Slow

1m 0f 5y

Class 6

18:40 Newcastle (AW)

We Still Believe

9st 8lb

J: Jason Hart

T: Daragh Bourke

Not disgraced when third of eight to Jewel Maker in 1m Carlisle handicap a week ago; this C&D winner is one for the shortlist.

10/1

Form: 371533 CD BF

Last run: 7 days

W: 9st 2lb

5 yo Filly

OR: 58

Form & Verdict
Clearcut winner over C&D (good to firm) in May and she didn't get much luck when a close third over 1m2f here (good to soft) last Monday; this is her third run in the last eight days but she's on same mark as last time and is respected back in trip.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

9th

11

(3)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 4

15:42 Ayr

Penelopes Sister

8st 10lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: Jim Goldie

Three C&D wins last year (various ground) and she's just 1lb above her last winning mark; soundly beaten over C&D a fortnight ago but she may have needed that reappearance outing and is not discounted.

16/1

7th

5

(4)

5th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 0f 0y

Class 5

16:00 Ayr

Penelopes Sister

9st 4lb

J: Paul Mulrennan

T: Jim Goldie

Gained all three of her 2025 wins over this C&D, the most recent on penultimate start; no certainty to make a successful reappearance, having never scored when fresh, but market support should be heeded.

5/1

Form: 18-760 CD

Last run: 54 days

W: 8st 11lb

9 yo Gelding

OR: 53

Form & Verdict
Defied this mark at Musselburgh (7f, good to soft) last October but he's been well that below form in three runs this season; this step back up in trip is no problem but he has lots to prove and needs a major revival; regular cheekpieces removed.
Place /
No / Draw
Date / Going /
Distance / Class
Time + Course Horse + Weight
Jockey / Trainer
Verdict Starting price

7th

9

(7)

29th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 0y

Class 6

14:10 Carlisle

Golden Valour

8st 12lb

J: Alex Jary

T: R Mike Smith

10yo who posted a fairly encouraging reappearance run at Ayr (7f, good to firm) last Wednesday, when rallying for fifth of eight; each-way possibilities if building on that run now back up in trip.

33/1

5th

9

(9)

20th May 2026

Good To Firm

0m 7f 50y

Class 5

16:42 Ayr

Golden Valour

8st 4lb

J: Rhys Elliott

T: R Mike Smith

10yo who made a winning reappearance here in 2024 (sole course win from 29 attempts) and was on the scoresheet at Musselburgh last September; however, his campaign petered out tamely and a return to form is needed on his seasonal debut.

25/1

9

(11)

5th May 2026

Good To Firm

1m 1f 20y

Class 6

15:30 Ayr

Golden Valour

8st 10lb

J: Amie Waugh

T: R Mike Smith

Not a regular winner; successful at Musselburgh last September (1m, good) but form tailed off after that and lacks a run this time.

25/1

Non-runners

Zebra Star

+o+e Accumulators

Payout
Exacta £6.20
Straight Forecast £6.23
Tricast £63.88
Trifecta £39.50

Selections

SPOTLIGHT:

Keep Me Stable

Daily Mail:

Penelope's Sister

POSTDATA:

Detective

The Sun:

Homer Stokes

The Star:

Penelope's Sister

RP RATINGS:

Keep Me Stable

The Times:

Keep Me Stable

The Guardian:

Keep Me Stable

D Express:

Keep Me Stable

Daily Mirror:

Keep Me Stable

Daily Record:

Keep Me Stable

Telegraph:

Detective